WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET), [email protected]José M. Baldasano (BSC-CNS), [email protected]Emilio Cuevas (AEMET), [email protected]2013-1 meeting of the WMO SDS-WAS Regional Steering Group for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe, 21 January 2013
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WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa , Middle East and Europe
WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa , Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET), [email protected] José M. Baldasano (BSC-CNS), [email protected] Emilio Cuevas (AEMET), [email protected]. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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WMO SDS-WAS programmeRegional Center for Northern Africa,
Intercomparison and evaluation of dust prediction models
• The models• Joint visualization• Generation of multi-model products• Evaluation of dust AOD using AERONET data• Evaluation of surface concentration• Evaluation of vertical profiles
MODEL INSTITUTION RUN TIME
DOMAIN DATA ASSIMILATION
BSC-DREAM8b
BSC-CNS 12 Regional No
CHIMERE LMD 00 Regional No
LMDzT-INCA LSCE 00 Global No
MACC ECMWF 00 Global MODIS AOD
DREAM-NMME-MACC
SEEVCCC 12 Regional MACC analysis
NMMB/BSC-Dust
BSC-CNS 12 Regional No
MetUM U. K. Met Office
00 Global No
GEOS-5 NASA 00 Global MODIS reflectances
NGAC NCEP 00 Global No
• VARIABLES: Dust surface concentration – Dust Optical Depth at 550 nm• LEAD TIME: 0 – 72 hours, every 3 hours• GEOGRAPHICAL DOMAIN: 25ºW – 60ºE, 0 – 65ºN
The models
RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00
Joint visualization. Dust AOD at 550 nm
RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00
Joint visualization. Surface concentration
Model outputs are bi-linearly interpolated to a common 0.5ºlon x 0.5ºlat grid mesh. Then, different multi-model products are generated:• CENTRALITY: median - mean• SPREAD: standard deviation – range of variation
Generation of multimodel products
TAMANRASSET_INMSANTA_CRUZ_TENERIFE
nrt evaluation using AERONET data
• Monthly• Seasonal• Annual
Besides dust, there might be other aerosol types. Therefore, negative BE could be expected.
images• UKMO MSG retrievals• Joint visualization of
forecast Surf. Conc.• Joint visualization of
forecast DOD 550• Monthly comparison
models / AERONET• Evaluation scores (monthly,
seasonal, annual) • Multi-model products• Guidance for forecasters
Archive
Capacity building
19-23 Nov 2012: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Niamey, Niger
26-28 Nov 2012: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm (SDS), Combating Desertification and Erosion. Ankara, Turkey
Important meetings
Sep 2012. The WMO CBS-15 meeting recommends the designation of the Center as Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with Specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecast(RSMC-ASDF).
Jul 2013. It is expected that the WMO Executive Council meets the recommendation and the RSMC starts working.
9-15 Sep 2012: WMO Fifteenth Session of the Commission for Basic Systems (CBS-15), Jakarta, Indonesia
20-22 Nov 2012: Regional Conference on Dust and Dust Storm, Kuwait
UNEP and WMO organized a special session on the scientific aspects of the Regional SDS Programme. Experts gave recommendations on the programme improvement.
Plans for 2013: Outstanding activities
• Dissemination of numerical forecast products (Mar 2013)• Publication of an activity report (Jun 2013)• Start of activities in the Operational Center
(Sep 2013)• Preparation of a scientific conference on
dust to be held in Barcelona in spring 2014 (together with a face RSG meeting)• Participation in capacity building activities
(Turkey, Oman)• Joint evaluation of the dust models: new
approaches
Thanks for your attention !!
WMO SDS-WAS programmeRegional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe