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WHEN A SEA NORMATIVE FAILS Lessons from Brazil Cristiano Vilardo & José Eduardo Évora
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When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

Dec 12, 2018

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Page 1: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

WHEN A SEA NORMATIVE FAILSLessons from Brazil

Cristiano Vilardo & José Eduardo Évora

Page 2: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OUTLINE

Oil and gasplanning in

Brazil

Building theSEA

Implementation(?) of thenormative

X reasons why?

#IAIA18

Page 3: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OUTLINE

Oil and gasplanning in

Brazil

Building theSEA

Implementation(?) of thenormative

X reasons why?

#IAIA18

Page 4: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OIL AND GAS PLANNING IN BRAZIL

ANP – National Petroleum Agency

• Selects areas and promotes bidding rounds

• Regulates and stimulates industry

• Answers to Mines and Energy Ministry

IBAMA – Federal Environmental Agency

• Acts as responsible authority for Project-EIA

• Oversees environmental compliance of activities

• Answers to Environment Ministry

#IAIA18

Page 5: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

20 YEARS OFBIDDINGROUNDS

#IAIA18

Page 6: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

BIDDING ROUNDS AND ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS

• 1st to 5th Round

• No consideration of environmental aspects

1998-2003

• 6th to 10th Round

• Ad-hoc consultation with Ministry of Environment + IBAMA

2004-2012• 11th Round to

today

• SEA normative created but not implemented

2012-2018

#IAIA18

Page 7: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OUTLINE

Oil and gasplanning in

Brazil

Building theSEA

Implementation(?) of thenormative

X reasons why?

#IAIA18

Page 8: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

BUILDING THE SEA

2009 2010 2011• Prominp – National Petroleum

Industry Mobilization Program

• 2 years of structured dialogue

within federal government:

Energy+Environment

• New regulation for EIA

• New regulation for SEA

(Environmental Assessment of

Sedimentary Areas)

#IAIA18

Page 9: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

BUILDING THE SEA – MOVING TOWARD CONSENSUS

EIA-Based SEA

• Environmental Study of Sedimentary Areas is the key instrument

#IAIA18

Page 10: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

BUILDING THE SEA – OPPOSING PERSPECTIVES

Establishing more robust and perennial environmental restrictions to bidding rounds

Planning bidding rounds with less environmental restrictions and streamlining project EIA

Envi

ronm

ent

al

Energ

y

#IAIA18

Page 11: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

WE HAVE A NORMATIVE!

April 5th, 2012 – Joint Ministerial Normative 198/2012

Creates the “Environmental Assessment of Sedimentary Areas” process

Main instrument: “Sedimentary Areas Environmental Study”

Mines and Energy Ministry: selects the areas and contracts the study

CTA – Joint Steering Committee: MME, ANP, EPE, MMA, IBAMA, ICMBio

Public consultation in both scoping and study review phases

CTA leads the scoping phase and prepares final report based on the study

Joint ministerial commission receives the final report and makes decisions over the sedimentary areas aptitude for oil and gas (zoning) and recommendations to project-EIA requirements

#IAIA18

Page 12: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OUTLINE

Oil and gasplanning in

Brazil

Building theSEA

Implementation(?) of thenormative

X reasons why?

#IAIA18

Page 13: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

IMPLEMENTING THE SEA

Page 14: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

IMPLEMENTING THE SEA

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SEA Normative

enacted

CTA

established

Area selected Draft ToR

public consultation

New tender for

consultancy

First consultancy

tender

2nd tender

results

#IAIA18

Page 15: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

IMPLEMENTING THE SEA

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SEA Normative

enacted

CTA

established

Area selected Draft ToR

public consultation

New tender for

consultancy

First consultancy

tender

2nd tender

results

#IAIA18

11th bidding

round

12th bidding

round13th bidding

round

14th bidding

round

15th bidding

round

1st PSA

round2nd and 3rd

PSA round

Page 16: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

OUTLINE

Oil and gasplanning in

Brazil

Building theSEA

Implementation(?) of thenormative

X reasons why?

#IAIA18

Page 17: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

X REASONS WHY?

Conjunctural/

Political

InstitutionalSubstantive

#IAIA18

Page 18: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

SPECIFIC PLANNING TRADITION

• Limits possible SEA outcomes

• Is the energy sector reallywilling to open its planningprocess?

• May have influenced the design of the instrument

#IAIA18

Page 19: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

POLITICAL WINDOWS OF OPPORTUNITY

#IAIA18

The longerit takes

The farther it is from

the original setting

The more re-

agreements are needed

Page 20: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

CONSENSUS CAN BE A TRICKY CONCEPT

Consensus normative

Ministry ofEnvironment

goals

Ministry ofEnergy

goals

Sub-optimal regulation#IAIA18

Page 21: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

MAIN TAKEOVERS

▪ Implementing a SEA directive can be very challenging

▪ Political timing is critical

▪ Forged consensus can be deceptive

▪ EA instruments can only be as good as the overall governance in place

#IAIA18

Page 22: When a sea normative fails - conferences.iaia.orgconferences.iaia.org/2018/uploads/presentations/When a sea... · • Prominp –National Petroleum Industry Mobilization Program •

THANKS FOR YOUR [email protected]