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Update on the E-2020, certification and STOP-Malaria Kim Lindblade, Team Lead Malaria Elimination Unit Global Malaria Programme
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Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Jan 10, 2020

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Page 1: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Update on the E-2020, certification and STOP-Malaria

Kim Lindblade, Team Lead

Malaria Elimination Unit Global Malaria Programme

Page 2: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

E-2020 countries

Page 3: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

2019 Global Forum of Malaria-Eliminating Countries

https://www.who.int/malaria/publications/atoz/e-2020-progress-report-2019/en/

Page 4: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Progress towards elimination

Median number of indigenous malaria cases in the years before attaining zero indigenous cases for the 14 countries that eliminated malaria between 2000 and 2015.

Red line indicates that 75% of countries reported 51 or fewer cases two years before reaching 0.

17 18 19 20

On track (less than 51 indigenous cases)

Somewhat off track (between 51 and 166 cases)

Off track (more than 166 cases)

Certified malaria-free

Page 5: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Challenges – African region

Country Challenges

Algeria • Maintaining vigilance• Cross-border collaboration

Botswana • Quality of case investigations• Poor uptake of vector control

Cabo Verde • Identifying and responding to imported cases• Maintain quality of vector control

Comoros• Resurgence to levels approaching the period before

mass drug administration• Low utilization of insecticide-treated bednets

Eswatini • Update stratification map• Improve healthcare seeking

South Africa • Programme implementation at provincial level• Staff recruitment moratorium

Page 6: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Country Challenges

Belize • Maintaining surveillance in malaria-free areas• Classifying cases

Costa Rica

• Illegal gold mining activity• Extending case management and surveillance to

undocumented and migrant populations• Lack of entomologic expertise

Ecuador

• Illegal activities (drug trafficking and mining)• Limited health system coverage in foci• Significant mobility across borders with Colombia

and Peru

El Salvador • Completing certification process

Mexico • Integration of program into health system• Implementing use of RDTs

Paraguay • Successful integration of malaria programme

Suriname • Case classification• Brazilian miners from French Guiana

Challenges – American region

Page 7: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Country Challenges

Iran, Islamic Republic of

• Floods in formerly malaria-endemic areas• Competing public health priorities

Saudi Arabia • Civil unrest in Yemen• Shortage of qualified and experienced staff

Challenges – Eastern Mediterranean region

Page 8: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Country Challenges

Bhutan

• Improving quality of case investigation• Maintaining vigilance• Targeting appropriate interventions to areas with

high malariogenic potential

Nepal

• Lack of malaria focal points at subnational level• Cases identified in formerly non-endemic areas

that are very difficult to access• Seasonal, cross-border migration

Timor-Leste• Preparing for certification• Lack of domestic funding for most NMCP positions• Border collaboration with Indonesia

Challenges – South-East Asia region

Page 9: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Country Challenges

China

• Completing subnational verifications• Early diagnosis and treatment for imported cases

(mostly nationals)• Maintaining vigilance

Malaysia• P. knowlesi• Prompt diagnosis and treatment in remote areas• Undocumented migrant workers

Republic of Korea

• Vector control along the demilitarized zone• Implementation of rapid diagnostic tests• Malaria in the military• Cross-border and collaboration with Ministry of

National Defense

Challenges – Western Pacific region

Page 10: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Status of E-2020 countries as of 2018

Likely to reach 0 by 2020:

Algeria*Cabo Verde*

BelizeEl Salvador*

SurinameIran*

BhutanTimor-Leste*

China*Malaysia*

(Sri Lanka*)

*Already reached 0

Page 11: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Rates of decrease

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

-8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0

Num

ber o

f (lo

cal)

mal

aria

cas

es

Years before reaching 0 indigenous cases

MedianTimor-LesteChinaMalaysiaIranEl SalvadorCabo VerdeBhutan

Page 12: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Changes in trajectories towards elimination

Statistics at 5 years before 0

Countries eliminating by 2015

Countries eliminating after 2015

Median no. cases 117 244

75th percentile 291 759

Median annual rate of decline

-0.37 -0.38

75th percentile -0.42 -0.58

Countries eliminating more recently have similar rates of decline but several have started from a higher number of cases

Rates of decline are higher 10 to 5 years before elimination (not shown)

Page 13: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

• Need greater emphasis on identifying and characterizing “key populations” for malaria

• Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and without barriers to undocumented and uninsured people

• Consider temporary policies on an emergency basis if there are significant legal barriers

• Community health workers must be able to diagnose AND treat malaria where community health workers are implemented

• WHO to develop an elimination dashboard to include key national programmatic indicators

Key recommendations of the Malaria Elimination Oversight Committee at the Global Forum

Page 14: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

• Dissemination of learning between countries and across regions• Changes in elimination

strategies

• Improved classification of cases

• Shared sense of the possible

• Friendly competition and the lure of certification as motivating factors

• Focused review in conjunction with the Malaria Elimination Oversight Committee and Global Fund

Reflections on the E-2020 initiative

• Need to clarify objectives, expectations and added value to countries of the E-2020 initiative

• More direct support to the national elimination advisory committees

• Programme audits needed more frequently

• Interaction should be elevated above programme managers

Positive aspects Areas for improvement

Page 15: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

• Global Forum to be held next Q1 2021• Launching the new cohort in Q4 2020 or

Q1 2021• Including E-2020 countries that have not yet eliminated

• Criteria for new countries• Epidemiologic threshold – based on evidence from

previous countries + optimism

• National elimination goals

• Political commitment?

• Health system indicators?

• Greater emphasis to be placed on country ownership of the E-2025 initiative

Selection of the E-2025 countries

Page 16: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Certification

Page 17: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Recent certifications

Page 18: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Guidance documents

• Preparing for WHO certification of malaria elimination -- an operational manual• Target audience: NMCPs, certification committees• To be sent to MPAC for information and input before

publication

• Standard operating procedures for WHO pre-certification and certification missions (internal)• Target audience: MECP members, WHO staff

Page 19: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Timeline for possible certifications

Region 2020 2021?

AFRO Cabo Verde

SEARO Timor-Leste

WPRO China Malaysia

PAHO El Salvador

EURO Azerbaijan Tajikistan

EMRO Oman, Egypt, Iran

• MECP has decided that discussions must be held in person• GMP to establish dates for MECP meetings each year well in

advance to improve predictability and planning

Page 20: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

STOP-Malaria

Page 21: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Background

• Approaching elimination, resources diverted to more significant public health problems

• Elimination requires good epidemiologic and problem solving skills, focus

• STOP-Polio: WHO and CDC programme to support last mile of polio elimination• Mid-career professionals volunteer for 1 year• WHO consultants, embedded with MOH at subnational

level• Standardized training• Provided with a daily living allowance• Weekly activity reporting

• STOP-Malaria launched in Botswana in August 2019

Page 22: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

• Recruitment process to attract trained and experienced public health professionals

• Rigorous training in malaria eliminationstrategies, mentoring/interpersonal skills

• 2-week training in Botswana, includedWHO and MOH staff for first week

• Prepared field deployment at focus/district level, as appropriate, under WHO umbrella

• All STOPpers currently deployed in country• Situation analyses conducted using malaria

elimination audit tool• Weekly monitoring of activities• Need to improve recruitment of Spanish and Portuguese

speakers• Next cohort to start in May 2020

• 6-7 STOPpers expected

Components of STOP-Malaria

Page 23: Update on the E -2020, certification and STOP-Malaria · characterizing “key populations” for malaria • Diagnosis and treatment of malaria must be assured free of charge and

Thank you!