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    Ancient Transpacific Voyaging to the

    New World via Pleistocene SouthPacific Islands

    Steve Wyatt

    15 Whitsetts Fork Ridge Road, Wildwood, Missouri 63038

    How humans first arrived in America remains a mystery. Although the Beringian and coastal

    options have been discussed in detail, a transpacific route from the Old World to the New

    World via the islands of Oceania has been essentially ignored. Of the many factors involved incompleting such a voyage, besides an adequate watercraft, landfall frequency and prevailing

    winds and currents were most important. A chain of islands in the landless eastern South

    Pacific, with its consequent and possibly favorable modifications of regional sea surface cur-

    rents, would have been particularly beneficial to eastbound mariners. Comparing present-day

    bathymetry with estimated late Pleistocene glacially induced sea level fluctuations suggests

    that latent islands may actually exist, especially when the effects of other geological phe-

    nomena are also considered. If exposed during the last glacial maximum (LGM), such a chain

    of islands could have provided facilitating layover points for ancient eastbound seafaring

    explorers, thus making a transpacific journey more plausible. 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

    INTRODUCTIONThe tripartite issue embracing how and when the first humans reached the New

    World and who they were persists as one of the most troublesome archaeological

    mysteries of all time. Legitimate proposals for how the first colonists arrived fall

    into only three broad categories: (1) trekking overland across the Bering Land Bridge

    as per the long-governing Beringian/Clovis-first paradigm; (2) skirting the coastline

    on foot, by boat, or a combination of the two along the North Pacific rim from Asia

    (Meltzer, 1995; Dixon, 1999), the North Atlantic ice pack from Europe (Hall, 2000),

    or the Antarctic ice shelf from Australia (Bonnichsen, 2001); or (3) sailing or pad-

    dling directly across the ocean (Terrell, 1998; Dixon, 2000). But despite the limited

    number of options and many decades of effort by an army of scientists in a wide array

    of disciplines, none of the choices can be unequivocally accepted or rejected.The Beringian hypothesis has long been the standard paradigm by which others

    are measured. Today, however, there are probably more reasons for doubting its

    veracity than there are for accepting it (Wyatt, 2002). Consequently, first American

    studies appear to be in the midst of a paradigm shift. Yet it is unclear to what alter-

    native the shift should be made. Existing archaeological evidence fails to correlate

    unambiguously with any of the proposed options. All things consideredenviron-

    Geoarchaeology: An International Journal, Vol. 19, No. 6, 511529 (2004)

    2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

    Published online in Wiley Interscience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI:10.1002/gea.20008

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    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6512

    ment and technology at temporally crucial points being perhaps the most determi-

    nativeany or all routes affording the opportunity to exploit new resources likely

    would have been used (Wyatt, 2002). But which did the very first Americans use?

    Addressed here is perhaps the most controversial of the proposed answers tothat question: transoceanic seafaring, or more specifically, transpacific voyaging

    from the Old World to the New via the islands of Oceania. Although judging the fea-

    sibility of such an epic journey deep in antiquity requires consideration of myriad pri-

    mary and ancillary issues, space limitations permit focusing primarily on only one

    in this paper. Even so, the issue detailed may well be the most salient and introduces

    a new, potentially far-reaching factor in the debate: the possible existence of now inun-

    dated but previously exposed islands in the mostly landless eastern South Pacific

    Ocean. A chain of islands in that vast expanse revealed by late Pleistocene glacially-

    induced sea level lowering and other geological phenomena could have provided

    facilitating stepping-stones for completing the culminating leg of a transpacific migra-

    tion to America, just as extant islands aided the exploration of Oceania. Before pur-suing this idea in detail, a brief review of the controversial concept of ancient sea-

    faring itself might be useful.

    Evidence of Ancient Mariners

    Humans almost unquestionably arrived in the New World during the late

    Pleistocene. However, considering the perishable nature of the materials likely used,

    direct evidence for seafaring or watercraft use of any kind dating to that epoch is

    essentially nonexistent anywhere in the world (Wyatt, 2002). Nonetheless, it is con-

    ceivable that crude rafts could have been employed very early by coastal dwellers.

    Adopted initially as expedient transportation for accessing nearshore resources,they may have later been found adequate as an intermittent and rapid means of tran-

    siting from one resource patch to the next.

    The concept of rafting over water is certainly not difficult to grasp; a fallen tree

    floating offshore demonstrates the necessary principles. And indeed, hominids

    apparently have had more than ample opportunity to observe and experiment with

    those principles. Large shellfish middens found at Terra Amata in France (ca.

    400,000 yr B.P.) and the Klasies River Mouth Caves in Africa (ca. 150,000 yr B.P.),

    for example, suggest coastal dwellers have had the opportunity for many thou-

    sands of years (Yesner, 1980).

    More definitive evidence of ancient seafaring, albeit still circumstantial, is found

    in the western South Pacific. Australias more than 60,000 years of settlement history

    is most notable. Presumably this island continent had to have been colonized by

    mariners, since it was never connected by land bridge to mainland Asia some 90 km

    distant (Meltzer, 1995; Morwood et al., 1998; Terrell, 1998; Dixon, 1999; Nemecek,

    2000). Similarly, the equally detached Solomon Islands were reached by at least 30,000

    years ago (Bellwood, 1997; Terrell, 1998). Most fascinating, though, is testimony from

    the small Indonesian island of Flores, where archaeologists found stone tools dating

    to some 800,000 years ago (Bellwood, 1997; Morwood et al., 1998). Such a discovery

    is exciting on its own merits, but, remarkably, faunal and floral proxy records insinuate

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    that even when sea level reached its nadir, this island, too, was stranded from the

    mainland. The implication is profound: hominids predating modernHomo sapiens may

    have been the first seafarers (Bellwood, 1997; Morwood et al., 1998).

    Ostensibly then, mariners have been moving among the islands of the westernSouth Pacific, if not elsewhere, for tens or hundreds of millennia. And that they

    spread throughout Oceania in this manner during some period in prehistory is unde-

    niable, since the Polynesian, Melanesian, and Micronesian archipelagos were fully

    populated before European contact (Conniff, 1993). But a serious chronological

    shortcoming exists for Oceanian researchers attempting to project the early mar-

    itime exploration and settlement history of the far western archipelagos into

    Polynesia: Archaeological records are totally unsupportive (Dixon, 1993; Terrell,

    1998; Finney, 1999; Kirch, 2002).

    Although Australia and the Solomons apparently were reached by seafarers well

    back in the Pleistocene, archaeological evidence suggests that the islands of Polynesia

    were settled only within the last 3000years or so (Dixon, 1993; Terrell, 1998; Finney,1999; Kirch, 2002). Furthermore, it appears that the eastern-most Polynesian islands

    were reached just within the past 1600 years (Conniff, 1993; Finney, 1999; Kirch,

    2002). Such a time differential is quite puzzling and remains to be reconciled. Did the

    incipient migration throughout Oceania inexplicably cease for a prolonged period,

    or are these findings only a function of the nascent state of Polynesian archaeology

    (Terrell, 1998)? If the answer falls in the latter category, it is quite possible that the

    oldest sites have simply yet to be found.

    But regardless, even if the prehistory of Polynesia is eventually extended into the

    late Pleistocene, it does not automatically follow that ancient mariners would have

    continued their explorations to America. Rafting between relatively closely spaced

    islands, as is typical of much of Oceania, is much different from sailing across thou-sands of kilometers of open ocean as is required to reach the New World. While in

    the former situation ones destination may not be visible before embarking, it typi-

    cally does appear ahead before land is lost behind (Irwin et al., 1990); in the latter

    case, land may not be visible in any direction for weeksa sobering thought for

    emigrant families confined in small vessels.

    Transoceanic Voyaging

    Theories promoting early transoceanic voyaging are not new (Dixon, 1999;

    Bonnichsen, 2001). For decades some researchers have cited early seafaring as a pos-

    sible explanation for several mysteries surrounding the peopling of the New World,

    including how lower North America could have been settled before the glaciers

    receded (Meltzer, 1995), why South American sites consistently date older than

    North American sites (Dillehay, 1997; Meltzer et al., 1997; Dixon, 1999; Gruhn, 2000),

    and why DNA studies continue to tentatively identify genetic affinities among Native

    Americans, Polynesians, Australians, and Southeast Asians (Hall, 1996; Powledge

    and Rose, 1996). Most recently, a transatlantic voyage was proposed as an expla-

    nation for the dearth of Clovis technology antecedents in Beringia (Dorfman, 2000;

    Hall, 2000).

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    Undoubtedly, protracted ocean journeys in unsophisticated watercraft were pos-

    sible. They have been accomplished on several occasions historically both by acci-

    dent and also by design for the specific purpose of proving that high-tech boats and

    equipment were not a prerequisite (Finney, 1999, 2000).Kon Tikis ill-founded 1947voyage from Peru to the Tuamotu Islands is one well-known example; the 1976 voy-

    age of theHokulea from Maui to Tahiti is another (Finney, 1999). But these suc-

    cesses notwithstanding, the most pertinent question still remains unanswered: Was

    transoceanic voyaging a feasible method for first initiating and then maintaining a

    New World colony in antiquity?

    Attempting to answer this question pragmatically involves a slew of cross-disci-

    pline considerations. Outside of psychological factors, the success or failure of most

    human endeavors is governed by the interaction of elements falling under four broad

    classifications: technology, biology, culture, and environment (Wyatt, 2002). Regarding

    the first, for this study it was assumed a priori that marine-oriented groups pos-

    sessing somewhat more than basic rafting technology existed in the South Pacific dur-ing the late Pleistocene. As outlined already, this supposition is supported by cir-

    cumstantial evidence and, to some degree, by experimentation.

    An assessment of biological and cultural factors (e.g., the logistics of obtaining food

    and fresh water at sea, and the difficulties of an isolated founding population in

    maintaining reproductive viability) revealed that they would not have necessarily

    had a negative impact on oceanic exploration (Wyatt, 2002). From a feasibility stand-

    point, that is, there were no definitive reasons among biological or cultural factors

    alone to unequivocally declare impossible or even inconceivable successful settle-

    ment enterprises via the ocean. Technology, biology, and culture aside, then, left

    only environmental issues to cast the deciding vote (Wyatt, 2002).

    Subsumed under environmental elements for this research were varying oceano-graphic factors throughout the South Pacific with the potential for extensively affect-

    ing extended ocean voyages. Two somewhat obvious primary factors stood out as

    most influential: (1) prevailing sea surface currents and winds; and (2) landfall fre-

    quency (Wyatt, 2002).

    Moving freely about the sea is dictated mostly by the nautical skill of a boats crew

    and on prevailing ocean currents and winds. The contemporary trend of the latter in

    the South Pacific between the equator and about 30S latitudethe zone of Trade

    Winds in which most of Polynesia liesblows from east to west. Surface currents (the

    upper 10% of ocean waters) flow counterclockwise within the confines of the South

    Pacific basin in a more or less circular motion (called a gyre) due to the combined

    forces of wind, solar heating, the Coriolis effect, and gravity. Like the Trade Winds,

    the east to west flowing northern limb of this circulation (the South Equatorial Current)

    also falls between the equator and about 30S latitude (Figure 1). Mariners wishing to

    travel east in these latitudes, then, must sail both into the wind and against the oceans

    surface currents. Of course, eastbound mariners could have dropped farther south

    into the zone of west to east blowing Westerlies above 30S latitude and picked up the

    easterly flowing South Transverse Current (Figure 1). But temperatures generally

    become decidedly colder and the seas much stormier as one approaches Antarctica

    (Finney, 1999), thus making an already difficult journey more perilous still.

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    Neither ocean currents nor winds are by any means static, however. Due to the

    complex nature of the oceanatmosphere system, several seasonal and anomalous

    phenomena occur today (e.g., monsoonal periods and El Nio episodes) that tend

    to reverse the normal or prevailing trend of winds and currents, especially in the

    zone of Trade Winds (Diaz and Markgraf, 1992; OLenic, 1994; Finney, 1999). If

    these or similar phenomena also occurred during the late Pleistoceneanother

    controversial, yet feasible proposition (Sandweiss et al., 1996, 1999; Wells et al.,

    1996; Heusser and Sirocko, 1996; Keefer et al., 1998)they could have provided

    savvy seafarers a practical means for exploring to the east (Irwin et al., 1990).

    Hence, it cannot be assumed unequivocally, as Heyerdahl did, that eastbound

    mariners island-hopping across the Pacific always would have had to buck winds

    and currents. Intervals of abnormal west to east blowing winds with coincident

    adjustments in current flow may have been normal for long periods in the past

    (Irwin et al., 1990; Finney, 1999).

    PLEISTOCENE LANDFORMS

    Arguably, the single most important element affecting ocean voyaging is the dis-

    tance from one landfall to the next. Nearness of ones destination ameliorates all

    GEOARCHAEOLOGY: AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL

    ANCIENT TRANSPACIFIC VOYAGING TO THE NEW WORLD

    515

    Figure 1. Generalized flow pattern of present-day prevailing sea surface currents and winds in the South

    Pacific Ocean: (a) Equatorial Counter Current; (b) South Equatorial Current; (c) South Transverse Current;

    (d) Antarctic Circumpolar Current (West Wind Drift); (e) Peru Current; and (f) East Australian Current.

    The east to west blowing Trade Winds occur in the zone between the equator and about 30S. latitude;

    the west to east blowing Westerlies occur between 30and 60S latitude.

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    other applicable issues. The countless, relatively closely spaced islands character-

    istic of the western two-thirds of the South Pacific, for example, provided conven-

    ient steppingstones for more readily colonizing that area (Finney, 1999). Today, how-

    ever, once an eastbound sailor reaches Pitcairn Island in the hinterlands of Polynesia,

    only six tiny atolls interrupt the ensuing 5000 km or so of sea between it and South

    America (see Figure 2). Even with a high level of sailing expertise and favorable

    winds, the sheer vastness of such a journey without periodic landfall seems a tremen-

    dous undertaking for family groups in simple, probably rather cramped watercraft.

    Indeed, lack of layover islands could well have been the most serious deterrent to

    consummating an early transpacific voyage to the New World (Wyatt, 2002). But has

    this space always been devoid of land?

    One of the major geological impacts of late Pleistocene glaciation was a sub-

    stantial lowering of eustatic sea level. During the last glacial maximum (LGM) some

    20,000 years ago, sea level is thought to have waned by as much as 100150 m or more

    due to the enormous quantity of water impounded by the formation of massive con-

    tinental ice sheets (Masters and Flemming, 1983; Garrison, 1993; Meltzer, 1995;

    Dixon, 1999). The result was an 18% increase in global terrestrial surface area

    (Garrison, 1993). Appearance of the Bering Land Bridge and exposure of the con-

    tinental shelves are perhaps the most notorious examples of this event; both

    American coasts extended many kilometers farther seaward at that time (Meltzer,

    1995). But might there be other now submerged landforms that could have been

    similarly exposed during Ice Age glaciationlatent islands in the worlds oceans,

    for example?

    While perhaps vaguely reminiscent of a mythological lost continent of Atlantis, this

    notion is not a fantasy. In fact, many vital details of seafloor morphology are only now

    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6516

    Figure 2. Limits of research area showing existing islands in the region.

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    being revealed. For instance, the rather extensive Foundation Seamounts located

    southwest of Easter Island were discovered just within the past decade or so. And

    importantly here, some of the shallower peaks of that group exhibit features (e.g.,

    sandy beaches), suggesting that they may have protruded above the sea in the past(see Paradises Lost inDiscovery, 1995, 16(9), 28). Similarly, rounded cobbles

    dredged from the seafloor near the Galapagos Islands appear to have been shaped

    in a terrestrial environment sometime in the distant past (Weiner, 1994).

    A procession of latent Pleistocene islands punctuating the eastern third of the

    South Pacific could represent the propitious terrestrial missing link that might

    have allowed island-hopping explorers to continue an eastward migration toward the

    New World. A voyage to America under those circumstances would have been little

    different from any other in Oceania. Moreover, an island chain surfacing in that

    region presumably would have altered regional ocean currents. Possibly so, but the

    first step in testing any aspect of a latent Pleistocene island theory would be identi-

    fying prospective islands, and therein lies a problem.Merely estimating sea level drop due to Ice Age glaciation and attempting to

    reconstruct paleoshorelines by tracing specific isobaths naively ignores concur-

    rent geological processes bearing on ocean basin morphology. Besides obvious vol-

    umetric relationships between glacial ice and sea level, for example, plate tecton-

    ics, climate, and Earths rheological responses to changes in ice- and water-mass

    distribution are also critical contributory mechanisms. Rheological responses, espe-

    ciallywhich may have operated on the same order of magnitude as apparent sea

    level fluctuationsin concert with the complexities of plate tectonics prevent a

    simple delineation of antediluvian landmass boundaries (Masters and Flemming,

    1983). These factors may have actually conspired at times to cause relative sea lev-

    els to be simultaneously lower in some areas and higher in others (Fedje andChristensen, 1999). In short, no single curve can adequately trace the course of sea

    level through time because a stable datum from which to measure absolute eusta-

    tic oscillations apparently does not exist (Masters and Flemming, 1983).

    Nonetheless, despite this inherent, incessant unknown, the fact remains that one

    manifestation of various geological phenomena was exposure of certain landforms

    during the LGM (e.g., the Bering Land Bridge) that are submerged tens or even hun-

    dreds of meters below the sea today. Overall too, paleoshorelines in nonglaciated

    regions, like the South Pacific, may well have been largely a consequence of sea

    level change alone (Fedje and Christensen, 1999). Thus, with these caveats in mind,

    a comparison of available seafloor elevations with a range of sea level differentials

    still might provide intriguing fodder for future research.

    METHODOLOGY

    Many of the thousands of extant islands in the South Pacific are the decaying

    remnants of seamounts. These once active volcanoes, born of hot spots beneath

    tectonic plates or at convergent plate boundaries, spewed forth sufficient quan-

    tities of lava in the past to raise their peaks above the oceans surface, as in Hawaii

    today. Similarly, the summits of other seamounts lofty enough to be exposed if sea

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    level fell appreciably, as it did periodically during late Pleistocene glaciation,

    would also be islands. These were the landforms sought and focused on by this

    research.

    Pleistocene islands in the South Pacific Ocean would have been most useful to east-bound seafaring explorers if located in the landless void between about 130W lon-

    gitude and South America. The search in that rather large swath of ocean began with

    a preliminary examination of seafloor topography using the ETOPO-5 bathymetric

    database obtained from the National Geophysical Data Center (1988). ETOPO-5 data

    are provided on a comparatively large-scale 5-minute-square grid. From these data

    it was concluded that the most promising region for detecting latent islands fell

    between 20 and 30S latitude and between 130 and 80W longitude along the Sala-

    y-Gmez and Nazca Ridges (Figure 2).

    A more detailed digital database (referred to here as TOPEX) available online

    from the World Data Center for Marine Geology and Geophysics (Smith and

    Sandwell, 1997a) was used to acquire seafloor elevations within the establisheddomain. Smith and Sandwell (1997b) used TOPEX data derived from a combina-

    tion of depth soundings and high-resolution marine gravity data from the Geosat and

    ERS-1 satellites to produce a digital bathymetric map of the seafloor on a 2-minute-

    square grid. Although gaps in coverage required interpolation of topography in some

    areas to complete the TOPEX elevation matrix, detailed testing found that most

    intermediate- and large-scale seafloor structures were identifiable to a reasonable

    degree of accuracy (Smith and Sandwell, 1997b). The reader may wish to consult

    Smith and Sandwells (1997b) report on this database for design details and further

    assessments of its overall accuracy.

    A depth value of 500 m below sea level (mbsl) maximum was selected as an indi-

    cator of possible latent islands. This value is greater than most estimates of the com-bined effects of sea level drop and other Ice Age-related geological processes.

    However, due to uncertainties in those factors, uncertainties in the database itself,

    and the relatively wide spacing of the database grid (2 minutes of arc equals approx-

    imately 4 km along the Earths surface at 25 latitude), 500 mbsl seemed an equi-

    table starting point. Even so, elevations less than 200 mbsl were noted individually

    as well. Allowing for some structural elevation loss over time because of subsidence

    and erosion (see Discussion in this paper), this value probably most closely aligns

    with current theories on glacial sea level fluctuations (Wyatt, 2002). TOPEX-acquired

    elevations below these target values were noted and tabulated along with their lat-

    itude and longitude coordinates.

    RESULTS

    Besides those elevations identifying existing islands within the studys scope,

    approximately 450 additional sub-500 mbsl elevations were noted in the TOPEX

    data. A cursory comparison of their latitude and longitude coordinates revealed

    34 fairly distinct elevation groupings, each of which was assumed to represent a

    potential island. However, subsequent plotting of the elevations graphically dis-

    closed that there were actually 43 individual islands. Twenty-three of the 43 fell

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    below 200 mbsl, and 15 of those were less than 100 mbsl. All existing islands were

    identified by 1 mbsl readings or as positive elevations. As examples, TOPEX data

    identifying Sala-y-Gmez Island are shown in Table I, and data identifying poten-

    tial island number 26 are shown in Table II. Table III lists the longitude and lati-

    tude coordinates of the minimum depth below current sea level elevation (MIN)

    of all 43 islands, and Figure 3 depicts their approximate geographic location. For

    a more detailed view, the topography of nine islands based on TOPEX data is

    illustrated in Figure 4.

    DISCUSSION

    This analysis implies that east of about 110W longitude, as many as 43 addi-

    tional islands could have been exposed in the eastern South Pacific during

    Pleistocene sea level fluctuations (Wyatt, 2002). Although it is tempting to make

    such an assertion, crucial unknowns still exist that must be resolved before declar-

    ing unequivocally that these potential islands ever actually broke the seas surface.

    What was the true measure of Ice Age isostatic adjustments in the South Pacific, if

    any? And how low did eustatic sea level really drop at the LGM? Moreover, even if

    these islands or others did exist, it is as yet unknown whether they could have pro-

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    Table I.An example of TOPEX elevation data in the area of Sala-y-Gmez Island.a

    Longitude ( west) Latitude ( south) Elevation (mbsl)

    105.5500 26.4564 1.00

    105.4834 26.4564 1.00

    105.4834 26.4266 262.00

    105.4500 26.4564 1.00

    105.4500 26.4266 292.00

    105.4167 26.4564 109.00

    105.4167 26.4863 363.00

    105.3833 26.4564 75.00

    105.3833 26.4863 101.00

    105.3500 26.4564 75.00

    105.3500 26.4863 95.00

    105.3500 26.4266 326.00

    105.3167 26.4564 95.00105.3167 26.4266 123.00

    105.3167 26.4863 177.00

    105.2834 26.4863 28.00

    105.2834 26.4564 96.00

    105.2834 26.4266 205.00

    105.2834 26.5161 433.00

    105.2500 26.4564 390.00

    aLongitudes and latitudes are in degrees and decimals of degrees west of the prime meridian and south

    of the equator, respectively. Elevations are in meters below sea level (mbsl).

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    vided useful steppingstones for human explorers. Were they large enough to pro-

    vide safe haven? Were they replete with effectual resources? A tiny, lifeless rock pro-

    truding sharply from the ocean would scarcely benefit seafaring emigrants. Sala-y-

    Gmez, for example, is reduced to a mere 70 m in length at high tide and is so

    constantly swept by salt spray that only four plant species are able to sustain life

    on it (Finney, 2000). Finally, while the bathymetric data used here are among the most

    precise available to date, their overall accuracy remains questionable. High-tech,

    detailed seafloor studies are relatively new and, among other possible deficiencies,

    have yet to achieve complete, dependable coverage. Thus, topography in some

    areas may be subject to both estimation and speculation (Smith and Sandwell,

    1997b). The reality of latent Pleistocene islands, then, must also remain speculative.

    Nevertheless, the results are intriguing, especially when an additional variable is

    considered. Again, many of the existing islands in the South Pacific are the pro-

    truding peaks of ancient volcanoes. Weathering and isostatic adjustments unrelated

    to glaciation (e.g., volcanic subsidence) take their toll on these massive structures

    over time causing them to gradually sink or erode away once they become inac-

    tive. One could argue, in fact, that perhaps many more former islands of this nature

    have eroded or subsided to a point at which they can no longer be considered rea-

    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6520

    Table II.An example of TOPEX elevation data in the area of potential Pleistocene island number 26.a

    Longitude ( west) Latitude ( south) Elevation (mbsl)

    85.5167 25.6179 200.0085.5167 25.6479 246.00

    85.5167 25.5878 276.00

    85.5167 25.6780 334.00

    85.5167 25.7080 490.00

    85.4833 25.7080 4.00

    85.4833 25.6780 50.00

    85.4833 25.6479 96.00

    85.4833 25.5878 108.00

    85.4833 25.6179 120.00

    85.4833 25.7380 182.00

    85.4833 25.5577 310.00

    85.4500 25.6780 149.0085.4500 25.6479 161.00

    85.4500 25.7080 181.00

    85.4500 25.6179 185.00

    85.4500 25.5878 229.00

    85.4500 25.7380 245.00

    85.4500 25.5577 257.00

    85.4167 25.6780 142.00

    85.4167 25.6479 196.00

    aThe geographic location of island number 26 is noted in Figures 3 and 4. Longitudes and latitudes are

    in degrees and decimals of degrees west of the prime meridian and south of the equator, respectively.

    Elevations are in meters below sea level (mbsl).

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    Table III. Potential Pleistocene islands in the research area as located by the longitude and latitude

    coordinates of the point of minimum depth below current sea level (MIN) of each as discerned from

    TOPEX elevation data.a

    Island # Longitude ( west) Latitude ( south) Min Depth (mbsl)

    1 110.2500 26.9626 415

    2 106.5167 26.3669 273

    3 106.2167 26.6651 265

    4 102.9500 26.1876 4

    5 101.7834 26.2474 438

    6 99.6833 25.1360 4

    7 99.4500 25.1058 486

    8 98.9833 25.5267 130

    9 98.7834 25.1058 50

    10 98.7167 25.1360 96

    11 97.4833 25.0454 72

    12 97.3834 25.1360 68

    13 95.4167 25.8281 372

    14 94.9500 25.7080 246

    15 94.6167 25.6780 102

    16 93.0500 25.5267 4

    17 91.1167 25.0454 132

    18 90.3500 25.1360 458

    19 89.2167 25.5276 22

    20 88.6167 24.9580 340

    21 88.3834 25.0454 392

    22 87.2500 25.5276 10

    23 86.6167 25.7080 4

    24 86.2167 25.7981 98

    25 85.4833 24.7128 31326 85.4833 25.7080 4

    27 85.1500 25.3470 374

    28 84.7500 23.9839 303

    29 84.6500 25.8281 210

    30 84.3500 25.9480 4

    31 84.2500 25.4976 392

    32 83.9500 25.8281 124

    33 83.3500 23.4346 364

    34 83.3167 25.7680 470

    35 82.9500 25.7380 138

    36 82.4833 25.6179 163

    37 82.3834 25.5577 175

    38 82.1833 23.3122 32639 82.0500 25.0454 334

    40 81.8500 25.4073 66

    41 81.6833 21.4941 4

    42 81.2834 22.1439 154

    43 80.8834 20.8101 497

    aLongitudes and latitudes are in degrees and decimals of degrees west of the prime meridian and south

    of the equator, respectively. MIN is in meters below sea level (mbsl). The islands are numbered accord-

    ing to their longitudes beginning with the most westerly and stepping east; they are plotted geographi-

    cally in Figure 3.

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    sonable candidates for exposure by late Pleistocene sea level lowering. The rates of

    subsidence and erosion are critical components of that argument and theoretically,subsidence at least, can be approximated indirectly.

    Those islands in the South Pacific that are not of volcanic origin are typically

    atolls. Atoll-forming coral reefs often form around volcanic islands sinking at

    about the same rate as reefs grow. Today, the growth rate of coral in the South

    Pacific is estimated to be about 1 cm per year (Garrison, 1993). At that rate, over

    a period of 50,000 years, a subsiding island would lose only about 500 m in height

    an amount that would still leave its peak within the tolerance of the indicator

    value used here (i.e., 500 mbsl). Hence, a much greater rate of subsidence than 1

    cm per year would have been necessary to remove volcanic islands from the range

    of this inspection.

    On the other hand, accounting for a change in elevation due only to subsidence

    (i.e., not including erosion or sea level drop) at a rate of 1 cm per year since the LGM

    (ca. 20,000 yr B.P.) would result in many of the potential islands identified here pro-

    truding not only above the estimated lowered sea level of that period, but also well

    above current sea level (1 cm per year 20,000 years 200 m; a review of Table III

    finds that the MIN of 23 of the listed islands is less than 200 m). Subsidence in tan-

    dem with sea level change seems a more complete explanation for latent Pleistocene

    islands than inundation by a rising sea alone.

    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6522

    Figure 3.Approximate geographic location of existing islands and the 43 potential Pleistocene islands

    located by this research. TOPEX elevation data for Sala-y-Gmez Island are listed in Table I and for poten-

    tial island number 26 in Table II. Longitude and latitude coordinates and minimum depth below present

    sea level elevations (MIN) of each island are listed in Table III. Topography of islands within the rec-

    tangle delimited by a double line is shown in Figure 4.

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    Because neither the actual rate of subsidence (SUB) nor the magnitude of sea

    level drop (SLD) since and at the time of the LGM is known, Table IV provides a

    varying comparative relationship between these two factors (again, not including

    erosion which may have had significant consequences as well) to demonstrate their

    combined hypothetical impact on the potential islands listed in Table III. Figure 5

    depicts the elements of Table IV graphically. Using column one of Table IV as an

    example, if a seamount has subsided at an average rate of 0.5 cm per year (upper half

    of row one) since the LGM, it would be 100 m lower today than at the LGM relative

    to current sea level (lower half of row one: 0.5 cm per year 20,000 years 100 m;

    SUB in Figure 5). And if SLD at the LGM totaled 50 m relative to current sea level (row

    two; SLD in Figure 5), the combination of the two phenomena would have had the

    equivalent effect on the seamount-elevation/sea level relationship at the LGM as low-

    ering current sea level by 150 m would on that relationship today (row three: 100 m

    of SUB 50 m of SLD 150 m). In other words, this particular combination of SUB

    and SLD implies that any potential island lying less than 150 mbsl today could have

    been exposed at the LGM. This can be demonstrated mathematically by the equation

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    Figure 4. Topography, as determined by TOPEX elevation data, of potential islands delimited by the

    double-lined rectangle in Figure 3. For reference, TOPEX data for island number 26 are listed in Table

    II. The longitude and latitude coordinates and minimum depth below present sea level (MIN) of all nine

    islands illustrated here are listed in Table III.

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    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6524

    TableIV.

    Thecombinedvariableeffectsofsealeveldrop(SLD)a

    ndsubsidence(SUB)ontheelevation

    softhepotentialPleistoceneislands

    locatedby

    thisresearch.a

    SUB(cm/year)

    0.5

    0.5

    0.5

    0.5

    1.0

    1.0

    1.0

    1.0

    1.5

    1.5

    1.5

    1.5

    2.0

    2.0

    sinceLGM(

    m)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    200

    200

    200

    200

    300

    300

    300

    300

    400

    400

    SLDatLGM(

    m)

    50

    100

    150

    200

    50

    100

    150

    200

    50

    100

    150

    200

    50

    100

    SUB

    SLD(m)

    150

    200

    250

    300

    250

    300

    350

    400

    350

    400

    450

    500

    450

    500

    Numberofislands

    20

    23

    25

    27

    25

    27

    32

    37

    32

    37

    39

    43

    39

    43

    possiblyexposed

    aTheelementsofthistable

    areshowngraphicallyinFigure5.Ro

    woneisdividedintoupperandlowerhalves:Theupperhalfindicatesarangeofpro-

    posedratesofSUB(centim

    etersperyear)forthe20,0

    00yearper

    iodsincethelastglacialmaximum(L

    GM);thebottomh

    alfistheproductoftheupper

    half(cm/year

    20,0

    00years)andrepresentstherelativeheighta

    djustmentinmetersofapotentialisla

    ndduetoSUBsincetheLGM(

    SUBin

    Figure5).

    Rowtwo,

    SLDattheLGM,providesarangeofSLDvaluesinmetersbelowpresentsealevel(SLDinFigure5).Rowthreeisthesum(

    inmeters)ofthe

    lowerhalfofrowone(SUB

    sincetheLGM)androwtwo(SLDa

    ttheLGM)andisthenumberfromw

    hichapotentialislandsminimumde

    pthbelow

    currentsealevel(MINfrom

    TableIIIandFigure5)issubtractedtodeterminetheislandsrelationshiptosealevelattheLGM(

    ELVinFigure5;ifELV

    isapositivevalue,

    thepote

    ntialislandroseabovesealevelattheLGM;ifELVisanegativevalue,

    the

    islandwasnotexposedattheLGM

    ).Thebot-

    tomr

    owindicateshowmanyofthe43potentialislandslistedin

    TableIIIcouldhavebeenexposedby

    eachcombinationofSUBandSLDastotaledin

    rowthree(basedontheirM

    IN).SeetheexampleinthetextunderDiscussionformoredetail.

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    SUB

    SLD

    MIN

    ELV

    where ELV (see Figure 5) represents the actual height or depth of a potential island

    above (if ELV is a positive value) or below (if ELV is a negative value) sea level at the

    LGM. Perusing Table III reveals that 20 potential islands have a MIN less than 150 m

    and, therefore, could have been exposed at the LGM under the prescribed condi-

    tions (bottom row in Table IV). To exemplify further, this combination of values

    would have resulted in potential island number 10 (from Table III, MIN 96 mbsl)

    protruding some 54 m above sea level at the LGM (100 m SUB50 m SLD 96 m MIN

    54 m ELV); potential island number 36 conversely (from Table III, MIN 163

    mbsl) would not have been exposed because it lies more than 150 m below current

    sea level (100 m SUB

    50 m SLD

    163 m MIN13 m ELV).Besides providing additional landfall for seafarers, another presumed byproduct

    of an exposed island chain in the eastern South Pacific would have been modifica-

    tion of regional sea surface currentspossibly more favorably for eastward sailing

    (Wyatt, 2002). While it is unclear what the actual extent of such an alteration could

    have been, Figure 6 illustrates one speculative example and describes how an east-

    ward flowing current may have been produced. Simulating the proposed archipel-

    ago configuration and surface current flow on a stream table or by computer mod-

    eling might provide greater insight into this part of the theory.

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    Figure 5. Graphic representation of elements discussed in Table IV. LGM last glacial maximum; SLD

    sea level drop at the LGM in meters below current sea level; SUB subsidence of a potential island

    in meters since the LGM; MINminimum depth in meters below current sea level of each potential island

    listed in Table III; and ELV the elevation of a potential island in meters above (a positive value) or below

    (a negative value) sea level at the LGM as calculated using the equation: SUB SLDMIN ELV.

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    CONCLUSIONS

    Although presently it cannot be demonstrated conclusively that mariners disem-

    barked on the shores of America late in the Pleistocene, it is evident that the sea may

    not have presented an insurmountable barrier to their doing so (Wyatt, 2002). Clearly,

    the data presented here suggest that a now-submerged island chain in the eastern South

    Pacific Ocean could have been exposed during glacially-induced sea level lowering in

    combination with a moderate rate of volcanic subsidence and erosion (Wyatt, 2002). It

    should be noted, too, that, though the temporal period of the LGM was chosen here to

    model the hypothesis, glaciers, and consequently sea level, waxed and waned through-

    out the 80,000 or so years of the Wisconsin Glacial Stage of the late Pleistocene (Meltzer,

    1995). Hence, the proposed island chain and its attendant conditions and possible ben-

    efits to seafarers may have appeared and disappeared correspondingly.

    WYATT

    VOL. 19, NO. 6526

    Figure 6. Speculative illustration of sea surface current modifications resulting from a chain of islands

    exposed by Pleistocene sea level lowering as suggested by this research. In this conjectural example, the

    northward flowing Peru Current (e) is split by the hypothetical chain; its western arm (g) is deflected west-

    ward along the southern periphery of the chain until intercepting an existing southward flowing sub-current (h) in the mid South Pacific gyre. The northern portion of the subcurrent (h) likewise is split by

    the hypothetical island chain; its eastern arm (i) is deflected eastward along the northern periphery of the

    chain until rejoining the Peru Current (e).

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    Whenever it may have emerged, a string of islands could have provided both

    facilitating layover points for eastbound seafaring explorers and favorable current

    modifications. These factors, combined with seasonably variable and anomalous

    wind and current shifts, imply that sailing to America from the Old World duringthe late Pleistocene may have been quite feasible if the technology existed (Wyatt,

    2002). In this regard, though there is no direct evidence, the early settlement of

    Australia (ca. 60,000 yr B.P.) and other western South Pacific islands suggests

    that watercraft of some sort had been discovered well before the LGM. If so, it

    seems illogical to conclude that humans living in a maritime environment would

    not have continued to improve, refine, and exploit this valuable tool over the

    ensuing millennia.

    Even so, the lack of late Pleistocene-aged archaeological sites in Polynesia is wor-

    risome if this hypothesis is to have any merit. Some argue that this deficiency is sim-

    ply a function of the infant state of Polynesian archaeology (Terrell, 1998), while

    others are confident that earlier sites are unlikely to be found (Kirch, 2002). Pastarchaeological missteps, however, suggest it would be prudent not to become too

    complacent or secure in any particular conviction. If latent islands do exist in the east-

    ern third of the South Pacific, as proposed here, others may also exist in the west-

    ern two-thirds. Conceivably it could be on those hypothetical islands or on the now

    inundated shorelines of existing islands that the most ancient evidence of Polynesian

    settlement will eventually be found. Only additional archaeological research can

    resolve this issue.

    Accordingly, proving any aspect of the subject hypothesis requires accomplishing

    at least three important geological and archaeological tasks. First, the potential

    islands identified here must be physically located/mapped and their actual depths

    below sea level determined by more direct means. Second, if they are found to exist,they must be physically inspected for evidence of a past terrestrial existence. And

    third, to verify that humans ever landed on their shores, human artifacts or other

    archaeological evidence must be found on them. In addition, to show that the islands

    may have also been part of a larger migratory scheme, corroborating archaeological

    evidence must be found in adjacent areas both in the Americas and in Oceania. Only

    after these criteria have been satisfied, at a minimum, will ancient transpacific voy-

    aging to America by island-hopping be anything more than a chimera.

    Be that as it may, Figure 7 illustrates a comparison between the hypothesized

    island chain suggested here and the approximate location of Paleoindian archaeo-

    logical sites located to date along South Americas coast. Perhaps it is only coinci-

    dental that there appears to be a large concentration of sites near the eastern terminus

    of the proposed island pathway, where it might be expected that seafaring colonists

    following that route could have first come ashorebut then again, perhaps it is not.

    I am most grateful to Leland Bement, Patricia Gilman, and Douglas Elmore of the University of Oklahoma,

    Norman, for their assistance in preparing the original thesis from which this paper was derived. In its pres-

    ent form, I am particularly indebted to Leland Bement, Mary Wyatt, the reviewers for Geoarchaeology:

    An International Journal, and David Hurt for his expert assistance with the illustrations. Any errors or

    misrepresentations, however, are my responsibility alone.

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