1 W2: THE EQ-5D-5L INSTRUMENT: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE Discussion Leaders: Mark Oppe EuroQol Research Foundation, Rotterdam, The Netherlands Nan Luo National University of Singapore, Singapore Ataru Igarashi The University of Tokyo, Japan Kim Rand University of Oslo, Norway ISPOR Asia Pacific 2018 Keio Plaza Hotel, Tokyo, Japan Sunday, 9 September 2018, 3:45 PM–4:45 PM @ Room: Nishiki www.euroqol.org Conflict of interest & disclaimer ■ The discussion leaders are members of the EuroQol Group, a not-for-profit international research organization ■ The views of the discussion leaders expressed in the workshop do not necessarily reflect the views of the EuroQol Group
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W2: THE EQ-5D-5L INSTRUMENT: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE
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1
W2: THE EQ-5D-5L INSTRUMENT: PAST,
PRESENT AND FUTURE
Discussion Leaders: Mark Oppe
EuroQol Research Foundation, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Nan Luo
National University of Singapore, Singapore
Ataru Igarashi
The University of Tokyo, Japan
Kim RandUniversity of Oslo, Norway
ISPOR Asia Pacific 2018 Keio Plaza Hotel, Tokyo, JapanSunday, 9 September 2018, 3:45 PM–4:45 PM @ Room: Nishiki
www.euroqol.org
Conflict of interest & disclaimer
■ The discussion leaders are members of the EuroQol Group, a not-for-profit international research organization
■ The views of the discussion leaders expressed in the workshop do not necessarily reflect the views of the EuroQol Group
■ EQ-5D data is widely used to calculate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) in economic evaluation of new health technologies
■ Better sensitivity in measuring health outcomes means more precise quantification of QALYs, which may be higher or lower than imprecise QALYs estimates.
■ Therefore, it is desirable to ascertain the impact of switching from EQ-5D-3L to EQ-5D-5D on economic evaluation results, even though the latter is more sensitive than the former
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Case studies comparing the effect of 5L and 3L values on cost-
utility analysis
■ Using 3L data to crosswalk to 5L values, Hernandez et al (2018) found that moving from 3L to 5L caused a decrease of up to 87% in incremental QALYs gained in almost all CUA cases from the UK.
■ Using 5L data and a CUA of dialysis modalities for end-stage renal disease, Yang et al (forthcoming) found that the impact of switching form 3L to 5L on QALYs gained and ICER depends on many factors including the value sets used.
■ EQ-5D-5L appears to have better measurement properties than EQ-5D-3L.
■ The switch from EQ-5D-3L and EQ-5D-5L could impact on the economic evaluation results, posing a challenge to policy makers and researchers who have been using EQ-5D-3L to conduct cost-effectiveness analysis.
■ We cannot observe from responses on the -5L which individuals indicating “slight problems” now would have indicated “moderate problems” using the -3L
■ The reverse is also true: “no problems” or “moderate problems” on the -3L could both have been “slight problems” on the -5L.
■ Approximate proportions may be estimated from studies including both versions
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“Which instrument should I use?”
Issue: New study. Concern: existing literature uses the -3L
■ Recommendation:
- Use the -5L
- Your study will be cited by future -5L studies.
- Using the -3L propagates the problem to the next study in line.
- Compare findings with existing literature using crosswalk value sets.
■ Implies different estimates of QALYs gained, cost/QALY, and ICERs.
■ General factors in play when changing value sets (regardless of version)
- Altered slope
- Altered relative ranking of states
- Changes in “break points”
■ Interactions between changes in descriptive system and value sets when moving from -3L to -5L:
- More fine-grained descriptive system means fewer 11111 responses
- Value difference of minimal change is reduced
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Altered slope
■ Change in slope implies a change in trade-off between longevity and quality of life.■ When the relative ranking of health states (except death) is intact, cost/QALY ranking of
interventions will be the same, except for cases involving life-saving interventions or deaths.
■ Altered slope directly influences the number of QALYs gained/lost. Unless ICER thresholds are altered, more interventions will be found too expensive with less steep slope.
■ This is the most controversial characteristic of the new value set for England, since the MVH -3L value set is one of the steepest value sets produced to date.
■ While the problem is, arguably, that the old value set is too steep, industry may be motivated to keep the old value set due to greater numeric QALY gain estimates for QOL-improving drugs.
■ Consider what happens when the relative weights assigned to two dimensions of health are altered.
■ Ranking of interventions targeting different health issues will be altered.
■ May lead to concerns that previous approvals will be overturned, or that new interventions that would be cost-effective using old methods will no longer be cost-effective.
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Changes in “break points”
■ In the UK (MVH) -3L value set, there are two distinct “breaks”, or discontinuities:
- Between 11111 and all other health states
- Between states including at least one level 3 (due to the N3-term), and those without
■ The break point between 11111 and the second-best state is generally smaller in the new -5L value sets
■ The new -5L value sets have fewer and smaller discontinuities. When found, they tend to be related to the shift between levels 3 and 4, or 4 and 5.
■ Break points produce areas with disproportionate potential QALY gains (and losses)
■ For interventions that shift even a few individuals over the specific threshold, attenuating these break-points will result in smaller QALY gain estimates.
■ While such breaks may seem somewhat implausible, and are likely caused by the highly granular nature of the descriptive system (particularly the -3L), this may be seen as a problem by certain users.
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Interactions: Fewer 11111 responses with the -5L
■ Since it is possible to describe smaller health problems with the -5L than the -3L, less respondents are placing themselves in the 11111 category
■ As the value difference between 11111 and any other health state is substantial (even more so with the -3L), interventions that shifted a few respondents from states like 11211 to 11111 now produce fewer QALYs
- Many respondents moving from -3L states like 11211 to 11111 will now move from -5L states like 11311 to 11211, for a much smaller QALY gain
- Respondents moving from -5L state 11211 to 11111 will have a smaller QALY gain than -3L 11211 to 11111
■ For reasons described previously, there are cases in which the -5L is likely to produce lower QALY estimates than the -3L
■ When two value sets are in play, they will produce differences in QALY estimates
■ If more than one value set is allowed by regulatory agencies, gaming is possible
■ These issues are not caused by problems with the -5L, but by necessary consequences of greater resolution combined with new (improved) valuation studies
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Suggested strategies for resolution
1. Regulatory agencies should not allow more than one value set even if they allow both versions
- Where a -3L value set is preferred, -5L studies should use a -3L to -5L cross-walk- Where a -5L value set is preferred, -3L studies should use a -5L to -3L cross-walk- This should minimize the potential for gaming, and ensure an even playing field
2. Changes in value set should not be retroactive: old approvals should remain. This should reduce potential opposition to change from industry.
3. Future, challenging interventions should be considered using the new regime4. New value sets should be set to a high standard of quality, and warrant scrutiny
before acceptance. 5. When a high-quality value set for the -5L is available, regulatory agencies should