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TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; PF , previous week’s forecast; CF, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion. *The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases each Monday. Forecast data are from Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 20 . All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited. research.stlouisfed.org Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases. MONDAY* USFinancialData Calendar of Releases February 5, 2015 Advance Edition February 2 Personal Income (Dec) A: 0.3% PF: 0.2% February 11 February 10 February 9 February 12 February 16 February 13 February 17 February 19 February 18 February 20 February 3 February 4 February 5 February 6 Consumption (Dec) Core PCE (Dec) Construct Spending (Dec) ISM Index (Jan) A: -0.3% A: 0.0% A: 0.4% A: 53.5 PF: -0.2% PF: 0.0% PF: 0.7% PF: 54.5 Factory Orders (Dec) ISM Non Mfg Index (Jan) Initial Claims (1/31) Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) Latest Issue Productivity (Q4) Private Payrolls (Jan) A: -3.4% A: 56.7 A: 278K A: N/A A: -1.8% A: N/A PF: -2.2% PF: 56.4 PF: 290K PF: 235K National Economic Trends PF: 0.5% PF: 225K Unemployment Rate (Jan) Unit Labor Cost (Q4) PF: 1.0% A: 2.7% International Trade (Dec) PF: -$38.0B PF: 5.6% A: -$46.6B A: N/A Consumer Credit (Dec) A: N/A PF: $15.0B Latest Issue Monetary Trends Business Inventories (Dec) Treasury Budget (Jan) PF: N/A CF: N/A Initial Claims (2/7) PF: N/A CF: N/A Retail Sales (Jan) PF: 0.3% CF: N/A PF: 0.2% CF: N/A Import Prices (Jan) PF: -2.0% CF: N/A Industrial Production (Jan) PPI (Jan) CF: N/A Housing Starts (Jan) CF: N/A CF: N/A Capacity Utilization (Jan) CF: N/A FOMC Minutes Initial Claims (2/14) CF: N/A (previous meeting)
25

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Page 1: U.S. Financial Data...2015/02/05  · For pages 11, 15, 16 (top chart), 17 (top chart), and 23 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo rates all available

TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY

DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; PF, previous week’s forecast; CF, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion.

*The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releaseseach Monday.

Forecast data are from Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 20 . All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the

data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited.

research.stlouisfed.org

Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases.

MONDAY*

USFinancialData

Calendar of Releases

February 5, 2015Advance Edition

February 2

Personal Income (Dec)

A: 0.3% PF: 0.2%

February 11February 10February 9 February 12

February 16

February 13

February 17 February 19February 18 February 20

February 3 February 4 February 5 February 6

Consumption (Dec)

Core PCE (Dec)

Construct Spending (Dec)

ISM Index (Jan)

A: -0.3%

A: 0.0%

A: 0.4%

A: 53.5

PF: -0.2%

PF: 0.0%

PF: 0.7%

PF: 54.5

Factory Orders (Dec) ISM Non Mfg Index (Jan) Initial Claims (1/31) Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan)

Latest Issue Productivity (Q4) Private Payrolls (Jan)

A: -3.4% A: 56.7 A: 278K A: N/A

A: -1.8% A: N/A

PF: -2.2% PF: 56.4 PF: 290K PF: 235K

National Economic Trends PF: 0.5% PF: 225K

Unemployment Rate (Jan)Unit Labor Cost (Q4)

PF: 1.0%A: 2.7%

International Trade (Dec)

PF: -$38.0B

PF: 5.6%

A: -$46.6B

A: N/A

Consumer Credit (Dec)

A: N/A PF: $15.0B

Latest Issue

Monetary Trends

Business Inventories (Dec)

Treasury Budget (Jan)

PF: N/ACF: N/A

Initial Claims (2/7)

PF: N/ACF: N/A

Retail Sales (Jan)

PF: 0.3%CF: N/A

PF: 0.2%CF: N/A

Import Prices (Jan)

PF: -2.0%CF: N/A

Industrial Production (Jan)

PPI (Jan)

CF: N/A

Housing Starts (Jan)

CF: N/A

CF: N/A

Capacity Utilization (Jan)

CF: N/A

FOMC Minutes

Initial Claims (2/14)

CF: N/A

(previous meeting)

Page 2: U.S. Financial Data...2015/02/05  · For pages 11, 15, 16 (top chart), 17 (top chart), and 23 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo rates all available

Contents

Page

3 Adjusted Monetary Base

4 Adjusted Reserves

5 MZM

6 M2

7 Composition of Federal Reserve Assets and Liabilities

8 Reserve Bank Credit and Selected Categories

9 Reverse Repurchase Agreements and Federal Reserve Remittances

10 Other Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Items

11 Yields on Selected Securities

12 Corporate Bond Spreads and Mortgage Interest Rates

13 Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities

14 Federal Funds Futures Market

15 Equity Price Indices

16 Crude Oil Prices

17 Natural Gas Prices

18 Exchange Rates

19 Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits

20 Institutional and Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks

21 Bank Loans

22 Commercial Paper Outstanding

23 Reference Tables

24 Notes

Conventions used in this publication:

1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted.

2. For pages 11, 15, 16 (top chart), 17 (top chart), and 23 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo-

rates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading days of

the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average.

We welcome your comments addressed to:

Editor, U.S. Financial Data

Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

P.O. Box 442

St. Louis, MO 63166-0442

or to:

[email protected]

U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2

or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd.

Page 3: U.S. Financial Data...2015/02/05  · For pages 11, 15, 16 (top chart), 17 (top chart), and 23 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo rates all available

U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

3Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

02/05/14 04/30/14 07/09/14 08/06/14 09/03/14 10/01/14 11/12/14 12/10/14

07/09/14 8.6

08/06/14 15.1 10.8

09/03/14 14.1 10.2 30.8

10/01/14 11.8 7.5 18.1 1.9

11/12/14 4.4 -1.8 -0.5 -12.9 -20.1

12/10/14 -0.9 -7.8 -9.5 -20.1 -26.7 -34.3

01/07/15 4.7 -0.1 1.5 -6.4 -9.3 -10.9 6.1

02/04/15 7.5 3.9 6.7 0.3 -1.0 -0.4 18.4 67.6

Adjusted Monetary Base

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:To the average of

two maintenance

periods ending:

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Adjusted Monetary Base

3500

3600

3700

3800

3900

4000

4100

4200

4300

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

4Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

01/22/14 04/16/14 06/25/14 07/23/14 08/20/14 09/17/14 10/29/14 11/26/14

06/25/14 19.4

07/23/14 13.0 1.2

08/20/14 23.5 20.3 35.5

09/17/14 19.9 15.4 20.8 45.2

10/29/14 12.7 6.5 5.0 12.1 -14.3

11/26/14 3.2 -4.9 -10.8 -9.4 -29.7 -37.9

12/24/14 3.0 -4.3 -9.1 -7.7 -23.9 -28.7 -34.3

01/21/15 7.7 2.1 -0.2 2.6 -10.7 -12.1 -7.5 35.9

Adjusted Reserves

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:To the average of

two maintenance

periods ending:

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Adjusted Reserves

2400

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

3000

3100

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

5Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

01/27/14 04/21/14 06/30/14 07/28/14 08/25/14 09/22/14 11/03/14 12/01/14

06/30/14 5.8

07/28/14 6.2 6.7

08/25/14 5.8 5.9 5.9

09/22/14 5.7 5.8 5.6 4.1

11/03/14 5.7 5.8 5.6 4.8 5.4

12/01/14 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.1 5.6 5.8

12/29/14 5.9 6.0 6.1 5.6 6.2 6.5 7.0

01/26/15 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.5 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6

MZM

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:To the average

of four weeks

ending:

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

MZM

12000

12100

12200

12300

12400

12500

12600

12700

12800

12900

13000

13100

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

6Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

01/27/14 04/21/14 06/30/14 07/28/14 08/25/14 09/22/14 11/03/14 12/01/14

06/30/14 6.6

07/28/14 6.9 6.9

08/25/14 6.5 6.2 6.0

09/22/14 6.2 5.9 5.6 4.2

11/03/14 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.1 4.3

12/01/14 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.2 4.4 4.3

12/29/14 5.9 5.6 5.3 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.8

01/26/15 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.8

M2

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:To the average

of four weeks

ending:

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

M2

10800

10900

11000

11100

11200

11300

11400

11500

11600

11700

11800

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

7Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2

Billions of Dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Composition of Federal Reserve Assets

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000Market Adjustment to Treasury and MBS Portfolio

Short-Term Lending to Financial Firms and Markets

Rescue Operations

Operations Focused on Longer-Term Credit Conditions

Traditional Portfolio

Traditional Portfolio and Long-Term Assets

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2

Billions of Dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Composition of Federal Reserve Liabilities

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Source Base (not adjusted for reserve requirement changes)

Treasury Financing Account

Traditional Liabilities and Capital Account

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

8Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures

Reserve Bank Credit and Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities

Reserve Bank Credit

U.S. Treasury Securities

1500

1800

2100

2400

2700

3000

3300

3600

3900

4200

4500

4800

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

End of Period Wednesday Figures

Term Deposits Held by Depository Institutions

0

60

120

180

240

300

360

420

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

9Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of Dollars

Averages of Daily Figures

Factors Absorbing Reserve Funds: Reverse Repurchase Agreements

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of Dollars, Weekly Averages of Daily Figures

52-Week Rolling Sums

Federal Reserve Earnings Remitted to the U.S. Treasury

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

Page 10: U.S. Financial Data...2015/02/05  · For pages 11, 15, 16 (top chart), 17 (top chart), and 23 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorpo rates all available

U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

10Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Millions of Dollars

Purchases of Agency Debt

Mortgage-Backed Securities

Averages of Daily Figures

Federal Reserve Holdings of Agency Debt and Mortgage-Backed Securities

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2

Maturity Distribution of U.S. Treasury Securities Held by the Federal Reserve

Billions of Dollars

1 Year or Less

1 to 5 Years

5 to 10 Years

Over 10 Years

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

11Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Corporate Aaa

Prime Rate

2-Year Swap

30-Day Nonfinancial Commercial Paper

Averages of Daily Figures

Yields on Selected Securities

0

1

2

3

4

5

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

10-Year Treasury

3-Month TreasuryFFR Target Range Federal Funds Rate

||||||

|||

0

1

2

3

4

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

12Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Aaa - 10Y

Baa - 10Y

Averages of Daily Figures

Corporate Bond Yields Relative to Yields on 10 - Year Treasury Securities

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Jumbo

Conforming

Averages of Daily Figures

Interest Rates on 30 - Year Conforming and Jumbo Mortgages

3.3

3.8

4.3

4.8

5.3

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

13Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Treasury Note Yields

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

0

1

2

3

4

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

-2

-1

0

1

2

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Percent

Averages of Daily Figures

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads

5-Year

10-Year

30-Year

1.0

1.3

1.6

1.9

2.2

2.5

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

14Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1st-Expiring Contract 3-Month 6-Month 12-Month

Contract Settlement Month

Percent

Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Week Ending:

02/03/15

01/07/15

12/10/14

2014 2015

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

FFR Target Rate Range

1st Expiring Contract3-Month Futures

6-Month Futures

12-Month Futures

Percent

Daily Data

Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

0.50

0.55

0.60

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

15Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Averages of Daily Figures

Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite

Closing Price February 5, 1971 = 100

NASDAQ (right scale)

Dow Jones (left scale)

*The S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC series are Copyright 2014, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights reserved.

13000

14000

15000

16000

17000

18000

19000

20000

3000

3300

3600

3900

4200

4500

4800

5100

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

January 2, 1980 = 1078.29 1941-43 = 10

S&P* (right scale)

Wilshire** (left scale)

Averages of Daily Figures

Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500

*The S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC series are Copyright 2014, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights reserved.

**Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com

15000

16000

17000

18000

19000

20000

21000

22000

23000

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2100

2200

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

16Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Dollars per barrel

West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures

Crude Oil Spot Prices

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

2015 2016

Crude Oil Futures PricesWest Texas Intermediate

Dollars per barrel

02/04/2015

01/28/2015

44

46

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

17Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Dollars per million btu

Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures

Natural Gas Spot Prices

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

2015 2016

Natural Gas Futures Prices

Dollars per million btu

Henry Hub

01/28/2015

02/04/2015

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

18Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

January 1987=100March 1973=100

Broad Index (right scale)

Major Index (left scale)

Averages of Daily Figures

Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes

75

78

81

84

87

90

100

103

106

109

112

115

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Euro/US$ Yen/US$

Averages of Daily Figures

Euro (left scale)

Japan (right scale)

Exchange Rates

0.71

0.74

0.77

0.80

0.83

0.86

0.89

0.92

92

97

102

107

112

117

122

127

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

19Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Currency Component of M1

1150

1160

1170

1180

1190

1200

1210

1220

1230

1240

1250

1260

1270

1280

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollarsBillions of dollars

Small Time (left scale)

Savings (right scale)

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Savings and Small Time Deposits

500

520

540

560

580

600

7000

7200

7400

7600

7800

8000

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

20Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Retail Money

Institutional Money

Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted

Institutional and Retail Money Funds

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Averages of Daily Figures

Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks

Note: Total borrowings include loans to depository institutions for primary, secondary, and seasonal credit, primary dealer and other broker-dealer credit.

This category also contains asset-backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility, credit extended to American InternationalGroup, Inc.,net, term asset-backed securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auction credit is excluded.

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

21Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars Billions of dollars

Bank Credit (left scale)

Loans and Leases (right scale)

All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted

Bank Loans and Credit

9975

10100

10225

10350

10475

10600

10725

10850

10975

11100

7150

7250

7350

7450

7550

7650

7750

7850

7950

8050

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars Billions of dollars

Large Banks (right scale)

All Banks (left scale)

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial and Industrial Loans

1550

1590

1630

1670

1710

1750

1790

1830

1870

820

840

860

880

900

920

940

960

980

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through

02/05/15

22Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial Paper Outstanding of Nonfinancial Companies

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

270

280

290

300

2013 2014 2015

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Billions of dollars

Seasonally Adjusted

Commercial Paper Outstanding: Financial and Asset-Backed

Asset-Backed

Financial

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

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U.S. Financial Dataupdated through02/05/15

23Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

30-Day 90-Day 2-Year 3-Month 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 30-Year

Comm. CDs Interest Corporate Corporate Municipal Federal Treasury Treasury Treasury Treasury Treasury

Paper Non-Jumbo Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds Bonds Funds Bill Securities Securities Securities Securities

Nov 14 0.07 0.08 0.74 3.95 4.80 3.98 0.09 0.02 0.54 1.64 2.36 3.08

21 0.07 0.08 0.73 3.96 4.84 3.93 0.10 0.02 0.53 1.64 2.33 3.05

28 0.06 0.08 0.72 3.88 4.74 3.94 0.10 0.02 0.51 1.56 2.25 2.96

Dec 5 0.10 0.08 0.76 3.90 4.79 3.83 0.10 0.02 0.56 1.60 2.27 2.97

12 0.11 0.08 0.83 3.75 4.72 3.65 0.12 0.03 0.61 1.61 2.19 2.84

19 0.11 0.08 0.82 3.74 4.72 3.65 0.12 0.04 0.63 1.61 2.14 2.75

26 0.10 0.08 0.92 3.79 4.75 3.65 0.13 0.03 0.73 1.74 2.24 2.81

Jan 2 0.13 0.08 0.89 3.72 4.68 3.56 0.12 0.03 0.69 1.67 2.18 2.75

9 0.09 0.08 0.85 3.54 4.53 3.42 0.11 0.03 0.63 1.50 2.00 2.56

16 0.11 0.08 0.74 3.46 4.45 3.29 0.12 0.03 0.51 1.32 1.86 2.46

23 0.09 0.08 0.73 3.45 4.45 3.36 0.13 0.03 0.53 1.35 1.85 2.42

30 0.08 0.08 0.75 3.36 4.36 3.36 0.12 0.02 0.51 1.28 1.77 2.33

Feb 6 0.08 . 0.74 3.38 4.37 . 0.09 0.02 0.51 1.25 1.76 2.34

Interest RatesPercent

*

*Averages of rates available

Small Retail Institutional

M2 MZM Currency Time Savings Money Money

Dec 15 11617 12902 1249 514.3 7572.5 614.3 1798.9

22 11641 12928 1253 514.6 7585.7 617.5 1801.4

29 11651 12945 1258 514.4 7618.4 617.8 1808.5

Jan 5 11628 12940 1263 514.2 7591.3 619.4 1826.9

12 11695 12967 1265 513.3 7645.7 619.1 1784.5

19 11702 12969 1266 512.3 7676.2 615.6 1778.6

26 11714 12983 1269 511.7 7653.8 615.0 1780.2

Money Stock and ComponentsBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

C&I C&I Comm.

Bank Loans and Loans Loans Paper Total

Credit Leases (All) (Large) (sa) Borrowings

Dec 24 10884.0 7949.7 1793.4 952.6 275.5 0.112

31 10888.0 7938.4 1785.5 944.6 244.4 0.135

Jan 7 10917.1 7970.0 1792.3 949.7 297.1 0.059

14 10948.2 7991.5 1804.9 959.9 276.2 0.031

21 10969.3 8017.6 1805.9 960.6 277.9 0.101

28 . . . . 279.9 0.039

Feb 4 . . . . 275.5 0.050

Bank Loans and CreditBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

AdjustedMonetary Adjusted

Base Reserves

Nov 12 3887.404 2656.42

26 3812.811 2609.97

Dec 10 3738.250 2550.68

24 3994.435 2718.26

Jan 7 3941.007 2654.74

21 4139.322 2866.09

Feb 4 4036.438 .

Reserves and BaseBillions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

Major Broad Exchange Exchange

Exchange Exchange Rate: Rate:

Rate Index Rate Index Euro/$ Yen/$

Dec 19 84.1 110.7 0.808 118.2

26 85.0 111.2 0.819 120.3

Jan 2 85.2 111.3 0.825 120.0

9 86.5 112.3 0.843 119.1

16 86.8 112.2 0.854 117.5

23 87.9 112.8 0.873 118.0

30 89.2 113.9 0.883 117.9

Exchange Rates

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Rescue operations is the sum of credit extended to AIG, and net

portfolio holdings of Maiden Lanes I, II, III, and preferred interests in

AIA Aurora and ALICO Holdings. Operations focused on long term

credit conditions is the sum of Federal Reserve agency obligations held

outright, mortgage backed securities, the term asset-backed securities

loan facility (TALF), and the TALF LLC. Traditional portfolio is

the sum of treasury securities, gold certificate account, special draw-

ing rights, coin, items in process of collection, and bank premises. On

the liability side, Source base is the sum of deposits of depository

institutions and Federal Reserve notes. Treasury financing account

appears on the H.4.1. Traditional liabilities and capital account is

the sum of deferred availability cash items, foreign official account

deposits, U.S. Treasury general account, accrued dividends, reverse

repurchase agreements, other deposits, and capital accounts. H.4.1

data are not seasonally adjusted.

Page 8: Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities

include nominal securities, inflation-indexed securities, and the com-

pensation that adjusts for the effect of inflation on the original face

value of inflation-indexed securities (inflation compensation). Term

Deposits Held by Depository Institutions are interest-bearing deposits

with a specific maturity date offered by the Federal Reserve Banks.

For more information on the Term Deposit Facility, see

http://www.frbservices.org/centralbank/term_deposit_facility.html.

Page 9: Reverse repurchase (repo) agreements are domestic open

market operations through which eligible financial market counterpar-

ties lend cash to the Federal Reserve Banks in exchange for securities

on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Federal Reserve Earnings

Remitted to the U.S. Treasury is the interest income earned on the

Fed’s holdings of domestic securities, plus other earnings, less direct

interest expenses. Included in the latter is the interest paid on reverse

repos noted above. For more information on both of these series, see

Domestic Open Market Operations During 2013

(http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/omo/omo2013.pdf). Federal

Reserve Earnings are derived from the Daily Treasury Statement

(http://www.fms.treas.gov/dts/index.html).

Page 10: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.4.1

release. For more information, see

http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/recentactions.htm.

Page 11: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15

release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds

Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days

earlier than the date shown in the release.

Page 12: Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury security, Aaa- and Baa-

rated corporate bonds, and the interest rate on 3-year conforming

mortgages appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release. The

interest rates on jumbo mortgages (typically, mortgages in excess of

$417,000) are listed in the Wall Street Journal.

Page 13: Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields are the most recently

issued inflation-indexed bonds of 5- ,10- , and 30-year original matu-

rities. Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads equal the difference

between yields on the most recently issued inflation-indexed bonds

and the unadjusted Treasury Note Yields of similar maturities.

Page 14: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through

time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds

Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields

for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis.

Page 16: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures

prices are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly

averages of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on

Wednesday.

Definitions M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository

institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers

checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial

institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository

institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal

Reserve float.

M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit

accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits

issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market

mutual funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000),

net of retirement accounts.

M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits;

repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar

deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank U.S.

addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all

banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional

money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000

or more).

Notes Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the

Thomson Reuters Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20

to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These

forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD

cover page will be updated.

Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in

circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury,

deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks,

and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve require-

ments on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series

is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 1996b,

2001, 2003).

Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and

Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an

adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements

on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a

spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’

measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory

reserve requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy

required clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a,

2001, 2003).

Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available,

components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time

deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the

money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2).

The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William

Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988).

Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of

M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify

transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits)

as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required

reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and

research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html.

Page 7: The asset groups are aggregates of the following categories

on the H.4.1: Short-term lending to financial firms and markets is

the sum of repurchase agreements, term auction credit, commercial

paper funding facility, central bank liquidity swaps, money market

investor funding facility, other loans (less AIG loan), and other assets.

U.S. Financial Data

Research Division

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23

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U.S. Financial Data

Page 17: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot prices are from the U.S.

Energy Information Administration (EIA). Futures prices are listed

in the Wall Street Journal. Spot prices are weekly averages of daily

prices; Futures prices are usually taken on Wednesday.

Page 18: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release.

The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises

the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may

be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/.

Page 19: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release.

Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and

passbook and state ment savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum

initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits

are at all depository institutions.

Page 20: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 and H.4.1

releases. Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Institutional

Money Funds are not part of M2; they used to be included in M3,

which was discontinued as of March 23, 2006.

See www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/discm3.htm.

Total Borrowings include loans to depository institutions for (i)

primary, secondary, and seasonal credit and (ii) primary dealer and

other broker-dealer credit. This category also includes the asset-

backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility,

credit extended to American International Group, Inc., term asset-

backed securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auc-

tion credit is excluded. Data and recent information regarding Federal

Reserve lending programs appear in the Federal Reserve Board's

H.4.1 release at http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/Current/.

Page 21: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release.

Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank

Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes

foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered

banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis.

Page 22: Current data appear at

www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/outstandings.htm.

Page 23: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities

as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System’s

H.15 release.

The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from

the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for

the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table.

Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20

municipal bonds, Thursday data.

SourcesBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8

release. Total Borrowings and Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

Items: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15 release. Exchange rates:

H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board of Governors web site.

Chicago Board of Trade

Federal funds futures contract.

Dow Jones Indexes

Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM.

NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated

NASDAQ Composite.

S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC

Copyright © 2014, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights

reserved. Reproduction of S&P500 and Dow Jones Industrial

Average in any form is prohibited except with the prior written

permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P”). S&P does

not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness or availability

of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions,

regardless of the cause or for the results obtained from the use of

such information. S&P DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL EXPRESS

OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED

TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS

FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. In no event shall S&P

be liable for any direct, indirect, special or consequential damages,

costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost

profit and opportunity costs) in connection with subscriber’s or

others’ use of S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Permission to reproduce this series can be requested from

[email protected]. More contact details are available

from http://us.spindices.com/contact-us/, including phone numbers

for all of its regional offices.

U.S. Department of the Treasury

U.S. inflation-indexed security yields.

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Natural gas (Henry Hub) spot prices.

Wall Street Journal

Jumbo mortgage interest rates, oil (West Texas intermediate) spot

and futures prices, and natural gas (Henry Hub) futures prices.

Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com)

Wilshire 5000.

References Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised

Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal

Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13.

____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in

an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37.

____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves,

1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,

January/February, pp. 51-72.

____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and

Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,

September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70.

Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve

Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51.

Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on

Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance

and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6,

1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82.

Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet

at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/.

Research Division

24 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis