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Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data A Primer for UX Professionals
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UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Jan 21, 2018

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Page 1: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

A Primer for UX Professionals

Page 2: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Zachary Sam Zaiss

UX Data Scientist | Microsoft Cloud

@zszaiss

2006 2012 2016

UX Researcher UX DS

Berkeley MIDS

Page 3: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies: 2014

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2819918

Page 4: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies: 2015

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/3114217

Page 5: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

The Education Perspective

https://whatsthebigdata.com/2012/08/09/graduate-programs-in-big-data-and-data-science/

http://uxmastery.com/resources/ux-degrees/

84 78Graduate Degree

Programs in

Data Science

Graduate Degree

Programs in UX

Page 6: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

http://radar.oreilly.com/2013/10/design-thinking-and-data-science.html

Page 7: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

We need to make

collaboration with

Data Scientists a priority…

… and it starts with a

conversation

Page 8: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #1

Stake Your Claim

Page 9: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Qualitative Evaluation Criteria Talking Points

Quantitative basis for n values

https://www.nngroup.com/articles/why-you-only-need-to-test-with-5-users/

http://www.measuringu.com/blog/five-history.php

http://www.measuringu.com/blog/five-for-five.php

Page 10: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Qualitative Evaluation Criteria Talking Points

Quantitative basis for n values

Existence Proof

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uqZPnxG4_w

Page 11: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Qualitative Evaluation Criteria Talking Points

Quantitative basis for n values

Existence Proof

Grounded TheoryInductive vs. Deductive Reasoning

http://www.slideshare.net/traincroft/hcic-muller-guha-davis-geyer-shami-2015-0629

Theory from Data

Data from Theory

Page 12: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Qualitative Evaluation Criteria Talking Points

Quantitative basis for n values

Existence Proof

Grounded TheoryInductive vs. Deductive Reasoning

Constructivism vs. Determinism

https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/research-design/book237357

Page 13: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Discussing evaluation criteria

for qualitative research

needs to be second nature.

Page 14: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data
Page 15: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

What is your

mic drop moment?

Page 16: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #1

Stake Your Claim

Page 17: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #2

Speak the Language

Page 18: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

vs

Page 19: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Models + Key Aspects of Analysis

Descriptive ModelD esc r ip t i ve Sta t i s t i c s

Statistical SignificanceWhat is the probability of obtaining this

result given the null hypothesis is true?

Practical SignificanceIs the effect on the outcome large

enough to be considered relevant?

Page 20: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/statisticians-found-one-thing-they-can-agree-on-its-time-to-stop-misusing-p-values/

The statement process

was lengthier and more

controversial than

anticipated.

Page 21: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

6 Principles for p-values from ASA’s Statement

1. P-values can indicate how incompatible the data are with a specified statistical model.

2. P-values do not measure the probability that the studied hypothesis is true, or the probability that

the data were produced by random chance alone.

3. Scientific conclusions and business or policy decisions should not be based only on whether a

p-value crosses a specific threshold.

4. Proper inference requires full reporting and transparency.

5. A p-value, or statistical significance, does not measure the size of an effect or the importance of a

result.

6. By itself, a p-value does not provide a good measure of evidence regarding a model or hypothesis.

http://amstat.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108

Page 22: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Models + Key Aspects of Analysis

Descriptive ModelD esc r ip t i ve Sta t i s t i c s

Statistical SignificanceWhat is the probability of obtaining this

result given the null hypothesis is true?

Practical SignificanceIs the effect on the outcome large

enough to be considered relevant?

Predictive ModelSuper v i sed Ma ch ine Lea rn ing

AccuracyHow well does the model predict the outcome for new data cases?

Page 23: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

https://www.captionbot.ai/

Page 24: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Models + Key Aspects of Analysis

Descriptive ModelD esc r ip t i ve Sta t i s t i c s

Statistical SignificanceWhat is the probability of obtaining this

result given the null hypothesis is true?

Practical SignificanceIs the effect on the outcome large

enough to be considered relevant?

Predictive ModelSuper v i sed Ma ch ine Lea rn ing

AccuracyHow well does the model predict the outcome for new data cases?

Representation ModelUnsuper v i sed Ma ch ine Lea rn ing

Optimization CriteriaHow will we determine that we’ve built a

reasonable and appropriate representation model for our data?

Page 25: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

vs

Page 26: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

None of these measures

get at the contextual meaning

behind the model.

Page 27: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

A Diagram for Product Manager…

Source: Martin Eriksson, Mind the Product. http://www.mindtheproduct.com/2011/10/what-exactly-is-a-product-manager/

Page 28: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

… And a Framework for Attributes

UX

Business

Tech

Experience Attributes

Customer attributes that can

explain how that customer

will experience a product.

Technology Attributes

Customer attributes that can

explain whether customers

will have technical issues with

a product.

Business Attributes

Customer attributes that can

explain the extent to which the

customer will contribute to

business outcomes.

Page 29: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Example: Developer Tools

X

B

T

Prog Language

Target Platform

Project Complexity

Project Audience

Type of App

Educational Background

Keyboard Proclivity

Project Complexity

Page 30: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Example: Freemium Games

X

B

T

Platform Used

Facebook Connected

Whale Status

Completionist Tendencies

Game Session Time

Page 31: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Example: Fitness Bands

X

B

T

Connected Devices

Type / Version

Frequency of Exercise

Friends with Same Band

Finger Shape (Fat Fingers)

Farsightedness

Skin Irritation

Page 32: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

We are uniquely qualified

to articulate the experience

attributes of our products.

Page 33: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #2

Speak the Language

Page 34: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #3

Get Involved

Page 35: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

A Metaphor for A/B Experiments

Page 36: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

A Better Metaphor for A/B Experiments

Page 37: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

How can we provide

greater context to

A/B test findings?

Page 38: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

control treatment

some kpi

0.71

0.72

productexperts

productnovices

control

treatment

converted didn‘t convert

converted didn‘t convert

control

treatment

converted didn‘t convert

converted didn‘t convert

Heterogeneous Treatment Effect

Page 39: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

https://datadialogs.ischool.berkeley.edu/2014/schedule/experiments-action

Page 40: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Tip #1: Stake Your Claim

Tip #2: Speak the Language

Tip #3: Get Involved

Page 41: UXPA 2016: Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

Mixed Methods Research in the Age of Big Data

A Primer for UX Professionals

http://www.uxpa.org/sessionsurvey?sessionid=113