Www.equitybd.org “A Tale from Climate Ground Zero...” Our Expectation from CoP-21 Paris Climate Conference Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21.

www.equitybd.org

“A Tale from Climate Ground Zero...”

Our Expectation from CoP-21 Paris Climate Conference

Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21

EquityBD Campaign, following “Track- II” Diplomacy

i. Campaign internationally since 2007 on climate Induced migrants through;

- Seminar in CoP premises

- Exhibition “Climate in Ground Zero” since CoP Bali

- Presenting Ground Reality to West as It is the Problem of Tomorrow for them.

ii. Campaign also on Aid, Trade and WTO issues

www.equitybd.org


Our latest achievement

- Nansen Initiatives have include the climate induced migrants issue for global and inter-state advocacy.

- Latest TRIPS waiver for LDCs as a milestone of CSO mobilization, parallel with govt. process.

A TALE from CLIMATE GROUND ZERO

Book launching is an initiative of expediting the issue in CoP-21 & onward

www.equitybd.org


What we expect in Paris Deal

a. A Legally Binding Agreement that follows

- Equity principle with a notion of CBDR for developed and poor country context

b. International Court for Climate Change Compliance and Justice/ International Legal Institution for;

- Forcing the law

- Implementation of compliance & monitoring

- Dispute Resolution

www.equitybd.org


Situation somewhat frustrating

Draft Text: Favoring the big emitters

- Try to insert or diluting the text as favoring point of view of Annex-1

- Try to use new term and concept like “developed & developing country party”, “countries in need of support” etc.

- Scientific gambling on defining the “emission reduction”

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Situation somewhat frustrating

Big divides remain on the key issues

- There is no differentiation between developed and developing countries in the proposed operational provisions.

- They are all treated in a like manner, wiping out the notions of historical responsibility and equity.

- In mitigation, there is a downgrading of developed countries obligations and an upgrading of developing country obligations.

- The focus is overwhelmingly on mitigation, with no obligation for developed countries to provide the needed funds.

www.equitybd.org


CoP-21 process:

Common issue: A Legally Binding Agreement (LBA) beyond 2020

2. Developed countries issuesa. Mitigation commitmentb. Financing strategies (Mitigation priority)c. Discourse on mitigation devices

3. LDC issues;a. Commitment on Adaptation financingb. Loss & Damagec. Technology transfer

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LBA in view of mitigation

Our stand points in the negotiation

- Clear statement regarding the time line of mitigation, peaking period to limit the temperature rise below 1.5oC by 2100.

- LBA must be focused on adaptation parallel with mitigation

- No false solution proposed through LBA.

- LDCs will be voluntary contributors to INDC.

www.equitybd.org


Would temperature be possible to control?

- Today, the world is 0.85°C warmer than pre-industrial levels

- Below 1.50 C (50% chance)

- Below 2.00 C (66% chance) AR-5 analysis by the scientist

Need realistic compliance target on emission reduction and to be followed as most stringent for Annex 1 countries.

www.equitybd.org


Current global pledge of INDC insufficient toward 1.50C pathway

- The commitments captured in INDCs will not keep temperatures below 20C, much less 1.50C, above pre-industrial levels.

- Even if all countries meet their INDC commitments, the world is likely to warm by a devastating 30C or more. (CSO Review on INDC)

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Big gap in the notion of “Equity & Fare Share” responsibility in mitigation

- Russia: INDC represents zero contribution towards its fair share

- Japan: INDC represents about one tenth of its fair share

- United States: INDC represents about a fifth of its fair share

- European Union: INDC represents just over a fifth of its fair share

China, Indonesia, India and Brazil’s INDC represents slightly more than two thirds of its fair share. (CSO Review on INDC)

www.equitybd.org


LBA in view of Adaptation


- Clear commitment and work plan by developed country parties to support on;

i. Adaptation need & assessment in MVCs

ii. Supporting mechanism (finance, technology and IB etc.)

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LBA in view of Loss & Damage


- Separate text and work stream for International mechanism

- Compensation by developed countries and separate window for financing

- No insurance mechanism (for business only???), rather a collective share of UN and Annex-1 guarantees

www.equitybd.org


LBA in view of Financing


- Must be coherent with SDG goals, like climate change; restore ecosystem and environmental sustainability requirement.

- Firm commitment from developed countries for pre 2020 (US$100 bln/yr) financial pledge

- Current pledges (around US$33 billion up to 2020) are very insufficient http://newsroom.unfccc.int

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http://newsroom.unfccc.int/

LBA in view of Financing

Allocation Approach & Strategies

- Compensation and Reparation focus

- Adequate, additional and Public Finance for LDCs.

- Private finance for rich countries

- At least 50:50 share in adaptation & mitigation

- Appropriate Finance to appropriate Technology

www.equitybd.org


LBA in view of Technology shifting:


- No IPR regime or conditionality for MVCs in case of their adaptation and mitigation effort

- All sort technology (for both adaptation and mitigation) have to be provided following country specific and need base.

- LBA must be provisioned for representation of LDCs to ensured in Technology, assessment, transfer and support mechanism

www.equitybd.org


www.equitybd.org

We hopeful for life & prospect


Thank You to all

Www.equitybd.org “A Tale from Climate Ground Zero...” Our Expectation from CoP-21 Paris Climate Conference Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21.

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