Workforce Continuing Education FTE and Enrollment Trends Annual Years – 2012, 2013, 2014 DRAFT REPORT For more information, contact: Barbara Boyce @ [email protected] or 919-807-7158 Margaret Roberton @ [email protected] or 919-807-7159
Dec 29, 2015
WorkforceContinuing Education
FTE and Enrollment TrendsAnnual Years – 2012, 2013, 2014
DRAFT REPORTFor more information, contact:
Barbara Boyce @ [email protected] or 919-807-7158
Margaret Roberton @ [email protected] or 919-807-7159
Page 2
Workforce Continuing Education
FTE and Enrollment Trends
Table of Contents
Trend by Budget Codes
Trends by Program Area Codes
Trends by Course Titles
College Reports
Tier Funding
Data References
The data found in this document comes from custom statistical reports exported from the NCCCS Data Warehouse on March 12, 2015. Enrollment and FTE figures may vary among tables due to queries used to develop the reports and/or from the rounding-off of numbers. The purpose of this document is to provide community college staff with an overview of the types of reports used by System Office staff to analyze FTE and enrollment trends. The information contained in this document is not official and is not intended to replace any official source.
Trends by Budget Codes
College 2011FTE
2012FTE
2013FTE
Change in FTE
2012 to 2013
1
Occupational Extension
2
3
4
Note: Annual FTE = Reporting Terms (Spring + Summer + Fall)
(Table Structure)Table Heading
Filter
3-Year Trend Analysis
Change Analysis
4
Page 5
Trends by Budget Codes
College 2013FTE
Spring2013
Spring2013
Spring2013
Occupational Extension
2
Note: 2013 Annual FTE = (Spring 2013 + Summer 2013 + Fall 2013)
(Table Structure)
Term by Term Analysis
1
Annual FTE
Page 6
Trends by Budget Codes
College 2012FTE
2013FTE
2014FTE
Change in FTE
2013 to 2014
Statewide 29,040.86 28,351.20 26,279.74 -2,071.45
Occupational Extension
Total Change -2,071.45
Percentage Change from 2013 -7%
Average Change -35.71
Spike Year 2012
Number Colleges with Increases 13
Number Colleges with Decreases
45
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Trends by Budget Codes
Occupational Extension
Highest FTE Growth 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
Pitt CC
548.88 554.68 621.68 66.99 12%
Southwestern CC
435.93 458.45 495.55 37.10 8%
Roanoke Chowan CC
183.47 156.04 191.47 35.43 23%
Isothermal CC
267.57 209.83 237.39 27.56 13%
College of the Albemarle
273.75 243.79 269.41 25.62 11%
Sampson CC
305.91 323.39 344.66 21.27 7%
Highest FTE Decline 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• Lenoir CC
1,591.20 1,579.01 1,352.98 -226.02 -14%
• Central Carolina CC
865.46 835.08 666.13 -168.96 -20%
• Cape Fear CC
813.09 787.86 630.07 -157.79 -20%
• Blue Ridge CC
484.91 438.88 326.99 -111.9 -25%
• Forsyth TCC
953.52 812.75 708.57 -104.18 -13%
• Coastal Carolina CC
778.13 642.38 539.32 -103.06 -16%
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Trends by Budget Codes
Occupational ExtensionHighest Percentage Gain 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
Roanoke Chowan CC
183.47 156.04 191.47 35.43 23%
Isothermal CC
267.57 209.83 237.39 27.56 13%
Tri-County CC
151.15 128.23 144.76 16.54 13%
Pitt CC
548.88 554.68 621.68 66.99 12%
Pamlico CC
167.32 132.76 148.59 15.83 12%
College of the Albemarle
273.75 243.79 269.41 25.62 11%
Highest Percentage Drop 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• James Sprunt CC
239.54 185.48 127.66 -57.82 -31%
• Martin CC
184.72 206.48 153.37 -53.12 -26%
• Blue Ridge CC
484.91 438.88 326.99 -111.9 -25%
• Western Piedmont CC
354.88 356.5 275.69 -80.81 -23%
• Central Carolina CC
865.46 835.08 666.13 -168.96 -20%
• Cape Fear CC
813.09 787.86 630.07 -157.79 -20%
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Trends by Budget Codes
College 2012FTE
2013FTE
2014FTE
Change in FTE
2013 to 2014
Statewide 19,551.12 19,100.15 15,202.84 -3,897.31
Basic Skills
Total Change -3,897.31
Percentage Change from 2013 -20%
Average Change -67.19
Spike Year 2011
Number Colleges with Increases 1
Number Colleges with Decreases
57
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Trends by Budget Codes
Basic Skills
FTE Growth? 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• Southwestern CC 100.11 101.52 106.14 4.62 5%
• Haywood CC 56.31 46.90 45.34 -1.56 -3%
• Edgecombe CC 203.37 191.11 184.60 -6.51 -3%
• Tri-County CC 38.920 45.30 36.52 -8.78 -19%
• Wilkes CC 264.90 250.60 241.69 -8.91 -4%
• Brunswick CC 255.23 246.29 236.57 -9.72 -4%
FTE Decline 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• Wake TCC 1,430.88 1,566.69 1,308.73 -257.96 -16%
• Guilford TCC 1,093.40 1,106.93 849.16 -257.76 -23%
• Central Piedmont CC 1,438.00 1,406.67 1,152.15 -254.52 -18%
• Fayetteville TCC 1,115.22 1,063.59 815.11 -248.48 -23%
• Central Carolina CC 800.42 821.10 593.93 -227.16 -28%
• Forsyth TCC 651.91 663.23 536.44 -126.79 -19%
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Trends by Budget Codes
Basic SkillsLow Percentage Change 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• Haywood CC 56.31 46.9 45.34 -1.56 -3%
• Edgecombe CC 203.37 191.11 184.6 -6.51 -3%
• Wilkes CC 264.9 250.6 241.69 -8.91 -4%
• Brunswick CC 255.23 246.29 236.57 -9.72 -4%
• Sampson CC 342.46 345.07 322.36 -22.71 -7%
• Mayland CC 328.93 322.61 299.62 -22.99 -7%
Highest Percentage Drop 2012 2013 2014 Growth % Change
• James Sprunt CC 81.83 67.89 37.1 -30.79 -45%
• Rockingham CC 106.33 91.57 52.12 -39.45 -43%
• Blue Ridge CC 135.99 145.96 90.34 -55.62 -38%
• Johnston CC 270.08 242.48 152.66 -89.82 -37%
• Wilson CC 214.44 210.73 138.49 -72.24 -34%
• Cleveland CC 151.74 150.65 99.61 -51.04 -34%
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Trends by Budget Codes
Call to Action:Check with your college president to review your estimated budget FTE for fiscal year 2015-2016.
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Critical Research Questions
1. What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in my FTE figures?
2. Will those factors still exist during the next year?
3. How will I benchmark by target FTE for 2016-2017?
4. How do I develop SMART goals to meet my targets?
SMART stands for
Specific, Meaningful and Measurable, Agreed to and Attainable, Reality-based, and
Timely.
Trends by Program Area Codes
15
CollegeFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment2012
Enrollment 2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment
(2013 to 2014)
Basic Skills 19,556.70 19,104.97 15,209.22 -3,895.75 320,698 351,398 252,001 -99,397
Health Occupations 6,029.25 5,878.26 5,213.57 -664.69 48,307 46,433 43,598 -2,835
EMS 4,259.24 4,167.03 4,074.76 -92.26 143,987 147,525 141,562 -5,963
Criminal Justice 2,916.60 2,938.25 2,935.66 -2.59 224,547 227,620 217,644 -9,976
Fire & Rescue Services 3,134.35 2,944.43 2,782.48 -161.95 158,392 159,437 155,249 -4,188
HRD 3,571.52 3,340.74 2,636.26 -704.49 135,335 134,969 107,148 -27,821
Service Occupations 1,504.82 1,681.03 1,683.11 2.09 9,700 9,712 8,509 -1,203
Industrial/Manufacturing 1,515.35 1,587.81 1,589.61 1.80 11,172 10,720 10,700 -20
Construction 1,905.25 1,617.41 1,477.91 -139.50 11,562 9,587 8,898 -689
Community Service 1,302.93 1,207.96 1,127.50 -80.46 66,937 63,770 59,634 -4,136
Self-Support Occupational 1,222.61 1,197.71 1,089.32 -108.39 60,854 61,083 56,915 -4,168
Business 1,251.04 1,134.96 969.96 -165.00 23,890 21,563 17,943 -3,620
Computer Training 985.91 975.82 843.70 -132.13 20,789 18,279 14,782 -3,497
Agri/Natural Resources 602.63 571.22 489.22 -82.00 2,973 2,806 2,568 -238
BLET 338.70 379.15 362.73 -16.42 777 695 899 204
Driver Training 141.95 181.34 274.11 92.77 705 866 1,108 242
Auto Maintenance/Repair 298.71 270.48 206.41 -64.06 1,420 1,337 1,772 435
Early Childhood/Teacher 215.19 221.41 181.30 -40.12 5,719 5,880 5,029 -851
Government Regulations 143.90 153.03 161.39 8.36 6,393 6,430 6,370 -60
Motor Vehicle/DMV 123.31 122.14 126.97 4.84 12,286 12,007 12,632 625
Foreign Languages 162.96 128.95 115.73 -13.21 3,272 2,688 2,287 -401
Aircraft Systems 23.16 68.36 103.43 35.06 196 419 452 33
Emergency Management 99.50 79.84 73.19 -6.65 4,535 4,162 4,251 89
Energy-Related 25.37 17.42 7.21 -10.21 448 452 182 -270
Continuing Education Total 32,514.98 31,602.41 29,543.85 -2,058.56 998,001 991,719 929,995 -61,724
Trends by Program Area Codes: Health
17
AnalysisTotal
Colleges%
TotalFTEs
Increase in FTE: 11 19% 47.56
Decrease in FTE: 47 81%
o Greater than 20
11 -361.45
o Between 10-20
11 -164.72
o Less than 10 25 -114.89
Trends: Health is the program area that
generates the highest FTE.
There were 47 colleges (81%) who saw a decrease in FTE in this area.
This program area has been trending downward over the last 4 years.
Labor market data project this area to be the fastest growing occupational cluster.
Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE
and enrollment figures?
Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?
FTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment2012
Enrollment 2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment (2013 to 2014)
6,029.25 5,878.26 5,213.57 -664.69 48,307 46,433 43,598 -2,835
Trends by Program Area Codes: Public Safety
18
Trends: Traditionally, Public Safety has been the program area with the largest percentage of
total FTE.
In 2014, the Public Safety cluster only represented 20% of the total statewide FTEs.
Fire/Rescue FTE has been trending downward over the last 4 years.
Conversations regarding the training needs of public safety agencies to include the instructional delivery methods is a “hot topic” conversation at the state and local level. Critical Research Questions:
What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?
How do we maintain the rigor, relevance, and quality of training for public safety agencies.
Program AreaFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment
2012
Enrollment
2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment (2013 to
2014)
EMS 4,259.24 4,167.03 4,074.76 -92.26 143,987 147,525 141,562 -5,963
Criminal Justice 2,916.60 2,938.25 2,935.66 -2.59 224,547 227,620 217,644 -9,976
Fire & Rescue 3,134.35 2,944.43 2,782.48 -161.95 158,392 159,437 155,249 -4,188
Trends by Program Area Codes: Transportation
19
Trends: The FTE for both Driver Training and Aircraft System have doubled.
Motor Vehicle/DMV has relatively low FTE as compared to the enrollment.
Auto Maintenance/Repair is on a downward trend.
Labor market data project this area to be the fastest growing occupational cluster.
Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment
figures?
How do we maintain the rigor, relevance, and quality of training for public safety agencies.
Program AreaFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment
2012
Enrollment
2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment (2013 to
2014)
Driver Training 141.95 181.34 274.11 92.77 705 866 1,108 242
Auto Maint/Repair
298.71 270.48 206.41 -64.06 1,420 1,337 1,772 435
Motor Veh/DMV 123.31 122.14 126.97 4.84 12,286 12,007 12,632 625
Aircraft Systems 23.16 68.36 103.43 35.06 196 419 452 33
Trends by Program Area Codes: Driver Training
20
Trends: This program area has been trending
upward over the last 4 years.
Labor market data project this area to be the fastest growing occupational cluster.
Critical Research Questions:
What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?
Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?
CollegeFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment
2012
Enrollment
2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment (2013 to
2014)
Caldwell CC and TI
2.84 44.27 91.39 47.13 33 113 256 143
Sampson CC
66.45 65.29 87.20 21.91 185 202 246 44
Nash CC
10.73 13.07 19.91 6.84 79 96 134 38
Isothermal CC
13.67 0 10.88 10.88 74 0 39 39
Surry CC
1.98 0 10.33 10.33 11 0 37 37
Gaston College
0 5.30 7.72 2.42 0 19 28 9
Carteret CC
4.07 4.46 7.62 3.16 37 69 67 -2
Cape Fear CC
5.20 4.41 5.69 1.27 76 64 78 14
Mitchell CC
0 0 3.35 3.35 0 0 12 12
Davidson County CC
0 0 2.38 2.38 0 0 11 11
Trends by Course Titles
22
Course ID Course TitleFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE
(2013 to 2014)
Enrollment
2012
Enrollment
2013
Enrollment
2014
Change in Enrollment
(2013 to 2014)
NUR3240 Nurse Aide Level I 2952.53 2855.45 2463.87 -391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617
EMS3044 EMT Basic: Initial 1243.39 1293.48 1275.97 -17.51 4,635 4,789 4,672 -117
EMS3031 EMT Paramedic: Initial 1191.83 1057.37 1146.06 88.69 1,668 1,706 1,892 186
HRD3001 HRD Employability Skills 1259.12 1339.57 1118.30 -221.27 23,808 28,920 24,098 -4,822
CJC3952Mandated In-Service Training
895.10 905.80 918.14 12.34 124,267 126,650 125,385 -1,265
MED3300 Medical Assisting 741.91 819.87 796.65 -23.21 1,802 2,101 1,919 -182
COS3201 Cosmetology 507.47 626.71 691.17 64.46 801 1,029 1,182 153
WLD3106 Welding 521.37 530.73 529.55 -1.18 2,453 2,808 2,842 34
MLA3022 Phlebotomy 534.90 488.10 489.12 1.03 1,985 1,805 1,763 -42
Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment
figures?
Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?
Trends by Course Titles - Health
23
Course ID Course TitleFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE
(2013 to 2014)
Enrollment
2012
Enrollment
2013
Enrollment
2014
Change in Enrollment
(2013 to 2014)
NUR3240Nurse Aide Level I
2,952.53
2,855.45
2,463.87
-391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617
MED3300Medical Assisting
741.91 819.87 796.65 -23.21 1,802 2,101 1,919 -182
MLA3022Phlebotomy
534.90 488.10 489.12 1.03 1,985 1,805 1,763 -42
NUR3241Nurse Aide Level II
346.86 345.65 299.05 -46.59 1,394 1,410 1,196 -214
PHM3250Pharmacy Technician
221.98 225.25 222.43 -2.83 1,822 1,788 1,734 -54
MED3030Healthcare Billing and Coding
195.73 166.70 126.74 -39.95 1,662 1,469 1,134 -335
HEA3021Massage Therapy
89.77 162.47 108.17 -54.30 233 276 145 -131
OSC3608Health Unit Coordinator
70.24 53.38 54.44 1.07 419 316 319 3
MED3006Medical Office Assistant
76.63 43.30 45.20 1.90 1,069 704 722 18
PSF3100Sports Medicine Technology
2.67 41.26 32.65 -8.61 6 93 116 23
NUR3267ECG Monitor Technician
19.47 30.20 32.49 2.28 225 307 324 17
PHM4100Medication Aide
32.01 31.01 24.58 -6.43 911 885 694 -191
Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?
Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?
Trends by Course Titles – Nurse Aide I
24
Course ID Course TitleFTE 2012
FTE2013
FTE2014
Change in FTE (2013 to 2014)
Enrollment2012
Enrollment 2013
Enrollment 2014
Change in Enrollment
(2013 to 2014)
NUR3240Nurse Aide Level I
2,952.53 2,855.45 2463.87 -391.57 11,863 11,399 9,782 -1,617
Critical Research Questions: What factors (internal and external) impacted the change in FTE and enrollment figures?
Where is the disconnect between the demand for training and the decline in FTE and enrollment?
AnalysisTotal
Colleges%
TotalFTEs
Increase in FTE: 10 18% 51.38
Decrease in FTE: 47 82%
o Greater than 20
7 -192.18
o Between 10-20
10 -141.62
o Less than 10 30 -109.62
Trends: Nurse Aide I generates the highest
FTE of all course offerings.
There were 47 colleges (82%) who saw a decrease in FTE in this area.
This program area has been trending downward over the last 4 years.
Labor market data project this area to be the fastest growing occupational cluster.
Sample Tools and Resources
Page 35
Colleague Base Reports
• XCES Statistical Report providing estimated FTE data and registration numbers
• XCLS Status Report providing course status information to include ‘graded’, ‘late’
or ‘canceled’
Informer Reports
Custom reports that pull from ‘live’ Colleague data. Can provide cross views into Course, Student and AR dependent on access.
Program Analysis – Sample Questions
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Broad Category
Course Offerings
1. What specific courses do you offer?
2. Do these courses reflect the training needs in your local area?
3. What courses earned the highest and lowest FTE figures? Were they appropriate for the specific course offering?
4. What courses had the highest and lowest enrollment figures? Were they appropriate for the specific course offering?
5. Did enrollment and FTE increase or decrease for the following timeframes?o Reporting Term: Term-over-Term and High/Low Reporting Termso Reporting Year: Year-to-Year change--- 1-yr, 3-yr, and 5-yr
Program Analysis – Sample Questions
Page 37
Broad Category
Course Offerings
6. What relational changes occurred between increases/decreases in enrollment and FTE?
7. What factors (internal and external) impact the change in enrollment and FTE figures? Will those factors still exist during the next year?
8. Did the scheduled hours/length of course/time format impact your enrollment and FTE? If yes, what action steps will you take to maintain/increase growth? If not, what action steps will you take to change the situation?
9. How did the occupational extension registration fee structure impact the following: courses offered, class location, enrollment and FTE?
Program Analysis – Sample Questions
Page 38
Broad Category
Course Offerings
10. Can you identify broad categories to describe your mix of programs and services?
11. What are some specific descriptors within your broad categories?
12. Can you answer the “who, what, and why” questions related to your target audience and the type of courses they take?
Tier Funding
Tier Designations
A college’s continuing education (OE) budget FTE is categorized
into four funding tiers based on the proportion of the college’s
actual FTE in each tier.
• Tier 1A includes FTE in a limited number of continuing
education (OE) courses that train students for the exact
same third-party certification as curriculum courses in Tier
1A.
• Tier 1B includes FTE in short‐term, workforce continuing
education courses that help prepare students for jobs in
priority occupations and lead to competency‐based
industry credentials.
• Tier 2 includes FTE in other continuing education (OE)
courses that are scheduled for 96 hours or more and are
mapped to a third-party credential, certification, or
industry-designed curriculum
• Tier 3 includes FTE in all other continuing education (OE)
courses.
Page 40
Budget FTEContinuing Education (Occupational Extension) budget FTE equals the average of the past two years
(spring, summer, and fall) or the latest year, whichever is greater.
Tier Funding
Page 41
Allocation Method for FY 2014-15Each college receives a base continuing education (OE) allocation of $65,501, which represents funding for one instructional unit (or the equivalent of one full-time faculty member). In addition to this base, a college is allocated funding based on tier funding---
TierDesignations
Dollar Value Per Budget FTE
1A $4,170.62
1B $3,691.47
2 $3,208.16
3 $2,724.95