Your guide to a world of Opportunities #globalopportunity
Dec 24, 2015
1. What it is
2. Why we make it – and who ”we” are
3. How we make it – and why this is important
4. How to use the report
5. 5 Risks – 15 Opportunities
6. Main findings – Introducing the opportunity manager
Global Opportunity Report
Criteria for risks:- Of global importance- Actionable- Timely- Uncertainty is low – real challenge
An investigation of five of the most important risks facing societies today
What it is
Criteria for opportunities:- Addresses the risk- Opportunities for society first- Sustainable
By uncovering the opportunities they also present
What it is
Insights:
- How optimistic are different regions/age groups/sectors about our ability to seize the opportunities
- Which opportunities represent the preferred strategy choice for addressing the risks in regions/sectors etc.
- From both a society and a business perspective
What it is
…and testing these against the people we need to engage in a transition to a safe and sustainable future – private businesses
What it is
BUT, it is also: a demonstration of the Opportunity Mindset– a collaborative process designed to provide insights that facilitate action
If, faced with risk, we are hesitant to take the first step
– what then, can make us take a big leap?
1. A positive mindset and narrative
2. A collaborative process engaging
stakeholders and experts
-
To motivate and inspire collaborative action on some of the greatest challenges ahead – by offering:
Why we make it
6,160 private and public sector leaders
5 Risks 8 Panels 15 Opportunities 120 Solutions6,160 private and
public sector leaders
5 Risks 8 Panels 15 Opportunities 120 Solutions6,160 private and
public sector leadersGlobal
Opportunity Report
Global Opportunity Report
5 Risks 8 Panels 15 Opportunities 120 Solutions6,160 private and
public sector leadersGlobal
Opportunity Report
Collaborative Innovation Platform
The number of people affected by extreme weather will more than double from 1970 to 2030
From 1992 to 2012, 64% of the world population was impacted by extreme weather
Risk 1
Extreme WeatherHuman society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events.
Since 1972 floods have caused losses of 720bn USD
Cost-Effective Adaptation
#14
Investments in Resilience
#15
Early Warning & Forecasting Services
#9
‣ Most attractive in North America
‣ An Opportunity for the Future
‣ Best in high-risk areas
Opportunities:
Risk 1
Extreme Weather
Early Warning & Forecasting Services
Risk 1
Extreme Weather
Best Opportunity:
#9
In the top three for finance sector
Most attractive in North America
Early Warning & Forecasting Services
Risk 1
Extreme Weather
Runner-ups:
#14
‣ Strong backing in lower-middle income economies
‣ An Opportunity for the future
Investments in Resilience
#15
‣ Best in high-risk areas
‣ Least preferred for business
Risk 2
Lack of Fresh WaterLack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security.
Risk 2
Lack of Fresh WaterLack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security.
The demand for fresh water is expected to overshoot supply by 40% in 20 years
Manufacturing and power generation are the sectors driving most of the increased demand
Almost 800mio. People do not have access to a proper source of water
Fresh WaterProduction
#3
Smart WaterRegulation
#5
Water-EfficientAgriculture
#1
‣ Average opportunity for business
‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America
‣ No. 1 in South America
Opportunities:
Risk 2
Lack of Fresh Water
Risk 2
Lack of Fresh Water
Water-EfficientAgriculture
Best Opportunity:
#1 Average opportunity for business
Least favored by young generation
Fresh WaterProduction
Runner-ups:
#3
‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America
‣ Asia is sceptical
Smart WaterRegulation
#5
‣ No. 1 in South America
‣ A favourite among women
Risk 2
Lack of Fresh Water
Risk 3
Unsustainable UrbanisationCost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.
Each year cities globally grow by 70mio. People – one new Chicago pr. two weeks
Many cities are polluted, congested and vulnerable to natural disasters
Global warming exacerbates many of the cities’ problems in coming decades
Risk 3
Unsustainable UrbanisationCost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.
Rural Growth Initiatives
#12
Smart Cities
#10
‣ A favorite in China and India
‣ Good for finance but No New Biz
Opportunities:
Risk 3
Unsustainable Urbanisation
Compact, Green and Connected Cities
#13
‣ Favourite among the young
Risk 3
Smart Cities
Best Opportunity:
#10 Top choice in China
Favourite among the young
Unsustainable Urbanisation
Rural Growth Initiatives
Runner-ups:
#12
‣ Good for finance but No New Biz
‣ Not for Europe and North America
Compact, Green and Connected Cities
#13
‣ A favorite in China and India
‣ Not for those aged 50 and above
Risk 3
Unsustainable Urbanisation
Risk 4
Non-Communicable DiseasesNCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.
6 out of 10 greatest causes of death are NCDs (including heart disease, cancers and diabetes)
In 2030 NCDs are projected to cause three times as many “healthy life-years” as communicable diseases
80% of NCD deaths – 29 mio/year – occur in middle and low-income countries
Risk 4
Non-Communicable DiseasesNCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.
Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation
#7
Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies
#11
Everyday Health Enablers
#2
‣ Most favorable for business
‣ Preferred inthe Americas
‣ India expects rapid deployment
Opportunities:
Risk 4
Non-Communicable Diseases
Everyday Health Enablers
Best Opportunity:
#2
Most favorable for business
Consistently high score
Risk 4
Non-Communicable Diseases
Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation
Runner-ups:
#7
‣ Preferred in the Americas
‣ Not picked up by finance sector
Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies
#11
‣ Lack of investment interest
‣ India expects rapid deployment
Risk 4
Non-Communicable Diseases
Risk 5
Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG
Lock-in to Fossil Fuels
Investment in fossil fuels is 4X greater than investments in renewables
In the past 20 years fossil fuels’ share in the global energy supply has been stable around 86%
In 2012, the 200 largest oil and gas companies spent 674bn dollars on developing new reserves
Risk 5
Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG
Lock-in to Fossil Fuels
Regulated Energy Transition
#6
Energy Autonomy
#8
GreenConsumer Choices
#4
‣ Governments likely to invest
‣ Top opportunity for under 30s
‣ Strong business impact
Opportunities:
Risk 5
Lock-in to Fossil Fuels
GreenConsumer Choices
Best Opportunity:
#4
Splits business
Governmentslikely to invest
Risk 5
Lock-in to Fossil Fuels
Regulated Energy Transition
Runner-ups:
#6
‣ Top opportunity for under 30s
‣ Less popular with Business
Energy Autonomy
#8
‣ Strong business impact
‣ Income divide
Risk 5
Lock-in to Fossil Fuels
Main findings
Profile of the Opportunity Manager
She is a woman
She is young
She lives in China, India or South America
Main findings
Profile of the Opportunity Manager
She is a woman
She is young
She lives in China, India or South America
She works in themanufacturing or
finance sector
Main findings
Profile of the Opportunity Manager
She is a woman
She is young
She lives in China, India or South America
She works in themanufacturing or
finance sector
She embracesregulation
She is a woman
She is young
She lives in China, India or South America
She works in themanufacturing or
finance sector
She embracesregulation
She has confidence in our ability to transformour energy systems
Main findings
Profile of the Opportunity Manager
Opportunity ranking
Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society
Water Efficient Agriculture
Green Consumer Choices
Everyday Health Enablers
Smart Water Regulation
MENA favoriteAbove 50s favorite
Fresh Water ProductionEurope favorite
Governmental sector favorite
South East Asia & Australia favorite
Other Asia favoriteManufacturing sector favorite
South America favorite
#2
#4
#3
#1
#5
Opportunity ranking
Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society
Regulated Energy Transition
Early Warning and Forecasting Services
Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation
Smart Cities
Sub-Saharan Africa favorite
Energy Autonomy
North America favorite
“Other businesses” sector favorite
#7
#9
#8
#6
#10