What next for local government? Carolyn Downs Chief Executive Local Government Association 7 December 2012
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What next for local government?
Carolyn Downs
Chief Executive
Local Government Association
7 December 2012
This is what we would once have called a funding shortfall
£40,000
£45,000
£50,000
£55,000
£60,0002010/1
1
2011/1
2
2012/1
3
2013/1
4
2014/1
5
2015/1
6
2016/1
7
2017/1
8
2018/1
9
2019/2
0
£ (
mill
ion)
Net Expenditure Income
Living within our means: the squeeze on service spending for all councils
Money available for all other services
Social Care
Environmental
£0
£10,000
£20,000
£30,000
£40,000
£50,000
£60,00020
10/1
1
2011
/12
2012
/13
2013
/14
2014
/15
2015
/16
2016
/17
2017
/18
2018
/19
2019
/20
£ (m
illio
n)
Socia l Care - Chi ldren Socia l Care - AdultsEnvironment (inc Waste) Money ava i lable for a l l other services
“Don’t Panic!” “Yes but, no but!”
Living within our means: the squeeze on service spending for all councils
Money available for all other services
Social Care
Environmental
£0
£10,000
£20,000
£30,000
£40,000
£50,000
£60,00020
10/1
1
2011
/12
2012
/13
2013
/14
2014
/15
2015
/16
2016
/17
2017
/18
2018
/19
2019
/20
£ (m
illio
n)
Socia l Care - Chi ldren Socia l Care - AdultsEnvironment (inc Waste) Money ava i lable for a l l other services
The impact of cuts in the last 12 months…and the next 12 months
17%8%
55%
72%
27%20%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Improved Worsened stayed the same
ComRes survey of councillors: November 2012
Last 12 months Next 12 months
Councils’ borrowing
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
£ b
illio
n
Public sector net borrowing
Local government net borrowing
The Travers’ report
Councils’ borrowing is modest and consistent
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