1 Welcome to Welcome to EC 209: Managerial EC 209: Managerial Economics- Group A Economics- Group A By: By: Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Week Two Week Two
Jan 12, 2016
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Welcome to Welcome to EC 209: Managerial EC 209: Managerial Economics- Group AEconomics- Group ABy:By: Dr. Jacqueline KhorassaniDr. Jacqueline Khorassani
Week TwoWeek Two
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Class OneClass One
Monday, September 10Monday, September 10
11:00-11:5011:00-11:50Fottrell (AM)Fottrell (AM)
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AnnouncementAnnouncement We are looking for 2 students from 2nd We are looking for 2 students from 2nd
Commerce to come forward for the Commerce to come forward for the Staff/Student Liaison Committee; as well Staff/Student Liaison Committee; as well as two students from the B.Comm Intl and as two students from the B.Comm Intl and BSc in BIS classes.BSc in BIS classes.
Contact:Contact: Mairéad MacKenzie Mairéad MacKenzie
Administrative Assistant Administrative Assistant Commerce Faculty Commerce Faculty NUI, Galway NUI, Galway
Phone: 091 492612 Phone: 091 492612 Fax: 091 494546 Fax: 091 494546 E-mail: [email protected]: [email protected]
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Good morningGood morning
How was your weekend?How was your weekend? I am fineI am fine I am adjustingI am adjusting This morning, I thought I saw a 6-This morning, I thought I saw a 6-
7 year old boy driving!!!!7 year old boy driving!!!!– Oooops, the wrong side of the car!!! Oooops, the wrong side of the car!!!
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I did not receive any questions I did not receive any questions from you on Chapter One, so from you on Chapter One, so let’s practicelet’s practice
If the interest rate is 7% and cash flows If the interest rate is 7% and cash flows are $4,000 at the end of year one and are $4,000 at the end of year one and $6,000 at the end of year two, then the $6,000 at the end of year two, then the present value of these cash flows is present value of these cash flows is – A)A) $8,979. $8,979. – B)B) $11,149. $11,149. – C)C) $309. $309. – D)D) $9,346. $9,346.
The answer is AThe answer is A
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AnswerAnswer
PV = (4000/1.07) + (6000/(1.07)PV = (4000/1.07) + (6000/(1.07)22))
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
If the interest rate is 4%, the If the interest rate is 4%, the present value of $1000 received present value of $1000 received at the end of 3 years is at the end of 3 years is – A)A) $970. $970. – B)B) $1,040. $1,040. – C)C) $889. $889. – D)D) $961. $961.
The answer is C The answer is C
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AnswerAnswer
PV = 1000/(1.04)PV = 1000/(1.04)33
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
Maximizing the firm's current profits is Maximizing the firm's current profits is the same as maximizing the lifetime the same as maximizing the lifetime value of the firm when the value of the firm when the – A)A) growth rate in profits is larger than the growth rate in profits is larger than the
interest rate. interest rate. – B)B) growth rate in profits and the interest growth rate in profits and the interest
rate are equal. rate are equal. – C)C) interest rate is constant and is smaller interest rate is constant and is smaller
than the growth rate in profits. than the growth rate in profits. – D)D) interest rate is larger than the growth interest rate is larger than the growth
rate in profits and both are constant. rate in profits and both are constant. The answer is DThe answer is D
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Chapter 2: You have already seen Chapter 2: You have already seen these topics in other courses. You did these topics in other courses. You did not send me any questions . So we not send me any questions . So we move fast.move fast.
What is the demand curve for What is the demand curve for managerial textbook at NUI-managerial textbook at NUI-Galway? Galway? – It is a curve that shows the number of It is a curve that shows the number of
textbooks that will be purchased at textbooks that will be purchased at alternative prices, holding other alternative prices, holding other factors constant.factors constant.
D
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What is the law of What is the law of demand?demand? It states that, all else being It states that, all else being
constant, the demand curve is constant, the demand curve is downward sloping.downward sloping.
Quantity
Price
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What factors other than price What factors other than price affect the demand for affect the demand for managerial textbook?managerial textbook?
Number of students in managerial Number of students in managerial classclass
Income (budget) of studentsIncome (budget) of students Tuitions and fees at NUI (the price Tuitions and fees at NUI (the price
of complements)of complements) What else?What else? If the above factors change the If the above factors change the
demand curve will shift.demand curve will shift.
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What is a demand What is a demand function?function?
It is an equation representing the It is an equation representing the demand curvedemand curve
QQxxd d = f(P= f(Px x ,, PPY Y , M, H,), M, H,)
– QQxxd d = quantity demand of good X = quantity demand of good X
(textbooks). (textbooks). – PPx x = price of good X (textbooks).= price of good X (textbooks).– PPY Y = price of a related good (tuitions).= price of a related good (tuitions).– M = income.M = income.– H = any other variable affecting demand.H = any other variable affecting demand.
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What is an inverse What is an inverse Demand FunctionDemand Function
Price as a function of quantity Price as a function of quantity demanded.demanded.
Example:Example:– Demand FunctionDemand Function
QQxxd d = 10 – 2P= 10 – 2Px x
– Inverse Demand Function:Inverse Demand Function: 2P2Px x = 10 – Q= 10 – Qxx
dd
PPx x = 5 – 0.5Q= 5 – 0.5Qxxdd
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What changes the What changes the quantity demanded?quantity demanded?
Price
Quantity
D0
4 7
6
A to B: Increase in quantity demanded
B
10 A Quantity demanded increased because price decreased.
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Price
Quantity
D0
D1
6
7
D0 to D1: Increase in Demand
Change in DemandChange in Demand
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Demand increased because tuitions went down.
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
Which of the following is most likely to Which of the following is most likely to shift the demand curve for electricity to shift the demand curve for electricity to the left? the left? – A)A) Consumers becoming more energy Consumers becoming more energy
conscious. conscious. – B)B) An increase in income. An increase in income. – C)C) A decrease in the price of electricity. A decrease in the price of electricity. – D)D) An increase in the price of natural gas, a An increase in the price of natural gas, a
substitute source of energy.substitute source of energy. The answer is AThe answer is A
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What is the consumer What is the consumer surplus? surplus?
The value consumers get from a The value consumers get from a good but do not have to pay for. good but do not have to pay for. Or,Or,
The difference between the The difference between the highest price consumers will pay highest price consumers will pay and the actual market price.and the actual market price.
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I got a great deal!I got a great deal!
That company offers a That company offers a lot of bang for the lot of bang for the buck!buck!
Dell provides good Dell provides good value.value.
Total value greatly Total value greatly exceeds total amount exceeds total amount paid.paid.
Consumer surplus is Consumer surplus is large.large.
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I got a lousy deal!I got a lousy deal!
That car dealer drives a That car dealer drives a hard bargain! hard bargain!
I almost decided not to I almost decided not to buy it!buy it!
They tried to squeeze They tried to squeeze the very last cent from the very last cent from me!me!
Total amount paid is Total amount paid is close to total value.close to total value.
Consumer surplus is lowConsumer surplus is low..
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Price
Quantity
D
10
8
6
4
Market price =2
1 2 3 4 5
Consumer Surplus=the value received but notpaid for = (8-2) + (6-2) + (4-2) = $12.
What is consumer What is consumer surplus? surplus?
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Consumer Surplus:Consumer Surplus:The Continuous CaseThe Continuous Case
Price $
Quantity
D
10
8
6
4
Market price =2
1 2 3 4 5
Total Valueof 4 units=area under the demand curve= $24Consumer
Surplus = $24 - $8 = $16
Expenditure on 4 units = $2 x 4 = $8
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Managerial Economics: Managerial Economics: Week Two, Class 2Week Two, Class 2 Week One- Class 2 Week One- Class 2
– Tuesday, September 11Tuesday, September 11– CairnessCairness
In classIn class– Please turn off your phones.Please turn off your phones.– Have paper, pencil, calculator, notes Have paper, pencil, calculator, notes
with youwith you
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Teaching AssistantTeaching Assistant
Darragh Flannery Darragh Flannery [email protected]@nuigalway.ie Office: 234 , St. Anthony'sOffice: 234 , St. Anthony's Office Hours beginning September Office Hours beginning September
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– 10 AM till 1 PM and 3 PM till 6 PM10 AM till 1 PM and 3 PM till 6 PM
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The first set of Aplia The first set of Aplia assignments are upassignments are up You have till September 25 to You have till September 25 to
complete the assignmentcomplete the assignment– Do the practice questions firstDo the practice questions first– There are 4 graded problems and 4 There are 4 graded problems and 4
multiple choice question.multiple choice question.– You can work on it a little at a timeYou can work on it a little at a time
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You will need to You will need to purchase the book as purchase the book as soon as possible.soon as possible. Don’t have to buy from the Don’t have to buy from the
bookshopbookshop– You will need a copy of a chapter in You will need a copy of a chapter in
another book lateranother book later I have left a copy of the first 3 I have left a copy of the first 3
chapters of the book at the media chapters of the book at the media center (printing services) in this center (printing services) in this building.building.
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What is the Supply Curve for What is the Supply Curve for
managerial textbook at NUI-Galway?managerial textbook at NUI-Galway?
The supply curve shows the number The supply curve shows the number of a textbooks that will be supplied of a textbooks that will be supplied at alternative prices.at alternative prices.
Price
Quantity
S0
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What is the law of What is the law of supply?supply? All else being constant, All else being constant, the supply the supply
curve is upward sloping.curve is upward sloping.
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What are some of the other What are some of the other determinants of supply besides determinants of supply besides price?price?
Price of paperPrice of paper TechnologyTechnology Tax on booksTax on books Tariff on imported inkTariff on imported ink Price of accounting book (substitute in Price of accounting book (substitute in
production)production) What else?What else?
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What is the Supply What is the Supply Function?Function? An equation representing the supply An equation representing the supply
curve:curve:
QQxxS S = f(P= f(Px x ,P,PR, W, H,), W, H,)
– QQxxS S = quantity supplied of books. = quantity supplied of books.
– PPx x = price of book.= price of book.
– PPR R = price of accounting book= price of accounting book
– W = price of inputs (e.g., wages).W = price of inputs (e.g., wages).– H = other variable affecting supply.H = other variable affecting supply.
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What is an inverse What is an inverse Supply Function?Supply Function?
Price as a function of quantity Price as a function of quantity supplied.supplied.
Example:Example:– Supply FunctionSupply Function
QQxxs s = 10 + 2P= 10 + 2Px x
– Inverse Supply Function:Inverse Supply Function: 2P2Px x = 10 + Q= 10 + Qxx
ss
PPx x = 5 + 0.5Q= 5 + 0.5Qxxss
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Change in Quantity Change in Quantity SuppliedSuppliedPrice
Quantity
S0
20
10
B
A
5 10
A to B: Increase in quantity supplied
Quantity supplied will increase only if price increases
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Price
Quantity
S0
S1
8
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S0 to S1: Increase in supply
Change in SupplyChange in Supply
Supply will increase because of a change in a factor other than price of the good.
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Is the following Is the following statement true or statement true or false?false? An additional tariff on imported An additional tariff on imported
wine from France will decrease wine from France will decrease the quantity of French wine the quantity of French wine supplied in Ireland.supplied in Ireland.– FalseFalse
An additional tariff on imported wine An additional tariff on imported wine from France will decrease the supply of from France will decrease the supply of French wine in Ireland.French wine in Ireland.
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
Graphically, a hurricane that destroys Graphically, a hurricane that destroys 30 percent of the orange trees in 30 percent of the orange trees in Florida will cause the supply curve for Florida will cause the supply curve for oranges to oranges to – A)A) shift rightward. shift rightward. – B)B) shift leftward. shift leftward. – C)C) become flatter. become flatter. – D)D) become steeper. become steeper.
The answer is BThe answer is B
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
Holding all else constant, as additional Holding all else constant, as additional firms leave an industry firms leave an industry – A)A) more output is available at each given more output is available at each given
price. price. – B)B) less output is available at each given less output is available at each given
price. price. – C)C) the same output is available at each the same output is available at each
given price. given price. – D)D) Unable to tell. Unable to tell.
Answer: BAnswer: B
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What is producer What is producer surplus?surplus?
The amount producers receive in excess of the The amount producers receive in excess of the amount necessary to induce them to produce the amount necessary to induce them to produce the good.good.
Price
Quantity
S0
Q*
P*
Producer surplus = P – marginal cost
The points on the supply curve represent the price necessary to induce suppliers to supply = marginal cost
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What is market What is market equilibrium?equilibrium?
Balancing supply and Balancing supply and demanddemand
QQxxS S = Q= Qxx
dd
Steady-stateSteady-state
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Price
Quantity
S
D
5
6 12
Shortage12 - 6 = 6
6
If price is too low…If price is too low…
7
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Price
Quantity
S
D
9
14
Surplus14 - 6 = 8
6
8
8
If price is too high…If price is too high…
7
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Managerial EconomicsManagerial Economics
Week Two, Class 3Week Two, Class 3 Thursday, September 13Thursday, September 13 15:10-16:0015:10-16:00 TyndallTyndall
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Don’t forget to Don’t forget to register for Apliaregister for Aplia Directions on my course contract Directions on my course contract
atat www.mareitta.edu/~khorassjwww.mareitta.edu/~khorassj Assignment 1 is due September Assignment 1 is due September
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Comparative Static Comparative Static AnalysisAnalysis
shows how the equilibrium price shows how the equilibrium price and quantity will change when a and quantity will change when a determinant of supply or demand determinant of supply or demand changes.changes.
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How can managers use How can managers use the comparative static the comparative static analysis to make analysis to make decisions?decisions? Event: The Event: The WSJWSJ reports that reports that
the prices of PC components the prices of PC components are expected to fall by 5-8 are expected to fall by 5-8 percent over the next six percent over the next six months.months.
Scenario 1:Scenario 1: You manage a You manage a small firm that manufactures small firm that manufactures PCs.PCs.
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As a manager of a small As a manager of a small PC maker, you will PC maker, you will need toneed to
Step 1: Look for the “Big Picture.”Step 1: Look for the “Big Picture.” Step 2: Organize an action plan Step 2: Organize an action plan
(worry about details).(worry about details).
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Step 1: Consider the Step 1: Consider the market for PCsmarket for PCs Price of components are expected Price of components are expected
to go downto go down Cost of production of PCs is Cost of production of PCs is
expected to go expected to go – downdown
Supply of PCs is expected to go Supply of PCs is expected to go – upup
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Priceof
PCs
Quantity of PC’s
S
D
S*
P0
P*
Q0 Q*
Big Picture: Impact of decline Big Picture: Impact of decline in component prices on PC in component prices on PC marketmarket
Price of PCs is expected to go down and quantity of PCs is expected to go up
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Equilibrium price of PCs will fall, Equilibrium price of PCs will fall, and equilibrium quantity of and equilibrium quantity of computers sold will increase.computers sold will increase.
Use this to organize an action planUse this to organize an action plan– contracts/suppliers?contracts/suppliers?– inventories?inventories?– human resources?human resources?– marketing?marketing?– do I need quantitative estimates?do I need quantitative estimates?
Big Picture Analysis: PC Big Picture Analysis: PC MarketMarket
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How can managers use How can managers use the comparative static the comparative static analysis to make analysis to make decisions? decisions? Event: The Event: The WSJWSJ reports that the reports that the
prices of PC components are prices of PC components are expected to fall by 5-8 percent expected to fall by 5-8 percent over the next six months.over the next six months.
Scenario 2Scenario 2: You manage a small : You manage a small software company.software company.
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Scenario 2: Software Scenario 2: Software MakerMaker
Step 1: Use analysis like that in Step 1: Use analysis like that in Scenario 1 to deduce that lower Scenario 1 to deduce that lower component prices will lead tocomponent prices will lead to– a lower equilibrium price for computers.a lower equilibrium price for computers.– a greater number of computers sold.a greater number of computers sold.
Step 2: How will these changes affect Step 2: How will these changes affect the “Big Picture” in the software the “Big Picture” in the software market?market?
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Priceof Software
Quantity ofSoftware
S
D
Q0
D*
P1
Q1
Big Picture: Impact of lower Big Picture: Impact of lower PC prices on the software PC prices on the software marketmarket
P0
Price goes up and quantity goes up
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Software prices are likely to rise, Software prices are likely to rise, and more software will be sold.and more software will be sold.
How will you use this to organize How will you use this to organize an action plan?an action plan?
Big Picture Analysis: Big Picture Analysis: Software MarketSoftware Market
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ConclusionConclusion
Use supply and demand analysis toUse supply and demand analysis to– clarify the “big picture” (the general clarify the “big picture” (the general
impact of a current event on impact of a current event on equilibrium prices and quantities).equilibrium prices and quantities).
– organize an action plan (needed organize an action plan (needed changes in production, inventories, changes in production, inventories, raw materials, human resources, raw materials, human resources, marketing plans, etc.).marketing plans, etc.).
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What are price What are price restrictions?restrictions? Government decides to set a Government decides to set a
price above or below market price above or below market equilibrium priceequilibrium price
1.1. Price CeilingsPrice Ceilings– The The maximummaximum legal price that can legal price that can
be charged.be charged.– Examples:Examples:
Gasoline prices in the 1970s.Gasoline prices in the 1970s. Rent control in New York City.Rent control in New York City.
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Price
Quantity
S
D
P*
Q*
P Ceiling
Q s
Impact of a Price Impact of a Price CeilingCeiling
Shortage
Q d
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Full Economic PriceFull Economic Price
The dollar amount paid to a firm under The dollar amount paid to a firm under a price ceiling, plus the nonpecuniary a price ceiling, plus the nonpecuniary price.price.
PPF F = P= Pc c + (P+ (PFF - P - PCC) ) PPF F = full economic price= full economic price PPC C = price ceiling= price ceiling PPFF - P - PC C = nonpecuniary price= nonpecuniary price
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An Example from the An Example from the 1970s1970s Ceiling price of gasoline: $1.Ceiling price of gasoline: $1. 3 hours in line to buy 15 gallons of gasoline3 hours in line to buy 15 gallons of gasoline
– Opportunity cost: $5/hr.Opportunity cost: $5/hr.– Total value of time spent in line: 3 Total value of time spent in line: 3
$5 = $15.$5 = $15.– Non-pecuniary price per gallon: Non-pecuniary price per gallon:
$15/15=$1.$15/15=$1. Full economic price of a gallon of gasoline: Full economic price of a gallon of gasoline:
$1+$1=2.$1+$1=2.
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price restrictionsprice restrictions
2. Price Floors2. Price Floors– The The minimumminimum legal price that can legal price that can
be chargedbe charged..– Examples:Examples:
Minimum wage.Minimum wage. Agricultural price supports.Agricultural price supports.
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Impact of a Price FloorImpact of a Price Floor
Price
Quantity
S
D
P*
Q*
Surplus
PF
Qd QS
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Let’s practiceLet’s practice
When government imposes a price ceiling When government imposes a price ceiling above the market price, the result will be above the market price, the result will be that that
A)A) surpluses occur. surpluses occur. B)B) shortages become a problem. shortages become a problem. C)C) supply and demand will shift up to the supply and demand will shift up to the
new equilibrium. new equilibrium. D)D) A price ceiling set above the equilibrium A price ceiling set above the equilibrium
price will have no effect on the market price will have no effect on the market equilibrium. equilibrium.
Answer: DAnswer: D