Grain: World Markets and Trade Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series FG 12-13 December 2013 Record Global Corn Crop Drives Prices Down, Trade Up The record world corn harvest is largely complete for the Northern Hemisphere countries. The record U.S. crop accounts for 80 percent of the growth in world corn production. Planting in Southern Hemisphere countries, particularly Argentina and Brazil, is still underway and crops will not be harvested for several months. Import demand is expected to resume its upward trend, driven largely by Mexico and China. The prospect of huge U.S. exportable supplies has already driven export prices down some 30 percent ($100/ton) from last year at this time. That will improve the competitive position of the United States vis-à-vis Argentina and Brazil, where trade is forecast down sharply. With expanding global demand, shrinking competitor trade, and lower U.S. prices, U.S. exports are forecast to double. U.S. Exports and Prices Have an Inverse Relationship 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 U.S. Rest of World Trade 10 20 30 40 50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 FOB Gulf* Exports (Oct-Sep) MMT Trade MMT Production MMT *December monthly average prices, except 2013 forecast $/MT
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Grain: World Markets and Trade
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
Circular Series FG 12-13 December 2013
Record Global Corn Crop Drives Prices Down, Trade Up
The record world corn harvest is largely complete for the Northern Hemisphere countries. The record U.S. crop accounts for 80 percent of the growth in world corn production. Planting in Southern Hemisphere countries, particularly Argentina and Brazil, is still underway and crops will not be harvested for several months. Import demand is expected to resume its upward trend, driven largely by Mexico and China. The prospect of huge U.S. exportable supplies has already driven export prices down some 30 percent ($100/ton) from last year at this time. That will improve the competitive position of the United States vis-à-vis Argentina and Brazil, where trade is forecast down sharply. With expanding global demand, shrinking competitor trade, and lower U.S. prices, U.S. exports are forecast to double.
U.S. Exports and Prices Have an Inverse Relationship
0
200
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2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
U.S. Rest of World Trade
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Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13
FOB Gulf*
Exports (Oct-Sep)
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*December monthly average prices, except 2013 forecast
$/MT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 12:30 p.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set. Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Debbie Rubas (202) 720-1072 [email protected] Rice Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice Jeffrey Albanese (202) 649-3852 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Gene Kim (202) 720-8398 [email protected] Coarse Grains
United States (Jun-May) 54.4 61.7 58.0 5.9 6.3 6.0 313.9 273.8 355.3
Other 642.9 594.5 653.5 460.0 462.6 464.6 572.0 589.0 609.0
World Total 697.3 656.2 711.4 465.8 469.0 470.6 886.0 862.9 964.3
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 32.1 38.3 36.3 3.5 3.8 3.7 279.0 263.6 294.7
Other 656.7 647.9 663.0 453.0 460.9 467.2 586.5 603.2 637.8
World Total 688.9 686.1 699.3 456.5 464.7 470.9 865.6 866.8 932.4
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 20.2 19.5 15.6 1.3 1.2 1.0 25.1 20.9 45.5
Other 178.7 156.3 167.1 103.1 105.4 103.3 107.3 114.0 116.9
World Total 198.9 175.8 182.8 104.4 106.6 104.3 132.5 134.9 162.5
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 3.0 3.4 4.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 4.2 0.8
Other 148.5 140.4 147.3 36.5 36.0 37.3 100.4 94.0 106.9
World Total 151.6 143.9 151.5 37.2 36.6 38.0 101.2 98.3 107.6
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 28.1 27.7 30.0 3.3 3.3 3.4 38.4 18.3 37.0
Other 125.7 119.7 124.3 35.8 35.1 36.5 65.3 81.8 73.7
World Total 153.8 147.4 154.3 39.1 38.4 39.8 103.8 100.1 110.7
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports
and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.
Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).
'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.
December 2013
WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production for 2013/14 is raised to a record level with larger Canadian and Australian crops. Trade is also projected at a record. U.S. imports are raised again this month as more Canadian wheat is expected to flow into the United States. Exports for both Canada and the EU are raised. U.S. exports are unchanged this month. The season-average farm price is lowered slightly.
PRICES: Domestic: Wheat prices fell in November. Demand for U.S. wheat softened as competition intensified with Canada’s huge exportable surplus. Hard Red Spring (HRS), which competes directly with Canadian wheat, plunged $14 to $326/ton. Although prices fell for Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Winter (SRW), tightening supplies of both wheat classes are supportive. HRW fell $7 to $319/ton and SRW barely changed at $283/ton. Soft White Wheat (SWW) dropped $11/ton to $283/ton in response to a larger Australian crop.
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T
U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids
HRW SRW SWW HRS
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013 4
December 2013
TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters
• Canada is raised 1.0 million tons to 22.5 million, the highest in 22 years, on record production. Exports are expected to increase to the United States, South America and Asia.
• European Union is up 1.0 million tons to 25.0 million on the fast pace of export licenses and expected future sales to North Africa and the Middle East.
Selected Importers
• Bangladesh is raised 300,000 tons to 3.3 million on account of the strong import pace to-date and recent government purchases.
• Egypt is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million because of the pace of recent government
purchases.
• Mexico is boosted 300,000 tons to 4.3 million on stronger-than-expected pace.
• The United States is up 250,000 tons to a record 4.2 million due to tight supplies of milling-quality wheat and a record Canadian crop.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013 5
December 2013
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
3,5007,45011,9517,7425,2558,651 Argentina
19,00021,26923,03118,45513,76413,450 Australia
22,50018,58117,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada
25,00022,62116,69123,08622,27925,410 European Union
15,63819,53820,21123,46626,55217,867 United States
182,784175,832198,943198,981202,278169,543 World Total
December 2013
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
7,128 North America 6,834 6,431 8,550 7,754 8,990
1,488 Central America 1,445 1,684 1,666 1,652 1,685
13,126 South America 13,170 13,158 13,778 14,393 14,565
7,708 European Union - 28 5,358 4,623 7,368 5,264 4,500
1,664 Other Europe 1,669 1,614 1,914 1,634 1,795
6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,432 5,503 8,021 7,454 7,105
28,232 Middle East 22,575 17,513 23,389 24,151 24,090
23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,428 24,855 22,156 22,400
14,180 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,371 15,166 18,501 17,364 18,010
11,328 East Asia 13,754 13,903 16,877 17,354 21,375
10,797 South Asia 7,608 7,607 5,528 5,351 7,370
12,348 Southeast Asia 13,950 16,363 18,035 16,356 16,685
2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,091 2,971 2,975
140,703 Total 132,615 130,817 151,573 143,854 151,545
Production none
100,635 North America 91,464 87,038 83,329 92,107 98,843
21,118 South America 22,213 27,560 25,768 18,496 20,341
151,922 European Union - 28 139,720 136,667 138,182 133,878 143,118
3,922 Other Europe 3,734 3,178 3,634 3,489 4,191
115,521 Former Soviet Union - 12 114,012 81,068 115,032 77,212 104,060
30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,223 40,350 36,538 41,085
14,331 North Africa 20,241 15,914 18,311 17,232 20,612
5,917 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,676 5,379 6,285 6,282 6,263
113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,352 118,774 122,449 122,278
104,070 South Asia 111,144 110,949 117,132 125,356 123,536
21,763 Oceania 22,238 27,855 30,288 22,947 26,900
156 Others 174 183 186 186 191
683,464 Total 687,005 652,366 697,271 656,172 711,418
Domestic Consumption none
48,140 North America 44,490 44,641 49,564 54,481 52,978
24,644 South America 25,738 25,648 26,161 26,328 26,790
127,627 European Union - 28 125,622 122,844 127,234 120,000 120,750
5,060 Other Europe 4,900 4,737 4,875 4,734 5,081
76,160 Former Soviet Union - 12 78,315 75,555 79,870 71,497 74,300
52,731 Middle East 54,829 54,975 56,888 56,598 58,715
37,568 North Africa 39,441 38,806 40,872 41,437 42,462
18,873 Sub-Saharan Africa 21,163 20,734 22,655 23,160 23,759
117,218 East Asia 120,187 123,954 137,060 139,889 139,799
105,401 South Asia 113,755 117,008 115,839 120,136 127,001
12,055 Southeast Asia 13,106 14,998 16,684 16,405 16,495
8,323 Oceania 6,141 6,835 7,807 8,106 7,755
3,377 Others 3,295 3,354 3,343 3,360 3,410
637,177 Total 650,982 654,089 688,852 686,131 699,295
Ending Stocks none
24,815 North America 34,803 31,143 26,718 24,873 26,145
5,959 South America 7,703 8,437 4,176 3,800 4,701
19,396 European Union - 28 16,573 11,933 13,558 10,079 11,947
1,672 Other Europe 1,672 1,153 1,333 1,010 1,095
22,643 Former Soviet Union - 12 26,487 23,614 27,032 14,269 16,389
11,857 Middle East 14,012 12,842 12,230 13,104 15,224
9,003 North Africa 11,072 12,194 14,094 11,452 11,427
1,582 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,138 1,368 2,416 2,288 1,834
48,673 East Asia 57,307 62,170 59,270 57,699 60,048
17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,150 25,532 28,273 24,928
2,888 Southeast Asia 3,216 3,997 4,709 3,990 3,505
3,340 Oceania 5,343 8,598 7,440 4,575 5,130
322 Others 416 382 435 420 411
169,543 Total 202,278 198,981 198,943 175,832 182,784
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
OVERVIEW Due to smaller crops in India and Thailand, global production for 2013/14 is projected down from last month but still a record. Ending stocks are also lower as consumption is expected to exceed production. Already a record, 2014 trade is boosted again as Thailand is forecast to supply the increase in global demand. U.S. exports are up and imports down marginally from last month. PRICES Thai prices have crashed over the past several months as the government attempts to sell sufficient stocks to finance its Paddy Pledging Scheme. As a result, Thailand has fallen from the highest-priced supplier to tie for the lowest in just 2 years, helped by the recent increase in quotes for Viet 5%, a likely temporary phenomenon resulting from a large sale of Vietnamese rice to the Philippines. By contrast, relatively tight supplies have kept U.S. quotes up, now nearly $200 above the Asian competition. Though there are few markets where U.S. rice competes directly with Thai rice, the price disparity has not been this great since 2004.
300
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400
450
500
550
600
650
700$/MT
Thai Quotes Finally Converge with Vietnam While US Maintains Premium
U.S. #2/4 THAI 5% VIET 5%
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
9 December 2013
TRADE CHANGES
Selected Exporters
• Thailand is boosted 500,000 tons in 2014 to 8.5 million on competitive prices and greater global demand.
• United States is cut 150,000 tons in 2013 (to 3.3 million) and raised 150,000 tons in 2014 (to 3.4 million) on the timing of shipments.
Selected Importers
• European Union is raised 100,000 tons in 2013 (to 1.3 million) on the pace of shipments and raised 150,000 tons in 2014 (to 1.4 million) as demand is expected to remain strong.
• Iran is raised 100,000 tons in 2013 (to 1.9 million) on trade data but cut by the same amount in 2014 (to 1.7 million) on a larger crop.
• Philippines is up 100,000 tons in 2013 and 2014 (to 1.1 million and 1.2 million, respectively) on purchases from Vietnam after the recent typhoon.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
10 December 2013
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
550550608732468594 Argentina
5205004493115417 Australia
8507501,1051,296430591 Brazil
7507506907784451,052 Burma
1,000975800860750820 Cambodia
350425267487619783 China
850850600320570575 Egypt
200200194237278146 European Union
345345285257298241 Guyana
10,00010,50010,2504,6372,2282,149 India
3,0003,0003,3993,4144,0003,187 Pakistan
250275262208135124 Paraguay
8,5007,0006,94510,6479,0478,570 Thailand
9009001,056841808926 Uruguay
7,5007,2007,7177,0006,7345,950 Vietnam
9129021,177970803655 Others
36,47735,12235,80432,99527,66726,380 Subtotal
3,3503,2503,3053,2463,8683,017 United States
39,82738,37239,10936,24131,53529,397 World Total
none
TY Imports
525500360275280195 Angola
430300531,486660146 Bangladesh
700750732591778650 Brazil
500500450310300300 Cameroon
3,4003,2002,900575366337 China
1,2501,3001,450935840800 Cote d'Ivoire
450525330558498457 Cuba
1,3501,3001,3131,4961,2351,393 European Union
575600575620320410 Ghana
420425415381390397 Hong Kong
1,5001,0001,9603,0981,150250 Indonesia
1,6501,9001,5501,8701,5201,470 Iran
1,4001,4001,4781,0361,1881,089 Iraq
700700650742649750 Japan
1,1001,0501,0061,0769071,086 Malaysia
750725680705575610 Mexico
470475450360325385 Mozambique
3,0002,8003,4002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria
1,2001,1001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines
1,2501,2251,1931,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia
1,1501,1501,200805685715 Senegal
975950870885733745 South Africa
600600600200300300 Thailand
450440430420400380 United Arab Emirates
450425420337330329 Yemen
11,04610,62810,5539,7758,8678,074 Others
37,29135,96836,51833,34528,76526,340 Subtotal
1,8361,7541,9512,2752,2082,375 Unaccounted
700650640621562682 United States
39,82738,37239,10936,24131,53529,397 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Note about dates: 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, and so on.
472,879466,818460,042445,437438,486437,574 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
45,33246,78245,02342,57440,53438,546 China
23,10025,10025,10023,50020,50019,000 India
2,4853,0855,0856,1756,5777,057 Indonesia
2,8232,7532,7472,7122,6932,715 Japan
1,4771,4871,5092,4593,5204,673 Philippines
14,43012,5309,3305,6156,1004,787 Thailand
2,1262,3261,8261,9411,4701,961 Vietnam
11,53911,33412,48712,14612,26512,684 Others
103,312105,397103,10797,12293,65991,423 Subtotal
9611,1561,3031,5141,184977 United States
104,273106,553104,41098,63694,84392,400 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
December 2013
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,664 1,715 1,800
902 Caribbean 969 1,099 845 1,080 1,025
1,116 South America 1,354 1,396 1,896 1,792 1,852
108 Other Europe 116 128 114 122 122
412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 403 403 426
5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,989 6,351 6,605 6,480
155 North Africa 345 364 747 550 545
8,200 Sub-Saharan Africa 8,208 9,875 12,330 11,940 12,465
1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,444 4,389 5,111 5,116
524 South Asia 1,016 1,864 666 860 1,000
4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,595 4,280 4,925
2,227 Others 2,118 2,314 2,158 2,160 2,235
27,022 Total 29,327 33,966 37,158 36,618 37,991
Production none
6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,979 6,465 6,143
833 Caribbean 954 938 1,024 885 991
16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,215 15,617 16,060
1,773 European Union - 28 2,176 2,172 2,110 2,098 2,068
902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,144 1,321 1,294 1,286 1,204
2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,330
4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,704 4,889
10,925 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,450 12,963 12,396 12,489 12,540
150,087 East Asia 151,828 151,801 155,342 157,662 156,410
142,623 South Asia 132,878 138,116 151,656 149,755 149,910
111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,476 112,992 114,320 116,691
663 Others 810 1,245 1,350 1,530 1,363
449,129 Total 440,929 449,230 465,816 468,961 470,599
Domestic Consumption none
5,177 North America 5,158 5,430 4,669 4,938 4,900
1,095 Central America 1,119 1,109 1,146 1,181 1,206
1,774 Caribbean 1,890 2,055 1,997 1,860 2,008
14,777 South America 14,880 14,457 14,220 14,346 14,495
3,100 European Union - 28 3,200 3,250 3,300 3,350 3,400
1,238 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,327 1,428 1,418 1,465 1,495
7,627 Middle East 7,781 8,183 8,399 8,610 8,795
4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,005 4,429 4,559
18,136 Sub-Saharan Africa 19,785 21,212 23,345 24,438 25,196
149,585 East Asia 150,349 151,733 155,911 160,277 162,207
131,561 South Asia 126,275 130,792 136,781 137,439 139,310
96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,672 101,561 102,636
548 Others 609 634 661 757 702
435,930 Total 435,596 443,512 456,524 464,651 470,909
Ending Stocks none
1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,455 1,324 1,146
205 Central America 246 249 269 273 270
114 Caribbean 116 101 158 111 119
2,238 South America 1,905 2,168 1,517 1,715 1,932
1,068 European Union - 28 1,140 1,215 1,117 1,055 873
1,997 Middle East 1,634 1,723 1,492 1,628 1,613
564 North Africa 498 122 487 462 487
967 Sub-Saharan Africa 680 1,404 2,229 2,005 1,519
42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,690 48,874 50,634 49,398
21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,342 27,511 26,517 24,917
19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,663 19,126 20,540 21,770
26 Oceania 46 27 40 120 70
128 Others 156 198 135 169 159
92,400 Total 94,843 98,636 104,410 106,553 104,273
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
14
175
200
225
250
275
300
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350
$/M
T
Corn Daily Export Bids
U.S. Gulf Black Sea Brazil Paranagua Argentina Up River
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW World coarse grains production is up with larger corn (Canada and Ukraine) and barley crops (Australia and Canada). Global corn trade is up, led mostly by robust demand from the EU. The U.S. corn export estimate is raised as favorable prices continue to boost sales. The season-average farm price is lowered slightly. PRICES U.S. corn quotes have been range-bound since the end of September. Although sales and shipments have been strong, expectations for additional supplies and uncertainty over China’s rejection of some U.S. corn cargoes have pressured prices. For the first week of December, prices are quoted at about $211/ton.
TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters
U.S. corn is up 1.0 million tons to 37.0 million on recent strong sales and shipments.
Canadian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 1.5 million on greater exportable supplies.
• Australian barley is raised 600,000 tons to 4.7 million on sharply larger exportable
supplies and demand from China for malting barley. (Chinese barley imports are boosted 300,000 tons to 2.5 million.)
• Canadian barley is raised 200,000 tons to 1.9 million on greater exportable supplies.
• EU barley is cut by 800,000 tons to 4.5 million based on a slowdown in export licenses. (Exports for 2012/13 are raised 1.0 million tons to 6.5 million because of strong late-season shipments that limited export licenses available in the next trade year.)
• Ukrainian barley is raised 300,000 tons to 2.5 million based on reduced competition from the EU.
Selected Importers
• EU corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 9.0 million on the pace of import licenses and greater global supplies, especially from Ukraine.
• Kenyan corn is doubled to 800,000 tons, the highest in 5 years, on a smaller crop.
TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters – based on trade data
• Australian barley is up 800,000 tons to 4.6 million.
• Ukrainian barley is raised 500,000 tons to 2.7 million. Selected Importer – based on trade data
• Saudi Arabian barley is boosted 2.0 million tons to a record 10.0 million.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
15 December 2013
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
20,10529,49722,30818,62819,03010,249 Argentina
5,8506,3797,2794,8994,4144,873 Australia
20,50526,07412,67711,5928,6277,187 Brazil
5,2254,6733,8544,4283,0703,852 Canada
7,7558,9147,1525,8654,2934,447 European Union
3,5755,2744,8583,4372,0722,642 India
1,8052,8632,1881,2011,3631,849 Paraguay
5,1104,3715,9971,0292,5264,945 Russia
1,9252,4131,8512,8571,6342,159 South Africa
20,68015,55617,4477,49010,97711,506 Ukraine
6,0355,0527,6135,3456,8555,135 Others
98,570111,06693,22466,77164,86158,844 Subtotal
41,73020,58940,19149,18353,92251,558 United States
140,300131,655133,415115,954118,783110,402 World Total
139,653132,813135,749135,866145,004144,084 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,1941,1941,4351,2361,247184 Algeria
1,9589831,1951,5022,5022,964 Canada
5,2874,7146,0717,93815,55210,951 European Union
1,4781,7781,3781,1781,268622 Iran
1,1267268481,3862,3953,813 Russia
3,3782,7032,7281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia
960510910724790793 Turkey
6,6605,9906,7156,9728,9948,014 Others
22,04118,59821,28022,18934,82629,544 Subtotal
1,7521,7501,3061,9452,5151,932 United States
23,79320,34822,58624,13437,34131,476 World Total
12/10/2013 12:03:31 PM
December 2013
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
737 North America 373 227 619 503 725
810 South America 772 905 851 960 960
156 European Union - 28 66 288 340 100 100
59 Other Europe 134 189 209 230 205
269 Former Soviet Union - 12 195 654 672 498 545
11,631 Middle East 10,019 8,604 12,532 13,200 11,085
973 North Africa 1,215 960 1,458 1,700 1,400
125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 77 80 55 65
3,000 East Asia 3,842 3,107 3,946 3,665 3,925
48 South Asia 10 8 68 55 50
0 Oceania 14 15 19 5 5
17,808 Total 16,699 15,034 20,794 20,971 19,065
Production none
17,797 North America 14,996 12,224 11,771 13,840 15,483
3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,539 6,094 5,440
65,759 European Union - 28 62,393 53,691 51,883 54,818 59,173
1,310 Other Europe 1,163 1,112 1,163 1,181 1,212
41,662 Former Soviet Union - 12 35,988 21,682 32,245 25,977 28,130
8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,100 11,670 10,275 12,419
2,362 North Africa 7,340 4,589 4,448 3,408 5,083
1,777 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,950 1,917 2,099 2,101 2,096
3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,602 2,652 2,615
1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,327 2,447
8,405 Oceania 8,300 8,303 8,589 7,902 9,000
155,049 Total 150,869 122,659 134,201 130,575 143,098
Domestic Consumption none
14,901 North America 14,021 12,701 11,808 12,381 13,107
2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 3,072 3,390 3,370
57,270 European Union - 28 56,770 56,610 51,200 51,300 52,700
1,369 Other Europe 1,282 1,309 1,336 1,370 1,399
28,746 Former Soviet Union - 12 28,088 20,677 26,323 22,285 23,010
20,506 Middle East 20,403 19,694 21,786 22,496 24,136
4,012 North Africa 5,847 5,925 6,199 5,462 6,450
1,955 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,990 2,012 2,048 1,967 2,200
6,106 East Asia 6,276 5,771 6,375 6,400 6,455
1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,122 2,237 2,407
4,400 Oceania 4,925 4,550 3,700 3,225 4,200
143,406 Total 144,698 134,153 135,969 132,513 139,434
Ending Stocks none
5,228 North America 5,214 3,647 2,621 3,014 3,991
766 South America 601 851 594 526 926
10,951 European Union - 28 15,552 7,938 6,071 4,714 5,287
222 Other Europe 203 191 206 238 251
5,708 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,472 2,830 2,740 2,366 2,521
4,391 Middle East 4,813 3,923 5,878 5,816 6,634
496 North Africa 2,953 2,612 2,451 1,805 1,928
214 Sub-Saharan Africa 236 223 339 525 486
940 East Asia 1,139 681 850 766 846
87 South Asia 224 197 258 118 158
2,473 Oceania 1,934 1,041 578 460 765
31,476 Total 37,341 24,134 22,586 20,348 23,793
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
1,5003,0592,1631,8931,507907 Argentina
9001,4251,1855753501,360 Australia
252736684132 China
7575757500 Ethiopia
252311323112454 India
50075605050 Nigeria
1501501133441126 Ukraine
1301451288017895 Others
2,8555,1123,9072,8162,2912,624 Subtotal
4,5002,1281,5493,8274,0323,598 United States
7,3557,2405,4566,6436,3236,222 World Total
none
TY Imports
500400544729568404 Chile
2,0006318448314 China
500591592391212202 Colombia
175291126922766 European Union
1,6001,8971,4811,4181,6491,629 Japan
1,5001,8001,3692,3792,4862,484 Mexico
606059573117 Peru
10010069544 Saudi Arabia
100175125200400300 Sudan
10010084977172 Taiwan
480560525509795558 Others
7,1156,6055,0586,7116,3065,750 Subtotal
240392395-6917469 Unaccounted
02433103 United States
7,3557,2405,4566,6436,3236,222 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
December 2013
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
Production
4,6005,0004,2004,4003,6291,660 Argentina
1,9002,0052,2391,9351,5082,692 Australia
2,1002,1162,2222,3141,6242,004 Brazil
1,8001,9241,5001,9901,5221,875 Burkina
1,1501,1001,1501,0991,060931 Cameroon
9001,200648680600685 Chad
2,3002,5562,0502,4561,6771,837 China
900900900900900900 Egypt
3,7003,5703,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia
5,5005,3006,0307,0006,7007,250 India
1,2001,1171,1911,2571,4661,027 Mali
7,1006,1746,4257,3856,2507,067 Mexico
1,0001,0008071,3007391,226 Niger
6,5005,9436,9006,7506,60011,000 Nigeria
3,8004,2712,0892,6304,1923,869 Sudan
7,2266,8816,9416,4756,1766,565 Others
51,67651,05749,07352,03646,72753,207 Subtotal
10,5566,2725,4478,7799,72811,998 United States
62,23257,32954,52060,81556,45565,205 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,6002,3001,9001,9001,9001,100 Argentina
1,0058051,1051,4051,2051,805 Australia
2,1002,1002,2752,2751,6751,875 Brazil
1,8001,9001,5001,9001,6861,700 Burkina
1,1601,1101,1751,1091,070941 Cameroon
9501,150650700650650 Chad
4,2003,2002,2002,2001,9002,000 China
3,7003,7003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia
5,4505,1506,0006,8006,6007,200 India
1,6001,9001,4751,4601,6501,600 Japan
1,2001,1171,1911,2571,4661,027 Mali
8,6008,1008,1009,4009,7008,600 Mexico
1,0501,0009501,2509501,200 Niger
6,4505,9506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria
3,9004,3002,4503,0004,5004,500 Sudan
9,5449,5239,4769,9048,4358,837 Others
56,16652,02252,47254,49352,68756,627 Subtotal
5,5894,7863,9535,2785,9018,319 United States
61,75556,80856,42559,77158,58864,946 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,0671,067167950152194 Argentina
175180230361681678 Australia
400325365467275456 China
168143223327154181 India
2922924187243601,324 Mexico
208208215190200200 Nigeria
279284143399574487 Sudan
9519599751,1097361,403 Others
3,5403,4582,7364,5273,1324,923 Subtotal
7773825836971,0481,390 United States
4,3173,8403,3195,2244,1806,313 World Total
December 2013
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
2,487 North America 2,486 2,380 1,372 2,043 1,500
665 South America 848 1,218 1,200 1,086 1,095
66 European Union - 28 7 922 126 291 175
0 Other Europe 17 0 0 0 0
81 Middle East 48 121 101 175 150
45 North Africa 166 120 54 25 25
672 Sub-Saharan Africa 877 390 526 570 440
1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,655 2,633 3,705
14 Southeast Asia 16 17 13 20 20
4 Others 35 21 14 5 5
5,753 Total 6,306 6,712 5,061 6,848 7,115
Production none
19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,872 12,446 17,656
298 Central America 341 287 312 339 335
128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
4,719 South America 5,923 7,351 7,124 7,808 7,442
517 European Union - 28 621 629 671 486 597
654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640
912 North Africa 911 906 915 915 915
26,681 Sub-Saharan Africa 21,826 22,872 22,144 24,281 24,349
1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,070 2,576 2,320
7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 5,445 5,645
55 Southeast Asia 54 54 54 52 55
2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,239 2,005 1,900
232 Others 42 61 176 208 250
65,205 Total 56,455 60,815 54,520 57,329 62,232
Domestic Consumption none
16,919 North America 15,601 14,678 12,053 12,886 14,189
315 Central America 325 300 320 325 335
128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128
4,766 South America 5,145 5,934 6,110 6,117 6,462
905 European Union - 28 630 1,550 760 795 770
749 Middle East 669 916 677 850 800
962 North Africa 1,008 1,057 990 940 940
27,264 Sub-Saharan Africa 23,010 22,945 22,693 24,605 24,564
3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 3,786 5,220 5,930
7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,155 5,300 5,600
63 Southeast Asia 47 61 68 65 70
1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 805 1,005
80 Others 47 30 55 55 105
65,004 Total 58,238 59,738 54,900 58,091 60,898
Ending Stocks none
2,714 North America 1,408 1,421 1,001 674 1,069
27 Central America 43 32 25 34 29
491 South America 365 1,192 348 1,270 1,305
34 European Union - 28 24 20 13 17 14
62 Middle East 22 35 44 34 24
29 North Africa 43 57 34 29 24
1,477 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,032 1,221 932 1,023 1,008
578 East Asia 397 549 452 414 484
181 South Asia 154 327 223 143 168
678 Oceania 681 361 230 180 175
42 Others 11 9 17 22 17
6,313 Total 4,180 5,224 3,319 3,840 4,317
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
5513615 Argentina
200225174211211161 Australia
553949 Brazil
1,7001,3631,7641,4971,5391,792 Canada
1001001061293731 Chile
150126176113215103 European Union
101018142 Russia
101064206 Others
2,1801,8442,2601,9702,0312,109 Subtotal
251727373838 United States
2,2051,8612,2872,0072,0692,147 World Total
none
TY Imports
000550 Albania
10109010 Algeria
553532 Bosnia and Herzegovina
202011182114 Canada
758768585739 China
552222 Colombia
151522111114 Ecuador
553424 European Union
605154645646 Japan
1001001341034682 Mexico
25154910348 Norway
252511152133 South Africa
505056494952 Switzerland
554406 Turkey
55811411 Uruguay
009835 Others
405398443367315318 Subtotal
20012011517214742 Unaccounted
1,6001,3431,7291,4681,6071,787 United States
2,2051,8612,2872,0072,0692,147 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
December 2013
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
Production
1251251261409627 Algeria
400496345660182291 Argentina
1,2501,1151,2621,1281,1621,160 Australia
450600448442552605 Belarus
380361354379253239 Brazil
3,8902,8123,1582,4512,9124,273 Canada
595680451564381344 Chile
580600600525580530 China
8,5157,9997,9277,5008,6419,000 European Union
200200258134204138 Kazakhstan
908451111130148 Mexico
225225231299277328 Norway
5,0004,0275,3323,2185,4015,835 Russia
210210210204218196 Turkey
450630506458731944 Ukraine
313298343359348314 Others
22,67320,46221,60218,57222,06824,372 Subtotal
9569297791,1781,3511,294 United States
23,62921,39122,38119,75023,41925,666 World Total
none
Total Consumption
1351351341419627 Algeria
400500350650200300 Argentina
9509501,1009009751,035 Australia
475575450475575600 Belarus
370350350370250225 Brazil
1,7501,5221,3561,5301,7671,766 Canada
525575325475350325 Chile
675675625625625575 China
8,3007,9007,8007,7938,1578,560 European Union
175225225130210135 Kazakhstan
185195185185215210 Mexico
245245245295320320 Norway
5,0004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia
210210210210210210 Turkey
475600500475725925 Ukraine
469459508525498464 Others
20,50619,45919,60118,23320,74221,301 Subtotal
2,5362,7812,5492,7893,0112,968 United States
23,04222,24022,15021,02223,75324,269 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
17474134146126147 Australia
9715118107331,1621,527 Canada
11913912784126114 China
8647947968321,230973 European Union
625762352031 Norway
193203485167397499 Russia
518152405969 Ukraine
226242213227232271 Others
2,6602,1012,6792,2643,3523,631 Subtotal
5555277989821,1661,221 United States
3,2152,6283,4773,2464,5184,852 World Total
December 2013
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,874 1,463 1,720
32 South America 19 24 32 25 25
4 European Union - 28 2 4 3 5 5
62 Other Europe 92 71 110 70 80
0 Former Soviet Union - 12 0 6 7 0 0
6 Middle East 0 4 4 5 5
0 North Africa 1 0 9 10 10
33 Sub-Saharan Africa 21 15 11 25 25
85 East Asia 113 122 122 138 135
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
2,105 Total 1,922 1,835 2,172 1,741 2,005
Production none
5,715 North America 4,393 3,740 3,988 3,825 4,936
897 South America 857 1,644 1,191 1,577 1,418
9,000 European Union - 28 8,641 7,500 7,927 7,999 8,515
525 Other Europe 473 480 422 382 382
7,527 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,893 4,257 6,549 5,463 6,106
196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210
43 North Africa 121 177 156 155 155
45 Sub-Saharan Africa 45 45 45 45 45
532 East Asia 582 527 602 602 582
1,186 Oceania 1,196 1,176 1,291 1,133 1,280
25,666 Total 23,419 19,750 22,381 21,391 23,629
Domestic Consumption none
4,944 North America 4,993 4,504 4,090 4,498 4,471
896 South America 857 1,563 1,093 1,490 1,363
8,560 European Union - 28 8,157 7,793 7,800 7,900 8,300
566 Other Europe 577 537 496 460 455
7,265 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,015 4,535 6,180 5,706 6,131
210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210
43 North Africa 121 178 164 165 165
75 Sub-Saharan Africa 65 65 65 70 70
625 East Asia 680 685 685 730 730
1,061 Oceania 1,009 948 1,129 968 980
24,245 Total 23,684 21,018 21,912 22,197 22,875
Ending Stocks none
2,756 North America 2,335 1,720 1,611 1,039 1,532
113 South America 95 125 92 128 98
973 European Union - 28 1,230 832 796 794 864
63 Other Europe 49 65 94 86 93
658 Former Soviet Union - 12 517 235 592 334 289
2 Middle East 10 8 12 17 22
1 North Africa 1 1 2 2 2
23 Sub-Saharan Africa 24 19 10 10 10
116 East Asia 131 95 134 144 131
147 Oceania 126 146 134 74 174
4,852 Total 4,518 3,246 3,477 2,628 3,215
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
TY Exports
100100251502550 Belarus
12518115922114276 Canada
1001225971134112 European Union
1007828422914 Russia
251692936 Ukraine
004300 Others
450497540469403258 Subtotal
578346 United States
455504548472407264 World Total
none
TY Imports
000000 Albania
100683023648 European Union
15251119911 Israel
75274610110357 Japan
1010111177 Korea, South
101011121411 Norway
552264 Switzerland
00815029 Others
215145391331145107 Subtotal
65137-17-713349 Unaccounted
175222174148129108 United States
455504548472407264 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
December 2013
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Dec
none
Production
1,5001,6008047351,2271,492 Belarus
210337241237281297 Canada
606259222 Chile
9,8908,7456,9007,5769,9559,266 European Union
3,5002,1322,9671,6424,3334,505 Russia
350350350366343247 Turkey
6506765794649541,051 Ukraine
178198181199250235 Others
16,33814,10012,08111,22117,34517,095 Subtotal
195176161189178203 United States
16,53314,27612,24211,41017,52317,298 World Total
none
Total Consumption
404045405555 Argentina
1,4001,4007006501,3001,400 Belarus
100124101136131143 Canada
606259222 Chile
9,4008,8007,4008,2049,5558,757 European Union
7525551059065 Japan
505030407540 Kazakhstan
3,2002,0002,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia
350350350350340275 Turkey
650625625650800800 Ukraine
128168142157155173 Others
15,51613,79512,33112,21816,89816,168 Subtotal
359397318330273292 United States
15,87514,19212,64912,54817,17116,460 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
26326316379144242 Belarus
31462551139113 Canada
1,1656757451,0131,7281,425 European Union
77514185 Japan
328128129250308312 Russia
333334331714 Turkey
141166132189411313 Ukraine
666866 Others
1,9741,3241,2391,6372,7712,430 Subtotal
181011202413 United States
1,9921,3341,2501,6572,7952,443 World Total
December 2013
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Dec
2013/14
TY Imports none
108 North America 129 148 174 222 175
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
8 European Union - 28 4 36 302 68 100
16 Other Europe 20 14 13 15 15
2 Former Soviet Union - 12 2 150 5 0 0
17 Middle East 9 19 14 25 15
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
64 East Asia 110 112 57 37 85
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
215 Total 274 479 565 367 390
Production none
500 North America 459 426 402 513 405
63 South America 61 45 107 105 103
9,266 European Union - 28 9,955 7,576 6,900 8,745 9,890
96 Other Europe 79 78 62 62 62
7,088 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,589 2,883 4,378 4,458 5,700
247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
35 Oceania 34 33 40 40 20
17,298 Total 17,523 11,410 12,242 14,276 16,533
Domestic Consumption none
435 North America 404 466 419 521 459
63 South America 61 45 107 105 103
8,757 European Union - 28 9,555 8,204 7,400 8,800 9,400
111 Other Europe 98 91 75 77 77
6,640 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,500 3,190 4,205 4,075 5,300
286 Middle East 349 369 361 385 365
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 2 3 3
72 East Asia 97 116 66 35 85
35 Oceania 34 30 40 40 20
16,402 Total 17,101 12,514 12,675 14,041 15,812
Ending Stocks none
126 North America 163 71 36 56 49
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
1,425 European Union - 28 1,728 1,013 745 675 1,165
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
873 Former Soviet Union - 12 869 526 430 563 738
14 Middle East 17 33 34 33 33
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
5 East Asia 18 14 5 7 7
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
2,443 Total 2,795 1,657 1,250 1,334 1,992
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported
using local marketing years.
December 2013
HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53
DG F/SA &F
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
34 December 2013
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
133.5 125.760.018.210.65.026.6 2002/03 18.8
111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0
147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3
132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0
125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8
120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8
151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4
139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6
136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9
138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.6
133.9 120.050.522.65.35.226.0 2012/13 10.1
143.1 120.851.525.04.55.625.8 2013/14 11.9
Coarse Grains
151.1 147.5111.87.64.24.533.3 2002/03 23.1
134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6
169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6
149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.7
140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6
138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1
164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3
157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2
142.8 154.7116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7
149.9 151.5113.26.56.95.030.2 2011/12 15.6
145.9 153.5114.57.411.84.731.4 2012/13 12.5
158.3 157.1117.59.39.45.031.8 2013/14 13.8
Wheat and Coarse Grains
284.6 273.2171.925.814.74.859.9 2002/03 41.9
245.5 263.5164.413.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6
316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9
282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8
265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4
259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9
316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7
297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8
279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7
288.1 278.7170.723.214.35.156.0 2011/12 29.1
279.8 273.5165.030.017.14.957.3 2012/13 22.5
301.4 277.8169.034.313.95.257.5 2013/14 25.8
December 2013
China: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4
86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3
92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8
97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5
108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6
109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1
112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8
115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4
115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1
117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9
121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.2 2012/13 53.9
121.0 125.525.01.08.55.024.3 2013/14 56.9
Coarse Grains
130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5
124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9
138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6
147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8
159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0
159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5
172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2
169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3
183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1
199.3 197.0132.40.17.95.635.6 2011/12 60.2
212.8 212.1146.20.15.65.737.2 2012/13 66.4
217.8 227.2159.30.111.65.837.7 2013/14 68.4
Wheat and Coarse Grains
220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8
210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2
230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4
245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3
267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6
268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6
284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0
284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7
299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2
316.7 319.5156.41.110.95.359.9 2011/12 116.2
333.8 337.1171.21.18.65.461.4 2012/13 120.3
338.8 352.7184.31.120.15.562.0 2013/14 125.3
December 2013
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
3.9 4.90.80.41.43.31.2 2002/03 1.1
2.9 4.60.60.01.42.81.0 2003/04 0.8
4.6 5.20.80.31.44.11.1 2004/05 1.3
3.7 5.10.80.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.2
3.6 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.3
3.6 4.80.90.51.93.71.0 2007/08 1.5
3.9 5.11.00.41.74.20.9 2008/09 1.7
3.7 4.90.90.51.73.71.0 2009/10 1.7
3.2 4.70.80.61.63.60.9 2010/11 1.2
3.6 4.91.00.51.94.00.9 2011/12 1.3
3.5 4.70.90.71.63.90.9 2012/13 1.0
4.2 5.11.10.81.84.21.0 2013/14 1.1
Coarse Grains
9.1 8.97.50.40.64.12.2 2002/03 1.4
6.7 8.17.00.10.73.12.2 2003/04 0.7
10.4 9.58.30.60.54.82.1 2004/05 1.4
9.9 9.58.31.30.64.62.1 2005/06 1.2
9.5 9.48.30.90.84.52.1 2006/07 1.3
7.2 8.06.90.10.93.42.1 2007/08 1.1
9.6 8.67.41.50.64.52.1 2008/09 1.2
9.4 8.57.21.40.74.62.0 2009/10 1.4
9.8 8.57.12.00.84.82.1 2010/11 1.4
9.4 8.26.92.40.84.52.1 2011/12 1.0
6.3 6.65.40.60.83.02.1 2012/13 0.9
8.9 8.06.71.60.94.32.1 2013/14 1.0
Wheat and Coarse Grains
13.0 13.88.40.81.93.93.4 2002/03 2.6
9.6 12.77.60.12.03.03.2 2003/04 1.4
15.0 14.79.20.91.94.63.3 2004/05 2.7
13.7 14.69.11.42.04.43.1 2005/06 2.5
13.0 14.09.01.22.34.23.1 2006/07 2.5
10.8 12.87.80.62.73.53.1 2007/08 2.6
13.5 13.78.41.92.34.43.1 2008/09 2.9
13.1 13.48.11.92.44.33.0 2009/10 3.0
13.0 13.27.92.62.44.42.9 2010/11 2.6
13.0 13.17.92.92.74.43.0 2011/12 2.3
9.8 11.36.31.32.43.33.0 2012/13 1.9
13.1 13.17.92.42.64.33.1 2013/14 2.1
December 2013
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
92.4 75.323.721.76.02.046.3 2007/08 14.9
115.5 76.224.438.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.6
114.0 78.326.137.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.5
81.1 75.624.013.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.6
115.0 79.927.939.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0
77.2 71.520.725.97.51.843.9 2012/13 14.3
104.1 74.323.934.77.12.247.1 2013/14 16.4
Coarse Grains
54.3 50.635.15.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8
79.2 58.141.517.20.72.630.3 2008/09 9.4
67.7 55.039.115.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4
47.6 41.928.58.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5
78.7 54.438.724.61.02.927.1 2011/12 6.2
69.0 50.836.020.00.82.527.7 2012/13 5.2
87.0 58.141.426.70.93.029.4 2013/14 8.3
December 2013
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
9.6 6.72.04.90.00.713.1 2010/11 2.9
22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2
9.8 6.61.86.70.00.812.4 2012/13 2.7
15.5 7.32.58.00.01.212.5 2013/14 2.9
Russia
41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7
56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9
37.7 33.611.911.31.41.821.3 2012/13 5.2
51.5 35.013.516.00.52.223.5 2013/14 6.2
Ukraine
16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3
22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4
15.8 11.83.37.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.2
22.0 11.53.510.00.13.46.5 2013/14 2.8
Uzbekistan
6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8
6.3 7.81.60.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.4
6.7 8.01.70.51.94.81.4 2012/13 1.5
6.8 8.21.80.51.94.91.4 2013/14 1.5
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
6.6 11.01.70.23.72.13.2 2010/11 2.8
7.4 11.52.10.24.72.33.2 2011/12 3.2
7.2 11.52.00.34.12.33.1 2012/13 2.7
8.3 12.32.60.24.62.63.2 2013/14 3.0
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
81.1 75.624.013.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.6
115.0 79.927.939.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0
77.2 71.520.725.97.51.843.9 2012/13 14.3
104.1 74.323.934.77.12.247.1 2013/14 16.4
December 2013
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
1.3 1.51.20.20.11.01.3 2010/11 0.1
2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2
1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2
2.3 1.81.50.50.01.31.8 2013/14 0.2
Russia
8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4
16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8
14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7
15.0 12.48.02.50.31.97.8 2013/14 1.1
Ukraine
8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8
9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2
6.9 5.03.42.10.02.13.3 2012/13 1.0
7.5 5.23.52.50.02.33.3 2013/14 0.8
Uzbekistan
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0
0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
3.3 3.42.60.00.12.41.4 2010/11 0.5
3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.4 2011/12 0.5
3.4 3.52.70.00.12.51.3 2012/13 0.5
3.1 3.42.50.00.22.51.2 2013/14 0.4
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.1 2010/11 2.8
32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.7
26.0 22.315.24.50.51.913.9 2012/13 2.4
28.1 23.015.75.50.52.014.2 2013/14 2.5
December 2013
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
0.5 0.50.40.00.04.80.1 2010/11 0.1
0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0
0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0
0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2013/14 0.0
Russia
3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1
7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4
8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3
11.5 8.47.52.50.15.12.3 2013/14 0.9
Ukraine
11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1
22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1
20.9 8.16.812.70.14.84.4 2012/13 1.2
30.0 10.18.518.00.16.34.8 2013/14 3.1
Uzbekistan
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0
0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0
0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
2.8 2.92.60.20.23.60.8 2010/11 0.6
3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0
2.6 3.12.70.40.23.40.8 2012/13 0.4
3.9 3.63.30.30.24.20.9 2013/14 0.6
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
18.4 13.211.35.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9
34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4
32.4 18.215.615.00.34.57.2 2012/13 2.0
46.1 22.719.820.80.35.78.1 2013/14 4.8
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Wheat Competitors
Argentina
13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4
16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6
18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4
11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3
12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3
17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1
15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7
9.5 6.10.23.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.6
11.0 6.10.14.50.03.03.7 2013/14 1.0
Australia
25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4
10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2
13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7
21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1
21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1
27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2
29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.0
22.5 6.73.418.70.11.812.8 2012/13 4.2
26.5 6.63.219.50.12.013.5 2013/14 4.8
Canada
25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7
25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9
20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4
28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6
27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7
23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4
25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9
27.2 9.64.419.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1
37.5 10.25.023.00.53.610.4 2013/14 9.8
Total Wheat Competitors
64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4
52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6
52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5
61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1
67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.6
70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7
59.2 22.48.041.20.62.325.9 2012/13 9.9
75.0 22.88.347.00.62.727.6 2013/14 15.7
India
68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0
69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5
75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8
78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4
80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1
80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4
86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0
94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2
92.5 90.03.56.50.03.129.4 2013/14 20.2
Turkey
18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1
17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3
15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4
16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5
18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8
17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2
18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1
15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2
18.0 17.80.93.73.72.37.7 2013/14 1.5
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3
22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8
22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2
15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0
25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6
25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1
21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 1.0
26.5 7.65.019.00.06.64.0 2012/13 0.9
26.0 8.05.018.00.07.53.5 2013/14 0.9
Brazil
41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0
51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6
58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6
51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1
56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0
57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3
73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2
81.0 53.045.022.00.85.115.8 2012/13 16.0
70.0 55.046.020.00.84.715.0 2013/14 11.8
China
139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3
151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6
152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4
165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2
164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3
177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4
192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3
205.6 202.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 65.6
211.0 216.0156.00.17.05.935.6 2013/14 67.5
South Africa
6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3
7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7
13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1
12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1
13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2
10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7
12.4 10.85.02.10.03.83.2 2012/13 3.2
13.0 11.05.12.00.04.13.2 2013/14 3.2
Total Corn Competitors
203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8
232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6
246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3
245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4
258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0
270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2
299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.2
325.5 273.4199.043.23.55.658.0 2012/13 85.6
320.0 290.0212.140.17.85.657.3 2013/14 83.4
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Australia
9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6
4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0
7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7
8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4
7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9
8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0
8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5
7.5 2.81.54.80.02.13.6 2012/13 0.4
8.6 3.82.54.50.02.33.8 2013/14 0.7
Canada
11.7 9.68.42.20.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3
9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5
10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6
11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0
9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5
7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5
7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2
8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0
10.3 7.46.11.90.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0
European Union
54.9 54.338.43.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5
56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8
57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7
65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0
62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6
53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9
51.9 51.235.83.00.44.311.9 2011/12 6.1
54.8 51.336.04.90.14.412.5 2012/13 4.7
59.2 52.737.56.00.14.812.3 2013/14 5.3
December 2013
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2
2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2
2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7
1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2
3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2
4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0
4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2
5.0 2.32.01.80.04.31.2 2012/13 1.1
4.6 2.62.22.00.04.61.0 2013/14 1.1
Australia
1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0
1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0
3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8
2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7
1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7
1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4
2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2
2.0 0.80.81.30.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2
1.9 1.01.00.90.03.20.6 2013/14 0.2
December 2013
U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice (Working Statistics)
Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Production
Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.
Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics
are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns
contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is
Aug/July.
December 2013
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat and Coarse Grains
1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85
1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86
1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87
1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88
1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89
1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90
1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91
1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92
1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93
1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5536.7 1993/94
1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.7 1994/95
1,338.5 319.41,381.8640.1187.52.5527.7 1995/96
1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.42.7546.6 1996/97
1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.8190.32.8535.9 1997/98
1,481.8 448.01,448.2683.2198.72.8521.0 1998/99
1,465.3 444.51,468.2688.8214.02.9506.9 1999/00
1,447.2 419.41,472.3698.7205.02.8510.1 2000/01
1,480.9 403.91,496.5711.9208.42.9512.6 2001/02
1,443.6 341.81,505.7709.3209.32.9503.0 2002/03
1,471.7 278.71,534.8715.7205.82.9511.2 2003/04
1,643.0 336.31,585.5754.2214.53.2515.0 2004/05
1,599.6 320.51,615.4754.6222.53.1517.1 2005/06
1,584.7 276.01,629.1746.2229.93.1517.4 2006/07
1,691.6 293.91,673.6759.4244.93.2534.3 2007/08
1,792.4 363.71,722.7771.1253.63.3539.5 2008/09
1,803.9 399.81,767.7779.1254.23.4533.6 2009/10
1,749.6 365.11,784.3772.4250.03.3523.7 2010/11
1,848.6 364.11,849.5804.6287.23.4536.5 2011/12
1,788.7 340.21,812.6803.7279.13.4533.8 2012/13
1,967.5 379.71,928.0866.0294.63.6541.3 2013/14
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the
present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
December 2013
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92
562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93
558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94
523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95
537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96
581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97
610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98
590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99
586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00
583.2 207.3586.8109.0102.22.7215.6 2000/01
583.8 204.3586.8109.9108.02.7214.5 2001/02
569.6 169.9604.0113.7106.62.7213.5 2002/03
555.4 136.1589.199.7103.52.7207.6 2003/04
626.7 157.0605.9108.2113.22.9215.9 2004/05
618.8 154.7621.1114.7114.22.8217.7 2005/06
596.5 134.7616.5110.6115.42.8211.6 2006/07
612.6 129.6617.8102.2116.22.8217.1 2007/08
683.5 169.5643.5121.4143.23.0224.1 2008/09
687.0 202.3654.3120.8135.43.0225.4 2009/10
652.4 199.0655.7116.1134.03.0217.1 2010/11
697.3 198.9697.3146.9153.83.2221.3 2011/12
656.2 175.8679.3136.1147.43.0215.6 2012/13
711.4 182.8704.5138.8154.33.2219.6 2013/14
Coarse Grains
812.2 196.3813.1536.396.22.5321.3 1991/92
868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93
797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94
869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7321.3 1994/95
801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6311.0 1995/96
908.9 203.5869.2573.294.42.8319.5 1996/97
881.4 217.1867.7580.085.82.8309.5 1997/98
891.4 238.5870.0576.496.73.0301.8 1998/99
878.5 233.6882.8586.0102.13.0294.4 1999/00
864.0 212.2885.4589.6102.82.9294.6 2000/01
897.1 199.5909.7602.0100.43.0298.1 2001/02
874.0 171.9901.6595.6102.73.0289.6 2002/03
916.3 142.6945.7615.9102.33.0303.6 2003/04
1,016.3 179.3979.6646.0101.23.4299.2 2004/05
980.7 165.8994.3639.9108.33.3299.5 2005/06
988.1 141.21,012.6635.6114.53.2305.9 2006/07
1,078.9 164.41,055.8657.2128.73.4317.2 2007/08
1,108.9 194.11,079.2649.7110.43.5315.4 2008/09
1,116.9 197.61,113.4658.4118.83.6308.2 2009/10
1,097.2 166.11,128.7656.3116.03.6306.7 2010/11
1,151.3 165.21,152.2657.8133.43.7315.3 2011/12
1,132.5 164.41,133.3667.6131.73.6318.2 2012/13
1,256.1 196.91,223.6727.2140.33.9321.7 2013/14
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the
present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
December 2013
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumpti
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Corn
493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92
535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93
475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94
559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95
516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96
592.8 166.3559.8387.966.74.2141.5 1996/97
574.4 167.2573.5401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98
605.8 191.4581.6404.868.74.4138.9 1998/99
608.4 194.4605.4423.172.14.4139.0 1999/00
591.9 175.3611.0427.975.94.3137.1 2000/01
601.8 151.4625.6436.972.74.4137.4 2001/02
604.0 126.9628.5434.076.84.4137.5 2002/03
627.6 104.7649.8446.579.04.4141.8 2003/04
716.8 131.2690.2476.576.04.9145.5 2004/05
700.4 124.5707.1478.882.54.8145.4 2005/06
716.1 110.7729.8479.591.34.8150.4 2006/07
795.1 131.6774.3499.198.25.0160.4 2007/08
800.3 147.4784.5482.383.65.0158.7 2008/09
825.4 146.3826.5491.492.75.2158.8 2009/10
834.2 129.1851.4502.891.75.1164.3 2010/11
886.0 132.5882.6507.2103.85.2171.5 2011/12
862.9 134.9860.4516.6100.14.9176.3 2012/13
964.3 162.5936.7566.8110.75.5176.7 2013/14
Barley
169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92
166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93
169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94
160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95
141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96
153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97
153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98
136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99
127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00
133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01
143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02
134.3 27.5135.994.816.32.554.8 2002/03
142.1 23.4146.3102.614.82.458.3 2003/04
152.1 33.0142.5100.117.02.657.5 2004/05
136.1 28.1141.097.417.42.555.3 2005/06
136.9 21.4143.698.214.62.456.4 2006/07
132.9 20.5133.891.018.52.455.8 2007/08
155.0 31.5144.1100.418.22.855.2 2008/09
150.9 37.3145.0101.317.32.854.2 2009/10
122.7 24.1135.991.215.22.647.2 2010/11
134.2 22.6135.792.021.42.749.5 2011/12
130.6 20.3132.888.721.92.650.6 2012/13
143.1 23.8139.794.919.62.850.3 2013/14
Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,
coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
December 2013
World Rice: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Production
Production TY Exports Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Rice, Milled
464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85
467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86
464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87
464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88
490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89
510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90
519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91
522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92
524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93
526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94
539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95
547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96
565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97
575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98
587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99
608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00
594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01
594.3 132.9413.327.7399.53.9151.3 2001/02
563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03
585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04
596.6 73.9408.629.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05
622.3 76.3415.529.1417.94.0154.0 2005/06
625.6 75.2421.631.9420.54.0154.6 2006/07
642.5 80.8427.329.6432.94.2154.7 2007/08
668.3 92.4437.629.4449.14.2158.1 2008/09
656.6 94.8438.531.5440.94.2155.6 2009/10
670.3 98.6445.436.2449.24.3157.7 2010/11
694.5 104.4460.039.1465.84.4159.5 2011/12
699.2 106.6466.838.4469.04.4157.4 2012/13
701.8 104.3472.939.8470.64.4160.1 2013/14
Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.
December 2013
ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013
53 December 2013
OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)
For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.
Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 11-13 November 2013. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 12-13 December 2013. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov