Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders by Beth Sanner START AT THE END DON’T OUTSOURCE THE ANALYSIS GREAT DESIGN IS NOT DEMOCRATIC ADD BY SUBTRACTING KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE № 1 № 2 № 3 № 4 № 5
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
by Beth Sanner
START AT THE END
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
№ 1 № 2 № 3 № 4 № 5
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
by Beth Sanner
START AT THE END
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Uganda
auritaniaMauritania
Uganda
Dji.
or.Jor.
India
Sudan
Mali
Niger
Chad
Erit.
Afg.
U.A.E.
SouthSudan
Oman
Kuw.
QatarBahr.
Iraq
Ethiopia
Kenya
So
Iran
Yemen
SaudiArabia
Pak.
Somalia
(U)
DangerousSeriousThreatenedCaution
Distribution of Desert Locust
(U)
Recession area
Invasion area
Probable movement of locust swarms
(U) Desert Locust Forecast, May-July
(U) Note: A “recession” is the rangeof the desert locust during quiet periods.(U) Sources: A US academic institution andthe UN Food and Agriculture Organization.
Boundary representation is not necessarily authoritative.
Locusts swarm in Jaipur, India.
Pakistani Punjabi farmer holds a locust.
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
START AT THE END
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
by Beth Sanner
—— P E O P L E & S O C I E T Y ——
TurbulentThe Sunni-Shiite divide underpins much of the discord in the region
―
DisplacedDisplacement and reconstruction costs will impact the region for decades
―
D E S T R O Y E DD I S P L A C E D
K I L L E D C O S T
7% HOUSING STOCK³ HALF THE POPULATION 400,000 – 470,000 $226 BILLION⁴
SYRIAN REFUGEES - By Country2016¹
5.4 million total Syrian refugees worldwide.
Circle size represents the total number of Syrian refugees living in each country. Green circles are countries in our AOR. Grey circles are outside our AOR. The larger the circle, the more Syrian refugees
¹ source: UN
Turkey hosts more Syrian refugees than any other country
(2.82 million)…
…However, Lebanon and Jordan have absorbed more per capita by a wide margin: 162 and 63
(per 1,000) vs 35 for Turkey
N E A R E A S T
|
“Even if the conflict ceased now [2014] and GDP grew at an average rate of 5% each year, it is estimated that it would take the Syrian
economy 30 years to return to the economic level of 2010.”¹
|COUNTRY RULING SECT POPULATION2017
SHIITE SUNNI
IRAN SHIITE SUNNI 82,021,564 90% 10%
BAHRAIN SHIITE SUNNI 1,410,942 70% 30%
IRAQ SHIITE SUNNI 39,192,111 60% 40%
LEBANON² SHIITE SUNNI 6,229,794 36% 22%
YEMEN SHIITE SUNNI 28,036,829 35% 65%
KUWAIT SHIITE SUNNI 2,875,422 25% 60%
UAE SHIITE SUNNI 6,072,475 15% 81%
QATAR SHIITE SUNNI 2,314,307 14% 86%
SYRIA SHIITE SUNNI 18,028,549 13% 74%
SAUDI ARABIA SHIITE SUNNI 28,571,770 10% 90%
OMAN² SHIITE SUNNI 3,424,386 5% 45%
JORDAN SHIITE SUNNI 10,248,069 2% 92%
EGYPT SHIITE SUNNI 97,041,072 – 90%
|
Turkey 2,823,987Lebanon 1,005,503
Jordan 648,836Germany 375,122
Iraq 230,836
Egypt 116,013
Sweden 96,914Austria 30,958
Netherlands 28,394Denmark 18,215Bulgaria 15,027Armenia 14,626Greece 14,420
Norway 11,537Switzerland 11,159
Belgium 9,080France 8,991
UK 8,269Spain 8,205Sudan 6,997
USA 6,444TURKEY 35 PER 1,000
LEBANON 162 PER 1,000
In addition to Syrian refugees, Iraq has
over 3.6 million internally displaced
SAUDI
ARABIAEGYPT
YEMEN
―UAE
―KUWAIT
IRANIRAQ
SYRIA
JORDAN―
SUNNI SHIITE DIVIDE2016¹
¹ sources: Columbia University; New York Times; CIA Fact Book; Congressional Research Staff; Pew Research
* Israel is 75% Jewish, 18% Muslim and 2% Christian (according to a 2015 CIAFactbook estimate)
TOP SYRIAN REFUGEE HOST COUNTRIES - 2016¹
² Lebanon is a coalition government and Oman is ruled by SultanQABOOS, an Ibadi Muslim
Prior to the start of the Syrian Civil War, Jordan was already home to
450,000 Iraqi refugees
SYRIAN REFUGEES
1 million
100K
² source: World Bank
5.4 million Syrian refugees worldwide
Dec 2011 Dec 2017
Sunni
Shiite
Ibadi
Wahhabi
THE TOLL OF WAR IN SYRIA2017²
³ 20% is partially destroyed ⁴ As context, between 2003 and 2012, the U.S. spent $60 billion on Iraq reconstruction
This chart, which shows the rise of
Syrian refugees worldwide since the
start of the war, excludes the 6.5 million internally
displaced in Syria
QATAR ―BAHRAIN
—— P E O P L E & S O C I E T Y ——
TurbulentThe Sunni-Shiite divide underpins much of the discord in the region
―
DisplacedDisplacement and reconstruction costs will impact the region for decades
―
D E S T R O Y E DD I S P L A C E D
K I L L E D C O S T
7% HOUSING STOCK³ HALF THE POPULATION 400,000 – 470,000 $226 BILLION⁴
SYRIAN REFUGEES - By Country2016¹
5.4 million total Syrian refugees worldwide.
Circle size represents the total number of Syrian refugees living in each country. Green circles are countries in our AOR. Grey circles are outside our AOR. The larger the circle, the more Syrian refugees
¹ source: UN
Turkey hosts more Syrian refugees than any other country
(2.82 million)…
…However, Lebanon and Jordan have absorbed more per capita by a wide margin: 162 and 63
(per 1,000) vs 35 for Turkey
N E A R E A S T
|
“Even if the conflict ceased now [2014] and GDP grew at an average rate of 5% each year, it is estimated that it would take the Syrian
economy 30 years to return to the economic level of 2010.”¹
|COUNTRY RULING SECT POPULATION2017
SHIITE SUNNI
IRAN SHIITE SUNNI 82,021,564 90% 10%
BAHRAIN SHIITE SUNNI 1,410,942 70% 30%
IRAQ SHIITE SUNNI 39,192,111 60% 40%
LEBANON² SHIITE SUNNI 6,229,794 36% 22%
YEMEN SHIITE SUNNI 28,036,829 35% 65%
KUWAIT SHIITE SUNNI 2,875,422 25% 60%
UAE SHIITE SUNNI 6,072,475 15% 81%
QATAR SHIITE SUNNI 2,314,307 14% 86%
SYRIA SHIITE SUNNI 18,028,549 13% 74%
SAUDI ARABIA SHIITE SUNNI 28,571,770 10% 90%
OMAN² SHIITE SUNNI 3,424,386 5% 45%
JORDAN SHIITE SUNNI 10,248,069 2% 92%
EGYPT SHIITE SUNNI 97,041,072 – 90%
|
Turkey 2,823,987Lebanon 1,005,503
Jordan 648,836Germany 375,122
Iraq 230,836
Egypt 116,013
Sweden 96,914Austria 30,958
Netherlands 28,394Denmark 18,215Bulgaria 15,027Armenia 14,626Greece 14,420
Norway 11,537Switzerland 11,159
Belgium 9,080France 8,991
UK 8,269Spain 8,205Sudan 6,997
USA 6,444TURKEY 35 PER 1,000
LEBANON 162 PER 1,000
In addition to Syrian refugees, Iraq has
over 3.6 million internally displaced
SAUDI
ARABIAEGYPT
YEMEN
―UAE
―KUWAIT
IRANIRAQ
SYRIA
JORDAN―
SUNNI SHIITE DIVIDE2016¹
¹ sources: Columbia University; New York Times; CIA Fact Book; Congressional Research Staff; Pew Research
* Israel is 75% Jewish, 18% Muslim and 2% Christian (according to a 2015 CIA Factbook estimate)
TOP SYRIAN REFUGEE HOST COUNTRIES - 2016¹
² Lebanon is a coalition government and Oman is ruled by Sultan QABOOS, an Ibadi Muslim
Prior to the start of the Syrian Civil War, Jordan was already home to
450,000 Iraqi refugees
SYRIAN REFUGEES
1 million
100K
² source: World Bank
5.4 million Syrian refugees worldwide
Dec 2011 Dec 2017
Sunni
Shiite
Ibadi
Wahhabi
THE TOLL OF WAR IN SYRIA2017²
³ 20% is partially destroyed ⁴ As context, between 2003 and 2012, the U.S. spent $60 billion on Iraq reconstruction
This chart, which shows the rise of
Syrian refugees worldwide since the
start of the war, excludes the 6.5 million internally
displaced in Syria
QATAR ―BAHRAIN
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
START AT THE END
by Beth Sanner
Third wave of the opioid epidemic
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
FENTANYL
Peak motor vehicle fatalities (1972) —
Peak firearm deaths, including suicide and homicide (1993) —
* source: CDC
TOTAL US DRUG OVERDOSE DEATHS 1999 – 2016*
Deaths from fentanyl and other synthetic opioids in dark red
* source: CDC
FIRST WAVEStarts in the 90s when Doctors begin overprescribing legal painkillers like OxyContin
SECOND WAVEAddicts eventually turn to their stronger cousin, heroin
THIRD WAVEDemand for heroin in turn creates opportunity for dealers to offer fentanyl
up to 50xmore potent than heroin
PRE-EPIDEMIC —
In 1999, before the first wave of the opioid epidemic, 16,849 Americans died from drug overdoses.
US DRUG OVERDOSE FATALITIES – PER CAPITA1999*
EPIDEMIC —
Now, largely due to fentanyl—a synthetic opioid—drug overdoses are the leading cause of death among Americans under 50.
US DRUG OVERDOSES FATALITIES – PER CAPITA2016*
The highest per-capita overdose rates in 1999, before the epidemic, were largely limited to the Southwest border region
Exponentially more lethal and potent
Fentanyl kills more people than any other opioid, including prescription pills and heroin, because it’s so easy to overdose.
Cheap to make and easy to buy
Fentanyl is widely available in the US and openly sold by Chinese labs online. Raw materials and equipment are cheap and synthesis only takes a week.
Significantly more profitable
One of the primary reasons for the rapid spread of fentanyl is its significantly high profit margin, especially compared to heroin.
17 years later, the highest fatality rates are concentrated in Appalachia and New England—not the Southwest
Most ever recorded — 63,632
up to 100xmore potent than morphine
† source: DEA
* source: CDC
0 10 20 30 40 50+
Deaths per 100,000
0 10 20 30 40 50+
Deaths per 100,000
† source: DEA
Just two milligrams of fentanyl is lethal; a sugar packet sized bag of pure fentanyl, for example, can kill 5,000 people
$10,000 in profit
$5,000 of pure Chinese fentanyl: $1.92 million in profit, wholesale
$5,000 of Colombian heroin: $75,000 in profit, wholesale
† sources: Bloomberg; DEA; US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
CHINA’S DRUG BAZAAR – ONLINE †―Online distributors across China sell synthetic drugs banned in the US
Number of Companies
PROFIT – HEROIN VS FENTANYL †―
LETHAL DOSE †―
22 June 2018
Third wave of the opioid epidemic
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
FENTANYL
Peak motor vehicle fatalities (1972) —
Peak firearm deaths, including suicide and homicide (1993) —
* source: CDC
TOTAL US DRUG OVERDOSE DEATHS 1999 – 2016*
Deaths from fentanyl and other synthetic opioids in dark red
* source: CDC
FIRST WAVE
SECOND WAVE
THIRD WAVE
up to 50xmore potent than heroin
PRE-EPIDEMIC —
In 1999, before the first wave of the opioid epidemic, 16,849 Americans died from drug overdoses.
US DRUG OVERDOSE FATALITIES – PER CAPITA1999*
EPIDEMIC —
Now, largely due to fentanyl—a synthetic opioid—drug overdoses are the leading cause of death among Americans under 50.
US DRUG OVERDOSES FATALITIES – PER CAPITA2016*
Exponentially more lethal and potent
Fentanyl kills more people than any other opioid, including prescription pills and heroin, because it’s so easy to overdose.
Cheap to make and easy to buy
Fentanyl is widely available in the US and openly sold by Chinese labs online. Raw materials and equipment are cheap and synthesis only takes a week.
Significantly more profitable
One of the primary reasons for the rapid spread of fentanyl is its significantly high profit margin, especially compared to heroin.
Most ever recorded — 63,632
up to
more potent than morphine
† source: DEA
* source: CDC
0 10 20 30 40 50+
Deaths per 100,000
0 10 20 30 40 50+
Deaths per 100,000
† source: DEA
100x
$10,000 in profit
$5,000 of pure Chinese fentanyl: $1.92 million in profit, wholesale
$5,000 of Colombian heroin: $75,000 in profit, wholesale
CHINA’S DRUG BAZAAR – ONLINE †―
† sources: Bloomberg; DEA; US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
Number of Companies
PROFIT – HEROIN VS FENTANYL †―
LETHAL DOSE †―
22 June 2018
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
START AT THE END
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
by Beth Sanner
—— P E O P L E & S O C I E T Y ——
TurbulentThe Sunni-Shiite divide underpins much of the discord in the region
―
DisplacedDisplacement and reconstruction costs will impact the region for decades
―
D E S T R O Y E DD I S P L A C E D
K I L L E D C O S T
7% HOUSING STOCK³ HALF THE POPULATION 400,000 – 470,000 $226 BILLION⁴
SYRIAN REFUGEES - By Country2016¹
5.4 million total Syrian refugees worldwide.
Circle size represents the total number of Syrian refugees living in each country. Green circles are countries in our AOR. Grey circles are outside our AOR. The larger the circle, the more Syrian refugees
¹ source: UN
Turkey hosts more Syrian refugees than any other country
(2.82 million)…
…However, Lebanon and Jordan have absorbed more per capita by a wide margin: 162 and 63
(per 1,000) vs 35 for Turkey
N E A R E A S T
|
“Even if the conflict ceased now [2014] and GDP grew at an average rate of 5% each year, it is estimated that it would take the Syrian
economy 30 years to return to the economic level of 2010.”¹
|COUNTRY RULING SECT POPULATION2017
SHIITE SUNNI
IRAN SHIITE SUNNI 82,021,564 90% 10%
BAHRAIN SHIITE SUNNI 1,410,942 70% 30%
IRAQ SHIITE SUNNI 39,192,111 60% 40%
LEBANON² SHIITE SUNNI 6,229,794 36% 22%
YEMEN SHIITE SUNNI 28,036,829 35% 65%
KUWAIT SHIITE SUNNI 2,875,422 25% 60%
UAE SHIITE SUNNI 6,072,475 15% 81%
QATAR SHIITE SUNNI 2,314,307 14% 86%
SYRIA SHIITE SUNNI 18,028,549 13% 74%
SAUDI ARABIA SHIITE SUNNI 28,571,770 10% 90%
OMAN² SHIITE SUNNI 3,424,386 5% 45%
JORDAN SHIITE SUNNI 10,248,069 2% 92%
EGYPT SHIITE SUNNI 97,041,072 – 90%
|
Turkey 2,823,987Lebanon 1,005,503
Jordan 648,836Germany 375,122
Iraq 230,836
Egypt 116,013
Sweden 96,914Austria 30,958
Netherlands 28,394Denmark 18,215Bulgaria 15,027Armenia 14,626Greece 14,420
Norway 11,537Switzerland 11,159
Belgium 9,080France 8,991
UK 8,269Spain 8,205Sudan 6,997
USA 6,444TURKEY 35 PER 1,000
LEBANON 162 PER 1,000
In addition to Syrian refugees, Iraq has
over 3.6 million internally displaced
SAUDI
ARABIAEGYPT
YEMEN
―UAE
―KUWAIT
IRANIRAQ
SYRIA
JORDAN―
SUNNI SHIITE DIVIDE2016¹
¹ sources: Columbia University; New York Times; CIA Fact Book; Congressional Research Staff; Pew Research
* Israel is 75% Jewish, 18% Muslim and 2% Christian (according to a 2015 CIAFactbook estimate)
TOP SYRIAN REFUGEE HOST COUNTRIES - 2016¹
² Lebanon is a coalition government and Oman is ruled by SultanQABOOS, an Ibadi Muslim
Prior to the start of the Syrian Civil War, Jordan was already home to
450,000 Iraqi refugees
SYRIAN REFUGEES
1 million
100K
² source: World Bank
5.4 million Syrian refugees worldwide
Dec 2011 Dec 2017
Sunni
Shiite
Ibadi
Wahhabi
THE TOLL OF WAR IN SYRIA2017²
³ 20% is partially destroyed ⁴ As context, between 2003 and 2012, the U.S. spent $60 billion on Iraq reconstruction
This chart, which shows the rise of
Syrian refugees worldwide since the
start of the war, excludes the 6.5 million internally
displaced in Syria
QATAR ―BAHRAIN
Visual Storytelling for Senior Leaders
ADD BY SUBTRACTING
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
START AT THE END
DON’T OUTSOURCE
THE ANALYSIS
GREAT DESIGN IS NOT
DEMOCRATIC
by Beth Sanner
21 November 2019Disease, Tariffs Affecting Asian Imports of US Pork and Soybeans
0
100
200
300
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
China’s Pork Imports from the US (1,000 tons)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Vietnam's Pork Imports from the US (1,000 tons)
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jan 17 Apr 17 Jul 17 Oct 17 Jan 18 Apr 18 Jul 18 Oct 18 Jan 19 Apr 19 Jul 19
US Soybean
Brazilian Soybean
US and Brazilian Soybean Export Prices (US$ per ton)
Pigs are fed a mixture of processed
Asian farmers have culled hundreds of
soybeans and corn
millions of pigs since August 2018
Jun 2018
Aug 2019 Chinese state media announces that Chinese
firms will stop buying US farm goods
China announces 25% tariffs on US soybeans