Slide 1Which global warming ? A geophysicists politically incorrect look at climate change. Vincent Courtillot University Paris-Diderot and Institut de Physique du Globe…

Slide 1Topic 4: Climate Variability and Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity/Intensity Topic 4: Climate Variability and Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone…

Slide 1The North Atlantic The NAO, AO and the MJO Hai Lin Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada Workshop Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Met Office, Exeter,…

Slide 1Traditional terminology Arabic word mausim meansseason Loose definition: a wind/precipitation pattern that shifts seasonally Classical criteria (Ramage 1971) Prevailing…

1. ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 15 December 2008 2. Outline Overview…

1. 79SOLA, 2013, Vol. 9, 79−83, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-018 Abstract An extreme precipitation/flood event that occurred in the Indo­ nesian capital of Jakarta on Java Island…

Slide 1The Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) Presents: “Madden-Julian Oscillation with Meteorologist Chris Karafotias” Thursday, April 21 st…

Slide 1 Local to global scale climatic features associated with the floods in Malaysia in Dec.2006 and Jan.2007 Tetsuzo YASUNARI Hydrospheric-Atmospheric Research Center,…

Slide 1Evaluation of GCM convection schemes via data assimilation: e.g. to study the Madden-Julian Oscillation in a model that doesn’t have one Brian Mapes RSMAS, University…

Slide 1 Probabilistic Forecast Kiyoharu Takano Climate Prediction Division JMA Slide 2 3-month(Dec.-Feb.) forecast issued by JMA at 25,Nov. Slide 3 Contents (1) Predictability…