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When the Facts Aren't True: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To What's a Medical Librarian To Do? Do? John Abramson MD John Abramson MD October 29, 2007
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When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

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Page 1: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

When the Facts Aren't True: When the Facts Aren't True:

What's a Medical Librarian To Do? What's a Medical Librarian To Do?

John Abramson MDJohn Abramson MD

October 29, 2007October 29, 2007

Page 2: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

THE COXIBS, SELECTIVE INHIBITORS OF CYCLOOXYGENASE-2

The difference in major cardiovascular events in the VIGOR trial may reflect the play of chance. The end point was prespecified, and the difference in the frequency of events was statistically significant, but the absolute number of cardiovascular events was small (less than 70).

Page 3: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Gastrointestinal Toxicity With Celecoxib vs Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs for Osteoarthritis and Rheumatoid Arthritis: The CLASS Study: A Randomized Controlled Trial

COMMENT This study determined that celecoxib, a COX-2–specific inhibitor, when used for 6 months…is associated with a lower incidence of combined clinical upper GI events than comparator NSAIDs (ibuprofen and diclofenac) used at standard therapeutic dosages….

JAMA.2000;284:1247-1255

Page 4: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Summary comments on statistical plan

The sponsor has not adequately justified the value of an analysis limited to 6-month data nor adequately justified replacing the original analysis with this post hoc analysis.

Medical Officer’s GI Review of CLASS

Submission date: June 12, 2000Reviewer: Lawrence Goldkind M.D.

http://www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/01/briefing/3677b1_05_gi.doc

Page 5: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Overall Conclusions The sponsor has failed to demonstrate a statistically

significant lower rate of CSUGIEs (traditional or alternate) compared to NSAIDs as a group or either individual comparator.

Submission date: June 12, 2000Reviewer: Lawrence Goldkind M.D.

http://www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/01/briefing/3677b1_05_gi.doc

Medical Officer’s GI Review of CLASS

Page 6: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

“C[elebrex] did not appear to offer a

unique advantage in high risk patients.”

Submission date: June 12, 2000Reviewer: Lawrence Goldkind M.D.

http://www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/ac/01/briefing/3677b1_05_gi.doc

Medical Officer’s GI Review of CLASS

Page 7: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Annual Cost of Celebrex, Bextra and naproxen

Celebrex Bextra (est.)

Naproxen (Rx)

Prices from CVS Pharmacy (cvs.com accessed November 1, 2006)

Naproxen (OTC)

Page 8: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Pharmacoeconomics 2002; 20 (4): 279-287

Page 9: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Pharmacoeconomics 2002; 20 (4): 279-287

……

Page 10: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Pharmacoeconomics 2002; 20 (4): 279-287

Page 11: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Hugo E. Gallo-Torres, M.D., Ph.D., Medical Team Leader, Division of Gastrointestinal and Coagulation Drug Products, Medical Officer’s Review, NDA 21-153, September 21, 2000, p. 3

Page 12: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Hugo E. Gallo-Torres, M.D., Ph.D., Medical Team Leader, Division of Gastrointestinal and Coagulation Drug Products, Medical Officer’s Review, NDA 21-153, September 21, 2000, p. 90

Page 13: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 14: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 15: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 16: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Expanding Statin Use to Help More At-Risk Patients Is Causing Financial Heartburn

[Medical News & Perspectives]

Volume 290(17)             5 November 2003             p 2243–2245 Mitka, Mike

United States 56%

United Kingdom 23%

Germany 26%

Netherlands 36%

Italy 17%

Switzerland 29%

CountryPercentage of Eligible Patients Taking Statins

Page 17: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Expanding Statin Use to Help More At-Risk Patients Is Causing Financial Heartburn

[Medical News & Perspectives]

Volume 290(17)             5 November 2003             p 2243–2245 Mitka, Mike

25 million patients worldwide (including about 13 million in the United States) are being treated with statins.

Page 18: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

OECD, 2003

Page 19: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

OECD, 2003

Page 20: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 21: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Morbidity & Mortality: 2002 Chart Book on Cardiovascular, Lung, and Blood Diseases

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; National Institutes of Health

Page 22: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Banks J, Marmot M, Oldfield Z, Smith JP, JAMA. 2006;295:2037-2045

Page 23: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Science Science has a distnguished epistemic has a distnguished epistemic standing, but not a privileged one.standing, but not a privileged one.

Susan Haak, Evidence and Inquiry: Towards Reconstruction in Epistemology,

Blackwell Publishers, Oxford, U.K. 1995

Page 24: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Hea

lth L

ife E

xpec

tanc

yH

ealth

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy

Healthy Life Expectancy and Per Person Medical Expenses in 22 OECD

Countries

Per Person Annual Medical ExpensesPer Person Annual Medical Expenses

Page 25: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Hea

lth L

ife E

xpec

tanc

yH

ealth

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy

Healthy Life Expectancy and Per Person Medical Expenses in 22 OECD

Countries

Per Person Annual Medical ExpensesPer Person Annual Medical Expenses

Page 26: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Life Expectancy Canada vs. U.S.

1850-2000

Milbank Quarterly 2005; Vol. 83, No. 1

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy

at B

irth

Page 27: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

A Three Year View of Overall Ranking

    AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANYNEW

ZEALANDUNITED

KINGDOMUNITEDSTATES

OVERALL RANKING (2007 Edition) 3.5 5 2 3.5 1 6

OVERALL RANKING (2006 Edition) 4 5 1 2 3 6

OVERALL RANKING (2004 Edition) 2 4 n/a 1 3 6

Health Expenditures per Capita, 2004 $2,876* $3,165 $3,005* $2,083 $2,546 $6,102

Commonwealth Fund, May 2007 http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130

Page 28: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

A Three Year View of Overall Ranking

    AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANYNEW

ZEALANDUNITED

KINGDOMUNITEDSTATES

OVERALL RANKING (2007 Edition) 3.5 5 2 3.5 1 6

OVERALL RANKING (2006 Edition) 4 5 1 2 3 6

OVERALL RANKING (2004 Edition) 2 4 n/a 1 3 6

Health Expenditures per Capita, 2004 $2,876* $3,165 $3,005* $2,083 $2,546 $6,102

Commonwealth Fund, May 2007 http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130

Page 29: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

A Three Year View of Overall Ranking

    AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANYNEW

ZEALANDUNITED

KINGDOMUNITEDSTATES

OVERALL RANKING (2007 Edition) 3.5 5 2 3.5 1 6

OVERALL RANKING (2006 Edition) 4 5 1 2 3 6

OVERALL RANKING (2004 Edition) 2 4 n/a 1 3 6

Health Expenditures per Capita, 2004 $2,876* $3,165 $3,005* $2,083 $2,546 $6,102

Commonwealth Fund, May 2007 http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130http://www.commonwealthfund.org/usr_doc/Shea_hltsysperformanceselectednations_chartpack.ppt?section=4039#130

Page 30: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

More Medicine Is Not Better MedicineBy ELLIOTT S. FISHER

Our study suggests that perhaps a third of medical spending is now devoted to services that don't appear to improve health or the quality of care — and may make things worse.

Page 31: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Medical Knowledge has been Transformed from a Public Good

into a Commodity

Page 32: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

“Scientists who 10 years ago would have snubbed their academic noses at industrial money now eagerly seek it out.”

Barbara Culliton, “The Academic-Industrial Complex,” Science 216:960-962, 1982

The Academic-Industrial Complex

Page 33: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

                             

                                              

Craig Lambert, “Flasks of Cash: Doctored Research,” November-December 2003

Page 34: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Association of Funding and Conclusions in Randomized Drug Trial

Als-Neilsen B, Chen W, Gluud C, Kiaergard LL, JAMA, 2003; 290:921-928

…trials funded by for-profit organizations were significantly more likely to recommend the experimental drug as treatment of choice (odds ratio, 5.3) compared with trials funded by nonprofit organizations.

Page 35: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Association of Funding and Conclusions in Randomized Drug Trial

Als-Neilsen B, Chen W, Gluud C, Kiaergard LL, JAMA, 2003; 290:921-928

Conclusions in trials funded by for-profit organizations may be more positive due to biased interpretation of trial results. Readers should carefully evaluate whether conclusions in randomized trials are supported by data.

Page 36: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

The evidence is strong that companies are getting the results they want, and this is especially worrisomebecause between two-thirds and three quarters of the trials published in the major journals—Annals of InternalMedicine, JAMA, Lancet, and New England Journal of Medicine—are funded by the industry.

Richard Smith (former editor of British Medical Journal), Public Library of Science, 2005:2:364-366Richard Smith (former editor of British Medical Journal), Public Library of Science, 2005:2:364-366

http://medicine.plosjournals.org/archive/1549-1676/2/5/pdf/10.1371_journal.pmed.0020138-L.pdfhttp://medicine.plosjournals.org/archive/1549-1676/2/5/pdf/10.1371_journal.pmed.0020138-L.pdf

Page 37: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Nikolaos A Patsopoulos, John P A Ioannidis and Apostolos A Analatos

BMJ 2006;332;1061-1064

Between 1999 and 2004, 31of the 32 most frequently cited trials published were funded by industry

Page 38: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

For Science’s Gatekeepers, A Credibility Gap

“Journals have devolved into information-laundering operations for the pharmaceutical industry, say Dr. Richard Smith, the former editor of BMJ, and Dr. Richard Horton, the editor of the Lancet...”

Lawrence K. Altman MD, Lawrence K. Altman MD, New York Times, New York Times, May 2, 2006May 2, 2006

Page 39: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

McGinnis JM, Williams-Russo P, Knickman JR. The case for more active policy attention to health promotion. Health Affairs. 2002;21(2):78-93.

Allocation of Health Care Resourcesin the U. S.

Page 40: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Behavioral Patterns

40%

Genetic Predispositions

30%

Social Circumstances

15%

Shortfalls in Medical Care

10%

Environmental Exposures

5%

McGinnis JM, Williams-Russo P, Knickman JR. The case for more active policy attention to health promotion. Health Affairs. 2002;21(2):78-93.

Determinants of Health in the U.S.

Page 41: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

I N S T I T U T E O F M E D I C I N E

Shaping the Future for HealthTHE FUTURE OF THE PUBLIC’S HEALTH

IN THE 21ST CENTURY

There is strong evidence that behavior and environment are responsible for over 70 percent of avoidable mortality, and health care is just one of several determinants of health.

Institute of Medicine Institute of Medicine

Page 42: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 43: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

While ATP III maintains attention to intensive treatment of patients with CHD, its major new feature is a focus on primary prevention in persons with multiple risk factors.

Adapted from NCEP Report, 2001

Page 44: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Adapted from NCEP Report, 2001

In recent trials, statin therapy reduced risk for CHD in men and women, in those with or without heart disease…(Table II.2–3)

Page 45: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Adapted from NCEP Report, 2001

Page 46: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 47: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 48: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Adapted from NCEP Report, 2001

Selection of older persons for short-term, primarypreventionApproximately two-thirds of first major coronary eventsoccur in persons ≥ 65 years…Recent clinical trials have revealed that aggressive LDL-lowering therapy is effective in reducing risk for CHD (see Table II.2–3).

Page 49: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Adapted from NCEP Report, 2001

Page 50: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

Search for Sources Without Commercial BiasSearch for Sources Without Commercial Bias

•FDA Advisory Committee Briefing DocumentsFDA Advisory Committee Briefing Documents

•The Therapeutics Initiative of British ColumbiaThe Therapeutics Initiative of British Columbia

•The National Institute of Clinical Excellence (U.K.)The National Institute of Clinical Excellence (U.K.)

•Drug Effectiveness Research Project (Oregon Health & Drug Effectiveness Research Project (Oregon Health & Science University)Science University)

•Understand that most of our medical knowledge is now Understand that most of our medical knowledge is now produced and disseminated to fulfill primarily commercial produced and disseminated to fulfill primarily commercial goals. (And that Healthcare providers remain reluctant to goals. (And that Healthcare providers remain reluctant to accept the magnitude of the ensuing distortion of scientific accept the magnitude of the ensuing distortion of scientific evidence.)evidence.)

Page 51: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.
Page 52: When the Facts Aren't True: What's a Medical Librarian To Do? John Abramson MD October 29, 2007.

“The historical fact we have to face is that in modern Western society biomedicine not only has provided a basis for the scientific study of disease, it has also become our own culturally specific perspective about disease, that is, our folk model. Indeed the biomedical model is now the dominant folk model of disease in the Western world.”

--George Engel MD. [Engel GL. The need for a new medical model: A challenge for biomedicine. Science. 1977;196(4286):129-136.]

The Need for a New Medical Model:A Challenge for Biomedicine