Www.sff.org District 10 Demographic Profile Prepared for CCBA Implementation Committee 2/21/12.

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District 10 Demographic Profile

Prepared for CCBA Implementation Committee

2/21/12

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District 10

• District 10 is comprised of: Potrero Hill, Central Waterfront, Dogpatch, Bayview/Hunters Point, India Basin, Silver Terrace, Visitacion Valley, and Candlestick– This analysis gives special attention to the largest of

these neighborhoods: Bayview/Hunters Point, Potrero Hill, and Visitacion Valley,

• Although not perfectly aligned, District 10 roughly approximates the boundaries of the 94124, 94134, and 94107 zipcodes

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District 10

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Population Growth

• According to the 2010 census, San Francisco’s population grew almost 4% since 2000 to 805,325 residents

• With a total population of 78,660, District 10 (D10) is the 3rd most populated of SF’s supervisorial districts

• Between the 2000 and 2010 census, D10 grew about 10%, adding 7,410 new residents

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Population of D10 Neighborhoods

D10 consists of almost 80,000 residents living in more than 22,000 households, of which almost 35% include children.

BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10

Population 35,890 12,110 21,130 78,660

Households 9,480 5,810 5,190 22,370

% of Hhlds with Children

40% 19% 43% 34%

The average household size in District 10 is 3.3 persons.

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Changes in Composition 2000-2010

• Citywide:– Asians experienced the greatest increase, 11.8% equating to an

additional 28,350 individuals– More residents also claimed “Two or More Races,” or “Other

Race,” – increase of 13.2% (4,400) and 5.3% (2,650), respectively

• The number of African American residents declined significantly – by 19.2% (11,650) citywide

• In District 10: – Asian residents increased from 32% to 37% of the population– African Americans decreased to 21%– Latinos (any race) increased from 17% to 21%

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Change in Ethnic/Racial Composition of D10

*Latinos may be of any race.

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D10 is Diverse Overall and Within & Among Its Neighborhoods

BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10

Total Pop(households)

35,890 (9,480)

12,110(5,810)

21,130(5,190)

78,660(22,370)

African-American 32% 9% 13% 21%

Asian- Pacific Islander(#)

36% 14% 58% 37%

Latino (any race) 25% 13% 15% 17%

White 12% 66% 12% 23%

Other / 2+ races 21% 10% 18% 17%

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Language Spoken at Home

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English Language Knowledge and Comfort Can’t Be Assumed

BV/HP Potrero Vis Valley District 10

Foreign Born Residents 33% 17% 51% 35%

Residents (5+) who do not speak English at home(% of total hholds that are linguistically isolated)

49%

(12% or 1,138)

26%

(4% or 232)

70%

(23% or 1,194)

51%

(12%)

Asian Language Hhlds

(Asian language hhlds which are linguistically isolated)

27%

(34%)

5%

(13%)

55%

(41%)

30%

(33%)

Spanish Language Hhlds

(Spanish language hhlds which are linguistically isolated)

21%

(27%)

11%

(23%)

14%

(24%)

18%

(24%)

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Age of District 10 Residents

•D10 population is younger than that of the city overall. • The majority of D10 residents are already of “working age”.• The percent in the labor force will grow over the next decade.

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Educational Attainment of Residents (25+)

• Educational attainment in D10 increased since 2000, with 5% more residents over the age of 25 having a bachelor’s degree or higher.

• Potrero is an outlier with significantly greater educational attainment than BV/HP or Vis Valley.

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A Notable % of Students in D10 High Schools Don’t Complete

• Thurgood Marshall (94124) – An average of 26% of starting students do not complete high school

• Burton Academic High (94134) – An average of 46% of starting students do not complete high school

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INCOME AND POVERTY

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Income

District 10 has among the lowest median and per capita incomes in the City.

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D10 Neighborhoods Have High Poverty In Common but Per Capita Income Varies Greatly

Poverty Rates Per Capita Income

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Even Those That Are Employed Struggle to Make Ends Meet Given High Cost of Living

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PUBLIC ASSISTANCE RECEIPT

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% of CalWorks Cases - July 2011

BV/HP94124

Potrero94107

Vis Valley94134

3 Neighbor-hoods

CalWorks Families

22.3% 4.2% 11.8% 38.30%

1,114 208 590 1,912

Safety Net Families

30.8% 3.6% 14.1% 48.50%

186 22 85 293

District 10 residents make up a disproportionate share of the CalWorks caseload.

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CalFresh (a.k.a. Food Stamps)

• Between September 2009 and September 2011, the number of San Francisco residents receiving food stamps increased 42% to 27,881

• In September 2011, more than 20% of food stamp funds distributed in SF went to residents of the Bayview/HP, Potrero, and Visitacion Valley (up approx 1% since 2009)

• However, only 8% (3,190) of the 11,319 SF children receiving food stamps live in these neighborhoods

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D10 Residents Almost One Quarter (24%) of CAAP Caseload

And D10 residents are an even higher percentage (27%) of those considered able to work (i.e., PAES and GA recipients)

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Public Housing

D10 is home to some of the City’s largest public housing complexes and includes more than one third (37%) of the City’s public housing units and the majority of its multi-bedroom units.

More than 3,500 District 10 residents live in public housing.

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ASSETS & ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES

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Home Ownership & Foreclosures

• Home ownership rate in District 10 is among the highest in the City at 52% (compared to 38% overall).

• Despite SF foreclosure rates being quite low overall, foreclosure rates in Bayview exceed state and nat’l levels (see chart below)

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Asset Poverty

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District 10 Financial Institutions 2007

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Proximity of Residents to Financial Institutions

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Financially Underserved

In San Francisco, it is estimated that

• 5.7% of households are unbanked

• 13.6% of households are underbanked

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Many District 10 Families At-Risk of Being Un- or Underbanked

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Credit Histories

Significant minorities of District 10 residents lack credit histories

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EMPLOYMENT AND LACK THEREOF

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Unemployment

• District 10 unemployment rates consistently exceed those of the City overall– 2005-2009 ACS data indicate unemployment rates of 7%

and 12% for San Francisco and District 10 respectively

• Within D10, Bayview/HP has the highest rate of unemployment

Unemployment Rate 2010 Census

Bayview 14%

Potrero 9%

Vis Valley 11%

San Francisco 11%

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Correlation between Demographics and Unemployment Rates

• The unemployment rates of D10 and its neighborhoods are consistent with higher unemployment rates for minority populations– In Dec 2011, the unemployment rate for California was

11.6%– For African-Americans, it was 19.6% and for hispanics,

13.8%

• Youth unemployment rates are even higher:– 2007 – 16.1%; 2009 - 33.1%

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Unemployment & Educational Attainment

Unemployment Rates

2007 2009

Less than HS 6.3% 13.9%

HS grad/GED 7.5% 13.2%

Some college 5.7% 10.8%

Bachelors/Grad 2.7% 7.3%

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Unemployment Lasting Longer

• Between 2008 and 2010, San Francisco lost 30,000 jobs

• Since then, SF has only gained 500 jobs per year

• Growth in IT offset by losses in construction and the public sector

• In March 2010, 41% of unemployed had been out of work for 12 – 24 months

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Jobs Held by District 10 Residents

Bayview and VisValley workers are less likely to hold relatively high-paying management jobs than residents of Potrero or the City overall

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Transportation

• 19% of District 10 residents report not having a car in 2010 (up from 10% in 2000)

• Of those working, 60% report commuting by car and 27% by transit (changes from 68% and 24% respectively since 2000)

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PARTICIPATION IN THE WORKFORCE SYSTEM

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One Stops Clients: July – Dec 2011

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Sector Academies Jan ‘10 – June ‘11

City Build Health Care Train Green

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DATA SOURCES

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Sources

• 2000 Census Data by Supervisorial District, San Francisco Office of the Legislative Analyst, November 4, 2002.

• CalFresh, Quarterly Report, San Francisco Human Services Agency, September 2011.

• California Demographic Labor Force, Summary Tables, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 2011.

• County Adult Assistance Program (CAAP) Six Month Update, San Francisco Human Services Agency Planning Unit, Data through December 2011.

• Demographic and Poverty Trends in San Francisco , San Francisco Human Services Agency, June 16, 2011.

• “Homes for the 99 Percent,” SF Bay Guardian, Dec 6, 2011• Local Asset Poverty Index, Asset Policy Initiative of California, EARN, 2006.• JoinBankOn.org• One-Stop Jobseeker Demographics July-Dec 2011, Office of Economic and

Workforce Development.• Presentation of San Francisco City Economist, Ted Egan, to Workforce Investment

San Francisco (WISF), Sept 2011.

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Sources (cont.)

• Promoting Power Database, Alliance for Education, www.all4ed.org.• Report to the CalWORKs Oversight Committee Meeting, San Francisco Human

Services Agency, Data through August 2011. • San Francisco Housing Authority, Public Housing Units, 2008.• San Francisco Neighborhood Market DrillDown, Social Compact, March 2008.• San Francisco Neighborhoods Socio-Economic Profiles, 2005-2009 American

Community Survey, San Francisco Planning Dept, May 2011.• San Francisco Socio-Economic Profile, 2005-2009 American Community Survey,

May 2011 (Supervisorial Districts)• Sector Academy Demographic Report, Office of Economic and Workforce

Development, Jan 2010 – June 2011.• The Self-Sufficiency Standard for San Francisco County, 2008, Insight Center for

Community Economic Development.