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URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO CITIES WHEN WE HAVE AUTONOMOUS CARS ? LARS HESSELGREN DIRECTOR RESEARCH
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URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Mar 28, 2018

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Page 1: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

URBAN TRANSPORT FUTUREWHAT WILL HAPPEN TO CITIES WHEN WE HAVE

AUTONOMOUS CARS ?

LARS HESSELGRENDIRECTOR RESEARCH

Page 3: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

ONE VEHICLE (POD) PER TRACK.

THE MOST PRIMITIVE FORM

RAPIDLY ABANDONED

EXCEPT BY THE LIFT INDUSTRY

A SMALL LESSON IN TOPOLOGY

Page 4: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

ONE-WAY SYSTEM – TWO-WAY TRACK

ALL TRANSPORT SYSTEMS USE THIS

EXCEPT LIFTS

HENCE SKYPOD (PLP RESEARCH PROJECT)

A SMALL LESSON IN TOPOLOGY

Page 5: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TOPOLOGY OF CONVENTIONAL METRO / UNDERGROUND / SUBWAY

Page 6: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TOPOLOGY OF CONVENTIONAL METRO / UNDERGROUND / SUBWAY

ALL INTERCHANGE IS ON FOOT

Page 7: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

NEW TOPOLOGY DISTRIBUTED SEPARATE DIRECTION TRACKS

EACH DIRECTION IS SEPARATED TO CREATE GRID

Page 8: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

NEW TOPOLOGY ADD AUTO-SWITCHES

AUTO-SWITCH ALLOWS CHANGE WITH NO SLOWING-DOWN

Page 9: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

NEW TOPOLOGY ADD SEPARATED ON-OFF INFRASTRUCTURE

ON / OFF STOPS CAN BE STATIONS OR EXISTING ROAD SYSTEM

Page 11: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TRAIN

Page 12: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

CHOP

Page 13: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

STRETCH

Page 14: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

AUTO-SWITCH

Page 15: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

WHAT SORT OF VEHICLE?

Page 16: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

NOT THE SHAPE OF THE VEHICLEOR EVEN ITS WHEELS

IT IS CONTROL SYSTEMS THAT MATTER

THIS IS WHERE ROBOTS TAKE OVER – AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES

Page 17: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Motorway separation – 3 SECONDS = 66 METERS

Platoon separation – 0.1 SECONDS = 2 METERS

TRANSPORT PODS = AUTOMONOUS ELECTRIC VEHICLES = CARS

Why redesign the vehicle, when it is the controls which need changing?

Page 19: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Only a SEGREGATED TRACK will provide enough speed to get capacity

True for all systems – trains and roads

Mixed traffic inevitably slows down system

SEGREGATED TRACK

ON SHARED TRACKS PHYSICS RULES

STOPPiNG DISTANCE AT 30 MPH - 75 FT : 50 MPH -175 FT

Page 20: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

THE DIGITAL TRAIN

Page 21: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

THE AUTO-SWITCH

Page 22: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Traffic never stops (just as on motorway)

Overall controller allows Dynamic Platoon Protocol

data ahead of time and distributes load

Dynamic pricing ensures the network to never

overload

• Access to local stops, reduced speed• IS the road network• Access to all drop-off points• Already exists• Issue is interchange between primary and secondary network

PRIMARY NETWORK

SECONDARY NETWORK

NETWORK CRITERIA

Page 23: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

DYNAMIC PLATOON PROTOCOL

Controls spacing to allow smooth joining

Predictive spacing

System never slows

Typical speed 80 km/hr (50 mph)

THE SIMPLEST JUNCTION

Page 24: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Grid allows multiple routes

System dynamically control flow

THE PRIMARY GRID

Page 25: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

SIMPLIFICATION

NETWORK TOPOLOGY

Page 26: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TAKE ME FROM WHERE I AM TO WHERE I WANT TO GO

WHETHER BY RENTAL OR MY OWN VEHICLE

GET IN YOUR CAR BOOK A SLOT IN CAR TUBE

ENTER CAR TUBE OFF AUTOBAHN

CONVENIENCE (Point-to-point Travel)

Page 27: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

CHANGE FROM HYDROCARBON ECONOMY

SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT

ELECTRIC PROPULSION

CUT DOWN AIR POLLUTION

CUT DOWN NOISE

SUSTAINABLE ENVIRONMENT

Page 28: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TRAINS STOP AT STATIONS

TRAINS RUNT TO TIMETABLES

NO MORE HUGE CARPARKS

CAR PARKS THEMSELVES OUT OF SIGHT

NO CHANGING (NO TO INTERMODAL)

Page 29: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

TRAINS STOP AT STATIONS

CARS STOP AT DESTINATIONS

CARS FIT IN SMALL TUNNELS

MOTORWAY INFRASTRUCTURE

ALREADY HERE

NETWORK IN LONDON

Page 30: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Time

Cap

acity

Policy over day cycle

ONLY SHARED

MULTI_OCCUPANCY ONLY SHARED

MULTI_OCCUPANCY

FREE RUNNING

ROSAM (ROadSlotAllocationMechanism)Prevention Policy

POLICY IS DYNAMIC

BY KNOWING THE FUTURE

BY CONTROLLING ACCESS

Page 31: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Time

Cap

acity

Policy over day cycle

AUCTION SLOTS AUCTION SLOTS FREE RUNNING

ROSAM (ROadSlotAllocationMechanism)Policy by politicsV1 Free Market

POLICY IS DYNAMIC

BY KNOWING THE FUTURE

BY CONTROLLING ACCESS

Page 32: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution

Time

Cap

acity

Policy over day cycle

ONLY MUNICIPAL MINI BUSES SHARED BIASED RUNNING ONLY MUNICIPAL MINI BUSES

ROSAM (ROadSlotAllocationMechanism)Policy by politicsSocialism

POLICY IS DYNAMIC

BY KNOWING THE FUTURE

BY CONTROLLING ACCESS

Page 33: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 34: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 35: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 36: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 37: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 38: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution
Page 39: URBAN TRANSPORT FUTURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO  · PDF fileurban transport future what will happen to cities when we have autonomous cars ? ... cut down air pollution