US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Flood Risk Management: A View to the Future Framing the Questions – Addressing the Needs: Moving to Incorporate.

US Army Corps of Engineers

BUILDING STRONG®

Flood Risk Management:A View to the Future

Framing the Questions – Addressing the Needs: Moving to Incorporate Social Science

into Meteorological Operations

Joan PopeAndrew J. Bruzewicz

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

3-4 May 2010

BUILDING STRONG®

USACE Engineering and Operational Spectrum“From Peace to War”

Spectrum of USACE OperationsSpectrum of USACE Operations

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Building and sustaining the

critical facilities for military

installations and the public

Building and sustaining the

critical facilities for military

installations and the public

Creating synergy between water resource development

and environment

Creating synergy between water resource development

and environment

Restoring, managing and and enhancing

ecosystems, local and regional

Restoring, managing and and enhancing

ecosystems, local and regional

Responding to local, national

and globaldisasters

Responding to local, national

and globaldisasters

Providing full spectrum

engineering and

contingency support

Providing full spectrum

engineering and

contingency support

BUILDING STRONG®

- 22,000 personnel

- Navigation

- Hydropower- Flood Risk Management

- Shore Protection- Water Supply- Regulatory- Recreation

Engineer Research and Development CenterSeven diverse research laboratories - $1 Billion

Military Program~$28 Billion

- 10,000 personnel

- Military Construction

- Contingency Ops- Installation Support

- International/

Interagency Support

- Homeland Security

- Environmental

- Real Estate

HQ

45 Districts

9 Divisions

Civil Works Program~$9 Billion

What is the US Army Corps of Engineers?

Agency & Industry Partners

Engineer

Commands

BUILDING STRONG®

USACE -- The Army’s Engineer

Military Programs Civil Works

10K 25K

Personnel

Uniformed = 557

Executes Programs for . . .

Secretary of the Army Chief of Staff

Commander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

8 Divisions 41 Districts 2 Centers

7 World Class Labs1 Engineer Battalion

NorthAtlantic

PacificOcean

Northwestern

SouthPacific

SouthAtlantic

Southwestern

MississippiValley Great Lakes

&Ohio River

BUILDING STRONG®

• Military Construction • Overseas Contingencies• Real Estate• Formerly Used Defense Sites

(FUDS)• Base Realignment and Closure

(BRAC)• Interagency and International

Services• Installation Support• Stability Operations

Military Program Missions

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BUILDING STRONG®

• Navigation• Hydropower• Flood Risk

Management• Ecosystem

Restoration• Water Supply• Regulatory

(Wetlands / US Waters )

• Recreation• Disaster

Preparedness & Response

Civil Works Program Missions

Lock and Dam 15 ( Mississippi River ) Lock and Dam 15 ( Mississippi River )

Flood Wall ( Williamson, KY )Flood Wall ( Williamson, KY )

EvergladesEverglades

Dredge ESSAYONS ( Coos Bay, OR ) Dredge ESSAYONS ( Coos Bay, OR )

Bonneville II Powerhouse ( Washington ) Bonneville II Powerhouse ( Washington )

Lake Seminole ( Mobile District ) Lake Seminole ( Mobile District )

BUILDING STRONG®

• US Ports & Waterways convey > 2B Tons Commerce • Foreign Trade alone creates > $160 B Tax Revenues

Recreation areas 376 M Visitors/yrGenerate $15 B in economic activity,

500,000 jobs 11,000 miles of Commercial Inland

Waterways:½ the cost of rail

1/10 the cost of trucks 400 miles ofShore protectionDestination for

75% of U.S.Vacations

8500 Miles of Levees

299 Deep Draft Harbors

EmergencyOperations

Stewardship of11.7 Million Acres

Public Lands EnvironmentalRestoration

627 Shallow Draft Harbors

RegulatoryResponsibilities

¼ of Nation’s Hydropower: $500 M + in power sales

Civil Works Value to the Nation

BUILDING STRONG®

Water Resources Challenges

Flood plain & coastal development Threatened ecosystems Vulnerability to attack

Increased foreign tradeAging infrastructure

Energy demand - hydro

Population pressure

MultipleDemandsMultipleDemands

Climate change

Changingallocation

needs

BUILDING STRONG® 9

Katrina’s Lessons (Summary of Interagency Performance Review Team Report)

• Change• Need methods to consider changes in hazards, the system

and consequences. • Project authorizations and resource streams must anticipate

change. • Life Cycle

• Plan for life cycle performance of systems. • Resilience and redundancy are critical, as are adaptive

designs to accommodate change, expected and unexpected. • Systems

• We need risk-based, system-wide planning and design methods.

• Foster collaboration among stakeholders at all levels. • Policy and Practice

• Evolve guidance and methods to integrate rapidly emerging technologies and knowledge.

BUILDING STRONG® 10

USACE’s Response:Actions for Change• Comprehensive

systems approach

• Risk-informed decision making

• Communication of risk to the public

• Professional and technical expertise

BUILDING STRONG® 11

Systems Approach• Look at river basins, waterheds

and coastal zones as a whole• Shift focus from individual

projects to interdependent system

• Shift from immediate to long-term solutions

• Recognize that any single action triggers one or more responses and reactions in other parts of the system

BUILDING STRONG® 12

Risk-Informed Decision Making& Communication

• Consequence analysis, especially risks to populations

• Forestall possible failure mechanisms

• Quantify & communicate residual risk

• Ask which projects will fail to perform as designed, the likelihood of failure, and the consequences

• Recognize limits in disaster prediction• Recognize limits in protection provided by

structural means

BUILDING STRONG® 13

Shared Flood Risk Management:Buying Down Risk

Residual Risk

BUILDING STRONG® 14

Flood Risk Management ProgramVision: To lead collaborative, comprehensive and sustainable national flood risk management to improve public safety and reduce flood damages to our country.

Mission: To integrate and synchronize the ongoing, diverse flood risk management projects, programs and authorities of the US Army Corps of Engineers with counterpart projects, programs and authorities of FEMA, other Federal agencies, state organizations and regional and local agencies.

BUILDING STRONG® 15

• Core Members: USACE, FEMA, ASFPM, NAFSMA leadership

• Meet quarterly to discuss integration of programs and policies

• Current Focus Areas:• Interagency Cooperation/Collaboration• Risk Communication• Levee Inventory and Assessments• Mapping, Certification, and Accreditation • Legislative Impacts

Intergovernmental Flood Risk Management Committee

BUILDING STRONG® 16

Interagency Levee Task Force:Regional Flood Risk Management

http://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/ILTF/

• Identification of regional partners• Facilitated comprehensive regional approach to

flood risk management and recovery• Establishment of interagency partnerships (Federal /

State)• Explore non-structural solutions and other flood risk

management opportunities

BUILDING STRONG®

Summary

• We cannot eliminate risk.

• Our intent is to educate the public as to the actual flood risk they face every day so they can take responsibility for their own safety.

• We are working with local governments so risk can be included in urban planning decisions.

BUILDING STRONG® 18

• Is the concern focused on warnings or hazards (meteorology or climatology) and short term versus long term response (evacuation or land use planning)

• Time between accurate warnings and the ability to respond (New Orleans, Florida Keys)

• Awareness vs. full understanding of: risk, uncertainty, and the range of consequences

• Uncertainty and Chicken Little• Risk perception, experience, and memory• Appropriate response: evacuation or shelter in place?• What gets modeled and how are priorities

determined? Inundation, dam and levee failure• Educating the public and K-12 programs

Considerations

BUILDING STRONG® 19

US Army Corps of Engineers

BUILDING STRONG®