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Valuation and Characteris tics of
46

Valuation of Bonds

Apr 24, 2017

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Veer Gupte
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Page 1: Valuation of Bonds

Valuation and

Characteristics of

Page 2: Valuation of Bonds

Characteristics of Bonds

Bonds pay fixed coupon (interest) payments at fixed intervals (usually every 6 months) and pay the par value at maturity.

Page 3: Valuation of Bonds

Characteristics of Bonds

Bonds pay fixed coupon (interest) payments at fixed intervals (usually every 6 months) and pay the par value at maturity.

00 1 1 2 . . .2 . . . nn

$I $I $I $I $I $I+$M$I $I $I $I $I $I+$M

Page 4: Valuation of Bonds

example: ATT 6 1/2 29

• par value = $1000• coupon = 6.5% of par value per year. = $65 per year ($32.50 every 6 months).• maturity = 28 years (matures in 2029).• issued by AT&T.

Page 5: Valuation of Bonds

example: ATT 6 1/2 29

• par value = $1000• coupon = 6.5% of par value per year. = $65 per year ($32.50 every 6 months).• maturity = 28 years (matures in 2029).• issued by AT&T.

0 1 2 … 28

$32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50 $32.50+$1000

Page 6: Valuation of Bonds

Types of Bonds

• Debentures - unsecured bonds.• Subordinated debentures - unsecured

“junior” debt.• Mortgage bonds - secured bonds.• Zeros - bonds that pay only par value at

maturity; no coupons.• Junk bonds - speculative or below-

investment grade bonds; rated BB and below. High-yield bonds.

Page 7: Valuation of Bonds

Types of Bonds

• Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas).

• example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this?

Page 8: Valuation of Bonds

Types of Bonds

• Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas).

• example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this?– If borrowing rates are lower in France,

Page 9: Valuation of Bonds

Types of Bonds

• Eurobonds - bonds denominated in one currency and sold in another country. (Borrowing overseas).

• example - suppose Disney decides to sell $1,000 bonds in France. These are U.S. denominated bonds trading in a foreign country. Why do this?– If borrowing rates are lower in France,– To avoid SEC regulations.

Page 10: Valuation of Bonds

Value• Book Value: value of an asset as shown on

a firm’s balance sheet; historical cost. That is, the asset’s cost minus its accumulated depreciation.

• Liquidation value: The amount of money that could be realized is an asset or a group of assets (e.g., a firm) is sold separately from its operating organization. It differs from Going-concern value of a firm in that the amount of firm could be sold for a continuing operating business.

Page 11: Valuation of Bonds

Value (cont’d)• Market value: observed value of an asset

in the marketplace; determined by supply and demand. That is, the market price at which an asset trades.

• Intrinsic value: economic or fair value of an asset; the present value of the asset’s expected future cash flows. That is, what the price of a security should be if properly priced based on all factors bearing on valuation.

Page 12: Valuation of Bonds

Security Valuation

• In general, the intrinsic value of an asset = the present value of the stream of expected cash flows discounted at an appropriate required rate of return.

• Can the intrinsic value of an asset differ from its market value?

Page 13: Valuation of Bonds

Valuation

• Ct = cash flow to be received at time t.• k = the investor’s required rate of return.• V = the intrinsic value of the asset.

V = V = t = 1t = 1

nn

Ct (1 + k)t

Page 14: Valuation of Bonds

Bond Valuation

• Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return.

Page 15: Valuation of Bonds

Bond Valuation

• Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return.– the coupon payment stream (an

annuity).

Page 16: Valuation of Bonds

Bond Valuation

• Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return.– the coupon payment stream (an

annuity).– the par value payment (a single

sum).

Page 17: Valuation of Bonds

Bond Valuation

Vb = It (PVIFA kb, n) + MV(PVIF kb, n)

It MV

(1 + kb)t (1 + kb)nVVbb = + = +

nn

t = 1t = 1

Where, I = interest payment; MV = maturity value or future value

Page 18: Valuation of Bonds

Bond Example

• Suppose our firm decides to issue 20-year bonds with a par value of $1,000 and annual coupon payments. The return on other corporate bonds of similar risk is currently 12%, so we decide to offer a 12% coupon interest rate.

• What would be a fair price for these bonds?

Page 19: Valuation of Bonds

0 1 2 3 . . . 20

1000 120 120 120 . . . 120

Note: If the coupon rate = discount rate, the bond will sell for par value.

Page 20: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .12, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .12, 20 )

Page 21: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .12, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .12, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

Page 22: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .12, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .12, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1PV = 120 1 - (1.12 )20 + 1000/ (1.12) 20 = $1000

.12

Page 23: Valuation of Bonds

• Suppose interest rates fall immediately after we issue the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk drops to 10%.

• What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic value?

Note: If the coupon rate > discount rate, the bond will sell for a premium.

Page 24: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .10, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .10, 20 )

Page 25: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .10, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .10, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

Page 26: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .10, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .10, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1PV = 120 1 - (1.10 )20 + 1000/ (1.10) 20 = $1,170.27

.10

Page 27: Valuation of Bonds

• Suppose interest rates rise immediately after we issue the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk rises to 14%.

• What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic value?

Note: If the coupon rate < discount rate, the bond will sell for a discount.

Page 28: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

Page 29: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

Page 30: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 120 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1PV = 120 1 - (1.14 )20 + 1000/ (1.14) 20 = $867.54

.14

Page 31: Valuation of Bonds

Suppose coupons are semi-annualMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

Page 32: Valuation of Bonds

Suppose coupons are semi-annualMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

Page 33: Valuation of Bonds

Suppose coupons are semi-annualMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) PV = 60 (PVIFA .14, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .14, 20 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1PV = 60 1 - (1.07 )40 + 1000 / (1.07) 40 = $866.68

.07

Page 34: Valuation of Bonds

Yield To Maturity

• The expected rate of return on a bond.

• The rate of return investors earn on a bond if they hold it to maturity.

Page 35: Valuation of Bonds

Yield To Maturity

• The expected rate of return on a bond.

• The rate of return investors earn on a bond if they hold it to maturity.

It MV

(1 + kb)t (1 + kb)nPP00 = + = +

nn

t = 1t = 1

Page 36: Valuation of Bonds

YTM Example

• Suppose we paid $898.90 for a $1,000 par 10% coupon bond with 8 years to maturity and semi-annual coupon payments.

• What is our yield to maturity?

Page 37: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) 898.90 = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) + 1000 (PVIF k, 16 )

Page 38: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) 898.90 = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) + 1000 (PVIF k, 16 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

Page 39: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = I (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) 898.90 = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) + 1000 (PVIF k, 16 )

1PV = I 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1898.90 = 50 1 - (1 + i )16 + 1000 / (1 + i) 16

i

Page 40: Valuation of Bonds

Bond ExampleMathematical Solution:

PV = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n ) 898.90 = 50 (PVIFA k, 16 ) + 1000 (PVIF k, 16 )

1PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n + FV / (1 + i)n

i

1898.90 = 50 1 - (1 + i )16 + 1000 / (1 + i) 16

i solve using trial and error

Page 41: Valuation of Bonds

Zero Coupon Bonds

• No coupon interest payments.• The bond holder’s return is

determined entirely by the price discount.

Page 42: Valuation of Bonds

Zero Example

• Suppose you pay $508 for a zero coupon bond that has 10 years left to maturity.

• What is your yield to maturity?

Page 43: Valuation of Bonds

Zero Example

• Suppose you pay $508 for a zero coupon bond that has 10 years left to maturity.

• What is your yield to maturity?

0 100 10

-$508 $1000-$508 $1000

Page 44: Valuation of Bonds

Mathematical Solution: PV = FV (PVIF i, n ) 508 = 1000 (PVIF i, 10 ) .508 = (PVIF i, 10 ) [use PVIF table]

PV = FV /(1 + i) 10

508 = 1000 /(1 + i)10

1.9685 = (1 + i)10

i = 7%

Zero Example

0 10

PV = -508 FV = 1000

Page 45: Valuation of Bonds

Perpetual Bonds

• Class of bonds that never matures.• The PV of a perpetual bond would simply

be equal to the capitalized value of an infinite stream of interest payments.

• If a bond promises a fixed annual payment of ‘I’ forever, its present (intrinsic) value ‘V’ at the investor’s required rate of return for this debt issue, ‘k ’ is:

d

Page 46: Valuation of Bonds

I(1 + k )d

t

= I (PVIFA )k d ,

V =

Therefore, V = I / k d