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Ushan Premaratne BSP2001: Macroeconomics – Long Term Growth 1 Chapter 10 1. Facts of Growth ξ The emphasis is on output per capita rather than the numbers for total output. The evolution of a country’s standard of living is given by the evolution of its output per capita, not the evolution of its total output. ξ Output per capita equals GDP divided by population. g t = Y t Y t 1 Y t ξ Long term growth is a composition of short or medium term business cycles of an economy and usually illustrated through real GDP. ξ So far, in constructing output numbers for countries other than the United States, the straightforward method of taking that country’s GDP expressed in that country’s currency, and then using the current exchange rate to express it in terms of dollars would cause complications such as: o Exchange rate can vary a lot o The prices of basic goods differ from country to country. So does the average consumption of an individual. In general, lower a country’s output per capita, the lower the prices of food and basic services in that country. ξ Hence, to compare GDP across countries, we use a common set of prices for all countries. Adjusted real GDP numbers are measures of purchasing power across countries, also called purchasing power parity (PPP) numbers. ξ Historical observations: o The picture for OECD countries is much the same as all start in high levels of output per capita and then there is a clear convergence. o Convergence is also visible for most Asian Countries. Japan leading the pack with the four tigers (Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan close behind) o The picture is very different for African countries
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Ushan Premaratne BSP2001: Macroeconomics – Long Term Growth · 05.11.2008  · BSP2001: Macroeconomics – Long Term Growth 3 3. Returns to Scale and returns to Factors ξ When

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Page 1: Ushan Premaratne BSP2001: Macroeconomics – Long Term Growth · 05.11.2008  · BSP2001: Macroeconomics – Long Term Growth 3 3. Returns to Scale and returns to Factors ξ When

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Chapter10

1. FactsofGrowth

ξ Theemphasisisonoutputpercapitaratherthanthenumbersfortotaloutput.Theevolutionofacountry’sstandardoflivingisgivenbytheevolutionofitsoutputpercapita,nottheevolutionofitstotaloutput.

ξ OutputpercapitaequalsGDPdividedbypopulation.

gt =Yt −Yt−1Yt

ξ LongtermgrowthisacompositionofshortormediumtermbusinesscyclesofaneconomyandusuallyillustratedthroughrealGDP.

ξ Sofar,inconstructingoutputnumbersforcountriesotherthantheUnitedStates,thestraightforwardmethodoftakingthatcountry’sGDPexpressedinthatcountry’scurrency,andthenusingthecurrentexchangeratetoexpressitintermsofdollarswouldcausecomplicationssuchas:

o Exchangeratecanvaryalot

o Thepricesofbasicgoodsdifferfromcountrytocountry.Sodoestheaverageconsumptionofanindividual.Ingeneral,loweracountry’soutputpercapita,thelowerthepricesoffoodandbasicservicesinthatcountry.

ξ Hence,tocompareGDPacrosscountries,weuseacommonsetofpricesforallcountries.AdjustedrealGDPnumbersaremeasuresofpurchasingpoweracrosscountries,alsocalledpurchasingpowerparity(PPP)numbers.

ξ Historicalobservations:

o ThepictureforOECDcountriesismuchthesameasallstartinhighlevelsofoutputpercapitaandthenthereisaclearconvergence.

o ConvergenceisalsovisibleformostAsianCountries.Japanleadingthepackwiththefourtigers(Korea,Singapore,HongKongandTaiwanclosebehind)

o ThepictureisverydifferentforAfricancountries

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2. AggregateProductionFunction

ξ Outputwassimplyproportionaltotheamountoflaborusedbyfirms–morespecifically,proportionaltothenumberofworkersemployedbyfirms.

ξ Solongasourfocuswasonfluctuationsinoutputandemployment,theassumptionwasacceptable.But,asthefocusshiftstogrowth,thatassumptionwillnolongerdo.Itimpliesthatoutputperworkerisconstant,rulingoutgrowthaltogether.

ξ Therefore,nowweassumetherearetwoinputs–capitalandlabor–andthattherelationbetweenaggregateoutputandtwoinputare:

Y = AF(K ,N ) Y=aggregateoutput.

K=capital—thesumofallthemachines,plants,andoffice

buildingsintheeconomy.

N=labor—thenumberofworkersintheeconomy.

A=productivityfactor.

ξ Thefunction,F,whichtellsushowmuchoutputisproducedforgivenquantitiesofcapitalandlabor,istheaggregateproductionfunction.

o AggregateOutput,YisdependentonAggregatecapital,KandAggregateemployment,N.

o Note:thefunction,F,dependsonthestateoftechnology.TheHigherthestateoftechnology,thehigher foragivenKandagivenN.

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3. ReturnstoScaleandreturnstoFactors

ξ Whenthenumberofworkersandtheamountofcapitalinaneconomyincreasebyx,outputshouldalsodouble.

xY = F(xK , xN ) ξ Whatwouldhappenifonlyoneofthetwoinputsisincreased?

o Initially,therewouldbelargeincreasesincapitalbutascapitalincreasesfurthertheincrementalincreaseincapitalleadsonlytoasmallerandsmallerincreaseinoutput.Thisisknownasthedecreasingreturnstocapital

Decreasingreturnstocapitalreferstothepropertythatincreasesincapitalleadtosmallerandsmallerincreasesinoutputasthelevelofcapitalincreases.

o Similarly,thesameconceptappliestolabor.

Decreasingreturnstolaborreferstothepropertythatincreasesinlabor,givencapital,leadtosmallerandsmallerincreasesinoutputastheleveloflaborincreases.

4. OutputperWorkerandCapitalPerWorker

YN

= AF(KN, NN) = AF(K

N,1) = Af (k)

ξ Theamountofoutputperworker,Y/Ndependsontheamountofcapitalperworker,K/N.

o Ascapitalperworkerincreases,sodoesoutputperworker.

o Thiscanbeillustratedgraphically

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ξ Thecurveisdrawnsothatincreasesincapitalleadtosmallerandsmallerincreasesinoutput.Thisfollowsfromthepropertythattherearedecreasingreturnstocapital.

ξ AtpointA,wherecapitalperworkerislow,anincreaseincapitalperworker,representedbythehorizontaldistanceAB,leadstoanincreaseinoutputperworkerequaltotheverticaldistanceA’B’.

ξ AtpointC,wherecapitalperworkerislarger,thesameincreaseincapitalperworker,presentedbythehorizontaldistanceCDleadstoamuchsmallerincreaseinoutputperworker,onlyC’D’.

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4.1 Sourcesofgrowth

ξ Increaseinoutputperworker(Y/N)cancomefromincreasesin:

o Capitalperworker(K/N)i.e.capitalaccumulation

o ImprovementsintheStateoftechnologythatshifttheproductionfunction,F,andleadtomoreoutputperworker(B’>A’)givencapitalperworker(A)i.e.viaTechnologicalprogress.

Note:Becauseofdecreasingreturnstocapital,capitalaccumulationbyitselfcannotsustaingrowth.

4.2 WhyCapitalAccumulationbyitselfcannotsustaingrowth

ξ Thisisbecauseofdecreasingreturnstocapital,sustainingasteadyincreaseinoutputperworkerwillrequirelargerandlargerincreasesinthelevelofcapitalperworker.Atsomestage,theeconomywillbeunwillingorunabletosaveandinvestenoughtofurtherincreasecapital.ATthatstage,outputperworkerwillstopgrowing.

ξ However,thisdoesnotmeansavingscannotincreaseoutputbuthighersavingratecannotpermanentlyincreasethegrowthrateofoutput.

ξ But,highersavingscansustainahigherlevelofoutput.Therefore,acountrywithahighersavingratewillhavehigherlevelofoutputpercapitalthantheother.

F(K/N,1)’

F(K/N,1)

Capitalperworker(K/N)A

B’

A’

Outputperworker,Y/N

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Chapter11

5. Saving,CapitalAccumulationandOutput

ξ Atthecenterofthedeterminationofoutput:

o Theamountofcapitaldeterminestheamountofoutputbeingproduced

o Theamountofoutputdeterminestheamountofsavingandinturn,theamountofcapitalbeingaccumulatedovertime.

EffectsofCapitalonOutput

YN

= F(KN,1)

ξ Outputperworker(Y/N)isanincreasingfunctionofcapitalperworker(K/N).Undertheassumptionofdecreasingreturnstocapital,theeffectofagivenincreaseincapitalperworkeronoutputperworkerdecreases,astheratioofcapitalperworkergetslarger.Hence,whencapitalperworkerisalreadyveryhigh,furtherincreasesincapitalperworkerhaveonlyasmalleffectonoutputperworker.

ξ Nowfocusingonoutputandcapitalperworkerwecanrewritetheaboveequationas:

YN

= f (KN)

ξ Wherethefunctionf,representsthesamerelationbetweenoutputandcapitalperworkerasthefunctionF:

f (KN) ≡ F(K

N,1)

o Therearetwoassumptions:

Thesizeofthepopulation,participationrateandtheunemploymentrateareall‐constant.ThelaborforceisequaltopopulationtimestheparticipationrateandNisconstant.Under

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thisassumption,outputperworker,outputpercapitaandoutputitself,allmoveproportionately.

Thereisnotechnologicalprogress,sothefunctionfdoesnotchangeovertime.

ξ Rewritetheaboveequation:

YtN

= f (Kt

N) ≡ F( Kt

N ,1)

Note:highercapitalperworkerleadstohigheroutputperworker.

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6. OutputandInvestment

ξ Wemakethreeassumptionstoderivetherelationbetweenoutputandinvestment:

o Weassumetheeconomyisclosed

I = S + (T −G)

o Weassumepublicsaving,T–G,isequaltozero.

I = S o Weassumethatprivatesavingisproportionaltoincome,so

S = sY

• Theparametersisthesavingrate.Itahsavaluebetweenzeroandone.

o Twoassumptionaboutsavings:

o Thesavingratedoesnotappeartosystemicallyincreaseordecreaseasacountrybecomesricher

o Richercountriesdonotappeartohavesystematicallyhigherorlowerratesthanpoorerones.

o Combiningthesetworelationsgives:

It = sYt

ξ Therefore,investmentisproportionaltooutput.Thehighertheoutput,thehigherissavingandisthehigherisinvestment.

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7. InvestmentandCapitalAccumulation

ξ Thinkofthecapitalstockasbeingmeasuredatthebeginningofeachyear,soKt referstothecapitalstockatthebeginningofyeart,Kt+1 tocapitalstockatthebeginningofyeart+1,andsoon.

ξ Assumethatcapitaldeprecatesatrateδ peryear,Thatis,fromoneyeartothenext,aproportionδ ofthecapitalstockbreaksdownandbecomesuseless.Equivalently,aproportion (1− δ ) ofcapitalstockremainsintactfromoneyeartothenext.

ξ Theevolutionofthecapitalstockisgivenby:

Kt+1 = (1− δ )Kt + It

ξ Replacinginvestmentfromtheequationabove, It = sYt

Kt+1

N= (1− δ )Kt

N+ s

YtN

ξ Note:Capitalperworkeratthebeginningofyeart+1=capitalperworkeratthebeginningofyeart

o Adjustedfordepreciation,plusinvestmentperworkerduringyeart,whichisequaltothesavingratetimesoutputperworkerduringyeart( ).

ξ Expandthetermsabove:

Kt+1

N−Kt

N= s

YtN

− δ Kt

N

ξ Thechangeinthecapitalstockperworker–representedbythedifference

betweenthetwotermsontheleft–isequaltosavingperworker( s YtN)–minus

depreciation(δ Kt

N).

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7.1DynamicsofCapitalandOutput

Kt+1

N−Kt

N sYtN

δ Kt

N

ξ Investmentperworker,thefirsttermontheright.Thelevelofcapitalperworkerthisyeardeterminesoutputperworkerthisyear.Giventhesavingrate,outputperworkerdeterminestheamountofsavingperworkerandthistheinvestmentperworkerthisyear.

ξ Depreciationperworker,thesecondtermontheright.Thecapitalstockperworkerdeterminestheamountofdepreciationperworker.

ξ Observations:

o Ifinvestmentperworker>depreciationperworker,thechangeincapitalperworkerispositive:Capitalperworkerincreases.

o Ifinvestmentperworker<depreciationperworker,thechangeincapitalperworkerisnegative:Capitalperworkerdecreases.

Changeincapitalfrom

yearttoyeart+1

Investmentduring

yeart

Depreciation

duringyeart= ‐

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Graphicallyillustrated:

ξ Thecurverepresentingoutputperworker,f(Kt/N),asafunctionofcapitalperworker.

ξ Outputperworkerincreaseswithcapitalperworker,but–becauseofdecreasingreturnstocapital–theeffectissmallerthehigherthelevelofcapitalperworker.

ξ Observations:

o Therelationrepresentinginvestmentperworker, sf (Kt / N ) ,hasthesameshapeastheproductionfunction,exceptthatitislowerbyafactorofs(savingrate)

o IfthelevelofcapitalperworkerisequaltoK0 / N .OutputperworkerisgivenbythedistanceAB,andinvestmentperworkerisgivenbyverticaldistanceAC=s*AB

o TherelationrepresentingdepreciationperworkerδKt / N isrepresentedbyastraightline.Atlevelofcapitalperworker,K0 / N ,depreciationperworkerisgivenbytheverticaldistanceAD.

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o Thechangeincapitalperworkerisgivenbythedifferencebetweeninvestmentperworkeranddepreciationperworker.

CD = AC − AD ,socapitalperworkerincreases

8. SteadyStateCapitalandoutput

ξ CapitalperworkereventuallyreachesK*/N,thelevelatwhichinvestmentisequaltodepreciation.OncetheeconomyhasreachedthelevelofcapitalperworkerK*/N,outputperworkerandcapitalperworkerremainconstantatY*/NandK*/N,theirlongrunequilibrium.

o ThereasonforimagineifacountryhascapitalperworkerlowerthanK*/N–thiswouldmeanhighersavingscanleadtoincreasesinoutputandcapitalaccumulationsincetheincreaseincapitalismuchlargerattheinitialstages–decreasingreturnsofcapitaltheory

o However,inacountrywithcapitalperworkerhigherthanK*/N,thesavingratecannotsustainthecapitalaccumulationandthedepreciationiscapitalwouldbegreaterthantheincreaseincapitalresultingincapitalperworkertoreducecloserorequaltoK*/N.

ξ Therefore,thesteadystatevalueofcapitalperworkercanbegivenas:

sf (K*

N) = δ K

*

N

ξ Thesteadystatevalueofcapitalperworkerissuchthattheamountofsavingperworkerisjustsufficienttocoverdepreciationofthecapitalstockperworker

YN

= f (K*

N)

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ξ Observations:

1. Thesavingratehasnoeffectonthelongrungrowthrateofoutputperworker,whichisequaltozero.

o Inotherwords,inthelongrun,thegrowthrateofoutputisequaltozero,nomatterwhatthesavingrate.

2. Nonetheless,thesavingratedeterminesthelevelofoutputperworkerinthelongrun.Otherthingsequal,countrieswithahighersavingratewillachievehigheroutputperworkerinthelongrun.

o Again,itisnotedthatcountrieswithahighersavingratewillachievehigheroutputperworkerinthelongrun.

3. Anincreaseinthesavingratewillleadtohighergrowthofoutputperworkerforsometime,butnotforever.Thesavingratedoesnotaffectthelong‐rungrowthrateofoutputperworker.Afterahighersavingrate,growthwillendoncetheeconomyreachesitsnewsteadystate.

o Weknowthatanincreaseinthesavingdoesnotaffectthelongrungrowthrateofoutputperworker,whichremainsequaltozero.Furthermore,theincreaseinsavingrate(stos1)doesleadtoanincreaseinthelevelofoutputperworker(fromYo/NtoY1/N).

o Itfollowsthat,asoutputperworkerincreasestoitsnewhigherlevel,theeconomywillgothroughaperiodofpositivegrowthbutthiscomestoanendwhentheeconomyreachessteadystate.

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9. With/WithoutTechnologicalProgress:SavingRateandOutput

ξ Aneconomyinwhichthereistechnologicalprogresshasapositivegrowthrateofoutputperworker,eveninthelongrunascomparedtoonewithouttechnologicalprogress.

ξ Thislong‐rungrowthrateisindependentofthesavingrateiftechnologicalprogressisconsidered.

ξ Anincreaseinthesavingrateleadstogrowthgreaterthanthesteady‐stategrowthrateforsometime,untiltheeconomyreachesitsnewhigherpath

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10. SavingrateandConsumption

ξ Governmentscanaffectthesavingrateinvariousways.Firstly,theycanvarypublicsaving,Givenprivatesaving,positivepublicsaving–abudgetsurplus,inotherwords–leadstohigheroverallsaving.

ξ Savingrate=0

o Aneconomyinwhichthesavingrateiszeroisaneconomyinwhichcapitalisequaltozero.Inthiscase,outputisalsoequaltozero,andsoisconsumption

ξ SavingRate=1

o Peoplesavealltheirincome,thelevelofcapitalandoutputwillbeveryhigh.Simplymaintainingthatlevelofoutputrequiresthatalloutputbedevotedtoreplacingdepreciation.Asavingrateequaltoonealsoimplieszeroconsumptioninthelongrun.

ξ Golden­RulelevelofCapital

o Thelevelofcapitalassociatedwiththevalueofthesavingratethatyieldsthehighestlevelofconsumptioninsteadystateisknownasthegoldenrulelevelofcapital.

ξ Forsbetween0and sG (GforGoldenRule),ahighersavingrateleadstohighercapitalperworker,higheroutputperworker,andhigherconsumptionperworker.

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ξ Forslargerthan sG ,increasesinthesavingratestillleadtohighervaluesofcapitalperworkerandoutputperworker;buttheynowleadtolowervaluesofconsumptionperworker.

o Thisoccursbecausetheincreaseinoutputismorethanoffsetbytheincreaseindepreciationduetothelargecapitalstock.

o Note:increaseinsavingrateleadstolowerconsumptionforsometimebuthigherconsumptionlater.

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11. GettingaSenseofmagnitude

F(K ,N ) = K NDivide ≈ N

YN

=K NN

F(KN) = K

N

Productionfunctioncanbe:

f (Kt

N) = Kt

N

UsingthisisthepreviousProductionfunction:

Kt+1

N−Kt

N= s

YtN

− δ Kt

N

ξ Therefore,outputperworkerequalsthesquarerootofcapitalperworker.Theequationaboveshowstheevolutionofcapitalperworkerovertime.

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12. SavingRateonSteadStateoutput

1. CapitalperWorker

sK *N

= δ K *N

ξ Squarerootbothsides:

s2K *N

= δ 2 (K *N)2

ξ Rearrangetoget:

K *N

= ( sδ)2

Note:Thesteadystatecapitalperworkerisequaltothesquareoftherationof

savingratetothedepreciationrate.

2. Outputperworker

Therefore,thesteady­sateoutputperworkerisgivenby:

Y *

N=

K *N

= ( sδ)2 = s

δ

ξ Observations:

o SteadyStateOutputperworkercanincreaseby:

Ahighersavingrateand

Alowerdepreciationrate

o Asoutputperworkerdoubles,fromonetotwo.Thisdoublingofsavingrateleads,inthelongrun,todoublingtheoutputperworker.Thisisalargeeffect.

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3. Consumptionperworkerwouldbe:

CN

=sδ− δ ( s

δ)2 = s(1− s)

δ

13. ExtendingtheproductionFunction

ξ Whenthelevelofoutputperworkersdependsonboththelevelofphysicalcapitalperworker,K/N,andthelevelofhumancapitalperworker,H/N,theproductionfunctionmaybewrittenas:

YN

= f (KN+

, HN+

)

ξ Note:Anincreaseincapitalperworkerortheaverageskillofworkersleadstoanincreaseinoutputperworker.

ξ Thesetofskillsoftheworkersintheeconomyiscalledhumancapital.

ξ Aneconomywithmanyhighlyskilledworkersislikelytobemuchmoreproductivethananeconomyinwhichmostworkerscannotreadorwrite.

ξ Theconclusionsdrawnaboutphysicalcapitalaccumulationremainvalidaftertheintroductionofhumancapitalintheanalysis.

13.1 HumanCapital,PhysicalCapitalandOutput

ξ Anincreaseinhowmuchsociety“saves”intheformofhumancapital—througheducationandon‐the‐job‐training—increasessteady‐statehumancapitalperworker,whichleadstoanincreaseinoutputperworker.

ξ Inthelongrun,outputperworkerdependsnotonlyonhowmuchsocietysavesbutalsohowmuchitspendsoneducation.

o But:education,especiallyhighereducationispartlyconsumption

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o Postsecondaryeducation,theopportunitycostofapersons’educationishisorherforgonewageswhileacquiringtheeducation

o Formaleducationisonlypartofeducation.Muchofwhatwelearncomesfromonthejobtrainingformalorinformal.

o Skillsdeterioratetoojustlikecapital(maybeataslowerrate)

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Chapter12

14. TechnologicalprogressandtheProductionfunction

ξ Technologicalprogresshasmanydimensions:

o Itcanleadtolargerquantitiesofoutputforgivenquantitiesofcapitalandlabor

o Itcanleadtobetterproducts

o Itcanleadtonewproducts

o Itcanleadtoalargervarietyofproducts

ξ Wecanthinkofthestateoftechnologyasavariablethattellsushowmuchoutputcanbeproducedfromgivenamountsofcapitalandlaboratanytime.

Y = F(K+,N

+,A+)

ξ However,foreaseamorerestrictiveformistaken:

Y = F(K+,AN

+)

ξ Observations:

o Technologicalprogressreducesthenumberofworkersneededtoproduceagivenamountofoutput.DoublingAproducethesamequantityofoutputwithonlyhalftheoriginalnumberofworkers.

o Therefore,ANcanbethoughtastheamountofeffectivelaborinaneconomy.

o Therefore,revisittheoutputperworkerandcapitalperworkerfunctiontoaccountfortheeffectivelabor.Soitbecomesoutputpereffectiveworkerandcapitalpereffectiveworker.

YAN

= F( KAN

,1)

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o or,ifwedefinethefunctionfsothat:

YAN

= f ( KAN

)

Outputpereffectiveworkerisafunctionofcapitalper

effectiveworker

14.1 ChangestoSavingrateFunction

I = S = sY

ξ Dividebothsidesbythenumberofeffectiveworkers,AN

IAN

= sYAN

ξ andreplace YAN

= f ( KAN

) toget:

IAN

= sf ( KAN

)

ξ Observations:

o Before,theanswertowhatlevelofinvestmentperworkerisneededtomaintainagivenlevelofcapitalpereffectiveworkerwasinvestmentperworker=depreciationofcapitalstock.

o However,theanswerchangeswhendealingwithinvestmentper

effectiveworker.Nowthatweallowfortechnologicalprogress.Thenumberofeffectiveworkers,AN,increasesovertime.

o Thustomaintainingthesameratioofcapitaltoeffectiveworkers,

K/AN,requiresanincreaseinthecapitalstock,Kproportionaltothe

increaseinthenumberofeffectiveworker

ΔK ∝ ΔAN

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CloserLook:

ξ Letδ bedepreciationrateofcapital.Lettherateoftechnologicalprogressbeequalto gA .Lettherateofpopulationgrowthbeequalto gN .Ifweassumethattherationofemploymenttothetotalpopulationremainsconstant,thenumberofworkers,N,alsogrowsatannualrate, gN .

ξ Together,theseassumptionsimplythatthegrowthrateofeffectivelabor,AN,equals

o gA + gN

o Therefore,thelevelofinvestmentneededtomaintainagivenlevel

ofcapitalpereffectiveworkeris:

δK + (gA + gN )K

ξ Orrearrange:

(δ + gA + gN )K

ξ Observations:o δK isneededjusttokeepthecapitalstockconstant.Ifthedepreciation

rateis10%,theninvestmentmustbeequalto10%ofthecapitalstockjusttomaintainthesamelevelofcapital.Andanadditionalamount

(gA + gN )K isneededtoensurethatthecapitalstockincreasesatthe

samerateaseffectivelabor.

ξ Theamountofinvestmentpereffectiveworkerneededtomaintaina

constantlevelofcapitalpereffectiveworkerisgivenby:

(δ + gA + gN )KAN

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14.2 DynamicsofCapitalandOutput

ξ Thesteadystateofthiseconomyissuchthatcapitalpereffectiveworkerandoutputpereffectiveworkerareconstantandequalto(K/AN)*and(Y/AN)*,respectively.

ξ Thisimpliesthat,insteadystate,outputY,isgrowingatthesamerateas

effectivelabor,AN.Becauseeffectivelaborgrowsatrate, gA + gN ,output

growthinsteadstatemustbeequalto (gA + gN ) .Thereasoningappliestocapital

pereffectiveworkerisconstantinsteady,capitalisalsogrowingat (gA + gN ) .

NOTE:

ξ Insteadystate,thegrowthrateofoutputequalstherateofpopulationgrowth( gN ),plustherateoftechnologicalprogress( gA ).Byimplication,thegrowthrateofoutputisindependentofsaving

rate.

ξ Sinceallofthemgrowatthesamerate,thisiscalledbalancedgrowthandwecannotethat:

o Capitalpereffectiveworkerandoutputpereffectiveworker

areconstant

o Equivalentlycapitalperworkerandoutputperworkeraregrowingattherareoftechnologicalprogress, gA

o Or,intermsoflabor,capitalandoutput Laborisgrowingattherateofpopulationgrowth, gN Capitalandoutputategrowingatarateequaltothe

sumofpopulationgrowthandrateoftechnologicalprogress. (gA + gN )

ξ Savingratedoesnotaffectthesteadystategrowthratebutonlyaffectsthelevelofoutputpereffectiveworker.

ξ Notetaken:o Outputpereffectiveworkerandcapitalpereffectiveworkerare

constanto Outputperworkerandcapitalperworkergrowattherateof

technologicalprogress

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o Outputandcapitalgrowatthesamerateaseffectivelaborandtherefore,atarateequaltothegrowthrateofthenumberofworkersplustherateoftechnologicalprogress.