This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Slide 1
Welcome! January 24 th, 2011
Slide 2
How do we find these stocks to buy in the first place? Stock of
choice Global Summer Program
Slide 3
The one before the rest of society wants to buy that very same
stock Find an undervalued stock FA Stock whose price currently
reflects a trend reversal TA (more on this one another time) Nearly
3,000 companies on NYSE alone Not counting
NASDAQ/AMEX/OTC/Pinks/etc.. How do we navigate this mess?
Slide 4
Pick a market that makes sense to you. Many play the market on
gut Im not comfortable buying shares of a nuclear fusion business.
Focus on sectors that you know and understand! Cars, toothpaste,
clothes, insurance
Slide 5
For now we focus on fundamentals Financial Ratios
Profitability, Leverage, Solvency, Liquidity, Efficiency Comparison
to other companies in the same industry Valuation modeling Is the
companys equity more than its market cap? Basically, you are
looking for stocks with real intrinsic value We will delve into
ratio analysis very soon
Slide 6
By this we mean serious ones not (necessarily) A/P Stay away
from stocks that are in the news because of large and looming
lawsuits. Legal problems can drag on for years, so your best bet is
to steer clear of companies that have these headaches.
Slide 7
At the very least, make sure the majority of analysts are
predicting stable or growth in earnings per share. ***Do not trust
what a single analyst believes, but rather the majority. Still need
to be defensive and take opinions with a grain of salt. The
majority can still be wrong i.e. housing bubble/bank fallout
Companies need to be profitable to stick around.
Slide 8
Duh? You want to pick a stock that is not popular today, yet
could be popular tomorrow. Stock that is being ignored by the
market presently but has the future potential to pull out and
up.
The only surefire way to find a stock is to SEARCH The process
WILL take some time! The more practice, the faster you will become
You tend to know what you want
Slide 11
BRK-A BRK-B
Slide 12
Arguably the most famous Value Investor Age 79 Influenced by
Benjamin Graham Looks at the Underlying investment
Slide 13
Sanborn Map Value of their investment portfolio was $65 a share
(Bonds, Etc.) Was selling at $45 A profitable map making business
essentially being valued at -$20 a share? Took a board seat and
paid a dividend of the investments and then left the map company
behind to continue as it always had!
Slide 14
Holding Company Business Groups Insurance Geico 1995 General Re
Reinsurrance Manufacturing, Retail, Etc. Fruit of the Loom 2002
Benjamin Moore 2000 The Pampered Chef 2002 McLane 2003
Slide 15
Wesco Financial (80%) ComdisCo Holding Co(38.2%) Washington
Post Co (20.46%) USG (16.6%) American Express (12.59%) Moodys
(12.13%) Coca-Cola (8.6%) Wells Fargo (6.41%)
Slide 16
Two Share Classes A Shares (BRK-A) $124,400.00 Full Voting
Rights Convertible to 1500 B Shares B Shares (BRK-B) $64.46.00
1/10,000 th of Voting Rights of the A Share Rather than 1/1,500 th
of the vote Not Convertible
Slide 17
Overall Gain 1964-2008 Berkshire: 362,319% S & P 500:
4,276% Compounded Annual Gain 1965-2008 Berkshire: 20.3% S & P
500: 8.9% 2008 Berkshire: -9.6% S & P 500: -37%
Slide 18
Warren Buffet is a model investor for many Im not necessarily
saying go buy it now but think about it Will be giving full stock
analysis in the future
Slide 19
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. Most people get
interested in stocks when everyone else is. The time to get
interested is when no one else is. You can't buy what is popular
and do well. Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase
price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good
results. If you're an investor, you're looking on what the asset is
going to do, if you're a speculator, you're commonly focusing on
what the price of the object is going to do, and that's not our
game.
Slide 20
Next meeting Elaborate on researching Soon want to open the
floor up for you to give a stock presentation We are getting in
touch with employers and recruiters to come and speak. GSP
Questions?