Yanki Margalit Technology, Innovation And Progress

Technology, innovation

and progress – thoughts

on the big picture

Yanki Margalit

Disclaimer

My personal thoughts and an intuitive collection of anecdotes. Not a scientific paper

Photos, graphs and slides were copied from many other sources. I did my best to state the origin of materials. If you feel I should have not used specific images or text please let

me know and I will stop using it.Wikipedia – of course – has been a great compass

My thoughtsMinor Scale

• The BIG timeline - When did it all start?• Saw-tooth - Progress and decline• The last second - From year 0 to 2000• Explosion? - Accelerating technology• Windows of opportunities – Is one open now?• The Silicon Wadi - The Israeli perspective• Why - A personal question - What drives us?• The future – What is next and our responsibility

The BIG timeline• -4B -200K Developing the Homo Sapiens• -200K -40K Developing Language, Stone• -40K -12K Getting ready• -12K -5K The Neolithic revolution• -6K The Wheel• 0 2K The last second • 2K+ Nano, bio, clean, cyber

Ex-planet, Social

ProgressEnergy, pattern, direction

Good Saw-tooth(worst exists)

I feel good

I am afraid

2008 Global

Economic Data

• CIA - The World Fact Book

Time to market

1000-2000 yearsA spoked wheel on display at The National Museum of Iran, in Tehran. The wheel is dated late 2nd millennium BC and was

excavated at Choqa Zanbil.

So what is next?

• Brave new world– The ultimate promise of

technology

• Explosion

Windows for entrepreneurship

• Big and small windows

• Technology windows

• Culture & Social windows

• Personal windows

Innovation Productisation Industrialization Consolidation

• Is the software window closed?

• Is the Internet apps window still open?

• What is the next window?

The Car Industry

Consolidation

The Silicon Wadi

In and Out?

Israel

What drives us?• Greed• Fear

• Laziness• Curiosity

• Natural selection

• Self fulfillment

The FuTURE

The future

There'll be the breaking of the ancient western code

Your private life will suddenly explode There'll be phantoms There'll be fires on the road and the white man dancing

Mingle and Network

• The MIT Forum Mixer

• Tomo – Thursday 18:00

• My place – Carmeli 6 – Ramat Hen

• Networking and fun talk

• Food of the future

• To avoid payment say “Yanki invited me”

Explosion?