www.shaularieli.com 2010
Mar 29, 2015
www.shaularieli.com2010
Israel78%
Palestine22%
Egypt
Syria
Jordan
LebanonSize
Land Of Israel/Palestine-28,000 sq.km
PopulationIsrael- Jews- 5.5 Arabs- 1.3W.B+G.S- Arabs-4 Jews- 0.5
Mediterranean Sea
Issues and solutions - Two State Solution
1.Territory and borders2. Jerusalem3.security 4. refugees
Borders, Settlements and security in the agreement
The tension between:
UNSCR 242 -------
Reality exists in aspects of security
and settlement
The Security zones approach
The containment approach
Jewish settlements in east Jerusalem and the
West Bank - 2009Settleme
nts Settlers
Governmental 74 421,000
National-religious 67 86,000
Total141 507,000
GovernmentGovernment yearsyearsSettlements Settlements West Bank West Bank
& Gaza& Gaza
Israelis in Israelis in West Bank West Bank and Gazaand Gaza
Cumulative Cumulative in West in West
Bank and Bank and GazaGaza
Israelis in Israelis in east east
JerusalemJerusalem
Total beyond Total beyond the Green the Green
LineLine
Cumulative Cumulative beyond the beyond the green linegreen line
Likud90-92
2 15,000 107,000 5,000 20,000 222,000
Labor Likud
92-2001
4 93,000 200,000 52,000 145,000 367,000
Likud Kadima
2001-
2009
100 מאחזים
104,000 313,000 27,000 134,000 507,000
Total 127[1] 313,000194,00
0507,000
In the summer of 2005, Israel evacuated 17 settlements in Gaza and 4 in the West Bank.
"Natural Growth?”
21
Is it possible to sign a permanent status agreement that maintains these security approaches?
Security zones?
Roads?
Water?
Airports and finals?
Border-barrier
Annexed evacuated
Settlements settlers Settlements settlers
Government 44 383,000 30 38,000
National-religious 21 21,500 46 57,100
Total 65 404,500 76 95,100
80%
6.5%
Israel
Gaza
West Bank
Jerusalem
1.2%
65%
Border – 2.7%
Annexed Evacuated
Settlements settlers Settlements settlers
38 352,200 102 117,500
75%
2.2%
West Bank
Israel Jerusalem
18%
West Bank
Israel Jerusalem
5%
West Bank
Israel Jerusalem
9%
Taba
West Bank
Israel Jerusalem
8%
West Bank
Israel Jerusalem
4.5%
Israel
Palestine
Palestine
•Demilitarization for strategic depth•International presence
•Demilitarization for strategic depth•International presence
49
Jerusalem
38 sq.km
6 sq.km
United Jerusalem (2008)126.4 sq. Km
500,000 Jews (64%)(194,000 in the eastern city)
263,000 Arabs (36%)
United Jerusalem
2520 Dunams
75 D.
41 D.
194 D.
52
RefugeesRefugees (residence) – Palestinian refugees may
return to the Palestinian state, remain in their host countries or emigrate to a different, consenting state.
Refugees (compensation) – an international mechanism will manage the financing of treatment and compensation of the refugees issue.
53
The main issues and parameters of an arrangement
Two states, a national home for the Jewish people and a national home for the Palestinian people
’67 borders as a basis and territorial exchange on a 1:1 ratio
Division of east Jerusalem between the two capitals
Solution to the refugee problem not by returning to Israel
The Palestinian state will be demilitarized & Cessation of terrorism and violence
How may the agreement be implemented in a manner
conditioned by security?
40
First phase :• Negotiations over the final border• Building restriction• No evacuation of settlements• Unauthorized outposts will be
evacuated• Israel will transfer C areas to the
PA• The transition from the first
phase to the second will be conditioned by the PA attaining full effective control over the territory transferred to its jurisdiction.
41
Second phase• Negotiations at the end of which a
comprehensive agreement will be signed over all remaining issues
• A limited number of settlements and settlers will be evacuated.
• At the same time, Arab states will extend normalization gestures to Israel.
• After implementation of the first two phases, Israel will hold a security strip in the Jordan Valley and the Judea Desert, will control international passages, will hold east Jerusalem without the Arab marginal neighborhoods, and will hold the major settlement blocks. In the remaining area, Israel will evacuate all military bases and settlements and will transfer all authority to the PA.
• Deployment of an international force will begin. • Both sides will approve the agreement. • A conference of donor countries will be convened
on the implementation of the agreement. • The transition to implementing the final phase
will only be done after reaching a full agreement.
44
Third phase: The UN will adopt a resolution approving the agreement as
the only document that binds the parties, and which supersedes all prior UN resolutions on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Israel will implement the third phase by transferring territory to Palestinian jurisdiction.
No Israeli territory will be transferred to Gaza in the framework of territorial exchange for Jewish settlement blocks, and the corridor connecting the West Bank to Gaza will not be opened until the Palestinian state can demonstrate effective control in the Gaza Strip as well.
The parties will implement the agreement according to the time table to be included therein.
Israel will sign a normalization agreement with the Arab League, and the Arab states and Israel will begin to implement it subject to the political process with Syria and Lebanon.
46