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Documents IWTC VI – Costa Rica – November 2006 Summary Session – Jim Davidson Quantitative Forecasts of....

Slide 1IWTC VI – Costa Rica – November 2006 Summary Session – Jim Davidson Quantitative Forecasts of TC Landfall in relation to an Effective Warning System Slide 2…

Documents Guarding Against the Black Box Syndrome of Empirical Models Willem Landman & Tony Barnston.

Slide 1Guarding Against the Black Box Syndrome of Empirical Models Willem Landman & Tony Barnston Slide 2 Why do we bother making forecasts? Because we need to know stuff…

Documents THORPEX-Africa Aida DIONGUE-NIANG, André Kamga FOAMOUHOUE, Ernest AFIESIMAMA, Kwabena ASOMANIN,...

Slide 1THORPEX-Africa Aida DIONGUE-NIANG, André Kamga FOAMOUHOUE, Ernest AFIESIMAMA, Kwabena ASOMANIN, Amare BABU, Arona DIEDHIOU, Benjamin LAMPTEY, Abdalah MOKSSIT, Franklin…

Documents AREP GAW Section 5 How Are Forecasts Used? Protect Public Health Operate Emissions Reduction...

Slide 1AREP GAW Section 5 How Are Forecasts Used? Protect Public Health Operate Emissions Reduction Programs Slide 2 AREP GAW Section 5 – How Are Forecasts Used? 2 Basic…

Documents Seasonnal Forecasting in Africa J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie.

Slide 1Seasonnal Forecasting in Africa J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie Slide 2 The Oceanic Forcing (ENSO) Planetary influence of El Niño (on left) and La Niña…

Documents ECMWF Slide 1Met Op training course – Reading, March 2004 Forecast verification: probabilistic...

Slide 1ECMWF Slide 1Met Op training course – Reading, March 2004 Forecast verification: probabilistic aspects Anna Ghelli, ECMWF Slide 2 ECMWF Slide 2Met Op training course…

Documents Measuring the performance of climate predictions Chris Ferro, Tom Fricker, David Stephenson...

Slide 1Measuring the performance of climate predictions Chris Ferro, Tom Fricker, David Stephenson Mathematics Research Institute University of Exeter, UK IMA Conference…

Presentations & Public Speaking Weather services for Sochi 2014 Olympic games

Weather Services for Sochi-2014 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games ______________________________________________________ Larisa Nikitina, Sochi, Russian Federation Larisa…

Documents Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis Review and Plans for Rapid Updating Analysis NextGen Weather Program.

Slide 1 Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis Review and Plans for Rapid Updating Analysis NextGen Weather Program Slide 2 What is RTMA? 2 RTMA: Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis A 5 km…

Documents Spurious skill? Varying event frequencies, non-collapsibility and Simpson’s Paradox in forecast...

Slide 1Spurious skill? Varying event frequencies, non-collapsibility and Simpson’s Paradox in forecast verification Roger [email protected] 15 th EMS…