Jan 11, 2016
Who We are...
a consumer centredmarketing consultancy that aims to help brand
owners to realise top-line business & brand growth in increasingly complex and
competitive markets.
Innovation
StrategyDevelopment
MarketingCapability
OpportunityAssessment
ConsumerResearch
Agenda
• Last time around – 1992• What’s different now• Likely Scenarios• Checklist for Recession Proofing
Last Time Around - 1992
Last Time Around
• Petrol prices soared
• Interest rates hit 15%
• Inflation hit 11%
• Business failures hit 1500 per week
• John Major took over as Chancellor
• House prices crashed
Last Time Around
• Bill Clinton became President
• Queen had a ‘annus horribilis’
• Disneyland Paris opened
And …
• Food + Drink a key source of ‘affordable treats’
• 80’s Premium Brands prospered
• Eating in became the new eating out
• Health and Indulgence core drivers for innovation
• But innovation dried up
• Businesses adoptedBusiness as Usual Cut everything and lay lowSpend More
What’s Different Now
What’s Different
Now
• Attitude to debt
• Younger generation have never been here
• Inflation + mortgage rates lower
• Second buy to let mortgages
• Spend on technical goods and services
• Comparative pricing
• Voice of consumer amplified
• Information + Channel Clutter
• Retailer Brand price tiering
• Broader Foodservice offering with price tiering
• Different forces on consumer demand
What’s Different
Now
Likely Scenarios
• Emergence of the ‘smart shopper’• Luxury on a budget • Growth of the discounters• Sacrificial consumption
Likely Scenarios
• Selective Shopping – buy when need to avoid wastage• Polarisation
Premium or value propositionsEngaging versus routine shoppingGrocer versus all purpose retailer
Checklist for Recession
Proofing
• Brand Audit
• Offer clear, motivating, & differentiated proposition
• Demonstrate relevance
• Use technology
• Deliver on the hygiene factors:TransparencyFit for purpose
• Defend Brand equity
Get the Basics Right
• Reflects real consumer demand
• Based on real understanding
• Connects with core trends / drivers
• Embodies consumer value hierarchy;Consumer Value AuditValue Trade Off Analysis
• Reflects Category / Brand Engagement
Ensure your innovation is insight driven
• Cost Dissection / analysis to identify quick wins
• Add value – are you worth it and where’s the evidence
• Spend wisely – be ‘canny shoppers’
• Consumers looking to avoid wastage
• Avoid ‘unnecessary’ packaging
• Consider promotional strategies
Save but thenspend and don’t
be wasteful
Save but thenspend and don’t
be wasteful
• Cost Dissection / analysis to identify quick wins
• Add value – are you worth it and where’s the evidence
• Spend wisely – be ‘canny shoppers’
• Consumers looking to avoid wastage
• Avoid ‘unnecessary’ packaging
• Consider promotional strategies
Save but thenspend and don’t
be wasteful
Focus –de clutter
and prosper
• Pick your winners and get behind them
• Be prepared to kill
• Do fewer things better
• Develop competitive barriers
• ‘Break from the pack’
• Watch your competition – are you fighting for dwindling spend
• Take initiatives
• Anticipate
• Defend your space
Be Alert
• Who - Identify high value consumers
• Where - Channels that offer opportunity for premiumisation
• When - Make it a quality occasion
• Why - Build ideas around platforms for premiumisation
Pick yourtargets
Reasons to
embrace
• With no appreciating property values to brag about, smug dinner parties will fall blissfully silent
• In restaurants it will be considered prudent, and not the behaviour of a tightwad oik, to order the house red
• You will stop having £50 facials and realise your skin looks exactly the same
• Property porn programmes such as Location Location Location may die a swift death
93a Peascod StreetWindsor SL4 1DH
01753 623523
19 Kingfield RoadSheffield S11 9AS
01142 580066