Energiewende 15-07-09 Referent 1 Innovative technologies to mitigate climate change: Germany’s priorities Ellen von Zitzewitz Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy
Energiewende
15-07-09 Referent 1
Innovative technologies to mitigate climate change:
Germany’s priorities
Ellen von Zitzewitz
Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy
2050 Energiewende targets
The energy transition follows a transparent long-term strategy.
15-07-09 Ellen von Zitzewitz 2
* 2013
Sourc
e:
Fe
dera
l G
overn
ment
2010,
BM
U/B
MW
i 2014,
AG
EE
-Sta
t2014,
AG
EB
2015
Climate
Renewable
Energies
Energy
Efficiency
% final energy
consumption
% gross electricity
consumption
% primary energy
consumption (vs. 2008)
final energy productivity
building renovation
% greenhouse gas
reduction (vs. 1990)
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2050
+2.1% p.a.
doubling of renovation rate: 1% 2%
-40-55
-70-80 to -95
35 40 to 4550 65
8055 to 60
1830
4560
-20
-50
12%*
27.8 %
- 9 %
0.2%* p.a.
~1%* p.a.
-27,0 %
Achieved
2014
Climate Action Programme 2020
15-07-09 Ellen von Zitzewitz 3
So
urc
e: F
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l M
instr
y f
or
the
En
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on
me
nt 2
01
4
Key policy measures Contribution to GHG emission
reduction (million t CO2 eq)
National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NAPE)
(excl. measures in the transport sector)Ca. 25 – 30 m t
Strategy on climate-friendly building and housing
(incl. building specific NAPE measures)Ca. 5.7 – 10 m t
Transport sector measures Ca. 7 – 10 m t
Non-energy related emissions in
- industry, trade/commerce/services, waste mgmt.
- agriculture
3 – 7.7 m t
3.6 m t
Emission trading reform Dependent on EU
Further measures, incl. the electricity sector 22 m t
Total emission reductions will reach 62 to 78 million tonnes CO2 by 2020.
Two pillars of the Energiewende
Energy efficiency and renewables sustain a secure Energy transition.
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Renewable Energy
• Steady growth
• Environmentally friendly
Market and system integration
Energy research and
development
Supporting fields of action
European energy and climate
policy
• Reduce energy consumption
• Cost-efficient
Energy Efficiency
Key legislation:
Energy Saving Ordinance
Heating Cost Ordinance
Key legislation:
Renewable Energy Sources Act
Renewable Energy Heat Act
Main federal-level energy efficiency measures
A balance of consultation and information, incentives and regulations.
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• Energy consulting
• KfW progammes for construction and
renovation
• MAP (Market Incentive Programme)
• Energy saving legislation
• Energy consulting (Energy Efficiency
Campaign)
• NTRI: National Top Runner Initiative
• Energy Efficiency Labelling Ordinance
• Ecodesign Directive (eff. classification)
• Energy consulting services
• KfW credits and loans
(Effizienzprogramm, BAFA)
• Obligatory energy audits
• European emissions trading (ETS)
Transport
Buildings Products and appliances
Industry and business
• Labelling (EU Directive Fuel Economy)
• Regulation of consumption
• Motor vehicle taxation
• E-mobility strategy
• Mobility and fuel strategy
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15
GHG emission savings through renewables use
In 2013 renewables avoided 148 million tonnes of CO2 in Germany.
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So
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MW
i A
G E
E-S
tat
20
14
6,2
10,2
17
25,8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Re
ne
wa
ble
ssh
are
in %
45.0
40.0
Overall target corridor
In 2025: between 40% and 45% RES-E
In 2035: between 55% and 60% RES-E
Capacity additions
Onshore wind and PV2 500 MW (2.5 GW) per year each
Bioenergy 100 MW per year
Offshore wind 6.5 GW by 2020, 15 GW by 2030
Focus on Wind and PV as most cost-effective solutions
(1) Renewables share in gross electricity consumption
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4
Average price of rooftop PV systems in Germany
Declining module costs in particular have driven down PV system.
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So
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e: F
rau
nh
ofe
r IS
E 2
01
4 b
ase
do
n d
ata
fro
mB
SW
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e: E
EG
20
14
(D
raft
, 2
6.0
6.2
01
4),
BS
W 2
01
3, 2
01
4, B
MW
i2
01
3
PV support costs decline steadily
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Support levels
solar energy
(Cent/kWh)
January
2006
June
2015
Roof-top installations
< 10 kW 51,80 12,40
< 40 kW 51,80 12,06
< 100 kW 49,28 10,79
Large
installations
FiT FiP
< 1000 kW 48,74 11,18
< 10 MW 48,74 8,98
Ground-
mounted
40,60 8,98
(tendered)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
janv.…
juil.
06
janv.…
juil.
07
janv.…
juil.
08
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11
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12
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13
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14
janv.…
Syste
m p
rice [E
UR
/kW
p]
EE
G r
em
une
ratio
n a
n n
et e
lectr
icity p
rices
[ct/
kW
h]
ground-mountedsystemsmall roof-top system
net system price for10 kW roof-top system
Electricity price households (net)
Electricity price industry (net)
Investments and additional capacity in Germany
Investments in additional capacity have become cheaper.
15-07-09 Ellen von Zitzewitz 11
3,7763,273
4,142
7,243
9,147
10,132 10,223
7,235
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
additional capacityin MW
bill. €
wind
photovoltaic
biomass electricity
annual installedcapacity (right axis)
So
urc
e: A
GE
E-S
tat
20
14
300,80
303,30
76,95
138,14
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Su
pp
ort
in
mil
lio
n E
uro
s Nuclear Fusion
Nuclear Safetyand final storage
RenewableEnergies
Energy Efficiency
Support for energy-related research and development
Energy research is a key element of the energy transition.
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Benefits of fostering energy efficiency and renewables
The energy transition has positive effects on various levels of the economy.
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ECONOMIC AND
ECOLOGIC EFFECTS
OF THE
“ENERGIEWENDE”
INVESTMENTS
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funds and banks; 13%
industry; 14%
utilites; 12%
project developers; 14%
farmers; 11%
private owners; 35%
others; 1%contractors; 0,2%
Total ~ 73 GW
Ownership structure of German RES facilities in 2012
Renewable installations create multiple opportunities for entrepreneurship – the ownership structure is versatile.
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So
urc
e: tr
en
d:r
ese
arc
h 2
01
3
Expansion of renewable energy sources in Germany
Business opportunities: the number of renewable power plants has grownexponentially over the past 14 years.
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So
ure
ce
: 5
0h
ert
z,
Bo
ris S
ch
uch
t 2
01
5
biomass
solar PV
wind
Conventional power plants are needed to back up volatile renewables.
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Sourc
e: F
raunhofe
rIS
E 2
015
German electricity system volatility today
Winter 2014 - week no. 4 (January) Summer 2014 - week no. 34 (August)
Solar
Wind
Po
we
r ge
ne
ratio
n (
GW
)
Seasonal storage
Pumped storage
Oil
Gas
Hard coal
Lignite
Nuclear
Biomass
Hydro
Four areas to increase flexibility
Different flexibility measures are suitable for varying shares of volatile renewables.
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So
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MU
20
12
Grid expansion
Flexibility
RE curtailment
Demand response
Power-to-heatPumped storage
Power-to-gas
Grids
Generation
Consumption
Storage
Share of RE80%65%50%20% 35%
2025 2035 2050 Target year
Development of renewable electricity generationin Germany since 1990 + 2020 target
Continuously developed policy support has fostered steady growth of renewables in Germany.
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Qu
elle
: E
co
fys 2
01
5, A
GE
E-S
tat
20
15
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
Ele
ctr
icit
y g
en
era
tio
n (
GW
h)
Geothermal Energy
Photovoltaics
Biomass
Offshore Wind
Onshore Wind
Hydropower
2020 Target (rightaxis)
1990:
PV programme
“1.000 Roofs”
2011:
Fukushima and
nuclear phase out
1991:
Electricity
Feed-In Law
2000:
First EEG
2007/08:
IEKP
Thank youfor your attention
15-07-09 Referent 19
Contact details
Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Energie
Referat IIA1
Scharnhorststr. 34-37
10115 Berlin
Ellen von Zitzewitz
www.bmwi.de
Who is in the RE Club?
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21
GS
R 2
01
5
PV module price development – past and future
Investment costs for PV modules continue to decline
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ra 2
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4
Cumulated produced
capacity in GW
German households spend less on electricity than in the US: efficiency outweighs higher electricity prices.
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5 b
ase
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n A
go
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01
4
Country Consumption (kWh) Price (ct/kWh) Bill (Euro)
Denmark 4,000 30 1,200
US 11,800 9 1,060
Germany 3,500 30 1,050
Japan 5,600 18 1,010
Spain 4,400 23 1,010
Canada 10,800 8 850
UK 4,200 19 800
France 5,000 16 800
Italy 2,700 25 680
Average household electricity spending: an international comparison
Country Consumption (kWh) Price (€ ct/kWh) Bill (€)
Denmark 4,000 30 1,200
US 11,800 9 1,060
Germany 3,500 30 1,050
Japan 5,600 18 1,010
Spain 4,400 23 1,010
Canada 10,800 8 850
UK 4,200 19 800
France 5,000 16 800
Italy 2,700 25 680
Net employment effects of the energy transition
Most jobs are created in the building sector, thanks to the energy transition.
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So
urc
e: G
WS
, E
WI,
Pro
gn
os
20
14
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
10
00
em
plo
ye
es
Industry
Trade
Building sector
Services
Energy and mining
4
40
12,5
10
10
29,5
74,5
50,5
85
51,5
10
Quality assurance and optimising energy consulting
Incentives for energy-efficient renovations (tax cancelled,substituted by incentive programme, total savings not clear)Upgrading, continuation and increased funding of the CO2 buildingrenovation programmePromoting “energy performance contracting“
National energy-efficiency label for old heating installations
Upgrading the KfW energy efficiency programmes
Energy efficiency networks initiative
Obligation to perform energy audits for non-SMEs
National top runner initiative
Introduction of a competitive tendering scheme for energy efficiency
Additional immediate measures
NAPE: Additional energy efficiency measures in Germany
These measures shall lead to additional energy savings of 350-380 PJ by 2020.
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Savings in PJ