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www.stepmarket.org 1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee
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Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Page 1: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

www.stepmarket.org 1

CPs / CDs Markets and STEP

Brussels – 4 October 2007Belgian National Bank

Franck HEBEISENSTEP Market Committee

Page 2: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Liquidity crisis, reminder

Page 3: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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August vicious cycleMoney Market Funds valuation, diminishes

Investors want their cash back and sell

parts

Market assets value plunge

Money Market Funds sell assets

Page 4: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Banks focus on liquidity, spread Euribor / EONIA Swap OIS takes off…

Source : Bloomberg

Page 5: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Spread evolution against EONIA OIS SWAP15 FEB 07 / 21SEP07

-40 .0

-20 .0

0 .0

20 .0

1M 2M 3M

Corporates A-1 +/ P-1 Corporates A-2/ P-2 ABCP A-1+/P1

Banks A-1+/ P-1 Banks A-2/ P-2

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

1M 2M 3M

²²²²²²²

Page 6: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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-40 .0

-20 .0

0 .0

20 .0

1M 2M 3M

Corporates A-1 +/ P-1 Corporates A-2/ P-2 ABCP A-1+/P1

Banks A-1+/ P-1 Banks A-2/ P-2

-40.0

-35.0

-30.0

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

1M 2M 3M

Spread evolution against Euribor 15 FEB 07 / 21SEP07

Page 7: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Markets sizes evolution,December 06, September 07

Page 8: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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668 763

188816

0

500

1 000

1 500

US CPs 1483 European CPs /CDs 951

681923

169

655

0

500

1 000

1 500

US CPs 1336 European CPs /CDs 1092

CPs CDs : US and Europe€ outstanding issues, in € Bn equiv.

31Dec 06 21Sep 07

Financials and Corporates ABCPs

Source : Fed / DealogicCPWare datas / Banque de France

Page 9: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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512

377

602

416

0200400600800

10001200

déc 06 sept 07

ECP French CP German CP

Spanish CP Belgian CP

9511092

CPs CDs : Europe€ outstanding issues, in € Bn equiv.

Page 10: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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CPs CDs: domestic markets prominent on €

10

300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500

$

£

¥

MiscECP EMU Domestic

CPs

Page 11: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Issuers typology

Banks and Finance Corporates ABCP Supras

406338

8

56

20149

51

65

400 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400

Banks andFinance

Corporates

ABCP

Supras ECP EMU Domestic

CPs

Page 12: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Credit Split

416569

34

3

38

4

1

29

500 300 100 100 300 500

A-1 P-1

A-2 P-2

A-3 P-3

Non rated ECP

EM

EMU Domestic CPs

Page 13: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Did we learn something?

Page 14: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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Changes

• Liquidity no longer goes “without saying”• ECB collateral eligibility is in the mood• Real time market information gains value• Transparency on market (outstanding, free

and easy access to information, …) is a bigger concern, for issuers and for investor

Page 15: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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What STEP can bring?

• Transparency :– Exhaustive and independent source on ECP /

ECD, biggest short term paper in Europe, missing on non STEP programmes at present

– Objective information delivered to market participants, same level of treatment no matter on which market the papers is issued and how it is placed in the market (dealer or direct)

Page 16: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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What STEP can bring?

• Transparency :– Commitment from issuer to follow rules which

are disclosed in the market convention and same for all issuers, no matter on which market,

– Standardization sets a same playing level field amongst market participants

Page 17: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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What STEP can bring?

• Liquidity:– Access for numerous of ECP / ECD

programmes to ECB eligibility

• Efficiency:– Standardization of information, allows credit

analysts to focus more on the credit than on the documentation format

– Standardization lowers access costs

Page 18: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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What STEP does not pretend to bring

• Quality of credit :– STEP is a label of standardization and transparency,

there no criteria on credit quality, which is left to market participant appreciation.

• ECB eligibility in all cases :– Programmes have to fulfill other criteria (new global

note for ECP ECD programmes), type of issuers (no banks … for the moment), credit quality “A” under the meaning of ECB rules, country of the issuer …

Page 19: Www.stepmarket.org1 CPs / CDs Markets and STEP Brussels – 4 October 2007 Belgian National Bank Franck HEBEISEN STEP Market Committee.

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STEP info memo : legally weaker than non labeled programme?

• No : no special legal features on STEP info memo– Legal external counsel : as for any Info Memo, the

issuer is free to use internal or external law firm assistance for the setting up of its programme and to mention it or not in the info memo. There is no market standard obligation on this matter.

– Standard Info Memo disclaimer clause for dealers used on short term papers market (see next page) is not linked to STEP label.

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Extract of standard disclaimer clause on short term papers (ECP – ECD, French CP – CD, …)

programmes

• Neither the Arranger nor any Dealer has independently verified the information contained in the Information Memorandum. Accordingly, no representation or warranty or undertaking (express or implied) is made, and no responsibility or liability is accepted by the Arranger or the Dealers as to the authenticity, origin, validity, accuracy or completeness of, or any errors in or omissions from, any information or statement contained in theInformation Memorandum or in or from any accompanying or subsequent material or presentation.

• The information contained in the Information Memorandum is not and should not be construed as a recommendation by the Arranger, the Dealers, the Issuer[ or the Guarantor] that any recipient should purchase Notes. Each such recipient must make and shall be deemed to have made its own independent assessment and investigation of the financial condition, affairs and creditworthiness of the Issuer[ and the Guarantor] and of the Programme as it may deem necessary and must base any investment decision upon such independent assessment and investigation and not on the Information Memorandum.

• Neither the Arranger nor any Dealer undertakes to review the business or financial condition or affairs of the Issuer[ or the Guarantor] during the life of the Programme, nor undertakes to advise any recipient of the Information Memorandum of any information or change in such information coming to the Arranger's or any Dealer's attention.

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Future of STEP?

• Investors and issuers interest for transparency and independency

• Will depend on valuation by issuers and investors of ECB eligibility

• Will depend on quality of marketing of the label by market participants

• Will depend on continuing support of sponsors (linked to previous issues)