World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Launch of Global Assessment Report on DRR Workshop 3: Progress in Reducing.

World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water

Launch of Global Assessment Report on DRR

Workshop 3: Progress in Reducing Disaster RiskThematic topic: Early Warning Systems

Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.

Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme, WMO

Bahrain

18 May 2009

www.wmo.int

WMO

Economic Losses Related to Disastersare on the Way Up !

Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium

4 11 1424

47

88

160

345

103

495

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05

Geological

Hydrometeorological

Billions of USD per decade

decade

While Casualties related to Hydro-Meteorological Hazards are Decreasing!

0.05

2.66

0.17

1.73

0.39

0.65

0.22 0.25

0.67

0.22

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05

Geological

Hydrometeorological

Millions of casualties per decade

decadeSource: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium

• First International Early Warning Conferences (Postdam, 1998)

• Second World Summit on Sustainable Development (Johannesburg, 2002) - JPA

• Second International Early Warning Conferences (Bonn, 2003) - PPEW

• World Conference on Disaster Reduction (Kobe, January 2005) - HFA

• G8 Summit and UN General Assembly (2005, 2006)

• Third International Early Warning Conference (Bonn, March 2006) – Global Early Warning Survey and EWS check list

• First Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS for Integrated Disaster Management (WMO with ISDR, World Bank, UNDP, IFRC, UNESCO, OCHA)(Geneva, May 2006)

• First Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction (5-7 June 2007)

• Second Experts’ Symposium on EWS with Multi-Hazard Approach (WMO and MeteoFrance) (Toulouse, 5-7 May 2009)

• 2009 Global Risk Assessment Report (To be launched in Bahrain, May 17, 2009)

• Second Session of Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction (16-19 June 2009)

International Attention to Early Warning Systems …

International attention to this topic ….

NEXT….

Upcoming Documented Good

Practices and Guidelines

Training volumes to be published by Springer Verlag

EWS-II: Effective Early Warning Systems Must be People-centered (PPEW)

HFA: Early Warning Systems should be an intergral part of a comprehensive DRR strategy

Risk TransferRisk Identification

Historical/real-time hazard databases, analysis and modeling of changing hazard trends

Exposed assets & vulnerability

Risk quantification

PREPAREDNESS: early warning systems

emergency planning /response

MITIGATION AND PREVENTION: Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. building resilient infrastructure)

CAT insurance & bonds

Weather Risk Management

Other emerging products

Risk Reduction

Information and Knowledge SharingEducation and training (national to local)

Planning, Legislation and Organizational Coordination and Cooperation (national to local)

MHEWS-I: Need Multi-stakeholder Coordination and Collaborations at all levels

Media

Academia and

Research

Multi-Sectoral

Disaster Risk Management/Civil Protection

andHumanitarian

Other Scientific and Technical Services

CoordinationCollaborations

MHEWS-I identified criteria for good practices in early warning systems…

ORGANIZATIONAL

Clarity of roles and responsibilities (national to local level)

Coordination and partnerships(interoperability, sustainability;reliability)

Integrated planningGOVERNANCE

Strong political commitment

Disaster management plans

Legislation and policies(national to local levels)

Legal and financial frameworks

OPERATIONAL Integration of information

in decision processes Preparedness and drills

Education & training

Effective dissemination and response mechanisms (matching resources and cultures)

Feedback mechanisms to improve the system

http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/ews_symposium_2006

First International Experts’ Symposium on Multi-Hazard EWS (May 2006)

• Development and sustainability of EWS require political commitment and dedicated investments;

• EWS should be an integral part of national and local disaster risk management planning and budgeting;

• Enforceable legislation must explicitly define the roles and responsibilities of various authorities and agencies from national to local levels;

• Implementation of EWS requires clear concept of operations enabling effective coordination among agencies across all components of EWS, at national and local levels;

• Systematic feedback at all levels are needed, to ensure improvements of the system over time.

• Public education

2009 GLOBAL ASSESSMENT REPORT ON DISASTER REDUCTION

Thematic Progress Review Sub-Component on Early Warning Systems

Coordinated and drafted by WMO

in Collaboration with 18 international organization

FAO, GFMC, IFRC ISDR-PPEW), ITU, OCHA, UNU, UNDP, UNEPUNESCO-IOC, UNICEF, UNOOS, UNOSAT, UNITAR, the

World Bank, WFP, WHO and WMO

Sources of information

• WMO Country-level Survey (2006-2007) – 139 countries participated

• PPEW-UNU survey (51 countries participated)

• Extensive information collected by other international agencies

Some Highlights …

• Governence and coordination

• Financial and Institutional

• Technical capacities and multi-disciplinary cooperation

• Incorporation of risk information in warning messages

• Communication and Dissemination

• Ability to respond to warnings on the ground

National DRR Capacity Assessment Survey (2006)

NMHS

Category

Planning &

Legislation

Infrastructure

Observation

Forecasting

Telecom.

Technical

Capacities

Partnerships

&

Concept of Operations

% countries

1 Need for development in all areas 12

2 Need for improvements in all areas 42

3 Self sufficientNeed for improvements

in these areas 26

4Self sufficient

Could benefit from sharing of good practices practices and guidelines

20

Under estimated

Over 60% of the countries are challenged in meeting technical needs!

Regional and International

• Trans-boundary and regional aspects

• International support to national EWS development

Development and progress in EWS Yes!

Are we better off ????

Next steps ….

• EWS must be an integral part of DRR planning and implementation

• Strengthening of operational technical capacities and info sharing (inter-disciplinary and regional cooperation)

• Utilization of hazard and risk maps in emergency planning and improving warning messages

• Communication and dissemination channels Significantly underdeveloped, – sustainability and cultural aspects are key issues!

Next steps ….

• Concept of Operations and Standard Operational Procedures for early warning systems

• Effective regional-national-local, multi-agency operational evaluation and feedback mechanism

• Coordinated approach among international agencies in supporting EWS development

• Need for a different approach to benchmarking and surveying EWS

• Investment in research to extend lead-time (climate …)

Identification of Good Practices

Documentation of Good Practices and

learning Lessons

Development of Guidelines for EWS

implementation based on Lessons Learnt

Projects

•Implementation of end-to-end EWS projects (planning, institutional coordination, operations)

•Sharing of good practices

WMO is working with partners to assist its Members in Early

Warning Systems

Building Capacities and

sharing experiences and lessons’ learnt

2nd Multi Hazard Early Warning Symposium(May 2009, Toulouse, France)

1. Discussed Documented “good practices” and other national experiences in early warning systems

France Vigilance system Shanghai MH-EWS and Emergency Preparedness System Bangladesh Cyclone Preparedness Programme Cuba tropical cyclone early warning system 10 other national examples

2. Finalized the Guidelines: “Capacity Development in Multi-Hazard Early Warning

Systems with Focus on Institutional Coordination and Cooperation”;

3. Recommend concrete actions for: Documentation of other good practices in EWS Trans-boundary and regional issues and initiatives

http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/drr/events/MHEWS-II

Multiple Risk

Systematic Multi-Agency Cooperation Projects in DRR with EWS as a critical component….

For more information please contact:Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction ProgrammeWorld Meteorological OrganizationTel. 41.22.730.8006Fax. 41.22.730.8023Email. [email protected]

http://www.wmo.int/disasters

Thank You