08/2013 Lost in the Great East Japan Earthquake and Anxiety about the Future: An Analysis of 2011 Survey of the Earthquake Damage and Social Consciousness in Sendai City Yoichi Murase (Rikkyo University, Japan) [email protected]1.Purpose 2.Data and Methods 3.Results Basic Analysis SEM of Anxiety for Future Life 4.Conclusions
ASA 08/2013 Lost in the Great East Japan Earthquake and Anxiety about the Future: An Analysis of 2011 Survey of the Earthquake Damage and Social Consciousness in Sendai City. Yoichi Murase (Rikkyo University, Japan) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
ASA 08/2013
Lost in the Great East Japan Earthquake and Anxiety about the Future:
An Analysis of 2011 Survey of the Earthquake Damage and Social Consciousness in Sendai City
3.Results Basic Analysis SEM of Anxiety for Future Life
4.Conclusions
1. Purpose1.1. Research Background
Rising Inequality in many countries. Recession after the Great Earthquake
Do Damage and Anxiety for Future Instability associate with Social Status?
Economic status and social network have effect?
Some disaster studies said damages were large in poor areas.
Ex. Hurricane Katrina in the US
Japan is relatively equal society, social class, racial, and religious conflicts are not large.
99% of people are Japanese.However, Urban – Rural gap is large.
I focused comparing the Sendai and rural area.
Sendai: Largest city in Tohoku District, population One million.
Tertiary Industry City, no large factory area or labor class poor area.
Sendai and most of large cities were
not near the ocean.Population of the Coast area was 0.5% in Sendai.
now 0%.
Not a large Tsunami Damage.
However many people have effect from the disaster.
Damage of property is not small.
1.2.Purpose of this studyWhat is the determinants of
Damage of Property by the EarthquakeAnxiety (Future life, Future Income)
HypothesesEconomic status (economic resource)Social network (relational resource, Social capital)Education (informational resource, Cultural capital)Working in Large Company
… very important in Japan
2.Data and Methods "Citizens' Consciousness Survey on Their Life and
Disaster Prevention in Sendai and Senhoku" by Rikkyo University and Tohoku UniversitySendai in November 2011
Sample size 2100 and 1532 answers (73% response rate) Sendai panel survey in 2012 mail survey for 1532, 977 answersSenhoku area (rural near Sendai) in November 2012. mail survey
Sample size was 2006 and 1341 answers (67% response rate).
Not using research companies. Aided by Rikkyo University Special Focus Fund for Promoting Research (Rikkyo SFR)
We hired 70 students and direct managed the survey
Sendai from Tohoku University
Central District of Sendai
Tsunami area now population 0
3.Results3.1.Basic Analysis of Damage and Anxiety
Table 1. Utility Stop and Damage: Days, JP Yen.2011 Sendai
Electrisity Stop Water Stop Gas Stop
Damage
(Thousand Yen)
Aoba(city central) 4.5 8.2 19.7 1009
Miyagino(old area) 7.0 8.7 17.5 1678
Wakabayashi(old area) 6.0 3.2 19.2 2001
Taihaku(suburb) 5.9 6.7 20.5 785
Izumi(suburb) 5.1 11.4 22.6 1141
Total 5.6 8.2 20.1 1225 Miyagino and Wakabayashi faced to the Pacific Ocean
Table 1. Cont2012 Senhoku
Electrisity Stop Water Stop Gas Stop
Damage
(Thousand Yen)
Rifu(suburb) 6.9 20.9 15.6 1562
Tomiya(suburb) 5.9 15.5 11.4 841
Taiwa(town) 5.1 3.1 1.0 1255
Osato, Ohira etc (rural) 9.2 11.7 1.1 1788
Total 6.7 14.0 8.5 1303
Damage
More than 40% answered less than $1000 US.
20% answered more than $10,000 US.
Largest in old residential area (near the ocean).
Anxeity
in 2011 Sendai 70% answered Yes.
Stronger in 2012 and Senhoku (rural area).
No relation with the areas.
Relational Resource (Social network with influential people)
Closeness with influential people. Important for measuring people’s political power and
background. Old traditional people have more relations. Maybe not a
new urban residents.
3.2.Cause of Anxiety and Damage Structural Equation Model by SPSS AMOS
Final Dependent Variable :Factor of Anxiety … Right sides of Figures
Property possession (Economic status; possession of fourteen items, house, PC, DVD player, etc. and used the total number of items), Household Income, etc.
I omitted income because it is similar with property.
For Male Cause of the anxiety on future life
Property possession (economic status) (-.18)Income (-.17)Residence year rate (.18)
Organization SizeEducationRelational resource
had indirect effectsAmount of loss, Self employment dummy
had no effect
Cause of DamageAge
no relationship with property possession, education, etc.