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WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928
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WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Dec 24, 2015

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Page 1: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

WalMart and Wages

Steven S. CuellarDepartment of EconomicsSonoma State University

1801 East Cotati Ave.Rohnert Park CA 94928

Page 2: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

The Diffusion of Wal Mart

Page 3: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

The First Wal Mart opened in Rogers, Arkansas in 1962

Page 4: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

By 2005 there were 3,243 stores in the U.S.

The First Wal Mart opened in Rogers, Arkansas in 1962

Page 5: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

How Can Wal Mart Reduce Wages?

Page 6: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Competitive Model of the Labor Market

S=MC

D

Wage/HourWage/Hour

Firm

LaborLabor

Labor Market

S

D

WC

lCLC

Page 7: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Monopsony Model of the Labor Market

Wage/Hour

Labor

Monopsonist

S

D

WM

MC

LD

WC

LC

Page 8: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Overview of Wages

Page 9: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

U.S. Wage Inequality

Page 10: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

U.S. College-High School Wage Differential

Page 11: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

California

Page 12: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Sonoma County

Page 13: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Sonoma County

• WalMart opened in Rohnert Park in 1992

• WalMart opened in Windsor in 1999

Page 14: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Sonoma County Wages

Page 15: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Sonoma County Wages

Page 16: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Napa / Fairfield /Vallejo

• WalMart opened in Vallejo in 1991

• WalMart opened in Fairfield in 1993

• WalMart opened in Napa in 2001

Page 17: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Napa / Fairfield /Vallejo Wages

Page 18: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Napa / Fairfield /Vallejo Wages

Page 19: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Combined Data Set of Indexed Wages

Page 20: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Regression Fitted to the Combined Data Set

Page 21: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Preliminary Regression ResultsEstimated Coefficients Wages

Constant 135.097

(12.11)**

time -12.95

(2.00)*

time2 0.769

-0.92

Wal Mart Dummy -51.557

(3.19)**

Wal Mart Interaction 15.626

(2.34)*

Wal Mart Interaction2 -0.851

-1.02

Observations 391

R-squared 0.11

Absolute value of t-statistics in parentheses

* significant at 5% level; ** significant at 1% level

Page 22: WalMart and Wages Steven S. Cuellar Department of Economics Sonoma State University 1801 East Cotati Ave. Rohnert Park CA 94928.

Chow Test For Structural Change

Chow Test F-Statistic = 13.597634

Critical F-Statistic = 2.628088

Wagei = β0 + β1Timei + β2Time2i + β3WalMart + β4WalMart*Time + β5WalMart*Time2 +ui

H0: β3 = β4 = β5 =0

H1: At least one does not equal zero