1 weight of evidence weight of evidence & & environmental models environmental models pascual.pasky @epa.gov pascual.pasky @epa.gov Scientific and Technical Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee Advisory Committee Chesapeake Research Consortium Chesapeake Research Consortium Quarterly Meeting, June 20, 2012 Quarterly Meeting, June 20, 2012 Georgia O’Keefe Georgia O’Keefe less real than realism less real than realism... It is only It is only abstraction of a stream abstraction of a stream by elimination, by elimination, by emphasis by emphasis that we get at that we get at the the real meaning of things real meaning of things. by selection, by selection, Nothing is Nothing is
7
Embed
weight of evidence && environmental models · weight of evidence && environmental models pascual.pasky @epa.gov Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee ... NW Coalition for Alternatives
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
1
weight of evidence weight of evidence & & environmental modelsenvironmental models
Scientific and TechnicalScientific and TechnicalAdvisory CommitteeAdvisory CommitteeChesapeake Research ConsortiumChesapeake Research ConsortiumQuarterly Meeting, June 20, 2012Quarterly Meeting, June 20, 2012
Georgia O’KeefeGeorgia O’Keefe
less real than realismless real than realism...
It is onlyIt is only
abstraction of a streamabstraction of a stream
by elimination, by elimination, by emphasisby emphasis
that we get atthat we get at the the
real meaning of thingsreal meaning of things.
by selection,by selection,
Nothing isNothing is
2
abstraction of a streamabstraction of a streamchlorophyll
(ug/L)
time
Aquatox
Under FQPA, EPA did not explain its choice of Under FQPA, EPA did not explain its choice of 1010--fold fold child safety factor when showing child safety factor when showing pesticide tolerance .pesticide tolerance .
NW Coalition for Alternatives to Pesticides v. EPA (U.S. Court of Appeals, 9NW Coalition for Alternatives to Pesticides v. EPA (U.S. Court of Appeals, 9thth Cir.)Cir.)
20082008
Anacostia TMDL model did not show how Anacostia TMDL model did not show how pollution reductions will meet designated pollution reductions will meet designated use.use.
Anacostia Anacostia RiverkeeperRiverkeeper v. Jackson (U.S. District Court, DC)v. Jackson (U.S. District Court, DC)
20112011
Under ESA, DOI’s Bayesian Network Model Under ESA, DOI’s Bayesian Network Model confirmed direction and scale of threat to confirmed direction and scale of threat to polar bear’s existence.polar bear’s existence.
In re Polar Bear Endangered Species Act Listing (U.S. District Court, DC)In re Polar Bear Endangered Species Act Listing (U.S. District Court, DC)