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Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

Jan 16, 2017

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Economy & Finance

Tim McAlpine
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Page 1: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

“Your logo could be here instead!”

CREDIT UNIONYOUR

BROUGHT TO YOU BY

UnderstandingINFLATION

Page 2: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

Simply put, inflation refers to the rate of change or increase in the average prices of goods and services typically purchased

by consumers. When the price level rises, every dollar you have buys a smaller percentage of a good or a service.

What’s

inflation?

Page 3: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

The effects of inflation really add up over time!

Page 4: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

COMPARING PRICES THEN AND NOW

1950s TODAY

15¢ $2.18

FA S T- F O O D H A M B U R G E R

Page 5: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

COMPARING PRICES THEN AND NOW

1950s TODAY

46¢ $7.96

M O V I E T I C K E T

Page 6: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

COMPARING PRICES THEN AND NOW

1950s TODAY

$34.72 $1,474

O U N C E O F G O L D

Page 7: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

It seems like a dramatic difference when you compare prices from the

1950s with today, but in reality, inflation changes quite slowly

Page 8: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

CON

SU

MER PRICE INDEX0.7%

U . S . 2 0 1 5

• To gain a better understanding of inflation, it’s important to understand the consumer price index (CPI)

• The index tracks the percentage change in the prices of a basket of 80,000 goods and services

UNDERSTANDING THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

Page 9: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

CON

SU

MER PRICE INDEX0.7%

U . S . 2 0 1 5

• It is computed each month by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and is used to track the progress of inflation in the United States

• Depending on the year, the CPI can vary from less than 1% to over 3%

UNDERSTANDING THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

Page 10: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

While the costs of goods and services rise over time, so does income—

for some, much more than others

Page 11: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

1950

$350K

$300K

$250K

$200K

$150K

$100K

$50K

$0TODAY

Household segment

Today’s mean income

Top 5% $ 332,347

Top quintile $ 194,053

2nd quintile $ 87,834

Middle quintile $ 54,041

4th quintile $ 31,087

Bottom quintile $ 11,676

INFLATION AFFECTS MORE THAN PRICES

Page 12: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

Now that you see how the prices of goods and services rise, as well as how incomes rise, let’s dig a little deeper

Page 13: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

COMPARING PRICES THEN AND NOW

1950s TODAY

27¢ $2.57

G A L LO N O F G A S

Page 14: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

It looks like gas prices have gone through the roof!

H I S TO R I C A L C O S T

Gallon of Gas

1950

$4

$3

$2

$1

$0TODAY

27¢ $2.57

Page 15: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

However, when you adjust for inflation, you can see that a gallon of gasoline today costs about what it did in 1950

I N F L AT I O N - A DJ U S T E D C O S T

Gallon of Gas

1950

$4

$3

$2

$1

$0TODAY

$2.57$2.48

Page 16: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

Things you can do to keep up with

inflation

Page 17: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

CON

SU

MER PRICE INDEX0.7%

U . S . 2 0 1 5

• It’s a smart idea to check on the CPI rate at least once a year

• The CPI rate is a good indicator of the total cost-of-living increase that you can expect in the current year

• Whether you have an hourly or salaried job or you are self-employed, to keep pace with inflation, you should strive to increase your income by at least the annual CPI rate

YOUR INCOME SHOULD KEEP UP WITH INFLATION

Page 18: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

U N I T E D S TAT E S

Consumer Price Index

2000

3.4

2.8

1.6

2.32.7

3.43.2

2.8

3.8

2.7

1.6

3.2

1.71.5

0.8 0.7

4%

3%

2%

1%

0TODAY

'00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

Page 19: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

Investing can help you counteract the negative effects of inflation—again, strive for your rate of return to be

greater than the inflation rate

STRIVE FOR YOUR SAVINGS TO KEEP UP AS WELL

Page 20: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

6.97.4

4.6

2.6

1.71.0 0.6

-0.8

6%

8%

4%

2%

0%

-2%S&P 500

InternationalStocks

Bonds

Average Blended Equity & Fixed-Income

Investments

Money Market

Homes

Average Fixed-Income Investments

Commodities

2.4%Average Inflation

1 0 -Y E A R ( 2 0 0 4 – 2 0 1 3 )

Annualized Returns

Page 21: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

As you can see, this is easier said than done—good luck and be careful with investing your hard-earned money!

Page 22: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

ABSOLUTELY NO GUARANTEESAll investments made in stocks, bonds and mutual funds carry the risk of losing some or all of your money, even when made through a financial advisor or financial institution

Page 23: Understanding Inflation - It's a Money Thing

“Your logo could be here instead!”

CREDIT UNIONYOUR

Sources: Forbes, United States Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics), United States Census Bureau

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