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Understanding The Geography of Opportunity How mapping the changing landscape of opportunity can contribute to community equity and sustainability
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Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Oct 01, 2020

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Page 1: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Understanding The Geography of Opportunity How mapping the changing landscape of opportunity can contribute to community equity and sustainability

Page 2: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Our Society’s Opportunity Narrative…

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“Biologists often talk about the “ecology” of an organism: the tallest oak in the forest is the tallest not just because it grew from the hardiest acorn; it is the tallest also because no other trees blocked its sunlight, the soil around it was deep and rich, no rabbit chewed through its bark as a sapling, and no lumberjack cut it down before it matured.

We all know that successful people come from hardy seeds. But do we know enough about the sunlight that warmed them, the soil in which they put down roots, and the rabbits and lumberjacks they were lucky enough to avoid?”

- Malcolm Gladwell “Outliers”

Page 3: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Not everyone who works hard achieves the dream. Why?

The American Reality

Page 4: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Systemic Barriers to Opportunity

Value of Child Benefits at Various Income Levels: Single Parent with Two Children (2010)

Page 5: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Health & Safety

Employment

Education

Housing

Transportation

“Opportunity is a situation or condition that places individuals in

a position to be more likely to succeed or excel.”

Page 6: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

The Opportunity Framework: • Opportunity Matters: Space, place, and life outcomes

• Systems Thinking: We’re all situated within “opportunity structures”

• Place, Race, and Opportunity Structures: Neighborhoods and access to opportunity

• Structural Interaction: The arrangement of multiple variables creates barriers to opportunity

• Systems are Dynamic: The creation of feedback loops

Page 7: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Opportunity Mapping: more than just maps!

• Goal: To create “iterative space” where collaborative conversation can happen

• Maps bring together diverse stakeholders around the opportunity frame

• Common purpose: To increase access to opportunity across city/metro/region

• Opportunity framework brings equity into the conversation

• Identify structural barriers to opportunity, community assets

Page 8: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Building Capacity with an Eye to Equity

Opportunity mapping provides a framework and “space” for engaging a broad number of community stakeholders, while simultaneously focusing on the equity concerns of marginalized communities.

8

Page 9: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

All measures rolled into

a single index value

(Opportunity Index)

Building an Opportunity Map

Page 10: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Opportunity in Washtenaw County

Health

Job Access

Economic Well-Being

Education & Training

Neighborhood Safety & Stability

Page 11: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

A Snapshot of Opportunity Across Washtenaw County

Page 12: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Very Low Low Moderate High Very High

Other 6.2% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 2.7%

Asian 1.7% 6.4% 7.5% 10.8% 13.5%

Hispanic/ Latino 4.4% 4.4% 3.7% 4.6% 3.6%

African American 27.1% 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 4.4%

White 60.7% 76.6% 75.5% 71.1% 75.8%

60.7%

76.6% 75.5% 71.1%

75.8%

27.1%

8.6% 9.0% 10.4%

4.4%

4.4% 4.4% 3.7%

4.6% 3.6%

1.7% 6.4% 7.5% 10.8% 13.5%

6.2% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 2.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Opportunity Index by Race

White African American Hispanic/ Latino Asian Other

Page 13: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH
Page 14: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

$2

1,5

37

$2

8,5

61

$3

5,5

66

$3

4,7

24

$4

4,7

17

$2

5,0

57

$3

0,2

96

$3

8,3

43

$3

7,6

77

$4

8,3

27

$1

8,6

58

$2

0,4

94

$2

5,7

52

$2

4,5

11

$3

7,5

47

$6

,39

8

$9

,80

2

$1

2,5

91

$1

3,1

66

$1

0,7

80

V E R Y L O W L O W M O D E R A T E H I G H V E R Y H I G H

PER CAPITA INCOME BY OPPORTUNITY INDEX

Avg. per captia income Avg. per captia income (White)

Avg. per captia income (AA) difference between African American and White

Page 15: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Race

Sp

atia

l

Institutional

Sy

ste

mic

Place

Economic

Structural P

olicy

Legacy P

ersiste

nt Inequality

Dis

pa

rity

Page 16: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Trends in Opportunity Across Washtenaw County

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How Can Opportunity Maps Be Used?

• Housing • siting affordable housing projects (Massachusetts)

• directing LIHTC QAP policy (Ohio, Connecticut)

• voucher holder counseling (Austin, TX)

• Transportation • TOD planning (Seattle, WA)

• capital improvement project prioritization (Austin, TX)

• Education • targeting early childhood education investment (Columbus, OH)

• coordinating school churn and housing stability initiatives (Tacoma, WA)

• Health • infant mortality task force (Columbus, OH)

• lead abatement (Toledo, OH)

People

Linkages

Places

Page 18: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

How to identify opportunity structures

Look For:

• Incentives

• Disincentives

• Barriers & Opportunities

• Divisive Infrastructure

• “Facilitative Investments”

Explore the History Of:

• Zoning & Land Use (purpose and impact)

• Municipal/Jurisdictional Fragmentation

• Major Infrastructure (Origin and role)

• “Getting Around Brown” (How?)

Page 19: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

As our cities and regions revitalize, how do we ensure that our systems ensure access to opportunity and jobs for all communities and the people?

Ideas

• Recognize and address remaining biases in our systems and thinking.

• Constantly consider accessibility for all.

• Acknowledge the way our systems and structures interact with one another.

• Identify and engage power structures.

Examples

• Will light rail improve job access for low-income workers?

• As our regions re-urbanize, how can we improve educational quality and further school integration?

• What tools do we have or need to invent in order to build and maintain mixed-income neighborhoods?

Page 20: Understanding The Geography of Opportunity · 2020. 2. 1. · 537 561 566 724 717 057 296 343 677 327 658 494 752 511 547 398 802 591 166 780 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE HIGH VERY HIGH

Accessing the Maps and Data

http://arcg.is/1KY82x6

opportunitywashtenaw.org