Volume 1 - MSSANZ

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TABLE OF CONTENTS - VOLUME ONE

Volume 1KeynoteG. HarrisEcological paradigms, change detection and prediction

Managing climate variability and climate change: where to next for modelling?Convener: Mark Howden

T.I. Harrold and R.N. JonesGeneration of local-scale rainfall scenarios using changes in GCM rainfall: a refinement of the perturbation method

S.M. Howden, H. Meinke, B. Power and G.M. McKeonRisk management of wheat in a non-stationary climate: frost in Central Queensland

N.R. Viney, B.C. Bates, S.P. Charles, I.T. Webster, M. Bormans and S.K. AryalImpacts of climate variability on riverine algal blooms

A. Cole, A. Parshotam, H. Roth, R. Webby and N. BothaModelling human adaptation to climate variability with the aid of an influence matrix

S.M. Howden, P.J. Reyenga and H. MeinkeManaging the quality of wheat grain under global change

A. Hood, B. Cechet, H. Hossain and K. SheffieldOptions for Victorian agriculture in a “new” climate: pilot study linking climate change and land suitability modelling

I. Moffatt and A. ParnellGlobal climate change and regional simulation modelling: preliminary results from Scotland, 1970-2100

A-B. Baums, T. Grünwald and C. BernhoferModelling net ecosystem carbon exchange (NEE) of a forest ecosystem in Middle Europe

S.M. Saunders and Y. MaDevelopment and preliminary results of an explicit West Australian tropospheric photochemical model

P. Kathirgamanathan, R. McKibbin and R.I. McLachlanInverse modelling for identifying the origin and release rate of atmospheric pollution – an optimisation approach


M. Azzi and H. DucTrend analysis of ozone and nitrogen oxides in Sydney using a long range dependence time series model

H. Duc, M. Azzi and S. QuigleyExtent of photochemical smog reaction in the Sydney metropolitan areas

Understanding hydroclimate variability: modelling, forecasting and simulation for decision makingConvener: Ashish Sharma

T.I. Harrold, A. Sharma and S. SheatherGeneration of synthetic daily rainfall for 13 locations in Australia using a nonparametric approach

R. Srikanthan, A. Sharma and T. A. McMahonStochastic generation of monthly rainfall data using a nonparametric approach

R. Mehrotra, A. Sharma and I. CorderyStochastic downscaling of rainfall for use in hydrologic studies

F.H.S. Chiew and M.J. LeahyInter-decadal pacific oscillation modulation of the impact of El Nino/Southern Oscillation on Australian rainfall and streamflow

R. Srikanthan, T.I. Harrold, A. Sharma and T. A. McMahonComparison of two approaches for generation of daily rainfall data

J.E. Ruiz, A. Sharma and I. CorderyUpper ocean temperatures as predictors of Australian rainfall

A. Sharma and U. LallUsing model averaged probabilistic forecasts for water resources management

D.T. Owens, N.M. Clarkson and J.F. ClewettPersistence of Australian streamflow and its application to seasonal forecasts

Modelling water in the climate systemConvener: Jason Evans

J.J. Sharples and M.F. HutchinsonOn the horizontal scale of topographic dependence of monthly Australian precipitation



S. Chumchean, A. Seed and A. SharmaEffect of storm types on radar rainfall estimates

J. Evans, R. Smith and R. OglesbyPrecipitation processes in the Middle East

T.G. ChapmanEstimation of evaporation in rainfall-runoff models

F.H.S. Chiew, T.I. Harrold, L. Siriwardena, R.N. Jones and R. SrikanthanSimulation of climate change impact on runoff using rainfall scenarios that consider daily patterns of change from GCMs

H. Richter, A. Western and F. ChiewComparisons of soil moisture simulations from the VB95 land surface model against observations

V.K. Arora and G.J. BoerAn analysis of simulated runoff and surface moisture fluxes in the CCCMA coupled atmosphere land surface hydrological model

Groundwater modellingConvener: Vince Bidwell

A.D. Barr, C. Xu and R.P. SilbersteinConstruction of a vertical flux model manager for the Swan Coastal Plain

C. Xu, R. Silberstein and A. BarrEstimates of groundwater recharge beneath Banksia woodland on the Swan Coastal Plain using a vertical flux model (waves): sensitivity analysis

D. Rassam and M. LittleboyIdentifying the lateral component of drainage flux in hill slopes

M. Littleboy, N. Herron and P. BarnettApplying unsaturated zone modelling to develop recharge maps for the Murray-Darling Basin in New South Wales, Australia

J. Pollacco, and P.F. QuinnConstructing and optimising a parsimonious groundwater recharge model using neutron probe data

T-S. Tsay, S-H. Ju and C-C. HuangAnalysis of drip irrigation uniformity by numerical simulation



K.L. Bristow, P.B. Charlesworth, K. Narayan, L.K. Stewart, F.J. Cook and J.W. HopmansA framework for improving water management in the Lower Burdekin

F.J. Cook, P. Fitch, P. Thorburn, P.B. Charlesworth and K.L. BristowModelling trickle irrigation: comparison of analytical and numerical models for estimation of wetting front position with time

L. Stewart, P.B. Charlesworth and K.L. BristowEstimating nitrate leaching under a sugarcane crop using APSIM-SWIM

K.A. Narayan, C. Schleeberger, P.B. Charlesworth and K.L. BristowEffects of groundwater pumping on saltwater intrusion in the Lower Burdekin Delta, North Queensland

C.C. Daamen and G.P. HoxleyLinking soil water and groundwater models to investigate salinity management options

K. David and S. KhanExperimental and numerical studies to quantify groundwater salinity distribution within the saturated zone under highly saline irrigation systems

Y.F. Luo, S. Khan, Y.L. Cui, R. Beddek and Y. BaozhongUnderstanding transient losses from irrigation supply systems in the Yellow River Basin using a surface-groundwater interaction model

V.J. BidwellRealistic forecasting of groundwater level, based on the eigenstructure of aquifer dynamics

T.G. ChapmanSteady recharge-induced groundwater flow over a plane bed: nonlinear and linear solutions

D.S. Jeng, B.R. Seymour, H.T. Teo, D.A. Barry and L. LiNew approximation for tide-induced water table fluctuations at a sloping beach

H.S. Lee, C.J. Matthews, R.D. Braddock, G.C. Sander and F. GandolaA MATLAB method of lines template for evolution equations

W.S. Verwoerd and G.D. KulasiriSolute dispersion by 1D stepped velocity fluctuations

W.S. VerwoerdScale-dependent dispersivity: a velocity fluctuation model



Stream pollutant modellingConvener: Lachlan Newham

M. Matthies, J. Berlekamp, S. Lautenbach, N. Graf and S. ReimerDecision support system for the Elbe River water quality management

M.J.M. De Souza, R.E. White and B. Malcolm.Modelling Chlorophyll a and Phosphorus movement to avoid eutrophication in an agricultural catchment

C. Dougall, K. Rohde, C. Carroll, G. Millar and S. StevensAn assessment of land management practices that benchmark water quality targets set at a neighbourhood catchment scale using the SWAT model

C.J. Smith, J.B. Field, A.J. Jakeman and R.A.LetcherTargeting gully erosion at a catchment scale

S. Jha, R.B. Grayson and I.D. RutherfurdEstimating catchment-scale sediment yield from bank erosion using simple distributed variables: an example from Victoria, Australia

L.T.H. Newham, I.P. Prosser and A.J. JakemanTesting output quantities and spatial patterns of a catchment-scale stream pollutant model against collateral studies

B. SivakumarDynamics of sediment transport in the Mississippi River Basin: a temporal scaling analysis

W.E. BardsleyApplication of stochastic methods to creating models of contaminant transport and dispersion in rivers and groundwater

V. Jegatheesan, G. Kastl, I. Fisher, J. Chandy and M. AnglesWater quality modelling for drinking water distribution systems

F.A.M. Verdonck, D.P.L. Rousseau, D. Bixio, C. Thoeye and P.A. VanrolleghemAdded value of concentration-duration-frequency curves of wastewater treatment plant effluent and river water quality

G.A. JenkinsModelling the hydraulic characteristics of artificial wetlands

L. Lymburner, P.B. Hairsine, A.A. Held and J.P. WalkerIndices for assessing the spatial distribution and functions of riparian buffer zones



A.J. Davidson and I. SalbeFurther development of an instream salt transport model for IQQM

R. Beecham, P. Arranz, J. Boddy, M. Burrell, R. Gilmore, A. Javam, J. Martin, R. O’Neill and I. SalbeImplementing daily salinity models in the NSW Murray Darling basin tributaries

Interactions between field-based monitoring and modellingConveners: Jeffrey McDonell and Markus Weiler

K. Umakhanthan and J.E. BallThe importance of rainfall models in catchment simulation

J.F. Costelloe, R.B. Grayson, T.A. McMahon and R.M. ArgentLandscape controls on runoff and streamflow in large arid zone catchments

J.P. Walker, N. Ursino, R.B. Grayson and P.R. HouserAustralian root zone soil moisture: assimilation of remote sensing observations

C. Rudiger, R. Davidson, M. Hemakumara, J. Walker, J. Kalma, G. Willgoose and P. HouserCatchment monitoring for scaling and assimilation of soil moisture and streamflow

J. Ticehurst, B.F.W. Croke, J.M. Spate and A.J. JakemanDevelopment of a simple cascading bucket model for hillslope hydrology

M. Weiler, T. Uchida and J. McDonnellConnectivity due to preferential flow controls water flow and solute transport at the hillslope scale

K.T. Bjornsson, B. Ostendorf and F. RecknagelUsing wetland nutrient modelling to estimate River Murray and floodplain wetland water exchange

C.J. Ocampo, M. Sivapalan, and C.E. OldhamPerceptual model of coupled hydrological and biogeochemical responses based on reconciliation of multiscale, multicomponent observations

S. Wealands, R. Grayson and J. WalkerHydrologic model assessment from automated spatial pattern comparison techniques

J.M. Spate, B.F. Croke and A.J. JakemanData mining in hydrology



The challenge of linking meso- and macroscale basin approaches: concepts, modelling strategies and related global initiativesConvener: Wolfgang-Albert Flügel

J.S. WallaceHELP bridging scales in water science, management and policy

W-A. Flügel and F. RijsbermanThe challenge program “Water and Food” for river basin scale water resources assessment

M. Märker, M. Flörke, S. Vassolo and J. Alcamo (Presenter: K. Bongartz)Preliminary assessment of IPCC-SRES scenarios on future water resources using the WaterGAP 2 model

C.J. Vörösmarty, E. M. Douglas, P. A. Green and C. RevengaA geospatial approach to assessing water stress in Africa

K. Scipal, W. Wagner, A. Ceballos, J. Martínez-Fernández and C. SchefflerThe potential of scatterometer derived soil moisture for catchment scale modelling

K. Bongartz, W.A. Flügel, P. Krause and U. TaddeiGeoinformatics toolset for integrated river basin management (IRBM) in the Saale River, Thueringia, Germany



VOLUME 2KeynoteC. Pahl-WostlThe importance of the human dimension in integrated assessment models and processes: actor based analysis and modelling approaches

Terrain analysis and spatial processesConvener: John Gallant

J.C. Aguero, A. Feuer and G. GoodwinTerrain modelling via triangular regular networks

H. FarabiA risk based approach using terrain attributes to control water quality impacts caused by forest roads

H. Lu, C.J. Moran and I.P. ProsserModelling sediment delivery ratio over Murray Darling Basin

Z. Paydar and J. GallantApplying a spatial modelling framework to assess land use effects on catchment hydrology

G. Summerell, J. Vaze, N.K. Tuteja, R. Grayson and T.I. DowlingDevelopment of an objective terrain analysis based method for delineating the major landforms of catchments

B. Murphy, G. Geeves, M. Miller, G. Summerell, P. Southwell and M. RankinThe application of pedotransfer functions with existing soil maps to predict soil hydraulic properties for catchment-scale hydrologic and salinity modelling

N.K. Tuteja, J. Vaze, G.T.H. Beale, G. Summerell and M.MillerSpatial disaggregation of catchment scale fluxes

Scaling up and down in natural resource managementConvener: John Gross

P. Perez, A. Dray, I. White, C. LePage and T. FalklandAtollscape: simulating freshwater management in Pacific Atolls. Spatial processes and time dependence issues

J.N. Park, D.H. Cobon and D.G. PhelpsModelling pasture growth in the Mitchell Grasslands

TABLE OF CONTENTS - VOLUME TWO


A.C. Liedloff, J.A. Ludwig and M.B. CoughenourSimulating overland flow and soil infiltration using an ecological approach

D.D. Kandel, A.W. Western and R.B. GraysonA scaling approach to capture sub-time-step rainfall variability in rainfall-runoff and erosion modelling

N. Gupta, R. Rudra, G. Parkin and H.R. WhiteleyFractal behavior of soil physical and hydraulic properties

Adaptive planning and management frameworks for coastal waterwaysConvener: Paul Lawrence

T.G. Nguyen and J.L. de KokApplication of sensitivity and uncertainty analyses for the validation of an integrated systems model for coastal zone management

E.J. McLean, B.L. McPherson and J.B. HinwoodA decision support tool for prioritising remediation works in a catchment/estuarine bay system

P.A. Lawrence, J.C. Bennett, and D. BarchiesiAn adaptive management framework to support regional resource planning

Landuse change in tropical systemsConvener: Meine van Noordwijk

B.J.P. Verbist, A. Widayati and M. Van NoordwijkThe link between land and water prediction of sediment point sources in a previously forested watershed in Lampung, Sumatra, Indonesia

T.K. Manik and R.C. SidleRainfall spatial distribution in Sumber Jaya watershed, Lampung, Indonesia

M. Van Noordwijk, A. Farida, D. Suyamto, B. Lusiana and N. KhasanahSpatial variability of rainfall governs river flow and reduces effects of land use change at landscape scale: GenRiver and SpatRain simulations

G. Parkin, J. Pollacco and S. BirkinshawPredicting the impact of afforestation or deforestation on recharge using only time series soil moisture and hydrometeorological data

D. Suprayogo, Widinto, W.G. Cadisch and M. Van NoordwijkA pedotransfer resource database (PTFRDB) for tropical soils: test with the water balance of WaNuLCAS



A. Kinsey-Henderson, I. Prosser and D. PostSubNet – predicting sources of sediment at sub-catchment scale using SedNet

J. Vaze, G.T.H. Beale, P. Barnett and N.K. TutejaPredicting the spatial and temporal effects of landuse change using the CATSALT modelling framework

R.C. Sidle and A.S. DhakalRecent advances in the spatial and temporal modeling of shallow landslides

D. Suyamto, M. Van Noordwijk, D.P. Hadi and B. LusianaFALLOW model: assessment tool for landscape level impact of farmer land use choices

Natural hazard and risk modellingConvener: Andre Zerger

S. Wooldridge and T. DoneThe use of bayesian belief networks to aid in the understanding and management of large-scale coral bleaching

X.G. LinStatistical modelling of severe wind gust

J. Savioli, M. Britton, S. Szylkarski and C. PedersonTropical cyclones modelling for natural disaster risk management

A. Zerger and G. MacLarenFloodbank: an internet based architecture for distributing spatial flood data

C. Fernández, G. Carbonell, J.V.TarazonaProbabilistic approximation to risk assessment of basins by ecotoxicological evaluation

S. Liu, L. Leslie, M. Speer and R. BunkerPredicting forest fire danger using improved model derived soil moisture and antecedent precipitation

A. Siqueira, A. Zerger, I. Bishop and S. JonesThe influence of climatic anomalies on hotspots occurence in the Brazilian Amazon region

S. Sangawongse, P. Pinkantayonk and W. NawapramoteUse of remote sensing, GIS and field survey techniques for forest fire mapping in the Upper Nan Watershed, Northern Thailand



GIS and environmental modellingConvener: David Pullar

N. Herron and P. PetersonA simplified GIS-based approach to prioritise salinity investment at the property-scale

M. Matthies and J.KlasmeierGeo-referenced stream pollution modelling and aquatic exposure assessment

M. PuotinenModelling tropical cyclone disturbance of the Great Barrier Reef using GIS

A.D. Simms, C.D. Woodroffe and B.G. JonesApplication of RUSLE for erosion management in a coastal catchment, Southern NSW

L. Adair and A. RahmanIdentification of erosion potential in an urban river in North Australia using GIS and hydrodynamic model

W. Cartwright, B. Williams and C. PettitGeographical visualization using rich media and enhanced GIS

S.J. Kininmonth, T. Donovan and S. EdgarFusing scientific modelling with knowledge management systems

L. Zhang, T. Dowling, M. Hocking, J. Morris, G. Adams, K. Hickel, A. Best and R. VertessyModelling the effects of large-scale plantation on streamflow and water allocation: a case study for the Goulburn-Broken Catchments

S.W. Laffan, H. Silcock, O. Nielsen and M. HeglandA new approach to analysing spatial data using sparse grids

K. Krivoruchko and C.A. GotwayUsing spatial statistics in GIS

Beyond metapopulations: macroecological modellingConvener: Sean Connelly

W.J. Chivers, R.D. Herbert and W. GladstoneHeterogeneous resource partitioning in a generalised individual-based model of multi-species interaction



T. Sakata, K. Tainaka, Y. Ito and J. YoshimuraStability of specialists feeding on a generalist

J. Yoshimura, H. Amagai, T. Suzuki, T. Togashi and T. MiyazakiPopulation dynamics of some mutualistic relationships

T. Togashi, A. Kaide, T. Miyazaki, T. Suzuki, N. Nakagiri, J. Yoshimura, J.L. Bartelt and P.A. CoxSimulation of mating behavior of Gametes and the evolution of anisogamy in marine green algae: isogamy, slight anisogamy and marked anisogamy

T. Miyazaki, K. Takeya, T. Togashi, N. Nakagiri, T. Suzuki and J. YoshimuraEffects of Ammonium concentration and dilution on the competition between the Cyanobacterium Microsystis Novacekii and the green alga Scenedesmus Quadricuada

B.J. Cairns and P.K. PollettEvaluating persistence times in populations that are subject to local catastrophes

T. D’heygere, P. Goethals, A. Dedecker and N. De PauwDevelopment of a monitoring network to model the habitat suitability of macroinvertebrates in the Zwalm River Basin (Flanders, Belgium)

S. Shanmuganathan, P. Sallis and J. BuckeridgeEcological modelling with self-organising maps

Information in ecosystems – theory and models about functional releance of inter and intra specific information in ecosystemsConvener: Markus Knoflacher

A.L. Mayer, C.W. Pawlowski, H. Cabezas and N.T. HoaglandEstimating sustainability of a simple human society and its associated ecosystem using resilience and fisher information

O.A. VoieInformation indexing in a Bayesian network for risk assessment of land-use decisions on threatened species

H.M. KnoflacherFunctional roles of information in ecosystems – a theoretical approach



Natural computing methods for modelling water resources and hydrologyConvener: Holger Maier

G.J. Bowden, J.B. Nixon, H.R. Maier, G.C. Dandy and M. HolmesForecasting Chlorine residuals in a water distribution system using a general regression neural network

M.S. Gibbs, N. Morgan, H.R. Maier, G.C. Dandy, M. Holmes and J.B. NixonUse of artificial neural networks for modelling Chlorine residuals in water distribution systems

A.C. Zecchin, H.R. Maier, A.R.Simpson, A. Roberts, M.J. Berrisford and M. LeonardMax-min Ant system applied to water distribution system optimisation

N. Siriwardene and B.J.C. PereraSelection of genetic algorithm operators for urban drainage model parameter optimisation

H.R. Maier, L. Radbone, T. Finkemeyer, T. Hume, M. Butchart and P. GoonanOptimising the mutual information of ecological data clusters using genetic algorithms

N. Horrigan and F. RecknagelGeneric artificial neural network framework for habitat assessment and prediction of Australian stream systems

U. YadavRunoff generation using soil moisture and neural network models

G.B. Kingston, H.R. Maier and M.F. LambertUnderstanding the mechanisms modelled by artificial neural networks for hydrological prediction

L. Marshall, A. Sharma and D. NottEfficient Bayesian model selection in hydrological modelling

G.B. Kingston, M.F. Lambert and H.R. MaierDevelopment of stochastic artificial neural networks for hydrological prediction

C. Rajanayaka, D. Kulasiri and S. SamarasingheA comparative study of parameter estimation in hydrology modelling: artificial neural networks and curve fitting approaches



Surface water modellingConvener: Neil Viney

M.C. Peel, F.G.R. Watson and R.A. VertessyModelling impacts of land use change on low flows in the North Esk River using the Macaque Model

H. Koivusalo, T. Kokkonen, A. Laurén, M. Ahtiainen, T. Karvonen, H. Mannerkoski, S. Penttinen, P. Seuna, M. Starr, P. Vakkilainen and L. FinérParameterization and application of a hillslope model to assess hydrological impacts of forest harvesting

A. Best, L. Zhang, T. McMahon and A. WesternDevelopment of a model for predicting the changes in flow duration curves due to altered land use conditions

A. Longobardi, P. Villani, R.B. Grayson and A.W. WesternOn the relationship between runoff coefficient and catchment initial conditions

B.M. Watson, S. Selvalingam and M. GhafouriEvaluation of SWAT for modelling the water balance of the Woady Yaloak River Catchment, Victoria

P.W. Carlile, B.F.W. Croke and A.J. JakemanIdentifying evapotranspiration relationships for input into rainfall-runoff models using the SWIM model

J. Charalambous, A. Rahman and D. CarrollApplication of Monte Carlo simulation technique with URBS model for design flood estimation of large catchments

O.P. Droop and W.C. BoughtonIntegration of WBNM into a continuous simulation system for design flood estimation

B.G. Anderson, I. Rutherfurd and A. WesternAn analysis of the influence of riparian vegetation on the propagation of flood waves

T. Shoji and Y. FukuiEstimating fresh-water fish habitat using the Phabsim system

M.J. McMaster, D.G. Provis, R.B. Grayson and W.A. BishopCalibration and testing of a hydrodynamic model of the Gippsland Lakes

R. SilbersteinWhy collect data when we can model it?



C. Zammit, M. Sivapalan, N.R. Viney and M. BariImprovement of physical basis of conceptual model, LASCAM, with explicit inclusion of within-catchment heterogeneity of landscape attributes

B. SivakumarEvidence of low-dimensional determinism in river flow dynamics: examples from predictions

J.G. Chanat and J.P. NortonInterpreting hydrologic response using transfer function models with time-varying parameters: an example from the Virginia Blue Ridge

J.P. Norton and J.G. ChanatAssessing rainfall-runoff records for time invariance using transfer function models with time-varying parameters



Volume 3Keynote

P.C.B. PhillipsChallenges of trending time series econometrics

Regional-scale enironmental-economic systemsConvener: Romy Greiner

A. Sadoddin, R.A. Letcher and A.J. JakemanA Bayesian decision network approach for salinity management in the Little River Catchment, NSW

T. Graham, B. White and D.J. PannellPreliminary research from a spatial and dynamic hydrology/economic model for dryland salinity

B. Yu, J. Tisdell, G. Podger, and I. SalbeA hydrologic and economic model for water trading and reallocation using linear programming techniques

P.L.M. Goethals, J.J. Bouma, D. François, T. D’heygere, A. Dedecker, V. Adriaenssens and N. De PauwCoupling ecosystem valuation methods to the waeco decision support system in the Zwalm Catchment (Belgium)

R. MonypennyRegional scale development issues

S. Kwonpongsagoon, T.D. Waite and S.J. MooreUse of information from substance flux analysis for human health risk assessment at regional scales: Cadmium as a case study in Australia

N. Tangsubkul, S. Moore and T.D. WaiteToxic substance accumulation prediction: a useful addition to conventional life cycle assessment when comparing water recycling technology

A. Herr, N. Stoeckl and R. GreinerModelling the adoption of environmental management practices by farmers

J. Gross, R. McAllister, N. Abel, D.M. Stafford-Smith, and Y. MaruAustralian rangelands as complex adaptive systems: a conceptual model and preliminary results

TABLE OF CONTENTS - VOLUME THREE


Modelling ecological and economic systems to measure ecological and environmental impacts from natural resource useConvener: Jackie Robinson

R. Mathevet, R. Lifran, A. Mauchamp, G. Lefebvre and B. PoulinReedSim: simulating ecological and economical dynamics of Mediterranean reedbeds

L. Chapman and L. CaoAn agent based bioeconomic model of a fishery with input controls

O. Thebaud and J-C. SoulieSimulating the short-term response of fisheries to regulatory controls: a multi agent approach

L. Cao and K. LawsonA spatiotemporal bioeconomic model for marine reserve design

J. Hamilton and S. ClarkAn economic analysis of a climatic prediction rule to trigger drought management strategies

R. Greiner, A. Smajgl and C. MayocchiModelling the implications of water reform on sugar cane farms in the Lower Burdekin Region

T. Tumaneng-Diete, S. Karabut, S. Cottier and M. FergusonIntegrating biophysical and socio-economic models to achieve triple bottom line outcomes on Queensland State Forests

D.B. Magcale-Macandog and C.D. PredoEnvironmental and economic impacts of land-use change in imperata areas: a bioeconomic modelling approach

H. Purnomo and P. GuizolGoverning forest plantation to reduce poverty and improve forest landscape: a multiagent imulation approach

A. Bah, I. Touré and C. Le PageAn agent-based model for understanding the multiple uses of land and resources around drilling sites in Sahel

S. Shanmuganathan, P. Sallis and J. BuckeridgeSelf-organising map methods in integrated modelling of environmental-economic systems



Modelling in energy marketsConvener: Clinton Watkins

K. Fatai, L. Oxley and F.G. ScrimgeourEnergy efficiency and the New Zealand economy: a dynamic CGE analysis

C.A. Baloi, J.A. Belward and M. BulmerGenetic unit commitment model in a deregulated power energy environment

C.A. Baloi, J.A. Belward, M. Bulmer and C. TintosMulti – area unit commitment in the national electricity market

R. Ramalinga and S.V.L. NarasimhamEnergy conservation in domestic sector for better utilization of power – Indian context

Greenhouse gas emissions markets, policy and impactsConvener: Clinton Watkins

T. Islam and J. KennedyTransition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources by the north and the south

K. Fatai, L. Oxley and F.G. ScrimgeourModelling economies of scale and imperfect competition using CGE: a comparative application to the energy sector of New Zealand, Canada, Singapore & Mozambique

T. Okano, T. Kusakawa, T. Saijo and A. SuzukiAgent-based simulation of emissions trading: evaluation of non-compliance penalty and commitment period reserve

K. FujimeAssessment of market systems for CO

2 emissions trading as environmental policy options, with special emphasis on evaluation of intertemporal trading

C. WatkinsClimate change and trade relations between Australia and Japan

Tourism, hospitality management and environmental modellingConvener: Christine Lim

R. ShareefSmall island tourism economies: a bird’s eye view



R.M. ItamiRBSim3: agent-based simulations of human behaviour in GIS environments using hierarchical spatial reasoning

J. Gnoth, C. Lim and R.S. TohTourism rejuvenation in Australia

R. ShareefSmall island tourism economies: a snapshot of country risk ratings

A. O’Connor, A. Zerger and B. ItamiBuilding better agents: geo-temporal tracking and analysis of tourist behavior

R. Greiner, N. Stoeckl and C. MayocchiImproving benefits from tourism to communities in Australia’s tropical savannas

C. Lim and G.W. PanAn econometric analysis of inbound tourism for China

Modelling intellectual propertyConvener: Dora Marinova

F. Chan, D. Marinova and M. McAleerModelling the asymmetric volatility of anti-pollution technology patents in the USA

T. TomitaA comparative analysis of domestic patent applications of South-east Asian Countries using Harschman-Herfindahl Index

K. Smith and D. MarinovaBibliometric modelling and policy making

D. Marinova and M. McAleerAnti-pollution innovation strengths indicators based on US patents

T. TomitaInternational patent cartels and patent statistics between World War I and World War II

D. Marinova and M. McAleerInternational rankings of industrial property



K. Smith and D. MarinovaAcademic publishing in the Australian changing funding environment: an analysis of journal ranking in the geosciences

T. TomitaAn heuristic analysis of long life leading companies in orders of patent applications

The analysis of high frequency financial data and market microstructure issuesConvener: Dave Allen

S. Peiris, D. Allen and W. YangSome statistical models for durations and their applications in finance

M. Aitken, D.E. Allen and W.J. YangSome evidence on the information content of undisclosed limit orders on the ASX

D.E. Allen and V. SoucikSome evidence on the performance benchmarking of Australian fixed interest funds

Risk analysis and modellingConvener: Suhejla Hoti

S. HotiRating risk rating systems

G.M. Caporale, E. Panopoulou and N. PittisThe Feldstein-Horioka puzzle revisited: a monte carlo study

F. Chan and M. McAleerModelling multivariate asymmetric financial volatility

S. HotiThe international country risk guide: an empirical evaluation

Time series analysisConvener: Colin McKenzie

H. YamadaSome monte carlo evidence on the hypothesis testing for the mean of stationary vector autoregressive process



W.S. Chan and S.H. CheungA bivariate threshold time series model for analyzing Australian interest rates

K. SatoReal interest rate linkages in the Asian-Pacific Region: a time-varying parameter approach

L.K. LimMulti-country currency unions in East Asia

M.D. Craine, Y.W. Cheng and J. PrescottA catch rate-environment time series approach to the prediction of catches taken from the Esperance Southern Rock Lobster Fishery

B.G. Lewis, R.D. Herbert and R.D. BellThe application of fourier analysis to forecasting the inbound call time series of a call centre

Modelling in financeConvener: John Sequeira

K.A. Wong, J.M. Sequeira and M. McAleerIs there information content in insider trades in the Singapore exchange?

K. RadaljHedgers, speculators and forward markets: evidence from currency markets

S. LingMLE for change-point in ARMA-GARCH models with a changing drift

Empirical finance and financial managementConvener: Peter Verhoeven

H. GatfaouiHow does systematic risk impact stocks? A study on the French financial market

S. d’Addona and P. BrighiAn empirical investigation of the Italian Stock Market based on the Three Factors Model

C.K.Y. Leung, W.L. Law, and Y.F. ChowCompany investors versus individual investors in the Hong Kong property market



Modelling conditional and stochastic volatilityConvener: Felix Chan

F. Chan and M. McAleerStatistical properties of STAR-GARCH models: an empirical evaluation

M. Kobayashi and M. McAleerTesting the elasticity of volatility with respect to the level of an integrated process

P. Verhoeven and M. McAleerDetecting local outliers in financial time series

K. Radalj and M. McAleerSpeculation and destabilization

C. Watkins and M. McAleerCorrelation in volatility among related commodity markets

Economic growth and developmentConvener: Baiding Hu

L.T. Van Trinh, J. Gibson and L. OxleyMeasuring the stock of human capital in New Zealand

M-H. ChienA human resource management model designed for Chinese business processes

M-H. ChienA study to improve organizational citizenship behaviors

H. YuenA Cluster-Based Approach for identifying East Asian Economies: A foundation for monetary integration

B. Hu and M. McAleerEstimation of Chinese agricultural production efficiencies with panel data

B. O’Regan and R. MolesThe dynamics of relative attractiveness: minerals exploration in the developing world



Econometric modellingConvener: Michael McAleer

K. HitomiEmpirical likelihood, exponential tilting, and GMM estimators with a number of moment conditions -

Y. NishiyamaBootstrap bandwidth and kernel order selection for density weighted averages

M. Fukushige and I. MiyaraStatistical hypothesis testing for returns to scale using data envelopment analysis

K. OyaProperties of estimators of count data model with endogenous switching

K. Sato, Z. Zhang and M. McAleerShocking aspects of East Asian monetary integration: an optimum currency area approach

K. Nawata and M. IiEstimation of the labor participation and wage equation model of Japanese married women by the simultaneous maximum likelihood method

B. Hu and M. McAleerTime series analysis of aggregate consumption in China

M. McAleer and J.C. Wei NamTesting for monetary integration and contagion in ASEAN exchange rates

Corporate financeConvener: Colin McKenzie

C-T. LinA generalized capital asset pricing model

V.I. Tian, E.Y.L. Keung and Y.F. ChowEconomic value added in the Hong Kong listed companies: a preliminary evidence

C-T. LinDividend policies, legal regimes and market systems in the Asia Pacific region



J.C.Y. How, C.X. Huang and P. VerhoevenInformation asymmetry surrounding earnings and dividend announcements: an intra-day analysis

S. Takaoka and C.R. McKenzieThe impact of competition in the Japanese underwriting market

C.R. McKenzie and S. TakaokaThe impact of Japanese deregulation on the Euro-Yen bond market

Economic modellingConvener: Les Oxley

R.D Herbert and G.D. LeevesOptimal control of unemployment in a general equilibrium job search model

R. McAllister and M. BulmerGenetic algorithms and stochastic forest property rights enforcement

R.D. Herbert, P.J. Stemp and W.E. GriffithsAn evaluation of alternative approaches to solving large-scale macroeconomic models

E. Aiyoshi and A. MakiA simulation of the non-cooperative Nash equilibrium model

A. GelanCommuting, migration, and rural development

Y. SatoCity structure, search and workers’ job acceptance behavior

T. FukiharuGeneral equilibrium analysis on arms exports to developing countries in conflict

D. Marsh and L. OxleyModelling innovation activity in the New Zealand biotechnology sector



VOLUME 4KeynoteJ.P. NortonPrediction for decision-making under uncertainty

Modelling and simulation of agricultural systemsConvener: David White

M. Rivington, K.B. Matthews and K. BuchanQuantifying the uncertainty in spatially explicit land-use model predictions arising from the use of substituted climate data

K.B. Matthews, K. Buchan and A. DalzielEvaluating labour requirements within a multi-objective land-use planning tool

B.P. Marchant, E. Audsley, J.E. Annetts, K.R. Pearn and M.RounsevellSimulating agricultural decision making to project future land use

D.L. Liu, M.K. Conyers and K.R. HelyarSimulation of the changes in soil pH of various acidic soils through lime applications

D. Singh, V. Rao, S. Singh and R. SinghTesting the performance and application of BRASSICA model

L.J. Erakovic, A. Subic, B. Abu-Hijleh and D. McLarenModelling and simulation of Chilean Needle Grass spread during slashing

P. DeVoil, W. Rossing and G.L. HammerExploring profit – sustainability trade-offs in cropping systems using evolutionary algorithms

D.G. Mayer, B.P. Kinghorn and A.A. Archer“Simple” differential evolution for beef model optimisation

L.C. McArthur, J.W. Boland and F. TiverParameter estimation for stage-structured projection models using real data

P.M. Pepper, A.J. Swain and M. Lyndal-MurphyUsing simulation techniques to investigate methods to determine resistance of helminths to anthelmintic treatment

TABLE OF CONTENTS - VOLUME FOUR


A.E. McKinnon, S.T. Bell and A.R. SykesUsing a model of magnesium dynamics in cows to predict the risk of tetany in dairy herds

F. Guerrin and J.M. PaillatModelling biomass fluxes and fertility transfers: animal wastes management in the Reunion Island

A.J. Clark and B. ForesterA proto-type dynamic model of the Australian sheep flock

Integrative modelling for sustainable water allocationConvener: Sergei Schreider

D.H. White, N. Beynon and O. KingmaOpportunities for achieving water savings throughout the Murray Darling Basin

L.E. Brennan, S.N. Lisson, P.L. Poulton, P.S. Carberry, K.L. Bristow and S. KhanAssessing the economic and environmental benefits and risks of investing in recycled water for irrigation on the Darling Downs, Australia

E. Xevi and S. KhanA multi-objective optimization approach to water management

A. HafiInvestment in refurbishment of irrigation channels – a case study of the Stanbridge system in the Murrumbidgee Irrigation Area

B.J.C. Perera, B. James, and M.D.U. KularathnaComputer software tool for sustainable water allocation and management – REALM

J.K. Gilmour, R.A. Letcher and A.J. JakemanSensitivity analysis of an integrated model approach for assessing land and water policy options

K.M. Hyde, H.R. Maier and C.B. ColbyThe applicability of robustness measures to water resources decision making

K. Saifuk and S. OngsomwangA decision support framework for catchment based natural resource management

R.A. Letcher and P. AluwihareDevelopment of a decision support system for the Namoi and Gwydir Valleys



G.M. BazzaniA DSS for an integrated analysis of irrigation at farm and catchment level: DSIRR

Sensitivity analysis and applicationsConvener: Roger Braddock

S. Schreider, B. James, M. Seker and E. WeinmannSensitivity and error propagation analysis for the Goulburn simulation model built by REALM

J.P. Norton, R. Nathan, G. Podger and R. Vertessy (presenter: R. Argent)Sensitivity assessment needs of complex simulation models for integrated catchment management

T. Suzuki, N. Nakagiri, K-I. Tainaka, T. Togashi, T. Miyazaki and J. YoshimuraA role of a low-density species on the community outcomes in a model ecosystem

Y. Itoh, S. Gotoh, N. Nakagiri, T. Sakata and K-I. TainakaPerturbation experiment and extinction processes in a prey-predator lattice system

C.A. Baloi, J.A. Belward and M. BulmerSensitivity analysis of the National electricity market

N. Nakagiri, K-I. Tainaka, T. Togashi, T. Miyazaki and J. YoshimuraParameter sensitivity in a lattice ecosystem with intraguild predation

J. Whitcombe, R. Cropp, R. Braddock and I. AgranovskiThe use of sensitivity analysis and genetic algorithms for the management of catalyst emissions from oil refineries

Geostatistical developments and applicationsConvener: Peter Brooker

R. Dimitrakopoulos and S. MackieStochastic simulation for the quantification of mine spoil variability and rehabilitation decision making

B.P. Marchant and R.M. LarkAdaptive schemes for geostatistical sampling and survey



Integrated modelling environments – analysis, design and implementationConveners: Ralf Denzer and Rob Argent

R.M. Argent, R.A. Vertessy, J.M. Rahman, S.M. Cuddy, G.M. Podger and D.R. PerryBuilding a modelling toolkit for prediction of catchment behaviour

R. Grayson, R. Argent, R. Vertessy, P. Hairsine and G. PodgerAn “Integration Blueprint” to underpin the development of the catchment modelling toolkit

J.M. Rahman, S.P. Seaton, J-M. Perraud, H. Hotham, D.I. Verrelli and J.R. ColemanIt’s TIME for a new environmental modelling framework

J-M. Perraud, G. Podger, J.M. Rahman and R.A. VertessyA new rainfall-runoff software library

R. Denzer, R. Güttler, T. Hell and M. VillaIntegration of heterogeneous software components in a pesticide decision support system

A. Jolma and A. RizzoliA review of interoperability techniques for models, data, and knowledge in environmental software

E. PostDesigning and implementing computer simulation models for portability and reuse

R. Denzer, R. Güttler, S. Schlobinski and J. WilliamsA decision support system for marine applications

W. Dar LinUsing dynamic processing of web site usage to examine consumer behavior

Industrial modelling and optimisationConvener: Lou Caccetta

M.I. Ali, P.A. Schneider and N. HudsonAssessing nutrient recovery from piggery effluents

C.J. Barnes, D. Kulawiec, P. Marsh and R. SolomonDeveloping a management model for a complex business system



L. Caccetta, S. Kostova and V.G. RumchevPositive linear dynamic model of mobile source air pollution and related problems

L. Caccetta and B. WattananonProject networks with mixed-time constraints

A.H. DekkerUsing agent-based modelling to study organisational performance and cultural differences

G. Kastl, I.H. Fisher, A. Sathasivan, P. Chen and J.A. Van LeeuwenModelling water quality from source water to tap by integration of process models

V. Jegatheesan and S. VigneswaranMathematical modelling of deep bed filtration

S.K. Lim and F.T. MavondoThe structure of strategic capabilities, implications for organisational agility and superior performance: a conceptual framework

D.S. Liu, E. Post, D. Kulasiri, and R.A. SherlockOptimisation of a complex simulation model

O. Montes de Oca, C.K.G Dake, A.E. Dooley and D. ClarkA dairy supply chain model of the New Zealand dairy industry

B.J. Mullins, R.D. Braddock and I.E. AgranovskiFibre wetting processes in wet filtration

J. Van Leeuwen, M. Holmes, C. Heidenreich, R. Daly, I. Fisher, G. Kastl, A. Sathasivan and D. BursillModelling the application of inorganic coagulants and pH control reagents for removal of organic matter from drinking waters

P. Welgama and R. OystonStudy of options to increase the throughput of the Hunter Valley coal chain

D. Wilson and R. LaneyThe use of simulation for clothing manufacturing executives; a case study



Mathematical and statistical techniquesConvener: Mal Heron

K-C. ChiouA study of imputing censored observations for 2-parameter weibull distribution based on random censoring

M.D. SmithUsing copulas in statistical models of switching regimes

P.K. Pollett and V.T. StefanovA method for evaluating the distribution of the total cost of a random process over its lifetime

R. SabbadinApproximating spatial markov decision processes for environmental management

A.A. Bartolucci, A.D. Bartolucci and K.P. SinghSample size requirements for stratified random sampling of pond water with cost considerations using a bayesian methodology

T.P. Hancock, D.H. Coomans and Y.L. EveringhamSupervised hierarchical clustering using CART

M.A. Shahin, H.R. Maier, M.B. JaksaNeural and neurofuzzy techniques applied to modelling settlement of shallow foundations on granular soils

Virtual simulation systems and their applicationsConvener: Toshio Nakanishi

N. Mukai, Y. Sakaguchi and M. KosugiA method for generating texture images used on landscape simulation

C. Stock and I.D. BishopDevelopment of an envisioning system for rural communities

R. KohashiThe management of consumer’s community on a website bulletin-board service

Z. Li and R. SitteModelling unsynchronized motion dynamics for truthful VR visualizations



K. Tatur and R. SitteModeling flexibility with spline approximations for fast VR visualizations

B. Abu-Hijleh, J. Tu, A. Subic and L. FostineoEffect of inlet/outlet fillets on the clearance flow in rotor-casing assembly

Integrated modelling of the growth of cities and mega-citiesConvener: Tad Soroczynski

S. EggerThe sustainability of cities: determining an appropriate model

D. Pullar and C. PettitImproving urban growth forecasting with cellular automata: a case study for Hervey Bay

A. GelanTrade policy and mega-cities in LDCs: a general equilibrium model with numerical simulations

S. EggerGlobalisation and the sustainability of cities: a methodology for determining their relationship

Statistical modelling in health and biomedical sciencesConvener: Karan Singh

M. Tsuji, W. Suzuki, and F. TaokaAn empirical analysis of the economic assessment of the tele-health system by the CVM method

N. Yatawara, J. Piek and H. LinAn analysis of the development of motor coordination of infants through transfer function models

K.P. Singh, J.T. Wulu, Jr, S. Bae, A.A. Bartolucci and F. TrevinoModeling hospital discharge counts across zip code areas

B. Berg, G. La Penna, V. Minicozzi, S. Morante and G.C. RossiMulti-canonical algorithms for folding processes

M. Bulmer and K. FleetwoodEstimation issues in allometric scaling models



D. Carey, S. Bae, R. Shanmugam, A.A. Bartolucci and K.P. SinghAssessing therapeutic equivalence of three proportions using weighted likelihood ratio and equivalence cube

Simulation of traffic control systemsConvener: Toshio Nakanishi

S. YaskawaHigh fidelity real-time railroad simulation- its necessity, advantages, and results

Y. Hibiya, K. Chiba,T. Fujikura, I. Miyoshi and T. NakanishiGPS-based mobile information board system

H. Itoh, M. Numano and E. PedersenModeling and simulation of sea traffic and a visualization-based collision avoidance support system

M. Numano, H. Itoh, J. Fukuto and Y. NiwaSimulation study on sea traffic control at an intersection utilizing information sharing with automatic identification system (AIS)

M. Takahashi, M. Kaneko, Y. Futatsuishi, I. Watanabe and T. NakanishiA study of the scheduling simulation system of U-shaped production line with multi-workers using eM-Plant

M. Namekawa, H. Mori, A. Satoh and T. NakanishiSynchronization method for continuous-event parallel simulation

Modelling and analysis of transport systemsConvener: Lal Wadhwa

J. TaplinModelling the choice of second and subsequent trip destinations as a Markov process: behavioural implications

A.E. Rizzoli, N. Casagrande, A.V. Donati, L.M. Gambardella, D. Lepori, R. Montemanni, P. Pina and M. ZaffalonPlanning and optimisation of vehicle routes for fuel oil distribution

Y. Tsubota, N. Hirao and H. KawashimaThe evaluation of road pricing for the Tokyo metropolitan area with respect to environment

U. Vandebona and P. ThananupappaisanModelling of composition of baggage screening systems at airports




E. KozanContainer transfer logistics at multimodal container terminals

Modelling and simulation in geomechanical systemsConvener: Karu Karunasena

K. Johnson, P. Lemcke, W. Karunasena and N. SivakuganModelling the response of deep foundations under oblique loading

K.J. Rankine, K.S. Rankine and N. SivakuganQuantitative validation of scaled modelling of hydraulic mine drainage using numerical modelling

K. Johnson, M. Christensen, N. Sivakugan and W. KarunasenaSimulating the response of shallow foundations using finite element modelling

Volume 1 - MSSANZ

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