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1 3 rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture Retrievals from SMAP for NOAA operations Xiwu Zhan 1 , Li Fang 1,2 , Jicheng Liu 1,2 , Jifu Yin 1,2 , Chris Hain 1,2 , Weizhong Zheng 3 , Jun Wen 4 , Kun Yang 5 , Michael Ek 3 1 NOAA-NESDIS-STAR, 2 UMD-ESSIC-CICS, 3 NOAA-NWS-NCEP, 4 CAREERI-CAS, 5 Tsinghua University 3 rd International Soil Moisture Validation and Application Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016
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Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture ... · 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 1 Validation and Applications of Global Soil

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Page 1: Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture ... · 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 1 Validation and Applications of Global Soil

1 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture Retrievals from SMAP

for NOAA operations

Xiwu Zhan1, Li Fang1,2, Jicheng Liu1,2, Jifu Yin1,2, Chris Hain1,2, Weizhong Zheng3, Jun Wen4, Kun Yang5, Michael Ek3

1NOAA-NESDIS-STAR, 2UMD-ESSIC-CICS, 3NOAA-NWS-NCEP, 4CAREERI-CAS, 5Tsinghua University

3rd International Soil Moisture Validation and Application Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

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2 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

OUTLINE

NOAA Weather and Climate Operations

NESDIS SMOPS

NASA JPL NRT SMAP TB data

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Applications of SMAP SM in Operations

Summary

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3 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Regional Hurricane GFDL, WRF-

NMM + Noah

Climate Forecast System (CFS)

North American Ensemble Forecast System

GEFS, Canadian Global Model

Dispersion HYSPLIT

Air Quality

CMAQ

Regional NAM

NMMB Noah land model

3D

-VA

R

DA

Regional Bays •Great Lakes (POM)

•N Gulf of Mexico (FVCOM) •Columbia R. (SELFE) •Chesapeake (ROMS)

•Tampa (ROMS) •Delaware (ROMS)

Space Weather

ENLIL

North American Land Surface Data Assimilation

System Noah Land Surface Model

Global Spectral Noah LSM 3

D-E

n-V

ar

DA

Global Forecast System (GFS)

3D

-VA

R

DA

3D

-VA

R

DA

Rapid Refresh

3D

-VA

R

DA

Waves WaveWatch III

Ocean (RTOFS) HYCOM

Ecosystem EwE

Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)

21 GFS Members

ESTOFS ADCIRC

SURGE SLOSH

P-SURGE SLOSH

WRF ARW

3D

-VA

R

DA

High-Res RR (HRRR)

NEMS Aerosol Global Component (NGAC)

GFS & GOCART

GFS, MOM4, GLDAS/LIS/Noah, Sea Ice

WRF (ARW + NMM) NMMB 7members each

Short-Range Ensemble Forecast 21members

WRF-ARW & NMMB

High Res Windows

WRF ARW

RUC LSM

From Michael Ek 3

Land Prediction in Weather & Climate Models:

NOAA’s Operational Numerical Guidance Suite

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4 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Caveats on NCEP Data Need for

SMAP Products

SM impact intra-seasonal, inter-seasonal, to inter-annual climate variabilities.

SM are needed in model initializations.

SM observational data are also important for LSM validation as well as other land remote sensing data, e.g.: soil Temperature, snow, albedo, green vegetation fraction.

Operational use of land remote sensing data including SM will start from North America Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) that is current operational at NCEP Center of Operations

SMAP soil moisture is processed through NESDIS SMOPS

From Weizhong Zheng & Michael Ek

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5 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Soil Moisture Operational Product System SMOPS

WindSat SMOS ASCAT

Blended

NESDIS SMOPS Ingests NASA SMAP NRT Data to retrieve global soil moisture with NOAA ancillary Data and blends them with other satellite observations for NOAA uses

AMSR2

SMAP SM

NASA SMAP NRT L1B-TB

NOAA Ancillary Data

GFS/NAM NLDAS/GLDAS

DoD AFWA USDA

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6 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Date Total_In Total_Orbits Percent_In Minimum Median Average Maximum Oct 1 11 29 38 1:33 3:56 4:17 6:09

2 14 27 52 1:20 3:57 4:02 5:51 3 13 29 45 1:23 3:30 3:50 5:54 4 14 28 50 1:58 3:56 4:04 5:39

5 12 30 40 1:28 3:59 9:30 87:25 6 14 27 52 1:32 4:13 4:01 5:50 7 13 28 46 1:33 4:33 4:12 5:22 8 13 27 48 1:35 4:15 4:10 6:05 9 11 29 38 1:58 4:07 4:15 5:29

10 11 28 39 1:20 4:31 4:11 5:48 11 11 27 41 1:23 4:02 4:07 5:32 12 14 29 48 1:46 4:35 4:16 5:39 13 13 26 50 1:28 4:12 3:54 5:43 14 11 28 39 1:10 3:57 4:01 5:39 15 13 28 46 1:28 4:07 3:58 6:00

16 12 27 44 1:30 3:51 3:58 6:01 17 12 29 41 1:28 3:59 4:08 6:20 18 13 28 46 1:16 3:55 4:04 5:48 19 13 26 50 1:18 3:48 3:55 5:53 20 13 27 48 1:41 4:08 4:04 5:34 21 11 27 41 1:58 3:53 4:13 8:26

Latencies of SMAP L1B-TB Data from JPL NRT Data Server

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7 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Latencies of SMAP L1B-TB Data from NSIDC Data Server

Date Total_In Total_Orbits Percent_In Minimum Median Average Maximum Oct 1 1 30 3 4:29 5:37 7:49 15:41

2 5 28 18 4:29 5:20 5:47 12:31 3 6 30 20 4:43 5:17 5:38 10:40 4 7 29 24 4:36 5:13 5:30 6:37

5 6 32 19 4:34 5:06 10:33 87:43 6 5 33 15 4:36 5:22 40:23 351:13 7 2 29 7 4:45 323:45 252:09 344:13 8 3 29 10 4:05 5:05 5:25 6:57 9 6 30 20 4:08 5:16 5:31 7:00

10 6 29 21 4:29 5:17 5:33 6:28 11 5 29 17 4:31 5:19 5:28 6:29 12 7 29 24 4:54 5:23 5:35 6:39 13 5 30 17 4:34 5:09 5:28 6:40 14 4 29 14 4:52 6:02 12:21 26:03 15 2 29 7 4:29 5:43 8:08 16:13

16 5 29 17 4:26 5:14 5:27 6:36 17 6 30 20 4:22 5:09 5:28 7:12 18 5 29 17 4:29 5:17 5:33 6:51 19 3 29 10 4:32 5:22 5:36 7:18 20 2 29 7 4:55 11:16 15:22 29:14 21 5 30 17 4:59 5:30 6:32 11:25

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8 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

SMAP L1B_TB: JPL NRT vs NSIDC

More than 99% of footprint TBs have difference smaller than 0.2 degree.

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9 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Soil Moisture Retrieval Algorithm

Single Channel Algorithm (SCA) : (Jackson, 1993)

TBh = Ts [1 –(1-er) exp (-2 /cos)] = b * VWC, VWC = f(NDVI) eh = f(ev, h, Q)

es = f(ε) -- Fresnel Equation ε = f(SM) -- Mixing model Ts = Ts

LSM

NDVI = VIIRS near real time TsLSM = GFS Tskin

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10 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

SMAP Soil Moisture Retrieved from SMOPS

NESDIS SMOPS uses NASA SMAP NRT L1B_TB and NOAA ancillary data (GDAS Tskn and VIIRS NDVI) to retrieve soil moisture

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11 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu Naqu

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12 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Maqu SM Network of CAS

In the east TP, about 25 sites,

sensors at 5, 10, 20, 40, 80cm depths,

covers about 100km×60km area.

Obs period: 2008-now

SM

From Jun Wen of CAS

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13 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Naqu SM Network of CAS

56 stations

4 observations at each station:

0-5, 10, 20, 40 cm

3 spatial scales:

1.0, 0.3, 0.1 degree

3 field campaigns since 2010

Soil profile samples are collected

at each station; soil carbon content

(SOC) and soil texture are

measured.

High SOC contents are found in

top layer (0-20cm), which will

dramatically affect the thermal

properties and dielectricity of soil.

From Kun Yang of CAS

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14 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu CST_05

14

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15 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu NST_06

15

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16 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu NST_08

16

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17 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu All Ave

17

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18 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Maqu ubRMSE r

Site NASA NOAA NFPR NASA NOAA NFPR

CST_05 0.080 0.065 0.060 0.634 0.665 0.708

NST_01 0.070 0.065 0.067 0.660 0.624 0.652

NST_03 0.080 0.070 0.066 0.644 0.581 0.628

NST_06 0.067 0.059 0.062 0.705 0.596 0.608

NST_07 0.071 0.065 0.066 0.653 0.545 0.559

NST_08 0.073 0.059 0.056 0.572 0.717 0.750

NST_09 0.058 0.062 0.059 0.769 0.537 0.604

Ave 0.065 0.065 0.055 0.742 0.716 0.734

SMAP SM retrievals from gridded TBs in SMOPS is compatible with NASA baseline products

SMAP SM retrievals from footprint TBs in SMOPS could be slightly better than those from gridded TBs

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19 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Naqu Large Scale Averages (1d x 1d)

Page 20: Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture ... · 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 1 Validation and Applications of Global Soil

20 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

OUTLINE

NOAA Weather and Climate Operations

NESDIS SMOPS

NASA JPL NRT SMAP TB data

Validation of SMAP SM from SMOPS

Applications of SMAP SM in Operations

Summary

Page 21: Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture ... · 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 1 Validation and Applications of Global Soil

21 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Soil Moisture Operational Product System SMOPS

WindSat SMOS ASCAT

Blended

GFS/NAM NLDAS/GLDAS

DoD AFWA USDA

NESDIS SMOPS Ingests NASA SMAP NRT Data to retrieve global soil moisture with NOAA ancillary Data and blends them with other satellite observations for NOAA uses

AMSR2

SMAP SM

NASA SMAP NRT L1B-TB

NOAA Ancillary Data

Page 22: Validation and Applications of Global Soil Moisture ... · 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016 1 Validation and Applications of Global Soil

22 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Assimilating SMAP SM from 8/1 – 8/10/2015 Reduces the warm biases of NCEP GFS seven (7) day forecasts of day time 2 meter air temperature

SMAP SM Impact on GFS Forecasts

From Weizhong Zheng & Michael Ek

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23 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

SMAP SM Impact on GFS Forecasts

Impact of assimilating SMAP SM from 8/1 – 8/10/2015 on NCEP GFS four (4) day forecasts of 2 meter specific humidity varies significantly spatially

From Weizhong Zheng & Michael Ek

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24 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Blending Sat SM for Drought Monitoring

Procedure of constructing the Blended Drought Index (BDI)

using the RMSEs estimated from the Triple Collocation Error

Model implemented for each grid in each calendar month.

RMSEmin is the minimum RMSE for the grid. And RMSESMOPS,

RMSENLSM and RMSEESI are the monthly RMSE values for soil

moisture data sets from SMOPS, NLSM and ESI cases,

respectively.

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25 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Blending Sat SM for Drought Monitoring

Correlation coefficients (R) between PDSI standard

anomalies (against 1985-2014 averages) and drought

estimations for (a) ASCAT, (b) SMOS, (c) WindSat, (d)

SMOPS, (e) NLSM and (f) ESI cases. Grey color indicates insignificant correlation.

The Blended Drought Index (BDI) has better correlation than all other data sources

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26 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

SUMMARY

NOAA NESDIS SMOPS is capable of processing SMAP NRT L1-TB to generate soil moisture data products for NWS operation and research uses

Preliminary validation results indicated that the quality of the NOAA SMAP SM data product with better latency is compatible with NASA baseline retrievals

Retrieving soil moisture for SMAP footprints may produce better data products than grid retrievals

Making use of SMAP data in NOAA weather forecasts and drought monitoring could have positive impacts

Further algorithm refinement is still going on

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27 3rd International Soil Moisture Workshop, New York, NY, September 21-22, 2016

Thanks for your attention!