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Samuel Clark Department of Sociology, University of Washington Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado at Boulder Agincourt Health and Population Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table Examples
61

Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

Jan 16, 2016

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Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table. Examples. Plan. Review Period Life Table Construction Ways of using the life table The life table as a Stationary Population Examples Life tables from South Africa Life tables from Zambia Life tables from the USA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

Samuel Clark

Department of Sociology, University of WashingtonInstitute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado at Boulder

Agincourt Health and Population Unit, University of the Witwatersrand

Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

Examples

Page 2: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

2

Plan

Review Period Life Table Construction Ways of using the life table The life table as a Stationary Population Examples

– Life tables from South Africa– Life tables from Zambia– Life tables from the USA

Page 3: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

3

Creating a Period Life Table

The data available are usually observed age-specific mortality rates, nMx

Critical assumption is that nMx~ nmx

The trick then is to convert these observed age-specific mortality rates into one of the columns of a life table

The most convenient choice is to convert to nqx

nMx to nqx conversion:

1

n xn x

n x n x

n mq

n a m

Page 4: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

4

Strategies for Choosing nax

nmx nqx requires nax … where do we get nax ?

From calculating it directly From smoothing (graduating) the death distribution within

each age interval Borrowing values from another population Making one of two assumptions:

– nax is half the length of the age interval (n/2), or

– nmx is constant in the interval which negates the necessity of using nax because there is a direct formula to calculate

npx: n xn mn xp e

Page 5: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

5

nax in Practice

Usually use n/2 for all age groups except the first Mortality rate between ages 0 and 5 changes very

rapidly, falling very quickly at first and then flattening out Consequently most deaths early in life occur closer to 0

than to 5 and hence nax is significantly less than n/2 in the first two age groups (0, 1-4)

In general in other age groups where mortality is changing less rapidly, the overall life table is very insensitive to the exact choice of nax

Page 6: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

6

nax for Very Young Ages

Males Females

Value of 1a0

I f 1m0 >= 0.107 0.330 0.350I f 1m0 < 0.107 0.045+2.684(1m0) 0.053+2.800(1m0)

Value of 4a1

I f 1m0 >= 0.107 1.352 1.361I f 1m0 < 0.107 1.651-2.816(1m0) 1.522-1.518(1m0)

Page 7: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

7

Example Sensitivity of ex to nax

Age Suggested All 50% All 25% All 75%

0 0.330 0.500 0.250 0.7501-4 1.332 2.000 1.000 3.0005-9 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.750

10-14 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75015-19 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75020-24 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75025-29 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75030-34 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75035-39 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75040-44 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75045-49 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75050-54 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75055-59 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75060-64 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75065-69 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75070-74 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75075-79 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.75080-84 2.500 2.500 1.250 3.750

e(0) 44.443219 44.3598 44.00779 44.714498error (% ) -na- -0.19% -0.79% 1.61%

nax value

Page 8: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

8

Life Table Columns: nmx

Death rate in the cohort between ages x and x+n

In constructing a period life table, we usually start by assuming that the observed mortality rates are equal to the life table mortality rates: nmx ~nMx

n xn x

n x

dm

L

Page 9: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

9

Life Table Columns: nax

Average number of years lived in the age interval by those dying in the age interval

We must acquire the nax values from somewhere, discussed previously

n xa

Page 10: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

10

Life Table Columns: nqx

n xn x

x

dq

l

Probability of dying between ages x and x+n

This is where we usually start constructing the life table:

1

n xn x

n x n x

n Mq

n a M

Page 11: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

11

Life Table Columns: npx

Probability of surviving from ages x to x+n

1x n x n xn x n x

x x

l l dp q

l l

Page 12: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

12

Life Table Columns: lx

x n x n xl l p Survivors, number left alive at age x+n

Page 13: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

13

Life Table Columns: ndx

Number dying between ages x and x+n

n x x x nd l l

Page 14: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

14

Life Table Columns: nLx

Person-years lived between ages x and x+n

Because n is effectively infinite for the open (last) age interval, we cannot calculate nLx given the formulas we have:

n x x n n x n xL n l a d

xx

x

lL

m

Page 15: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

15

Life Table Columns: Tx

Person-years lived at ages older than x

x n aa x

T L

Page 16: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

16

Life Table Columns: ex

Expectation of life at age x; average additional years of life that someone who survives to age x can expect to live

Single-Life-Table-Template.xls

0 xx

x

Te

l

Page 17: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

17

Additional Ways of Using a Life Table

Probability of surviving from age x to age y

Probability of dying between ages x and y

Number of people dying between ages x and y

Number of person years lived between ages x and y

Probability that a newborn will die between ages x and x+n

yy x x

x

lp

l

x y y x xl l d

1 1 y x y y x x

y x x y x xx x x

l l l dq p

l l l

x y y x xT T L

0

n xdl

Page 18: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

18

Additional Ways of Using a Life Table

Probability that a newborn will experience their death between ages x and y

Number of years that a newborn can expect to live between ages x and y

Probability that newborn will survive to age x

Probability that a newborn will die before age x

0

( ) xlp xl

0 0

0 0 0

( ) 1 ( ) 1 x xx l l dlq x p x

l l l

0 0

x y y x xl l d

l l

0

x yT T

l

Page 19: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

19

The Life Table as Stationary Population

A stationary population has:– Age-specific mortality constant through time– The number of births constant through time– Net migration = 0 at all ages

size and age structure that are constant through time

x xp0 Jan. 1 Jan. 2 Jan. 3 Jan. 4 Jan. 5 Jan. 6 Jan. 7 Jan. 8 Jan. 9 Jan. 10 . Dec. 31

0 1.000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 . 10001 0.970 970 970 970 970 970 970 970 970 970 . 9702 0.950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 . 9503 0.946 946 946 946 946 946 946 946 . 9464 0.942 942 942 942 942 942 942 . 9425 0.938 938 938 938 938 938 . 9386 0.935 935 935 935 935 . 9357 0.932 932 932 932 . 9328 0.930 930 930 . 9309 0.928 928 . 928

. . . .364 0.900 900

Population alive on:Age in days

Probability of surviving to age x

Page 20: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

20

Stationary Population Life Table Columns

is the number of births each year

is the number at age x in each year

is the number between age x and x+n in each year

is the number above age x in each year

is the population size

is the number dying between age x and x+n each year

is the mean age at death

xl

xTn xL

0T

n xd00e

0l

Page 21: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

21

Stationary Population Relationships

0

00 0

0

1 1lBCBR

TPY T el

0

1CBR CDR

e

1 1x

xxx x

x

lm

TT el

101 1 1 2

10 0 0 0

10

1x

x x xx

aa

llL L L

C CBRT l T lL

2 2

0 0

n nx x

n x

n l l

C CBR n CBRl l

Page 22: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

22

Simple Examples

Constant graduate student population of size 40 with 10 new and 10 graduating each year:

Constant number of employees, average time spent in a job is five years:

0

1 10.2 20% attrition rate

5CDR CBR

e

Page 23: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

23

LIFE TABLES FROM SOUTH AFRICA

Life-Tables_South-Africa.xls

Page 24: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

24

nqxAgincourt, Male

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

nq

x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 25: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

25

nqxAgincourt, Female

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

nq

x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 26: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

26

lxAgincourt, Male

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

l x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 27: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

27

lxAgincourt, Female

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

l x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 28: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

28

ndxAgincourt, Male

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

nd

x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 29: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

29

ndxAgincourt, Female

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

nd

x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 30: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

30

TxAgincourt, Male

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

Tx

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 31: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

31

TxAgincourt, Female

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

Tx

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 32: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

32

exAgincourt, Male

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

e x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 33: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

33

exAgincourt, Female

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

9

Age (Years)

e x

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 92-04

Page 34: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

34

Male Proportional Age StructureAgincourt 1992-2004

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

0-5

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

910

0+

Age (years)

Pro

po

rtio

n (

per

cen

t)

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

92-04

Page 35: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

35

Female Proportional Age StructureAgincourt 1992-2004

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

0-5

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

910

0+

Age (years)

Pro

po

rtio

n (

per

cen

t)

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

92-04

Page 36: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

36

1992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

910

0+

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

lx

Year

Age (Years)

Trend in Male Survival CurvesAgincourt 1992-2004

Page 37: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

37

1992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004

01-

45-

9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85-8

9

90-9

4

95-9

910

0+

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

lx

Year

Age (Years)

Trend in Female Survival CurvesAgincourt 1992-2004

Page 38: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

38

Life Table Template

Examine life table template It is possible to calculate standard errors around life

table values See:

Chiang, C.L. 1984. The Life Table and Its Applications. Malabar, FL: Robert E. Krieger Publishing Company.

Single-Life-Table-Template.xls

Page 39: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

39

CHILD MORTALITYTrend in Probability of Dying between Ages 0 and 5, 5q0

Agincourt 1992-2004

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

5q0

per

1,0

00

Female

Male

Male (2nd Poly.)

Female (2nd Poly.)

Page 40: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

40

ADOLESCENT MORTALITYTrend in Probability of Dying between Ages 5 and 15, 10q5

Agincourt 1992-2004

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

10q

5 p

er 1

,000

FemaleMaleMale (linear)Female (linear)

Page 41: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

41

ADULT MORTALITYTrend in Probability of Dying between Ages 15 and 60, 45q15

Agincourt 1992-2004

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

45q

15 p

er 1

,000

Female

Male

Male (2nd Poly.)

Female (2nd Poly.)

Page 42: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

42

OLDER ADULT MORTALITYTrend in Probability of Dying between Ages 60 and 90, 30q60

Agincourt 1992-2004

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

30q

60 p

er 1

,000

Female

Male

Male (linear)

Female (linear)

Page 43: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

43

OLDER ADULT MORTALITYTrend in Probability of Dying between Ages 50 and 65, 15q50

Agincourt 1992-2004

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

15q

50 p

er 1

,000

Female

Male

Male (3rd Poly.)

Female (2nd Poly.)

InflectionPoint

Converging Trend

Diverging Trend

Page 44: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

44

Trend in Expectation of Life at Birth, e0

Agincourt 1992-2004

50.0

52.5

55.0

57.5

60.0

62.5

65.0

67.5

70.0

72.5

75.0

77.5

80.0

82.5

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

e0 (

Yea

rs)

Female

Male

Male fit (2nd Poly.)

Female fit (2nd Poly.)

Page 45: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

45

LIFE TABLES FROM ZAMBIA

Life-Tables_Zambia.xls

Page 46: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

46

Life Table Probability of Dying nqx 1957-1995

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Age

per 1,00

0

Female Male

Page 47: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

47

Life Table Survivors lx 1957-1995

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Age

Female Male

Page 48: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

48

Life Table Probability of Dying nqx 1957-1961

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

0 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79

Age

per 1,00

0

Female Male

Page 49: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

49

Life Table Survivors lx 1957-1961

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

0 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79

Age

Female Male

Page 50: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

50

Life Table Probability of Dying nqx 1992-1995

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79

Age

per 1,00

0

Female Male

Page 51: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

51

Life Table Survivors lx 1992-1995

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

0 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79

Female Male

Page 52: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

52

LIFE TABLES FROM USA

Male-USA-LTs-1959-2002.xls

Human-Mortality-Database-1x1.mdb

Page 53: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

53

nMxUSA, Male

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

11

0+

Age (Year)

nM

x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 54: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

54

naxUSA, Male

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

na x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 55: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

55

nqxUSA, Male

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

nq

x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 56: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

56

nqxUSA, Male

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.1

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

nq

x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 57: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

57

lxUSA, Male

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

l x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 58: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

58

ndxUSA, Male

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

nd

x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 59: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

59

nLxUSA, Male

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

nL

x

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 60: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

60

TxUSA, Male

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

Tx

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 61: Using & Interpreting the Single Decrement Life Table

61

exUSA, Male

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0

2

4

6

8

1

0

12

1

4

16

1

8

20

2

2

24

2

6

28

3

0

32

3

4

36

3

8

40

4

2

44

4

6

48

5

0

52

5

4

56

5

8

60

6

2

64

6

6

68

7

0

72

7

4

76

7

8

80

8

2

84

8

6

88

9

0

92

9

4

96

9

8

100

10

2

104

10

6

108

Age (Year)

e x (

Yea

r)

1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002