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Ricardo Conde Portuguese Space Agency WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019
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WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

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Page 1: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Ricardo CondePortuguese Space Agency

WavEC Annual SeminarLisboa, 4Dec2019

Page 2: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 3: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030

• Promote economic grow and the creation of skilled jobs in Portugal by promoting

space-related markets;

• Foster the generation of satellite data through new space Technologies and space-

related infrastructures in Portugal with emphasis on new space industries (New

Space);

• Contribute to the development of the country taking into account the advantages of

Portugal´s geostrategic position of space activities;

• Ensure the development, internationalization and evolution of the legal, financial,

institutional, cultural/educational framework for boosting the development of the

Space sector in Portugal through national initiatives and international cooperation

Page 4: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

STRATEGIC AXES1: Boosting the exploitation of space data and signals through space-based services and

applications, promoting new markets and highly-skilled jobs

To Foster the data exploitation:• Through the services and space applications;• Promoting new market for space• Promoting qualified job;

2: To Foster the development, construction and operations of space infrastructures :• mini, micro and nano-satellites• Launcher services• Increasing the current space-based monitoring earth observations infrastructures;

3: Reinforcing and strengthen national competences in the space sector:• Innovation and R&D;• Education and scientific outreach

Page 5: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 6: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Portugal Space: Founding Members

Private non-for profit

Page 7: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

• An old ambition from the Industry and National institutions

• Recognize the space sector as a pillar of economic and scientific growth

• A close look at the opportunity of the moment (new space)

• A country qualification need

• Greater attention from the new student generation

• A responsible and sustainable look at space utilization

… a journey of 20 years

Page 8: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

To make Portugal as a Space Nation

Page 9: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Focus in the Atantic

Page 10: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

The Portuguese Atlantic Platform

The heart of the North Atlantic Ocean

Strategic location: a raw material to exploit

Page 11: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Many things happens here every day

The North Atlantic region links the Americas, Europeand Africa continents

And brings new challenges and needs:• Environment

Monitoring• Abnormal behavior• Piracy• Tracking good• Safety trading• Climate• Comms (Gateways)• VLBI (Geodetic

Interferometry)

Page 12: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

AI Moonshot Challenge

Combining AI with emerging space technologies

to solve a major problem in Climate Change

.

€500K award will be given to the winning team to perform further research in Portugal.

Page 13: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Democratization of Space

Page 14: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Foster responsible use of space„Space Sustainability“

Page 15: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Space and Non-Space

Page 16: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Space

Air

In situ

information

institutional commercial€

big data

Page 17: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Interdisciplinary

Digital

transformation

Page 18: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Interligação de estratégias:

• Portugal AI 2030

• Portugal Advanced computing 2030

• Portugal Space 2030

Page 19: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Space = Infrastructure and Enabler

Page 20: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Diversification of Platforms to Address User Needs

New Markets for Nano/Microsatellites

Page 21: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 22: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Public Pays Permantly

Page 23: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Public Pays Permantly

Page 24: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Future Business Models?

Future Customers?

Future Business Partners?

Page 25: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Constellations

• Comm/PNT/EO

• Revisiting time

• Resolution

• Frequencies

Upstream

Downstream

Hybrid

Page 26: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Autonomous Shipping

Illegal Fishing

Maritime Piracy Portugal Space

Page 27: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 28: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 29: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Guiding Principles

• balance consolidating and continuation of acquired and proven

competences with investments in new fields of growth and new markets;

• develop subsystem and system competence to increase the Portuguese

presence along the whole value chain (in a European context);

• stimulate user uptake – commercial and institutional – including the user

in the strategic definition process;

• concentrate main efforts in a few strategic fields and support other fields

by opening opportunities to businesses;

• build strong international partnerships;

• build synergies between national-ESA-EU funding for space and other

sectors;

• increase the science output in all fields.

Page 30: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Comprehensive Innovation Policy + Extensive Capacity

Building

• political will and climate

• sound overall configuration

• variety of instruments

• fair (start-up) loans

• acceptance of failure

• access to competition

• access to information

• access to infrastructure

• networking & partnerships

• fair competition

Page 31: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Small-sat EO constellation

Page 32: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Future goal: ubiquitous connectivity

5G

Page 33: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Air Traffic Management

Page 34: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Space Tourism

Page 35: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 36: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Space Weather Impacts on Infrastructure

Astronaut radiation

Radiation damage,

charging/discharging

Solar cell degradation

Satellite navigation

errors

Errors in

directional drilling

Telecommmunication

disturbances

Geomagnetically

induced currents

in power grid

Increased radiation

doses in aviation

Increased atmospheric

drag

Aurora

Page 37: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Lagrange Point 5

forecasting

nowcastingEarth Orbit

Page 38: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Collision Risk Estimation and

Automated Mitigation (CREAM)

Page 39: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

AI for

e.g. Earth

Observation

New Technologies

Page 40: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 41: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Forest Fires

Page 43: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Optimisation of Energy

Page 44: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Natural Disaster Forecast

Page 45: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Development of Drought Resistant Plants

Page 46: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

> Lecture > Author • Document > Date

Plastic Waste Distribution from Space

Page 48: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Coastal Erosion

Page 49: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Democratisation of Access to Space

Page 50: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 51: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 52: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Cost of Access

to Space

Ariane 5ECA

Sojus ST

Atlas 531

Delta IV M

Proton

Zenit 3SL

H2A

GSLV

Long March

Falcon 9

Ariane 5ME

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

La

un

ch

co

sts

[mill

ion

$ (

20

12

)]

Payload capacity [kg in GTO]

Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO)

→Price does not

scale linearly

with size

→A microlauncher

is much more

expensive than a

large launcher in

terms of €/kg

20000 $ pro kg

10000 $ pro kg

Ariane 64

microlaunchers

Page 53: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

The European spaceport: Kourou

+

3 other spaceports for

microlaunchers under development

with considerable competitive

advantage

+

Santa Maria

+ more under discussion (e.g. RO)

Spaceports in Europe

Page 54: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

75 known microlauncher concepts worldwide

1 flown, only a few financed

Many spaceports developing worldwide

Page 55: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Enable access to Space from the Azores, in order to develop

space activities in Portugal and enable a new generation of

launch services for future markets worldwide – public and

private alike

Page 56: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

1500 km

Page 57: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

HLR-01 The Spaceport is to be built on the island of Santa Maria

Page 58: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

HLR-02 Space Activities from the Spaceport are to start in 2021

Page 59: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

HLR-04 The Spaceport is to be an Open Spaceport

Page 60: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Content area

Page 61: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size
Page 62: WavEC Annual Seminar · WavEC Annual Seminar Lisboa, 4Dec2019. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES FOR A DECADE 2030 ... Geostationary Transferorbit (GTO) →Price does not scale linearly with size

Ricardo CondePortuguese Space Agency