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Validation of baseline - Grakom Madrid 26-27 January 2017
14

Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Jul 23, 2020

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Page 1: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Validation of baseline- Grakom

Madrid

26-27 January 2017

Page 2: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Expected energy reductions

Application:

• 40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime

• 880 ton CO2 potential emission reduction each year per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime

• 915.000 € of potential decreasing yearly energy costs per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime

D9.2 adjustment:

• Energy savings: 40.479 GJ / year

• GHG emission reduction: 5.667 tCO2eq / year

• Energy cost savings: 908.536 EUR / year

Page 3: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

WP2: Energy diagnosis - updating baseline

• WP2 summary: Only common indicator for baseline definition available from EEEI and ClimateCalc:

𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 (𝐾𝑃𝐼) =𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 [𝐺𝐽]

𝑃𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜𝑛 −𝑃𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑤𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒 [𝑡𝑜𝑛]

• Problems with the indicator:• Summarized energy for process and heating

• Based on weight where the thickness varies

• Based on paper waste which varies with the products and the quality

Page 4: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

WP2: Energy diagnosis - updating baseline

• The experience with the KPI must be taken into consideration in WP3: Indicators.

• WP2 summary: The baseline must be updated with data from the 100 companies after WP6.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Germany Denmark TheNetherlands

Spain The CzechRepublic

GJ/ton

Average energyconsumption

Average of allcountries

Standarddeviation (+)

Standarddeviation (-)

Page 5: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Total energy consumption in EMSPI SME’s

Page 6: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Total energy consumption in EMSPI SME’s

ChangesTotal energy 2013-2017 GJ -95.000Total energy 2013-2017 % -11%Total production 2013-2015 ton +12.600Total production 2013-2015 % +3%

Number of companies

Total No paper consumption

Missing data for some years

DE 18 3ES 20 1 1DK 20 2CZ 11 1NL 22 3 4Total 91 8 7

Page 7: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Baseline - KPI analysis

Page 8: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Baseline - KPI analysis

Page 9: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Baseline - KPI analysis

Page 10: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Baseline - KPI analysis

• The KPI varies with the type of companies.

• Data quality for WP2 baseline is an issues.

• The baseline must be calibrated based on data for the participating companies with 2013 as starting point.

• The baseline should be changed to:

𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 (𝐾𝑃𝐼) =𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 [𝐺𝐽]

𝑃𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜𝑛

Page 11: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Energy savings - normalised and weighted

• Data are normalised to the paper consumption of 2013

• KPI is weighted for all companies.

Total consumption Total reductionNormalised: 2013 paper consumption 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

2013-2014

2013-2015

2013-2016

2013-2017

DE GJ 82.939 83.911 81.779 79.853 74.639 973 -1.160 -3.085 -8.300ES GJ 51.777 51.536 46.137 43.953 41.395 -241 -5.640 -7.824 -10.383DK GJ 300.266 294.255 293.490 289.704 261.447 -6.011 -6.776 -10.562 -38.819CZ GJ 32.912 33.120 31.900 32.798 32.474 208 -1.012 -114 -438NL GJ 369.247 339.976 334.654 313.677 323.380 -29.270 -34.593 -55.570 -45.866Total GJ 837.141 802.799 787.960 759.986 733.335 -34.342 -49.181 -77.155 -103.806Change in average from 2013 -4% -6% -9% -12%

Page 12: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Baseline - KPI analysis (weighted)

Page 13: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Carbon reductions - normalised and weighted

• Data are normalised to the paper consumption of 2013

• European emission factors from D9.2 used for electricity and natural gas

Total emission Total reductionNormalised: 2013 paper consumption 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

2013-2014

2013-2015

2013-2016

2013-2017

DE Ton CO2 eq 11.647 11.765 11.485 11.128 10.438 118 -162 -519 -1.209ES Ton CO2 eq 7.469 7.441 6.612 6.288 5.885 -28 -858 -1.182 -1.585DK Ton CO2 eq 34.101 34.046 33.910 33.730 30.933 -55 -191 -371 -3.168CZ Ton CO2 eq 4.583 4.801 4.597 4.757 4.706 218 14 174 123NL Ton CO2 eq 48.078 45.971 44.579 42.006 42.948 -2.107 -3.499 -6.072 -5.130Total Ton CO2 eq 105.878 104.024 101.183 97.908 94.910 -1.855 -4.695 -7.970 -10.969Change in average from 2013 -2% -4% -8% -10%

Page 14: Validation of baseline - Grakom - EMSPI...Expected energy reductions Application: •40.000 GJ of yearly potential energy savings per 100 SMEs during the project lifetime •880 ton

Economic savings - normalised and weighted

• Data are normalised to the paper consumption of 2013

• European cost factors from D9.2 used for electricity and natural gas

Total weighted costs Total energy cost Total energy cost savingsNormalised: 2013 paper consumption 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172013-20142013-2015 2013-2016 2013-2017

DE EUR 1.868.889 1.887.876 1.842.926 1.785.692 1.674.904 18.987 -25.963 -83.197 -193.985

ES EUR 1.198.336 1.193.769 1.060.774 1.008.796 944.192 -4.568 -137.562 -189.540 -254.144

DK EUR 5.479.012 5.469.445 5.447.684 5.418.506 4.968.607 -9.568 -31.328 -60.507 -510.405

CZ EUR 735.421 770.210 737.583 763.111 754.989 34.789 2.162 27.689 19.568

NL EUR 7.717.904 7.378.024 7.155.232 6.742.042 6.893.642 -339.880 -562.672 -975.862 -824.263

Total EUR 16.999.563 16.699.324 16.244.200 15.718.146 15.236.335 -300.239 -755.363 -1.281.417 -1.763.228Change in average from 2013 -2% -4% -8% -10%