What Investor’s need to know about the Massachusetts Port Authority (or any other airport…) Presentation by Betsy Taylor to MAGNY April 4, 2014
Mar 31, 2015
What Investor’s need to know about the Massachusetts Port Authority
(or any other airport…)
Presentation by Betsy Taylorto MAGNY
April 4, 2014
Topics
1. What investors’ should know about airport’s in general?
2. What should investors’ know about Logan Airport?
3. What does Massport’s Director of Finance worry about?
4. Your questions
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Key Questions
• What is the number of passengers & is that number increasing?
• Is the Airport an Origin/Destination or a HUB?• What is the airport’s service area and what is
that region’s capacity to generate ticket sales?• What is the airport’s competition?• What is the airport’s capital plan?• What are the airport’s debt policies and what
protection is provided by the bond documents?
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Massport Overview• Massport is a body politic and
corporate and a public instrumentality of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts
• Massport is governed by a seven- member Board appointed by the Governor of the Commonwealth, one of whom shall be the Secretary of Transportation
• Massport owns, operates and manages Boston Logan Airport, Hanscom Field, Worcester Regional Airport, and Port Properties consisting of certain facilities in the Port of Boston and other properties
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Key elements of Massport’s Credit Strength
• Massport’s credit profile remains strong as management continues to produce sound financial results to maintain AA/Aa3/AA-ratings
• Logan’s traffic is over 90% O&D• Logan added 5 new international carriers in the past year: Copa,
JAL, Emirates, Turkish and Hunan• Boston has a diverse economy with per capital income 30% above
the national average• Manageable $1.2 billion capital plan with only $240M in new debt• Conservative debt profile with level debt payments, no derivatives
and limited use of variable rate debt• Record of proactive management to successfully navigate in the
dynamic airline industry
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Logan’s passenger growth to reach 31 million passengers by end of 2014
• Factors Contributing to Logan’s Passenger Growth
1. MA Economic Growth: – Employment growth is expected to be 1.4% in 2014 and 1.9% in 2015– MA economic growth, through 2017, is expected to grow 2.7% in real
GDP and 3.6% in Personal Income.
2. Changes in Airline Service– Advanced airline schedules indicate a 2.4% increase in Logan’s seat
capacity during the first half of 2014 – Over the past 4 years, passenger traffic has outpaced the growth in
airline seats
3. Logan Airport’s Regional Passenger Market Share: – Logan has steadily increased its share of the regional market, but at
diminishing rates
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Source: New England Economic Partnership Nov 2013: MassachusettsSource: New England Economic Partnership Nov 2013: Massachusetts
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Passenger growth being boosted by JetBlue’s continued expansion at Logan Airport.
Logan Airport passenger growth to reach new record highs in 2014 with nearly 31M passengers
Note: Excludes GA passengers. CY 2013 passenger traffic including GA was 30.2M. Source: Massport and ICF SH&E forecast
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In 2013, JetBlue Expansion was Largely Responsible for the Capacity Growth at Logan
Note: Top 10 carriers based on scheduled seats for CY2013Source: OAG Schedules
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Source: Airport Records -12 Months ending Nov 2013 for PVD & MHT; CY 2013 for BOS
In 2013, Logan’s Share of Boston Region Passengers Increased by 0.5 Percentage Points
Total Passengers (BOS/PVD/MHT)
36.7M 36.9M 34.5M 33.0M 34.1M 35.5M 35.3M 35.5M*
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YE Nov 2013
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
75.2% 75.9% 75.7% 77.2%80.2% 81.4% 82.7% 83.3%
14.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.2% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1%
10.7% 10.5% 10.7% 9.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.9% 6.6%
Logan Providence Manchester
Overview of Logan’s recent business activity 30.2 million passengers served by Logan Airport in CY 13, a 3.4%
increase of 983,000 passenger over the previous year.
Airline operations and landed weights increased 1.9% and 3.5%, respectively, in CY 13 to keep pace with passenger demand.
Logan commercial parking revenue increased 3.5% due longer stays and higher Gold Pass revenue.
Rental car transactions days are up 8.2%. In Terminal concession revenues are $1.0 million, or 7% over budget driven by a 5% increase in enplanements and 4% increase in average sales per passenger.
HOV activity is trending ahead with Logan Express up 4.8% over budget and Blue Line T outbound turnstile counts 6.4% ahead of CY 2012.
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Massport’s 5-year net revenue generates $513 M to fund the Authority’s 5-year capital program
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$590 Revenue
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY180
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
$88 $99 $118 $115 $125
$99 $101 $95 $109 $109
$403 $424 $441 $459 $473
$590
$624 Revenue $654 Revenue
$683 Revenue
$707 Revenue
Revenue
Debt Service
Days Cash
MPA Expenses in $M$707 Revenue
The Use of Bonds and Existing I & E Balances Fund FY14-FY18 Capital Programs
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In Million $FY13-FY17
Program(Prior)FY14-FY18
Program(New)
Capital Program Funding SourcesNet Operating Earnings (5 years) 294$ 513$ Prior Year Balances* 98$ -$ GARB Bonds 2010 & 2012 120$ 57$ GARB Bonds 2014 & 2017 118$ 240$ PFC Funding 130$ 126$ FAA & TSA Grants 161$ 186$
Massport Generated Funding 920$ 1,121$
ConRac FundingCFC Bonds & ConRac Pay-Go 193$ 84$
Remaining ConRac Funding 193$ 84$
Massport's 5 Year Capital Program Funding 1,113$ 1,205$
FY14-18 Capital Plan produces financial metrics consistent with Massport’s debt policy
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Massport's Debt Policy
Goals
FY13 Actual
FY14 Budget
FY15 Forecast
FY16 Forecast
FY17 Forecast
FY18 Forecast
Debt Coverage 1.75 2.47 2.08 2.17 2.44 2.25 2.34Contribution Margin ≥30% 34.90% 31.04% 31.77% 31.88% 32.39% 32.48%Airline Cost/Enplaned Passenger $13.16 $14.59 $14.64 $15.57 $16.03 $16.66Days Cash projected (New Program) 200 395 311 267 222 292 385Operating Ratio ≤70% 61.60% 65.47% 65.07% 64.92% 64.48% 64.37%Note: Operating Ratio is expenses with PILOT/divided by operating revenue*Large Hub Airports
• Credit Rating Agency confidence reflected in Aa3/AA-/AA ratings• $1.6 Billion in debt: 90% is fixed rate• 10% of outstanding debt has been variable rate since 2003• No swaps or swaptions
2013 debt service after the 2012A new issue and 2012B refunding.
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Massport’s Conservative Debt Structure
Five year Financing Plan Conclusions
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1. Massport’s Aviation, Port, and Real Estate businesses will grow in 2015:– Logan Airport to reach 31 million passengers in 2014 on the strength of the MA economy, new
international service offerings, and continued growth in the N.E. market share
– Maritime’s financial performance expected to improve from growth in container activity next year (113, 000 to be serviced) as exports to Europe grow and the local economy and employment in MA expands.
– Commercial Real Estate expected to grow $1.5M from higher rents, new investments, and parking which will assist Maritime to meet its capital investment needs.
2. Priority investments and fiscal discipline required to advance Massport’s Ten Strategic goals– Management set a target of 5% budget growth next year, and subsequent years, based passenger
activity, increases in flight operations, our growing infrastructure footprint, more HOV service offerings, real estate business activity, and increased Port operations.
3. Five-year financial plan adheres to Board’s Debt Policy and Preserves Massport AA bond rating – New revenue from rate adjustments for parking, GTU, cruise, and tariffs are essential to generate the
$500M in capital investments incorporated in the FY 14-18 capital program.
– Staff is planning to issue approximately $200 million in new Bonds in July.
What keeps the Director of Finance up at night?
• Impacts of airline mergers – Balancing need for new construction with impacts of vacant gates
• Viability of airline special facility bonds
• How much do we invest to accommodate changing international patterns? e.g: A380
• Shifting attitude of FAA toward PFCs make timely access to those funds challenging
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• Questions?
• Contact information:– Betsy Taylor– Director of Finance & Treasury– 617-568-1047– [email protected]
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