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Kevin Durant When Could I Beat Kevin Durant OneonOne?
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When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Jan 26, 2015

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jdward44

By using statistical analysis of Kevin Durant's season I was able to determine which day he plays his best and which day he plays his worst.
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Page 1: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant  When  Could  I  Beat  Kevin  Durant  

One-­‐on-­‐One?  

Page 2: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant  •  Leading  Scorer  in  NBA  for  past  2  seasons  •  Has  been  called  “unstoppable”  

•  6’11’’  with  a  7’3’’  wingspan—and  he’s  a  shooLng  guard  

–  In  NBA  history  only  10%  of  shooLng  guards  have  been  this  size  and  few  have  been  successful.  

–  Michael  Jordan  was  6’6”    

Page 3: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant  

•  QuesLons  to  be  answered.    

–  When  is  the  best  day  that  Kevin  Durant  performs?  

•  When  should  the  OKC  Thunder  do  a  Kevin  Durant  bobblehead  night?  

–  When  is  the  worst  day  he  performs?  •  When  is  the  best  chance  I  have  of  beaLng  KD  one-­‐on-­‐one?  

Page 4: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Overall  Scoring  

•  27.9  PPG          

•  0  Day  Rest-­‐27.2  PPG  •  1  Day  Rest-­‐  27.3  PPG  •  2  Day  Rest-­‐31.0  PPG  •  3+  Day  Rest-­‐  27.7  •  Home:  27.3  PPG  

•  Away:  25.3  

•  If  you  dig  a  li^le  deeper….  

Page 5: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Scoring  by  Month  

•  October-­‐29.3  PPG  •  November-­‐26.8  PPG  •  December-­‐29.4  PPG  •  January-­‐  30.5  PPG  •  February-­‐26.8  PPG  •  March-­‐24.9  PPG  

•  If  you  dig  a  li^le  deeper….  

Page 6: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Scoring  by  Day  

•  Sunday-­‐24.9  PPG  •  Monday-­‐26.9  PPG  •  Tuesday-­‐25.8  PPG  •  Wednesday-­‐29.6  PPG  •  Thursday-­‐30.7  PPG  •  Friday-­‐28  PPG  •  Saturday-­‐31  PPG  

•  So,  based  on  this  data…  

Page 7: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant  

•  Kevin  Durant  bobblehead  giveaway  should  occur  on  

–  2  Days  rest  in  January  on  a  Saturday.  

•  My  best  chance  of  beaLng  KD  is  

–  0  Days  Rest  in  November  on  a  Sunday  

•  But…if  you  dig  a  li^le  deeper  

Page 8: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant-­‐Bobblehead  Night  •  75%  win  percentage  on  3  Days  Rest  •  82  %  win  percentage  in  March  •  83%  win  percentage  on  even  numbered  days  •  65%  win  percentage  in  games  played  in  Central  Standard  

Time  Zone  •  54%  win  percentage  when  outside  temperature  is  over  70  

degrees  •  93  %  win  percentage  on  Fridays  

–  100  %  win  percentage  in  home  games  on  Fridays  –  31.2  PPG  at  home  on  Friday  

So,  based  on  this  data…  

Page 9: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

Kevin  Durant-­‐Bobblehead  Night  

•  Next  season—the  OKC  Thunder  should  do  a  Kevin  Durant  bobble  night  on  –  Friday  March  23rd  2012  at  7pm  in  Oklahoma  City.  With  at  least  3  days  off.  

–  When  the  weather  is  projected  to  be  72  degrees.  

Page 10: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

When  I  Could  Beat  Kevin  Durant  •  45%  win  percentage  on  0  Days  Rest  •  54%  win  percentage  in  January    •  59%  win  percentage  on  odd  numbered  days  •  19%  win  percentage  in  games  played  in  

Eastern  Standard  Time  Zone  •  46%  win  percentage  when  outside  

temperature  is  below  70  degrees  •  30  %  win  percentage  on  Fridays  

–  33  %  win  percentage  in  away  games  on  Sundays  

–  18.8  PPG  away  on  Sunday  

•  So,  based  on  this  data…  

Page 11: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

When  I  Could  Beat  Kevin  Durant  

•  My  best  possible  chance  of  beaLng  Kevin  Durant  would  be  on…  –  Sunday  January  22nd  2012  at  6pm  in  New  

Jersey  with  0  days  off.  

–  Where  the  weather  is  projected  to  be  34  degrees.  

Page 12: When Could I Beat Kevin Durant One-on-One?

•  I  be^er  start  training…