1. Extremes, bursts & Mandelbrot’s eyes ... and five ways to mis- estimate risk Nick Watkins [email protected] NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK…

Slide 1 Earthquakes and Earthquake Prediction Andrei Gabrielov Purdue University West Lafayette, IN, USA www.math.purdue.edu/~agabriel Slide 2 San Francisco, April 18, 1906…

Slide 1 Statistics of Seismicity and Uncertainties in Earthquake Catalogs Forecasting Based on Data Assimilation Maximilian J. Werner Swiss Seismological Service ETHZ Didier…

Yan Y. Kagan Dept. Earth and Space Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1567, [email protected], http://eq.ess.ucla.edu/~kagan.html Statistical earthquake forecasts http://moho.ess.ucla.edu/~kagan/itp12.ppt…

Yan Y. Kagan Dept. Earth and Space Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1567, [email protected], http://eq.ess.ucla.edu/~kagan.html Statistical properties of earthquake occurrence…

Yan Y. Kagan Dept. Earth and Space Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1567, [email protected], http://eq.ess.ucla.edu/~kagan.html Statistical properties of earthquake occurrence…

The region in this study is limited to 56-63° E and 25-29°N. In the western part of this region, an earthquake occurred recently with a magnitude of Mw=6.2 in Hormozgan…