Welfare and state intervention, taxation Inequality Pareto efficiency The theorems of welfare
Dec 26, 2015
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
InequalityPareto efficiency
The theorems of welfare
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
Welfare theory is a particular aspect of economics, which attempts to measure and influence welfare at the level of the economy, and not the individual What makes it particular is that it typically
contains normative aspects (value judgments) Ex: How can you determine a “fair” allocation ?
But it is an important part of economic theory And an important part of an economist’s job!
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
Measuring inequality
Pareto efficiency
The theorems of welfare
The effects of taxation
Measuring inequality
Why is inequality an important issue? Why is it important to be able to measure it?
Inequality is often important from a public perception point of view
Therefore it is important as a policy issue, so it needs to be measured properly
From the point of view of positive theory, inequality is not really the issue, efficiency is remember the “cool head & warm heart” idea of
Samuelson
Measuring inequality
First, there are different types of inequalities Income : minimum wage in France 12000 € annually
vs. 6.57million € for the CEO of l’Oreal in 2004 (he’s worth it…)
Wealth : Bill Gates’ 59 Billion $ vs. an unskilled labourer (his only asset is the value of his time)
Ability : Zidane, Federer, Eminem vs. adults with untreated learning disabilities
Not all can be easily measured or modified by public intervention The typical focus is on income/wealth inequality
Measuring inequality
The following data gives the distribution of income over the US population
Source: US Census Bureau
Share of income by quintiles
Year Lowest Second Middle Fourth Highest
1998 3,6 9 15 23,2 49,2
1988 3,8 9,6 16 24,3 46,3
1978 4,3 10,3 16,9 24,8 43,7
1968 4,2 11,1 17,5 24,4 42,8
Measuring inequality
Share of income by quintiles
Year Lowest Second Middle Fourth Highest
1998 3,6 9 15 23,2 49,2
1988 3,8 9,6 16 24,3 46,3
1978 4,3 10,3 16,9 24,8 43,7
1968 4,2 11,1 17,5 24,4 42,8
Measuring inequality
There is a much easier way of visualising this data: The Lorenz curve
Definition The Lorenz curve is the plot of the cumulative
share of income This variable is not really intuitive in a table,
but very useful in a graph You can find the share of income of any given
percentage of the population
Measuring inequality
Let’s calculate the cumulative shares for 1998:
Share of income by quintiles
Year Lowest Second Middle Fourth Highest
1998 3,6 9 15 23,2 49,2
Cumulative share
1998 3,6 12,6 27,6 50,8 100
Measuring inequality
Plot of the curve :
The green line is the even distribution
The red is the Lorenz curve
It gives the share of income of any given % of the population
Measuring inequality
Let’s add the curve for 1968 as a comparison
Measuring inequality
Let’s add the curve for 1968 as a comparison
There is less of a “bulge” in the Lorenz curve
Income was more equally distributed in 1968
Measuring inequality
Lorenz curve provides an easy, visual way of identifying changes in the distribution of income
It also provides a numerical measure of inequality The Gini coefficient (or Gini Index) This coefficient allows us to rank any set of
distributions from the most unequal to the most equal
Measuring inequality
The Gini coefficient is calculated as follows:
It tells us what percentage of the distribution space is occupied by the “bulge” of the Lorenz curve The higher the
percentage, the more unequal the distribution
AB
BA
Ag
Measuring inequality
Extreme case N°1:
The distribution of income is perfectly even
A=0
The Gini coefficient is 0 if there is no inequality
BBA
Ag
00
0
Bg
Measuring inequality
Extreme case N°2:
The distribution of income is perfectly uneven
B=0
The Gini coefficient is 1 if there is perfect inequality
ABA
Ag
10
A
Ag
Measuring inequality
Evolution of the Gini coefficient of income
Source: World Bank, K.W. Deininger
Brazil Canada
Costa Rica
Finland
Japan Nether -lands
1977 0,60* 0,32 0,5 0,3 0,34 0,28
1981 0,55 0,32 0,48 0,32 0,34 0,27
1984 0,57** 0,33 0,47* 0,31 0,36* 0,28*
1989 0,59 0,28 0,46 0,26* 0,38 0,3
Notes * 1976** 1983
*1983 *1991 *1985 *1983
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
Measuring inequality
Pareto efficiency
The theorems of welfare
The effects of taxation
Pareto efficiency
Definition of Pareto efficiency (Vilfredo Pareto) : An allocation is Pareto-efficient if it is not
possible to make an agent better off without making an other agent worse off
A Pareto-improvement: Makes at least one agent better off, all other
agents begin equally well-off as before. A Pareto efficient allocation is one where
there are no possible Pareto-improvements
Pareto efficiency
This can be analysed more intuitively using an “Edgeworth box”
This is a theoretical tool used to examine the trading decisions of: Two agents: 1 and 2 Trading two goods A and B
Main advantage: it is based on consumer choice theory
Pareto efficiency
Good A Good A
Building an Edgeworth box
Agent 1 Agent 2
Good BGood B
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
Pareto efficiency
Good A Good A
Building an Edgeworth box
Agent 1 Agent 2
Good BGood B
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
Pareto efficiency
Good A
Good A
Building an Edgeworth box
Agent 1
Agent 2
Good B
Good BAmax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
Pareto efficiency
Agent 1
Agent 2
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
Any point within the box is a possible allocation
It divides the total amount of goods A and B available between agents 1 and 2
But how do we determine which ones are Pareto efficient, and which ones are not ?
Pareto efficiency
Agent 1
Agent 2
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
Let’s re-introduce some indifference curves and an allocation (X)
Is X Pareto efficient ? No, because by trading
goods, both agents can move to a higher indifference curve !
X → Y is a Pareto-improvement Y, however, is Pareto
efficient.
Y
X
Pareto efficiency
Agent 1
Agent 2
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
So all the points where the indifference curves are tangent are Pareto-efficient.
Joining them up gives the set of all the possible Pareto-efficient allocations.
This is know as the “Contract Curve”
Y
X
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
Measuring inequality
Pareto efficiency
The theorems of welfare
The effects of taxation
The theorems of welfare
There are 2 “fundamental theorems of Welfare” They are also due to Pareto They can be analysed using the Edgeworth box
Although they might seem a little “dry” in their definitions, they are crucial to understanding : Why economists see free markets as a social
optimum, Why there can nevertheless be a role for public
intervention.
The theorems of welfare
The 1st fundamental theorem of welfare All competitive market equilibria are Pareto-
efficient.
In other words, a competitive market will exhaust all the possible gains from trade
This is illustrated by the example we saw in the Edgeworth box: people are willing to trade until their indifference curves are tangent and there are no further gains to trading.
The theorems of welfare
The 1st fundamental theorem of welfare However, as we saw previously with the contract
curve, this does not tell us anything about the other desirable properties of the equilibrium
The Pareto-efficient allocation might not be “fair”
Remember, if Agent 1 owns everything and Agent 2 owns nothing, this is an efficient allocation, but maybe not a socially desirable one!
The theorems of welfare
The 2nd fundamental theorem of welfare If preferences are convex, there is always a
set of prices such that each Pareto-efficient equilibrium is a market equilibrium for appropriate initial endowments
With convex preferences, the Pareto-efficient allocation is determined by the tangency of 2 indifference curves
Remember basic consumer choice: this slope will also give the relative prices!!
The theorems of welfare
The 2nd fundamental theorem of welfare
Agent 1
Agent 2
Amax
Bmax
Amax
Bmax
∙ Imagine we are at X, But we’d rather be at Z, in terms of fairness.
∙ The theorem tells us that because preferences are convex, there exists a set of relative prices (the dotted line) which supports this equilibrium
∙ Z can be achieved simply by redistributing the initial endowment to Y
Y
XZ
The theorems of welfare
Implications of the 2 theorems 1st : Under the assumption of competitive
behaviour, markets with selfish agents can achieve the highest possible efficiency
2nd : Under the assumption of “well behaved” preferences, the allocative role of prices (scarcity) is separate from the distributive role (the constraint on your level of consumption)
The 2 can be separated: The state can redistribute the initial endowments, and leave the market to allocate efficiently
Welfare and state intervention, taxation
Measuring inequality
Pareto efficiency
The theorems of welfare
The effects of taxation
The effects of taxation
The 2nd fundamental theorem of welfare tells us that we can move to a different Pareto-efficient allocation by redistributing the initial endowment In practice, this would amount to taxing the
initial endowments and redistributing as necessary
But in reality, there is a problemWhat is an “endowment” ? How do we tax it
?
The effects of taxation
For most people, the basis of their endowment is the amount of labour they could sell on the market It is not a simple bundle of goods (as in the
Edgeworth box) So taxing their income, (the labour they have
sold) affects the relative price of labour (the wages)
This can in turn affect the decision to sell labour The tax distorts the relative prices, and there is
an efficiency loss
The effects of taxation
This effect is not too large, as labour supply decisions are not that sensitive (as we will see in a few weeks) But this points out the difficulty of going from the
theoretical results to the practical reality
Another problem is when taxes / subsidies affect the price of goods directly. (ex, VAT) The distortion on prices can be very important in
this case Read about the example of Iraq in Varian, p.306
The effects of taxation
P
QQ1
Pcons.
Pprod.
TUnit Tax
Deadweight loss
S
D
The effects of taxation
P
QQ1
Pcons.
Pprod.
Unit Subsidy
Deadweight loss
S
D