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Understanding Enrollment Estimates & Charter Viability During Charter Reviews & Pre-opening
Introductions & Authorizer Context
Dr. Corey Loomis
Riverside County Office of Education
California
County authorizer
2019 NACSA Leadership Conference 3
Janet Dinnen
Colorado Charter School Institute
Colorado
State authorizer
Tom McMillen
Jefferson County School District
Colorado
District authorizer
Burning Questions
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2019 NACSA Leadership
Conference5
What strategies can authorizers use to better:
• evaluate how realistic enrollment projections are during the charter review process, and
• monitor and address lower than anticipated enrollment during pre-opening
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Authorizer Actions
Charter Review
Pre-Contract Requirements
Pre-Opening Milestones
Year 1+ Milestones
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Authorizer Actions
Charter Review
Pre-Contract Requirements
Pre-Opening Milestones
Year 1+ Milestones
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During Charter Review
Generally bound by:
• Statutory requirements
• Application/rubric expectations
Authorizer opportunities:
• Application/rubric expectations
• Community-based external reviewer
• Outside analysis
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Evidence of Need & Support
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vs.
But what data?
Community Narrative
12
What are
families
asking for?
Who is asking
for it?
Why are they
asking for it
(now)?
Education Landscape
13
To what extent are
current offerings meeting
the community need?
What changes to
educational
offerings are
expected?
What offerings
and school
options currently
exist?
Regional Landscape
14
What are the
population
trends?What are
housing and
job trends?
Synthesize the Data
THE NEED
Educational Landscape
Regional Landscape
Community Narrative
Some notes about evidence of support…
• Quantity and quality
• Trust but verify
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Authorizer Actions
Charter Review
Pre-Contract
Milestones
Pre-Opening
Milestones
Year 1+ Milestones
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Milestone Considerations
• Timing/domino effects
• Authorizer opportunities for action
Scenarios
Questions?
Thank you!
Tom McMillen
Janet Dinnen
Dr. Corey Loomis
Contact Information:
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