UN ESCAP’s Regional Capacity Building Workshop on Urban .... Policies and strategie… · Workshop on Urban Mobility and Sustainable Urban Transport Index Jan Deman, Director Busworld

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UN ESCAP’s Regional Capacity Building Workshop on Urban Mobility and Sustainable Urban Transport IndexJan Deman, Director Busworld Foundation & Academy

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Busworld International

+ North America (USA) + Middle East (Oman) +South America (Argentina or Chile)

CONNECT PRIVATE & PUBLIC SECTOR

• Organization of conferences & workshops such as the Busworld Academy & create

together high level programs for all stakeholders in the worldwide bus and coach sector

• Undertake Industry Research to identify barriers to the uptake of modern and future

oriented Bus Systems

• Collaborate in research and knowledge sharing activities with a view to improving

accessibility and mobility for city residents

• Jointly identifying funding opportunities for future collaboration on awareness raising and

capacity building on the topic of future oriented Bus Systems.

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Busworld Exhibitors who signed :

ALSTOM

BYD

CAETANO BUS

KING LONG

GOLDEN DRAGON

MAN

SAFRA

SCANIA

SOLARIS

VDL

VOLVO

YUTONG

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The Passenger’s choice

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Political choices determine the bus playing field

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The power to innovate

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[email protected] Mob. & whatsapp : +32 473 70 90 84

www.busworld.org www.busworldacademy.org

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Changing Urban DemographicsAre Leading To Travel Problems That Today’s Mobility Services Aren’t Solving

Factors

Global transportation market needs new type of mobility services

• Over 55% of the World’s

population lives in cities,

expected to rise to 68% by 2050;

with 90% of the increase taking

place in Asia and Africa

• Drivers spend 50 hours per year

in congestion which stifles the

economy of 1% of GDP

• 7 million lives are lost

prematurely due to air quality;

mobility is the largest sector

contributor

• Private cars are utilised 4% of

the time and account for 29% of

transport trips on average, but

account for 85% of our mobility

expenditure

Urbanisation Travel Problems Insufficient Solutions

Source: World Bank, World Health Organization, Inrix, European Commission, Eurostat

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Growing population and bus connectivity will lead to expansion and optimization of city bus fleet

Urbanization

Mega Trends

«Connectivity»

Impact on bus fleets

► Development of Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) will require buses

with length >12 meters

► The demand for gas and hybrid fuel buses will increase

► Increasing population density will necessitate bus fleet

growth and new designs

► Telematics will improve public transit efficiency by

decreasing travel time and operational expenses

► IT solutions integrated into a bus allows to decrease the

total cost of ownership (by fuel economy, enhanced safety

and logistics optimization)

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More than 400 BRT operate globally, 150 cities will adopt BRT in the next 5-7 years while the total length of the BRT routes will exceed 9000 km

North

America

Latin

America

China and

India

Existing BRT with expansion

plans

Planned BRT

Public transit operators such as Arriva, BVG, and RATP have launched DRT operationsindependently. Cities are also actively pursuing alternative and sustainable mobility modes

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30% Of Public Transit To Become Demand Responsive By 2025

DRT market key developments

In Europe , DRT services do not have well

defined regulations and have to operate

under taxi or PHV licenses.

By 2030. Corporate shuttles & short

distance dynamic shuttles to account

for over 60% of the market

~ $ 1

billion

~ $ 288

billion

2018 2030

Market

Revenue

Fleet

Size 25k 5 million

~40 ~ 150-200

EU – 76%

NA- 1%

APAC – 8%

EU – 20%

NA- 15%

APAC – 60%

Market

Participants

Market

Expansion

2018 2030

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Increasing ridership through seamless flexibility in switching between intermodal transport models,improving passenger connectivity, comfort and convenient features, and reducing emissions are keyfocus

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Technology and End Users to Impact Global Bus Industry

Driver and

passenger safety

Advanced

powertrains

Autonomous

driving / DRT

Emerging

markets

Passenger comfort &

convenience

Urbanization

Connectivity

and

Telematics

Global harmonization of

regulations

Intermodal

flexibility

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Battery electric vehicles are the most popular type and will continue to remain so, however fuel cellelectric vehicles are expected to have a considerable share in Europe, North America and China

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Global Electric Bus Market – Unit Shipment Forecast by Vocation

Source: Frost & Sullivan

2018

~ 74,900

2025

93,80010,500 3800

6980 7260

20,5001060 480

1650 2080

China India NA LATAM Europe

Transit Buses Coaches

2025 Unit Shipments

63,800

11,100

122,300

~148,000

25,800

10.2% CAGR