WAKE COUNTY HUMAN SERVICES A Review of Fiscal Year 2015 Wake County Human Services 220 Swinburne St, Raleigh NC 919-212-7000 #PeopleFirst
WAKE CO UNTY
HUMAN SERVICES A R e v i e w o f F i s c a l Ye a r 2 0 1 5
Wake County Human Services
220 Swinburne St, Raleigh NC
919-212-7000
#PeopleFirst
Section I. An Overview of Wake County Human Services
Leadership Page 1
Vision, Mission and Values Page 2
Service Numbers Page 3
Accomplishments Page 4
Locations Page 5
Wake County Human Services Budget Page 6
Human Services Board Page 7
Major Board Initiatives Page 8
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Section II. Trends and Horizons
Wake County By the Numbers Pages 9-11
Current Challenges for Human Services Pages 12-14
Section III.
Trends by Program or Service
Wake County Human Services Trends Page 14-33
Adult Medicaid Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 15
Adult Guardianship Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 16
Adult Protective Services (APS) Program Trend 2011-2015 Page 17
Child Protective Services (CPS) Accepted Assessments Trend 2008-2015 Page 18
Child Protective Services (CPS) New In Home Service Case Trend 2008-2015 Page 19
Foster Care Program New Children Entering Custody Trend 2008-2015 Page 20
Child Care Subsidy Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 21
Child Care Subsidy Wait List Trend 2008-2015 Page 22
Family and Children’s Medicaid Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 23
Food and Nutrition Services (FNS) Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 24
Employment Services Swinburne Center Trend 2008-2015 Page 25
Immunization Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 26
Women, Infants and Children (WIC) Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 27
Family Planning Program Trend 2008-2015 Page 28
Vital Records Births and Deaths Trend 2008-2014 Page 29
Syphilis, HIV & AIDS, Gonorrhea and Chlamydia Services 2008-2014 Page 30-31
Wake Coordinated Transportation Services (WCTS) Trend 2011-2015 Page 32
Customer Support Call Center Trend Monthly 2015 Page 33
Summary Table - End of Year Case Counts by Program or Service Indicator Page 34
LEADERSHIP
We hope you find the information in this report useful. Wake County has over 1 million
residents, and many more who commute into the County every day. Please call us if you
have questions about Human Services. I would like to hear from you about any community
events where we can participate or be a partner. We are especially interested in ongoing
partnerships that help families be safe, healthy, and move to higher levels of self–sufficiency. I
would like to thank the hundreds of community partners who help make living in Wake County
better every day.
You can reach my office at 919-212-7302 if you have any questions or feedback for us.
G R E E T I N G S F R O M
WAK E C O U N T Y H U M AN S E RV I C E S !
Starting March 12, 2015
R E G I N A P E T T E WAY
Human Services Director
22 years experience with Wake County Human
Services (WCHS)
W C H S B O AR D E S TAB L I S H E S T O P
P R I O R I T I E S :
Healthy Behaviors – Public Health Committee
Human Capital Development - Social Services Committee
Page 1
OUR VISION Wake County will be one of the healthiest places to live and all residents
will have opportunities to improve their lives.
OUR MISSION Wake County Human Services, in partnership with the community, will
facilitate full access to high quality and effective health and human
services for Wake County residents.
OUR VALUES Accountability
Community Partnerships
Ethical Behavior
Open Communication
Our Employees
Prevention
Proactive and Strategic Thinking
Providing Accessible Services
Providing Great Customer Service
Providing Quality Services
Respect for All
Page 2
VISION, MISSION AND VALUES
569,889 Customer Support
Call Center Calls
221,394 Transportation
Services
3,239 Pediatric Clients
367 New Foster Care
Placements
7,011 Child Care Subsidy
Clients
39,371 Food and Nutrition
Assistance
Households
743 Adult Guardianship
Wards
89,819 Medicaid Clients
9,753
Dental Patients2
15,988 Immunization
Clients
16,891 WIC Clients
7,394 Family Planning
Clients
5,927 Sexually Transmitted
Infection Diagnoses1
5,817 Child Protective
Service Assessments
18,791 Vital Records
Processed
19,790 Capital Area
Workforce Center at
Swinburne New and
Repeat Clients
At Least 150,000 Individuals Served by WCHS in 2015
60 Adoptions Finalized
Page 3 1Combined figure for four infection types 2Figure adjusted April 13, 2016
SERVI CE NUM BERS
ACCOMPLISHMENTS
QUALITY MANAGEMENT Increased compliance of Influenza
Vaccination for EMS & Public Health
divisions to almost 100%
Developed a presumptive Medicaid
screening process to enroll qualifying
patients with a projected revenue
increase close to $300,000 per year
CHILD WELFARE 199 children left foster care for
permanent placements of that, 65
were reunified with a parent
120 young people were served by
Fostering Youth Opportunities (FYO)
collaborative
30 Foster youth graduated High
School
HOUSING & TRANSPORTATION 39 people trained through the South
Wilmington Street Center
employment project; 22 secured
competitive employment
178,407 trips provided by Wake
Coordinated Transportation Services
(WCTS)
HEALTH CLINICS 87% immunization rate for 3,237
children seen through the Pediatric
clinic, exceeding NC immunization
goals of 86%
$13,500,000 in donated medications
used to assist Pharmacy clients
Page 4
SOCIAL SERVICES $3 million spent to assist 13,176
Households with summer and winter
energy bills
PUBLIC HEALTH Awarded Certificate of Excellence by
Wake County Council on Fitness &
Health for Movin’ & Groovin’ Walking
Series
Six local farmers markets certified to
accept Electronic Benefit Transfer
(EBT) cards
CHILD, YOUTH & FAMILY (CYF) Awarded $40,000 grant for “Respite
Services” to assist families at-risk
for child victimization
Women , Infant, Children Program
(WIC) received National Association
of Counties (NACo) Award for
Innovative technology
SCHOOL NURSE PROGRAM 22,494 WCPSS1 students served
11,658 students screened by school
dental hygienist
1Wake County Public School System
SWINBURNE CENTER
208,930 Visitors in FY15
WAKE CO UNTY
HUMAN SERVICES LOCATIONS
Estimated Volume of Visits
WESTERN SERVICES
2,080 Visitors in FY15
SOUTHERN REGIONAL CENTER
96,384 Visitors in FY15
SOUTH WILMINGTON STREET CENTER
92,787 Overnight stays in FY15 (actual)
CROSBY—GARFIELD CENTER
38,574 Visitors in FY15
Disclaimer – Estimates reflect number of visits to location, not people served. Page 5
EASTERN REGIONAL CENTER
72,265 Visitors in FY15
SUNNYBROOK
194,678 Visitors in FY15
MILLBROOK CENTER
22,409 Visitors in FY15
NORTHERN REGIONAL CENTER
78,049 Visitors in FY15
WAKE CO UNTY
HUMAN SERVICES BUDGET
Full Time Equivalent
(FTE)
Positions
1,443.16 Actual FY 2015
and
Adopted FY 2016
$108,838,722
$194,603,433
$85,764,711
Actual FY 2015 Budget
REVENUE TOTAL
EXPENDITURE TOTAL
COUNTY APPROPRIATION
$104,932,288
$193,006,572
$88,074,284 Adopted
FY 2016 Budget
REVENUE TOTAL
EXPENDITURE TOTAL
COUNTY APPROPRIATION
Page 6
WAKE COUNTY HUMAN SERVICES BOARD
From Back Row Left: Commissioner James West, Mayor Frank
Eagles, Dr. Sharon Foster, Pablo Escobar, Kent Jackson, Seth Wexlar
and John Myhre
From Front Row Left: Regina Petteway, Fiorella Horna-Guerra,
Stephanie Treadway, Dr. Jacqueline Tavarez, Margaret Raynor, and Dr.
Jim Smith
Not Pictured: Leila Goodwin, Dr. Rosine Sanders, Dr. Paul Scruggs,
Angie Welsh, and McKinley Wooten
2014 - 2015
Board Priorities (January, 2014)
Healthy Behaviors – Public Health Committee
Human Capital Development - Social Services
Page 7
MAJOR BOARD INITIATIVES
HEALTHIEST CAPITAL COUNTY INITIATIVE
(HCCI) Accomplishment: secured commitment from three community organizations to convene stakeholders to address Child Poverty High School Graduation five measures High Risk Youth Behavior Adult Obesity along with Physical activity Food Environment
COMMUNITY HEALTH NEEDS ASSESSMENT (CHNA) INITIATIVE The CHNA is a collaborative effort among Wake County Human Services; WakeMed Health & Hospitals, Duke Raleigh Hospital and UNC Rex Healthcare; Advance Community Health (formerly known as Wake Health Services); United Way of the Greater Triangle; and Wake County Medical Society Community Health Foundation.
SUMMER FOOD SERVICE INITIATIVE Accomplishment: increased the number of sites and meals served to children under age 18 Over 30 sites were added in 2015 306,319 meals were served in 2015 (an increase of
37,077 meals over 2014)
HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT (HCD) Accomplishment: convened ‘Get Connected’ summit for different public, community, faith based organizations and committees 106 individuals from 67 organizations and the
community attended this human capital development networking event
Page 8
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 9
Section II. Wake County By the Numbers Population Wake County is the 44th Largest County in the US with an estimated population of 998,691 in July 1, 2014. Wake County is home to four of North Carolinas’ Largest Municipalities: #2 City of Raleigh; #7 Town of Cary; #22 Town of Apex and #28 Town of Wake Forest.
Personal Economics • Unemployment rate, July 2015: US 5.3%; NC 5.9%; Wake 5.2% • Educational attainment, 25 years or over with bachelor’s degree or higher: US
28.8%; NC 28.4%; Wake 49.1% • Median household income: US $65,160; NC $45,906; Wake $65,160 • Poverty rate: US 11.6%; NC 17.9%; Wake10.7% • Median age in years: US 37.7; NC 38.2; Wake 35.5
On the Horizon Changing demographics can drive trends and impact the need for services. Some national trends with the potential to impact Wake County services include:
• Increase in the population over age 65 • Increase in ethnic diversity of general population • Increase in multiple generations in the workforce • Increase in poverty among seniors • Increase in need for housing and services that support healthy aging • Change in fertility rates
Sources: WCBTN Database, most current yearly figure as of retrieval date, September 14, 2015. http://www.wakegov.com/data/bythenumbers/Pages/default.aspx U. S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year and 1-Year Estimates. http://factfinder2.census.gov
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 10
Trending Locally: Growth, Diversity and Transportation Wake County trends are reported in the annual Trends and Outlook, May 2015 document presented by Wake County Planning Board. The document helps paint a picture of the area using statistics and graphics. Some trending issues included in this report:
• Growth in general population
• Growth in population over age 55
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 11
• Increase in diversity in general population
• Increase in public bus ridership (this figure does not include annual WCTS/TRACS ridership, see page 24 for Wake Coordinated Transpiration ridership data)
Source: Trends and Outlook, May 2015, http://www.wakegov.com/data/bythenumbers/Documents/trends2015.pdf
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 12
Current Challenges for Human Services Horizon issues with implications for human service programming:
• Need for and access to affordable housing • Need for and access to transportation • Increase in intentional and unintentional bodily injury • Increase in Syphilis rates • Increase in Heroin deaths and death rates • Births to mothers using WIC and Medicaid
Human Services: Population Based Challenges
From 2008 to 2014, the Wake County general population changed by 17%. This number is calculated by comparing the estimated population in 2008 to the estimated population as of July 1, 2014. Every year from 2008 through 2014, the estimated population figure was larger than the year before. • On average the population of Wake County has grown by 2.4% every year since
2010, see Table 1 for County population as of July 1 of each year
Table 1
Year Wake Population Calculated Change in July 1 Population 2010 906,908 Base year 2011 929,330 2.5 % change from July 2010 to July 2011 2012 952,611 2.5 % change from July 2011 to July 2012 2013 975,024 2.4 % change from July 2012 to July 2013 2014 998,691 2.4 % change from July 2013 to July 2014
Implications for Wake Human Services
• As the population increases, the number of consumers seeking services will likely increase. The ability to respond to community crises and outbreaks is also impacted by population growth.
• Potential issues related to food access may increase. The 2010 Census revealed that Wake County had a ‘Low Access’ population of 321,771, defined as
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 13
people living more than 1 mile from a supermarket or large grocery store in an urban area (321,771 people out of total population of 900,993 in 2010 Census).
• Potential issues related to lack of affordable housing in Raleigh/Wake County may increase; in particular, for folks with criminal and /or credit issues.
• Wake County is experiencing the worst Syphilis outbreak in nearly 20 years, see Figure 1
Figure 1 Source: http://epi.publichealth.nc.gov/cd/stds/
• Since 2011, heroin deaths and death rates have more than quadrupled, see
Figure 2
Figure 2 Source: NC DHHS, Division of Public Health, Injury and Violence Prevention Branch; *2014 data is provisional
• In the five year period from 2008-2012, 64,024 children were born to mothers
living in Wake County. Over ¼ of the births were to mothers using Medicaid or WIC
o 36.3% (23,241) births were to mothers receiving Medicaid o 29.3% (18,789) births were to mothers receiving WIC
79 70 81 102
171
8.7 7.5 8.5 10.7 17.1 0
50
100
150
200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Cou
nt C
ases
Early Syphilis Case Counts and Rates per 100,000 pop., Wake County, 2010-2014
Early SyphilisCase Counts
Case Rate per100,000 pop
2 6 8
16
26
0.2 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.6 0
10
20
30
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Cou
nt D
eath
s
Heroin Deaths and Death Rate, Wake County, 2010-2014*
Deaths Death Rate per 100,000 pop
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 14
Source: NC DHHS State Center for Health Statistics Births to Medicaid and WIC Mothers, 2008-2012
• Live Birth Rates are higher for ‘Hispanic’ than ‘Non-Hispanic’ populations in North Carolina, Mecklenburg and Wake Counties for 2010-2014; See Table 2
Table 2
Source: NC-DHHS State Center for Health Statistics http://www.schs.state.nc.us/data/databook/CD3%20Live%20birth%20rates.html
Section III.
Wake County Human Services Trends Wake County Human Services July 1, 2008-June 30, 2015 Annual End of Year Case Count Updates with Trend Data Wake County Human Services Board receives an annual case load report on selected programs. Case load trends are tracked using End of Fiscal Year Case Count for each program using a selected indicator. Some programs new to this report use End of Calendar Year counts. The percent (%) change from 2008 to 2015 (not all programs have data from 2008) is a point of comparison as to whether or not programs are growing at the same pace as the population of Wake County. This report shows decreased growth in a program or service as a negative number (or -% change) and increased growth is shown as a positive number (or +% change). Trend graphs and information about programs are found on pages 15-31. Additional trend information and graphs are on pages 32 and 33 for Wake Coordinated Transportation (WCTS) Ridership and the Customer Support Call Center. A WCHS trend data table is available as an attachment on page 34.
North Carolina Resident Live Birth Rates per 1,000 Population, 2010-2014
County of Residence Non-Hispanic Hispanic
Total Total Total Births Rate Births Rate Births Rate
North Carolina 602,403 12.4 512,222 11.5 90,181 21.3 Mecklenburg 69,706 14.4 56,601 13.4 13,105 21.8 Wake 62,546 13.1 52,759 12.3 9,787 20.8
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 15
Adult Services
Adult Medicaid Program Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +28% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +67% change • The case count has grown every year from 2008-2015. The case count changed by
an average of +8% each year from 2008 to 2014, with a larger increase in growth is seen from 2014 to 2015.
Figure 3
18,352 18,960 19,997 21,051
22,088 22,907 23,941
30,594
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Clie
nts o
n Ju
ne 3
0
Wake County Adult Medicaid Program End of FY Case Count 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Adult Medicaid Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 16
Adult Guardianship Program Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Guardianship Wards Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +3% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +75% change • The case count changed by an average of +8% each year from 2008-2015.
Figure 4
424 489
532 583 605
682 720
743
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t War
ds o
n Ju
ne 3
0
Wake County Adult Guardianship Wards End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Adult Guardianship Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 17
Adult Protective Services (APS) Program Trend 2011-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Accepted Reports Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +14% change • FY11 vs. FY15 +8% change • The case count changed by an average of +2% each year from 2011-2015.
Note: This program was added to the Human Services Board Quarterly Report in 2011.
Figure 5
247
267
238 234
266
200
210
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Rep
orts
Inve
stig
ated
in F
isca
l Yea
r
Wake County Adult Protective Services Accepted Reports End of FY 2011-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Adult Protective Services Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 18
Child Protective Services Child Protective Services (CPS) Accepted Assessments Trend 2008-2015 Families Served: End of Fiscal Year Accepted CPS Assessments Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +1% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +14% change • The case count changed by an average of +2% each year from 2008-2015.
Figure 6
5,107 4,834 5,211 5,018
4,750
5,399 5,778
5,817
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Fam
ily A
sses
smen
ts &
Ass
ists
in F
isca
l Yea
r
Wake County Child Protective Services (CPS) Accepted Assessments End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Child Welfare
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 19
Child Protective Services (CPS) New In Home Service Case Trend 2008-2015 Families Served: End of Fiscal Year New In Home Service Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 -4% change • FY08 vs. FY15 -13% change • The case count changed by an average of -1% each year from 2008-2015. New In
Home services cases that were opened increased annually from 2008 to 2011 then began to decrease.
Figure 7
738 817 810 844
729
582 664 639
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t New
Fam
ily C
ases
Ope
ned
in F
isca
l Yea
r
Wake County Child Protective Services (CPS) New In Home Service Cases End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Child Welfare
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 20
Foster Care Program Trend 2008-2015 Children Served: End of Fiscal Year New Children Entering Custody Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +11% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +58% change • The case count changed by an average of +7% each year from 2008-2015. • Foster Care includes children in out of home placement and in legal custody of
Wake County. This graphic shows the number of new children coming into custody during a fiscal year. This group is a subset of the overall foster care case load.
Figure 8
232 240 264
319 333 307
331
367
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Chi
ldre
n En
terin
g Cu
stod
y in
Fis
cal Y
ear
Wake County Foster Care Entry End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Child Welfare Division
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 21
Economic Services
Child Care Subsidy Program Trend 2008-2015 Children Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 -9% change • FY08 vs. FY15 -26% change • The case count changed by an average of -4% each year from 2008-2015. The
case count was stable from 2008-2010 and has decreased annually since 2012. All years are not comparable due to changes in eligibility criteria.
Figure 9
9,445 9,445 9,445 8,544 8,544
7,854 7,714 7,011
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Chi
ldre
n Re
ceiv
ing
Subs
idy
Wake County Child Care Subsidy Case Count End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Child Care Subsidy Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 22
Child Care Subsidy Wait List Trend 2008-2015 Children Served: End of Fiscal Year Wait List Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +52% change • FY 08 vs. FY15 +6% change • The case count has a pattern of highs and lows from 2008-2012 and has a pattern
of annual increase since 2013. The wait list count at the end of the year for FY 2015 (3,806) is more similar to the figure for 2008 (3,580). Peaks and valleys in wait list counts from 2009-2012 are associated with available funding streams and changes in eligibility criteria.
Note: The figures in this graph shown case count numbers as reported at the end of each fiscal year
Figure 10
3,580
6,689
2,744
5,495 5,439
1,079
2,500
3,806
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Chi
ldre
n on
Wai
t Lis
t
Wake County Human Services Child Care Subsidy Wait List End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Child Care Subsidy Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 23
Family and Children’s Medicaid Program Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +3% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +62% change • The case count changed by an average of +7% each year from 2008-2015.
Figure 11
36,558
41,495 45,317
47,870 51,751
53,209 57,438
59,221
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Clie
nts o
n Ju
ne 3
0
Wake County Family & Children's Medicaid Program End of FY Case Count 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Family & Children's Medicaid Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 24
Food and Nutrition Services (FNS) Program Trend 2008-2015 Households Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 +2% change • FY08 vs. FY15 +98% change • The case count changed by an average of +11% each year from 2008-2015. • In 2015, Wake FNS assisted an average of 2.4 persons per household served (in
2008, the average was 1.9 persons per household served)
Source: Duncan, D.F., Kum, H.C., Flair, K.A., Stewart, C.J., Vaughn, J., Bauer, R, and Reese, J. (2013). Management Assistance for Child Welfare, Work First, and Food & Nutrition Services in North Carolina (v3.1). Retrieved September 28, 2015, from University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Jordan Institute for Families website. URL: http://ssw.unc.edu/ma/
Figure 12
19,866
25,892
30,408
35,809 39,063
35,818 38,585 39,371
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Hou
seho
lds o
n Ju
ne 3
0
Wake County Food and Nutrition Services (FNS) End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Division of Social Services Economic Self Sufficiency
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 25
Employment Services, Swinburne Center Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year New and Repeat Customers Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 -11% change • FY08 vs. FY15 -3% change • The case count for new and repeat customers grew each year from 2008-2011, with
large amounts of growth starting during the economic downturn. The trend line shows peaks for 2012 and 2013 consistent with the expansion of services to the Millbrook Center. The trend line shows a sharp decline in 2014 consistent with the end of employment services at the Millbrook Center. This trend line is influenced by the availability of services, changes to the service model and the number of people seeking services.
*Millbrook Center numbers are included for 2012 and 2013 but services are no longer available at the site as of 2014.
Figure 13
20,416
25,998 27,816 28,166
38,828* 36,878*
22,326 19,790
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t New
& R
epea
t Cus
tom
ers
Employment Services Swinburne Center End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Employment Services Swinburne Center
*Millbrook Center
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 26
Public Health and Clinics
Immunization Program Trend 2008-2015 Total People Served: Clients Receiving Vaccine Doses Administered by Wake County Human Services End of Fiscal Year Total Count Comparison • FY14 vs. FY15 -6% change in total served • FY08 vs. FY15 -36% change in total served • Regional Centers typically serve an average of 10% of all Immunization clients;
however, during the 2010 H1N1 outbreak, they served 25% (17,242) of the 69,115 clients served by the program.
Figure 14 Notes: *FY 2010 immunization numbers include H1N11 response (46,830 doses) and ARRA2 'Stimulus' Flu project (6,261 doses)
1H1N1- An influenza type A virus that is a respiratory infection and popularly named “swine flu.” The virus was first recognized in April 2009 and spread quickly to 74 countries worldwide.
2ARRA-American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.
24,961 26,393
69,115*
21,824 19,295 22,190
16,973 15,988
2,506 2,716
17,242*
2,311 2,158 2,683 1,771 1,794 0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Clie
nts S
erve
d
Wake County Immunization Program, Total Clients Receiving Vaccine Doses Administered by WCHS End of FY 2008-2015
Total Clients at WCHS Receiving Vaccine Doses in FYTotal Clients Receiving Vaccine Doses at a Regional Center in FY
*FY 2010 numbers include H1N1 response and ARRA 'Stimulus' Flu project
Source: Wake County Public Health, Immunization Program, July 24, 2015
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 27
Women, Infants and Children (WIC) Program Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 -3% change • FY08 vs. FY15 -6% change • This case count grew each year from 2008-2010. The end of year case count figure
is smaller than the previous year since 2013.
Figure 15
18,048
18,371
18,968
18,213 18,193 18,242
17,428
16,891
15,500
16,000
16,500
17,000
17,500
18,000
18,500
19,000
19,500
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Act
ive
Part
icip
ants
on
June
30
Wake County WIC Program End of Year Case Count End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Women, Infants and Children's Program, August 5, 2015
Issue of concern-- Wake County WIC program points to multiple factors influencing decreased usage of Wake WIC services in 2015 including: delays in processing Medicaid & Food Stamp Applications; possible decline in birth rates; staffing vacancies; 25% reduction in appointments; 23 days of Staff training for new management data system and 25 days of business closing during fiscal year 2015.
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 28
Clinical, Family Planning Program Trend 2008-2015 Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Open Case Count Comparison
• FY14 vs. FY15 -6% change • FY08 vs. FY15 -28% change • This trend line has gradually decreased every year since 2008. From 2008-2012 the
amount of decrease in case count from year to year ranged from -4% to -1%. The case count started decreasing at a faster pace after 2012:
o FY12 vs. FY13 -5% change o FY13 vs. FY14 -9% change o FY14 vs. FY15 -6% change
• Fertility rates have been identified as a horizon issue.
Figure 16
10,202 9,869 9,474 9,171 9,078 8,644 7,885
7,394
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Tota
l Ser
ved
in F
isca
l Yea
r
Wake County Human Services Clinical - Family Planning End of FY 2008-2015
Source: Wake County Human Services Women's Health Clinic Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 29
Vital Records Processed Births and Deaths Trend 2008-2015 Records Processed: End of Calendar Year Case Count Comparison
Birth Records Processed • CY13 vs. CY14 -.18% change • CY08 vs. CY14 -11.6% change • The number of birth records has dropped every year since 2008. The largest year to
year decreases are seen for CY08 to CY09 (-5%) and CY09 to CY10 (-5%). The rate of decrease began to slow down after CY11. The most recent reporting period shows a decrease of -.18% from CY13 to CY14.
• United States birth rates tend to decrease during periods of recession and tend to rebound during post-recession recovery. In December 2014, a Carolina Demography at UNC’s Carolina Population Center blog reported “NC Births are not rebounding to 2007 levels.” Source: Tippett, Rebecca. 2014. “NC Birth Trends in 5 Graphs.” Blog. Carolina Demography. http://demography.cpc.unc.edu/2014/12/08/nc-birth-trends-in-5-graphs/.
Death Records Processed • CY13 vs. CY14 +4.2% change • CY08 vs. CY14 +22.9% change
Figure 17
14,814 14,130
13,417 13,208 13,047 13,117 13,093
4,636 4,640 4,729 4,989 5,256 5,464 5,698
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014
Coun
t Rec
ords
Pro
cess
ed
Wake County Human Services Vital Records, Birth and Death Records Processed by Calendar Year (CY) 2008-2015
Vital Records - Births Vital Records - Deaths
Source: Wake County Register of Deeds, Wake County Human Services Vital Records, July 24, 2015
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 30
Sexually Transmitted Infections, Syphilis and HIV Trend 2008-2014 Count Diagnosis: Wake County Individuals with diagnosis in a Calendar Year (CY)
Individuals with a diagnosis in Wake County require varying levels of service; at minimum staff must enter information in the North Carolina Disease Surveillance System (NCEDDS).
Syphilis Case Count • CY13 vs. CY14 +61% change • CY08 vs. CY14 +362% change • This case count trend shows an increase of 211% from 2008 to 2009, a three year
pattern of decrease is seen 2010, 2011 and 2012; and an increase is seen starting in 2013 and continuing into 2014.
HIV/AIDS Case Count • CY13 vs. CY14 +30% change • CY08 vs. CY14 -23% change • This case count trend decreased from 2008 to 2013 and an increase is seen when
comparing CY13 to CY14.
Figure 18
CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014Syphilis Services 37 115 84 76 75 106 171HIV / AIDS Services 321 281 285 249 197 190 247
37
115 84 76 75
106
171
321
281 285
249
197 190
247
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Coun
t New
Dia
gnos
is
New Cases of Syphilis and HIV/AIDS in Wake County by Calendar Year (CY) 2008-2014
Source: North Carolina Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NCEDSS), retrieved by Ramsay Hoke, WCHS Epidemiology Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 31
Sexually Transmitted Infections, Gonorrhea and Chlamydia Trend 2008-2014 Count Diagnosis: Wake County Individuals with diagnosis in a Calendar Year (CY)
Individuals with a diagnosis in Wake County require varying levels of service; at minimum staff must enter information in the North Carolina Disease Surveillance System (NCEDSS).
Gonorrhea Case Count • CY13 vs. CY14 -4% change • CY08 vs. CY14 +12% change • This case count increased CY09 to CY11, growth started to slow down in CY12 and
the trend shows a pattern of yearly decrease since 2012. Chlamydia Case Count • CY13 vs. CY14 +3.4% change • CY08 vs. CY14 +39.4% change • This case count increased every year from 2008-2012; it decreased from CY12 to
CY13 and increased from CY13 to CY14.
Figure 19
CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014Gonorrhea
Services 1,030 1,010 1,249 1,355 1,381 1,205 1,157
ChlamydiaServices 3,121 3,590 4,530 4,748 4,757 4,210 4,352
1,030 1,010 1,249 1,355 1,381 1,205 1,157
3,121 3,590
4,530 4,748 4,757 4,210 4,352
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
Coun
t New
Dia
gnos
is
New Cases of Gonorrhea and Chlamydia in Wake County by Calendar Year (CY) 2008-2014
Source: North Carolina Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NCEDSS), retrieved by Ramsay Hoke, WCHS Epidemiology Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 32
Wake Coordinated Transportation Services (WCTS) Transportation Services Trend 2011-2015
Individuals Served: End of Fiscal Year Total Services and Trips Provided Case Count Comparison
Total Services include trips (ridership) provided, bus passes, gas cards and assistance with transportation through WCTS/TRACS. Trips are the most commonly provided service; each trip is counted as a one-way event.
Total Services Count • CY14 vs. FY15 +26% change • CY11 vs. FY14 +59% change • In 2011 trips were 96% of all services, in 2015 trips were 81% of services (with
passes and gas cards assistance accounting for the remainder) Trips Provided Count • CY14 vs. FY15 +28% change • CY11 vs. FY14 +28% change • Ridership has increased for the most part, sharp changes in ridership is most often
associated with severe weather and changes in funding.
Figure 20
139,317
107,382
141,158 138,912
178,407 144,838
116,082
167,754 175,516
221,394
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015
Coun
t Se
rvic
es P
rovi
ded
Wake Coordinated Transportation Services (WCTS) 5-Year Ridership End of FY 2011-2015
Trips Provided Total Services (trips, bus passes and gas cards)
Source: Wake County Human Services Transportation Program
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 33
Customer Support Call Center Monthly Activity Trend FY 2015 Calls Managed: End of Fiscal Year Count of Calls Managed A new Customer Support Call Center was put in place late in FY 2014. This report is a summary of highlights from the first full fiscal year of activity. A month to month review of FY 2015 shows:
• 569,889 Total Calls managed by the Call Center in fiscal year 2015 • 74,457 Call backs completed using a feature that allows a caller to enter a call-back
number for an agent to return the call to a specific number, decreasing hold times
Trends & Horizon Issues | Human Services Annual Report 2015 December 18, 2015
Page 34
WCHS End of Year Case Count Updates for Fiscal Year 2008-2015 and Calendar Year 2008-2014