Unclassified Managing FY09 End Strength Vice Admiral Mark E. Ferguson, III Chief of Naval Personnel and Deputy Chief of Naval Operations (Manpower, Personnel,

Unclassified

Managing FY09 End Strength

Vice Admiral Mark E. Ferguson, IIIChief of Naval Personnel and Deputy Chief of Naval Operations

(Manpower, Personnel, Training & Education)

24 November 2008

Unclassified 2

Executing Commander’s Intent

FY09 End Strength Targets (End of FY09)• 329,042 Active Total Strength

• 277,943 Active Enlisted Strength

• 51,099 Active Officer Strength

Collaboration with N10, N12, N13• Data collection and analysis

• Utilizing existing levers and policy

• Projecting natural losses

• Forcing additional losses

Communicating Course Change to the Fleet• Readiness challenges

BUPERS-3 Establishing War Room to Control End Strength: Authoritative Source for Force Shaping Information

BUPERS-3 Establishing War Room to Control End Strength: Authoritative Source for Force Shaping Information

Unclassified 3

Where We are – Where We Are GoingEnd Strength - Navy POM-10 Changes

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

Commander’s Intent4 Dec - CNO/CNP/USFF

20 Jan – New Administration

GWOT Temporary

PB09 E/S

POM-10 BES

DHP Conversion

4,404

2,700

4,407Adaptive Core

GWOT Supplemental

Request

GWOT Core~7,045

315K

320K

325K

330K

335K

340K

Actual E/S

$334M

$24.8B

$61.3M (PDM)

$254.9M (PDM)

FY09 Bridge (over –execution)

Unclassified 4

FY09 Challenges

Officer

• Decreased Resignations / Release Requests

• Force Shaping Losses (timing)

• Control Grade Shortages/Shaping

• Limited results for voluntary separation (TIG/YCS Waivers)

Enlisted

• Changing Fleet behavior (Economy)

• Fleet not executing to policy (Manning)

• Reductions in the right areas – getting to zones C and E

• Undermanned challenges

• FIT

Unclassified 5

USFF / FRE Engagement Considerations

Readiness Impacts of Centralized Control at NPC

• BRT to ID all policies which impact End Strength

Strict adherence, with accountability, to directed Policies

Fleet “Brilliant on the Basics” Enforcement

• Taking care of our Sailors

• Targeted retention goals Change Retention Excellence Award criteria

Retention quality vice retention quantity

Taking Operational Risk in Austere Manpower Environment

Command Accountability

• GSA/IAMM readiness

• Force Shaping Execution (Page 13, etc.)

Assess impact of rescinding former policies

Unclassified 6

Taking Control

Zone A – PTS • PTS Algorithm Update – by 01 Jan 09

Critical NEC Eliminate GENDET Reapply Reapply for Sailors who have not executed quotas

• SELRES option by 01 Apr 09

Zone B – PTS by 01 Feb 09• Algorithm testing by Dec 08• SELRES option by 01 Apr 09

Zone C – Voluntary Separation Pay (1st QTR FY10) Zone D – take them to Fleet Reserve Eligibility Zone E – Enforce HYTs

• Disciplined Distribution (now)• Enforce Policy (now)• E7-9 Selection Boards (FY09) – Analyze Bottom 30% • E-SERB (FY10)

Indefinite ID Cards E-7 and Above ERIF

Unclassified 7

Taking Control (cont.)

Enforce control of all HYTs• E4 – 8• E5 – 14• E6 – 20

Forced Conversions• Not being properly executed• Policy change to reflect current tone

SRB – Jan 09 message• Suggested policy changes

90 -120 day limit to move forward Controlled “grace” period for decreases

• Analyze potential NUC SRB increase

Early Career Transition• SELRES “Palace Chase” (existing Air Force Program)

• E7 – 24(22)• E8 – 26(24)• E9 – 30(26)

• E7 – 24(22)• E8 – 26(24)• E9 – 30(26)

Unclassified 8

BRT-STE

Nuclear Executed as 6YO

Pregnancy GWOT/IA

Operational Commitment 5YO/6YO

Advanced training Enlistment bonuses

OTT Obliserve to Train

Other Deployment Match EAOS to PRD PCS Reach RE Zone PFA Failures

FY08 STE

OTT 4%

Other 7%

Nuclear 30%

Pregnancy 9%

GWOT/IA 15%

5Y0/6YO 35%

40920 Total STEs executed in FY08

Short Term Extensions• Need Reason Codes to track STE reasons• 80% of STE reasons are operational• Est. BRT to understand what has been delegated to the Fleet

Short Term Extensions• Need Reason Codes to track STE reasons• 80% of STE reasons are operational• Est. BRT to understand what has been delegated to the Fleet

Unclassified 9

Taking Control (cont.)

Officer Force Shaping Authority

• Training Attrites

• Non-Warfare Attainment

• Inter-Service Transfers

• AC to RC (FTS/SELRES) Conversions

Aggressively Manage Retire/Retain

Limit Retire/Resignation Withdrawals

Limit Temp Reserve Recalls and ADSW for greater than 1095 days active service in a four year period (RPN to MPN end strength)

Officer Selection Boards (FY09) – Analyze Bottom 30%

Unclassified 10

Critical Success Factors to Force Shaping

Collaboration, Buy-in and Concurrence with USFF

• Operational Risk

• FIT Trade-offs

Engagement at the Right level

• NPC-FRE-CO Balance

Manage Execution – Establish Trip-Wires

Strategic Communications with the Fleet

• CNO/CNP Commander’s Intent

Unclassified 11

Discussion

Unclassified 12

BackupBackup

Unclassified

306,000

311,000

316,000

321,000

326,000

331,000

336,000

+2% NDAA (332,849)FY08 E/S 332,228

FY09 NDAA 326,323

12-Nov 19-Nov EOM Forecast332,041 332,375

November Weekly Strength Summary

FY09 Active Navy Strength Weekly Tracking

Legend FY09 PRESBUD PLAN FY09 Weekly Actuals

FY09 NDAA FY09 Draft OPLAN

SepAugJulJunMayAprMarJanDecNovOctSep Feb

FY09 Draft OPLAN 329,042

Unclassified 14

Early Career Transition

Orders

NOSC* Member DD214 sent to NOSC for

delivery at Separation

AC SepRC GainBonus

Start Obliserv

Assign Billet

Decision

Sailor for LIFE

*Sa

ilor

de

pa

rts

com

ma

nd

w/

ord

ers

PERS 8

1306/7 Application

CNRFC

PERS 4BUPERS 32

CNRFC CNRFC

•Affiliation Check List•Sponsor Assigned

Program similar to Air Force “Palace Chase” Program.

Process similar to PTS W/SELRES

option and NAT/NCS

• Target Ratings – >105% AC

• Target Sailors – Single Junior Enlisted

(Webb GI Bill takers – 3 yrs or > AC time)

• About 1200 Sailors identified

• If 25% take rate = 300 Sailors

• Target Ratings – >105% AC

• Target Sailors – Single Junior Enlisted

(Webb GI Bill takers – 3 yrs or > AC time)

• About 1200 Sailors identified

• If 25% take rate = 300 Sailors