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World vitiviniculture situation Surface area Grape Global grape production Table and dried grapes Wine Production Consumption Trade 2017 OIV Focus: Vine varietal distribution in the world 2
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Vinhos em 2017 ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Jan 21, 2018

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Page 1: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

World vitiviniculture situation

Surface area

Grape

− Global grape production

− Table and dried grapes

Wine

− Production

− Consumption

− Trade

2017 OIV Focus: Vine varietal distribution in the world

2

Page 2: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Global area under vines

Page 3: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

7.8 7.8 7.8 7.87.8

7.7 7.77.6

7.57.5 7.5 7.4 7.5

7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5

7.0

7.2

7.4

7.6

7.8

8.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

million of ha

Area under vines in the world*

5countries represent

50% of world vineyard

7.5 mha in 2016

Spain 13%

China11%

France10%Italy

9%

Turkey 6%

Rest of the

world50%

*Area under vines destined for the production of wine grapes, table grapes or dried grapes, in

production or awaiting production.

-4% since 2000

Page 4: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

223214 191

190

148 140 130 120 105 102 85 69 68 67 63 48 46 39

0

100

200

300

400

thousand ha

Area under vines*

*Area under vines destined for the production of wine grapes, table grapes or dried grapes, in production or awaiting production.

Trends, 2000-2016

Since 2000 area under vines is:

decreasing in most of the european countries, Turkey and Iran

increasing in China, India, Chile and New Zealand

stable in the USA and in the last year in Spain and France

975847 785 690

480 443

0

400

800

1200

thousand ha

Page 5: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Grape

Page 6: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Major grapes producers: all use

Since 2000:

Growth in grapes production is particularly significant in China, India, Uzbekistan and

Chile

Is decreasing in Italy, France, Spain and Iran

14.6

7.9 7.1

6.46.0

4.0

2.62.2 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.8

1.6 1.3 1.21.1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

million of tons Trends, 2000-2016

Page 7: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

GrapeMajor grape producers by type of products*

Page 8: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

GrapeWhat happens to the

77 million tons of grapes grown in the word?

(2015)

Page 9: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)
Page 10: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Table grapes production

27 million of tons in 2014

+ 71% since 2000

China is a major contributor to the growth of world

production. Between 2000 and 2014, table grape

production in China grew by more than 80%.

3 countries produce 50%

China 34%

India 8%

Turkey 8%

Page 11: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Table grapes consumption

27 million of tons in 2014

+ 73% since 2000

This is mainly due to the fact that grapes are a fragile

and highly perishable product and they are most

likely to be consumed close to where they are

produced.

Asian countries also lead

the world in table grape

consumption

China 37%

India 7%

Turkey 7%

Egypt 5%

Iran 4%USA 4%

Page 12: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

2

3

4

5

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

million of tons

Trade of grapes is growing thanks to progress made in cultivation and storage techniques:

increased by about 50% over the past 15 years, reaching 4.2 million tonnes in 2014

+ 50% since 2000

Growth was particularly driven by the emergence of new players

in table grape trade, such as South Africa and Peru

Table Grapes export

4.2 million tons: the world export in 2014

Page 13: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Dried grapes production

1.5 million tons in 2014

+10% since 2000

Turkey and USA dominate global dried grapes production

USA 21%Turkey 28%

Iran 13%China 12%

Chile 6%

Page 14: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Dried grapes consumption

1.6 million tons in 2014

+17% since 2000

USA 13%Turkey 13%

USA and Turkey are the leading domestic markets,

accounting for one quarter of global consumption

Iran 6% China 10%

India 2%

Although Europe is only a minor producer, it accounts for 33% of world

consumption

UK 7%Germany 4%

Greece 2%

Netherlands 3%

Page 15: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

thousand of tons

More than 1 million of tons in 2014

Dried grape is the most heavily traded product in the sector (63% of total consumption):

Turkey is the largest exporter of raisins with more than half of local production exported

the EU is the leading importer market

India and China are major producers, but not yet major exporters

Dried Grapes export

+27% since 2000

Page 16: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine production

Page 17: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

2016 world wine production (excluding juice & musts) decreased by 3% compared with the

previous year

unfavourable climate conditions weighed on productions in different countries

World wine production

267 mhl in 2016

-4% since 2000

279 265

257 264

298

278 283 268 269 273

264 268 258

290

270 276 267

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Forecast

2016

million of hl

Page 18: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine production in 2016

Page 19: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine productionexcluding juice and musts

mhl 2012 2013 2014 2015 Forecast 2016

2016/2015

Variation in

volume

2016/2015

Variation

in %

1 Italy 45.6 54.0 44.2 50.0 50.9 0.9 2%

2 France 41.5 42.1 46.5 47.0 43.5 3.9 -7%

3 Spain 31.1 45.3 39.5 37.7 39.3 13.2 4%

4 USA 21.7 24.4 23.1 21.7 23.9 29.2 10%

5 Australia 12.3 12.3 11.9 11.9 13.0 39.0 9%

6 China 13.5 11.8 11.6 11.5 11.4 39.4 -1%

7 South Africa 10.6 11.0 11.5 11.2 10.5 39.7 -6%

8 Chile 12.6 12.8 10.0 12.9 10.1 38.1 -21%

9 Argentina 11.8 15.0 15.2 13.4 9.4 37.6 -29%

10 Germany 9.0 8.4 9.2 8.9 9.0 42.0 1%

11 Portugal 6.3 6.2 6.2 7.0 6.0 43.9 -15%

12 Russia 6.2 5.3 4.9 5.6 5.6 45.3 0%

13 Romania 3.3 5.1 3.7 3.5 3.3 47.4 -8%

14 New Zealand 1.9 2.5 3.2 2.3 3.1 48.6 34%

15 Greece 3.1 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.6 48.4 2%

16 Serbia 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 48.6 0%

17 Austria 2.1 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.0 48.7 -14%

18 Hungary 1.8 2.6 2.6 3.0 1.9 47.9 -38%

19 Moldova 1.5 2.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 49.2 0%

20 Brazil 3.0 2.7 2.7 3.5 1.6 47.4 -55%

21 Bulgaria 1.3 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.2 49.6 -8%

22 Georgia 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.1 49.6 -16%

23 Switzerland 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 50.1 18%

World total 258 290 270 276 267 -9 -3%

Page 20: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine Consumption

Page 21: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Since the beginning of the economic and financial crisis of 2008, global consumption

seems to have stabilized: wine consumption stood at 241 mhl in 2016

World wine consumption

23

241 mhl in 2016

+7% since 2000

Page 22: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine consumption in the world

5 countries consume almost half of the wine of the world

USA

13%

France

11%

Italy

9%

Germany

8%

China

7%

During the past 10 years consumption

decreased especially in the traditional

wine countries

Page 23: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine consumption in the world

5 countries consume half of the wine of the world

Page 24: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine consumption

USA confirmed its position as the biggest global consumer country since 2011 (31.8 mhl)

Slightly increase in Italy (22.5 mhl) and in China (17.3 mhl)

Consumption is stable in France (27.0 mhl), Spain (9.9 mhl) and Russia (9.3 mhl)

31.827.0

22.519.5 17.3

12.99.9 9.4 9.3

5.4

0

10

20

30

40

million of hl

Major wine consumers

Trends 2000-2016

Page 25: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Main wine-consumingcountries

* Apparent consumptioncalculated by "Production + Imports - Exports"

mhl 2012 2013 2014 2015

Forecast

2016

2016/2015

Variation

in volume

2016/2015

Variation

in %

1 USA 30.0 30.2 30.4 31.0 31.8 0.8 2.5%

2 France 28.0 27.8 27.5 27.2 27.0 -0.2 -0.7%

3 Italy 21.6 20.8 19.5 21.4 22.5 1.1 5.3%

4 Germany 20.3 20.4 20.2 19.6 19.5 -0.1 -0.5%

5 China* 17.1 16.5 15.5 16.2 17.3 1.1 6.9%

6 UK 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.7 12.9 0.2 1.4%

7 Spain 9.9 9.8 9.9 10.0 9.9 0.0 -0.4%

8 Argentina 10.1 10.4 9.9 10.3 9.4 -0.9 -8.3%

9 Russia 11.3 10.4 9.6 9.3 9.3 0.0 0.3%

10 Australia 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.4 0.1 2.4%

11 Canada 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.9 5.0 0.1 3.1%

12 Portugal 5.0 4.2 4.3 4.8 4.6 -0.2 -4.6%

13 South Africa 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.4 0.1 3.1%

14 Romania 4.3 4.6 4.7 3.9 3.8 -0.2 -4.5%

15 Japan 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 -0.3%

16 Netherlands 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.4 -0.1 -2.3%

17 Belgium 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.1%

18 Brazil 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.3 2.9 -0.4 -12.0%

19 Switzerland 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.8 -0.1 -1.8%

20 Austria 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.4 0.0 2.0%

21 Serbia 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 0.0 -0.9%

22 Sweden 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.3 -0.1 -3.3%

23 Greece 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.3 -0.1 -4.4%

24 Chile 3.2 2.9 3.0 2.1 2.2 0.1 4.8%

25 Hungary 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.2 1.9 -0.3 -12.7%

26 Denmark 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0%

27 Croatia 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.1 6.7%

28 Poland 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.1 4.9%

29 Bulgaria 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.4%

World total 244 242 239 240 241 1.0 0.4%

Page 26: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

1.4

2.0

3.2

7.8

11.0

11.9

14.7

16.2

23.9

23.9

24.5

25.4

25.7

26.4

27.0

27.8

29.6

31.6

31.6

32.4

40.3

41.5

51.8

54.0

0 20 40 60

China

Brazil

Japan

Russia

South Africa

USA

Chile

Canada

UK

Romania

Netherlands

Spain

Greece

Hungary

Australia

Germany

Sweden

Belgium

Argentina

Austria

Switzerland

Italy

France

Portugal

Per capita

litres per person*

Wine consumption 2015

* UN database Population 15+ years

2.1

2.2

2.4

2.4

2.4

2.9

3.0

3.3

3.5

3.5

3.9

4.2

4.8

4.9

5.3

9.3

10.0

10.3

12.7

16.2

19.6

21.4

27.2

31.0

0 20 40

Chile

Hungary

Austria

Sweden

Greece

Switzerland

Belgium

Brazil

Netherlands

Japan

Romania

South Africa

Portugal

Canada

Australia

Russia

Spain

Argentina

UK

China

Germany

Italy

France

USA

Total wine

million hl

Page 27: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Trend in consumption

Traditional

markets

Mature

markets

Increasing

markets

Emerging

markets

Decreasing

per capita consumption

from high base

Long term high growth

trend; stable or

decreasing

per capita consumption

Long term growth trend

in total market,

but still low

per capita consumption

Significant growth,

but very low

per capita consumption

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

Argentina

Etc.

USA

Canada

Australia

Norway

Sweden

Etc.

China

Brazil

Mexique

Japan

South Korea

Etc.

Mexico

Nigeria

Namibia

India

Peru

Etc.

Page 28: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Wine trade

Page 29: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Between 2015 and 2016

world wine export:

decreased by 1.2% in volume

(104 million hl)

increased by 2.0 % in value

(29 Billion EUR)

average value by litre up by

3.0%

Less wine traded, though more expensive

60 65 68 72 77 7984 89 90 88

96103 104 101 102 105 104

40

60

80

100

120

140

Million of hl

12 12 15 15 15 16 18 20 20 1821

23 25 26 2628 29

5

15

25

35

Billion EUR

1.99 1.892.14 2.03 1.99 2.07 2.11 2.25 2.25

2.04 2.18 2.262.44 2.55 2.52

2.70 2.78

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

EUR/Litre

Page 30: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

0102030405060

million hl

Evolution of the exports by type of product in volume

The composition of exports:

bottled wines stable over the last 4 years

bulk wines slight decrease (–4%/2015)

sparkling wines continue to increase (+7% /2015)

By type of product

32

Bottled

Sparkling

Bulk >2 l

Bulk > 2l38.3 mhl

38%

Sparkling7.9 mhl

8%

Bottled 54.9 mhl

54%

Part in the exports by type of product in volume 2016

Page 31: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

The new subheading will add further transparency and clarity to the data

gathering in view of the statistics analysis of the sector, to identify the wine actually

in bulk from the one which is delivered to consumers in containers (the bag-in-box)

HS new subheading

22.04 Wine of fresh grapes, including fortified wines; grape must other that of heading

20.09

2204.10 - Sparkling wine

2204.21 - In containers holding 2 l or less

2204.22 - In containers holding more than 2 l but not more than 10 l

2204.29 - Other

2204.30 – Other grape must

Page 32: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

22.3 20.6

14.19.1 7.5

4.2 4.1 3.6 2.8 2.6 2.1

05

10152025

Millions of hectolitres in 2016

Top world exporters

Export is widely

dominated by Spain, Italy

and France representing

55 % of the volume of the

world market

In value, France

and Italy continue

to dominate the

market with

respectively

28 % and 19 %

8255

5354

26441650 1459 1391

959 960 737 734 629

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Million of Euros in 2016

Page 33: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Top world Importers

Increase of imports in China (+

15%/2015)

The top 5 importers in value represent

more than 50%

14.5 13.511.2

7.9 6.44.2 4.0 3.8 3.1 2.7

0

5

10

15

20

Millions of hectolitres in 2016

0

2000

4000

6000

Million of Euros in 2016

Page 34: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Global proportion of exports to consumption

Internationalization of the vitivinicultural sector

19% 19% 17% 19% 18% 19% 19% 19% 20% 19% 19% 19% 18% 17% 16%

27% 29% 29% 30% 32% 33% 35% 35% 36% 36% 39% 42% 42% 42% 43%

58%68% 67% 70% 68% 70%

75% 76%70%

81%

70% 71%67% 65% 63%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Exports/consumption

Table grape Wine Dried grape

Progressive increase of the “international wine sector”: wine is more and more consumed out of its

producing country

Page 35: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

OIV Focus 2017:

Vine varieties distribution in the world

Page 36: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Main varieties distribution in the world

2015

Out of the 10 000 vine varieties known in the wolrd, 13 varieties represents more than one third of the

world vine area and 33 varieties represents 50%

VarietySurface

(ha)Destination

Kyoho2 365 000 Table

Cabernet-Sauvignon 340 000 Wine

Sultanina 300 000 Table, dried and wine

Merlot 266 000 Wine

Tempranillo 231 000 Wine

Airen 218 000 Wine and Brandy

Chardonnay 211 000 Wine

Syrah 190 000 Wine

Grenache Noir (Granacha tinta) 163 000 Wine

Red Globe 160 000 Table

Sauvignon Blanc 121 000 Wine

Pinot Noir / Blauer burgunder 115 000 Wine

Trebbiano Toscano / Ugni blanc 111 000 Wine and Brandy

Page 37: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

How diverse are countries?

0

20

40

60

80

100

Number of varieties representing 75% of the area

Two big producing countries show an important number of varieties covering 75% of their area under vine

: Italy and Portugal

Page 38: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

5 main varieties in selected countries

Varietal distribution

Airen

22%

Tempranillo

21%Bobal

6%Garnacha

6%

Viura

5%

Others

39%

Spain

Merlot

14% Ugni blanc

10%

Grenache

10% Syrah

8%Chardonnay

6%

Others

52%

France

Kyoho

44%

Red

Globe

18%Cabernet-

Sauvignon

7%

Carmenere

1%

Merlot

1%

Others

29%

China

Malbec

18%

Cereza

13%

Douce Noire

(Bonarda)

9%Criolla

grande

7%

Cabernet-Sauvignon

7%

Others

47%

ArgentinaSultanina

14%

Chardonnay

10%

Cabernet-

Sauvignon

9%

Concord

8%Pinot Noir /

Blauer

burgunder

6%

Others

54%

USASangiovese

8%

Montepulciano

4%Glera

4%

Pinot gris

4%

Merlot

3%Others

77%

Italy

Some countries have dominant varieties in their vineyard:

In Spain, two main varieties (Airen and Tempranillo) cover more than 40% of the vines area

In China, 44% of the vines are Kyoho variety

Italy has a quite a diverse varietal distribution, with main varieties not exceding 8% of the area under vine

Page 39: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Where do the 10 main varieties grow?

Kyoho Cabernet-Sauvignon

Merlot

Sultanina

Tempranillo

Page 40: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Where do the 10 main varieties grow?

Airen Chardonnay Syrah

Grenache noir (Garnacha tinta) Red Globe

Page 41: Vinhos em 2017   ppt-en-40thoivcongress-bulgaria (1)

Thank you for your attention

Vielen Dank für Ihre Aufmerksamkeit

Grazie per la Loro attenzione

Gracias por su atención

Merci de votre attention