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USES OF CORRELATION • Test reliability • Test validity • Predict future scores (regression) • Test hypotheses about relationships between variables
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USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Dec 21, 2015

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Page 1: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

USES OF CORRELATION

• Test reliability • Test validity• Predict future scores (regression)• Test hypotheses about relationships between

variables

Page 2: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Doing Correlational Research

• Any of the descriptive methods can be used (observation, survey, archival, physical traces).

• Must have pairs of scores

Page 3: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Doing Correlational Research

• The pairs of scores should be independent.• Both variables should be normally

distributed.• If there is a relationship between variables, it

should be linear.

Page 4: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Correlation and Cause

• A correlation by itself does not show that one variable causes the other.

• A correlation is consistent with a causal relationship.

Page 5: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

The Third Variable Problem

• A correlation between X and Y could be caused by a third variable influencing both X and Y.

• example: The use birth control is correlated with the number of electrical appliances in the household.

Page 6: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

The Directionality Problem

• A correlation between X and Y could be a result of X causing Y or Y causing X

• example: Amount of TV watching and the level of aggression are correlated.

Page 7: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

The Cross-Lagged Panel

• Design used to determine direction of cause• Measure both variables at two different

points in time• Cause cannot work backwards in time

Page 8: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Time 1 Time 2variable X variable X

variable Y variable Y

Page 9: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

The Correlation Coefficient

• Strength of relationship– 0 means no relationship at all– -1 or +1 means perfectly related

• Direction of relationship– positive: variable X increases as variable Y

increases– negative: variable X decreases as variable Y

increases

Page 10: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

The Scatterplot

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Page 11: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

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Page 12: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

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Page 13: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

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Non-linearrelationship

Page 14: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Correlation Coefficients

X data Y data Coefficientinterval/ratio interval/ratio Pearson rordinal ordinal Spearman rhodichotomous interval/ratio Point Biserialdichotomous dichotomous Phi

dichotomous: having only two values

Page 15: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

More on Dichotomous Variables

• With dichotomous variables, whether r is negative or positive depends on how the numbers were assigned

Page 16: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

More on Dichotomous Variables

• If the correlation between gender and GPA is positive, it could mean that– females have higher GPAs, if males were 1’s and

females were 2’s– males have higher GPAs, if females were 1’s and

males were 2’s

Page 17: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Pearson r formula

r = zxzy

Nzx = z - score on x

zy = z - score on y

N = # of individuals

Page 18: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Computation of Pearson r

Example: Compute the correlationbetween scores on Exam1 and Exam2.Student Exam1 Exam21 97 862 82 953 74 794 89 955 93 90

Page 19: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

STEP 1:Convert the x scores to z-scores.

Exam1 x- (x-)2 zx

97 10 100 +1.2282 -5 25 -.6174 -13 169 -1.5989 2 4 +.2493 6 36 +.73

=87 =334x = 334/5 = 8.17

Page 20: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

STEP 2:Convert the y scores to z-scores.

Exam2 y- (y-)2 zy

86 -3 9 -.5095 6 36 +1.0079 -10 100 -1.6695 6 36 +1.0090 1 1 +.17

=89 =182y = 182/5 = 6.03

Page 21: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

STEP 3: Multiply the z-scores.

zx zy zxzy

+1.22 -.50 -.61-.61 +1.00 -.61-1.59 -1.66 +2.64+.24 +1.00 +.24+.73 +.17 +.12

Page 22: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

STEP 4: Add up the zxzy products.

zxzy

-.61-.61+2.64+.24+.12

= 1.78

Page 23: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

STEP 5: Divide zxzy by N.

r =1.78

5.36

Page 24: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

Coefficient of Determination

• Measures proportion of explained variance in Y based on X.

• Square r to get r2. Example: r = .36 r2 = .13

We can explain 13% of the differences in Exam 2 scores by knowing Exam 1

scores.

Page 25: USES OF CORRELATION Test reliability Test validity Predict future scores (regression) Test hypotheses about relationships between variables.

What Could a Low r Mean?

• Lack of a relationship.• Unreliable measurement.• Non-linear relationship.• Restricted range : full range of scores not

measured on both variables