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Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd (QUB) Ian Shuttleworth (QUB)
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Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Dec 28, 2015

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Page 1: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland

Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RAIan Gregory (Lancaster) PIPaul Ell (QUB)Chris Lloyd (QUB)Ian Shuttleworth (QUB)

Page 2: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

A spatial conflict

Photographs courtesy of CAIN, *Brixton Gunner@Flickr

• Space has played a critical role in the conflict in Northern Ireland and an appreciation of this is crucial in our efforts to achieve a better understanding of the dynamics behind the recent Troubles

• Actual and notional boundaries have been central to the formation of identity in Northern Ireland historically

•Spatial conflicts endure and still lie at the heart of many inter-communal antagonisms

•The Troubles have had a profound effect on the (re)development of the built environment

*

Page 3: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

The reality: increased detail, increased polarisation

Page 4: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Legend

peacelines

wards

Catholics (%)

% Cath. pop. by 100m GS

75.0 to 94.9

95.0 or more

Protestants (%)

% Prot. pop by 100m GS

75.0 to 94.9

95.0 or more

Belfast: A divided city

Ardoyne/Glenbryn

New Barnsley

Page 5: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

A population in flux

Henry Taggart Memorial BA Base

Vere Foster BA Base

Police Station and peaceline

Legend

! BA deaths

# BA killings

# BA multiple deaths

! BA multiple killings

peacelines

Highfield (Protestant)

Ballymurphy(Catholic)

New Barnsley

Page 6: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Deaths during the Troubles• This study utilises data on all

Troubles-related deaths collated by Malcolm Sutton and hosted by Dr. Martin Melaugh at the University of Ulster’s CAIN archive

• Search facility enables the user to identify incidents using a diverse range of criteria

• An ongoing and constantly revised process with regular input from the wider, non-academic community

• ‘Troubled Geographies’ analyses 3,524 deaths from January 1969 to December 2001

http://www.cain.ulst.ac.uk/sutton/

Page 7: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Georeferencing the Sutton database

Page 8: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Cartographic Analysis I - Deaths by status group

Page 9: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Cartographic Analysis II - Crosstabs

• Extremely detailed statistical and spatial data

• Powerful physical and notional demarcation of space

• Not just one conflict, but many

Page 10: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Statistical Analysis – Cluster hunting

Households in social rented accomm. (%)

Economically active unemployed (%)

Catholic (%)

n 6072 6072 6072min 0.09 0.56 0.18median 6.67 9.52 31.07max 85.71 54.55 94.95

Households in social rented accomm. (%)

Economically active unemployed (%)

Catholic (%)

n 56 56 56min 0.25 2.53 0.53median 11.11 14.29 71.88max 68.44 40.00 90.53

Table 1: Summary statistics for all cells

Table 2: Summary statistics for ‘High-high’ grid cells

• Statistical analysis of the data is at an early stage

• ‘Moran’s I’ technique looks at the level of spatial autocorrelation between data points by measuring how far variables at those points differ from their mean

• OSNI 1 km grid square provide useful quadrats upon which to base the analysis

•‘High-high’ grid squares are those where they and surrounding squares tend to have higher rates of killing, and are hence, ‘clusters’

• ‘High-high’ areas are characterised as disproportionately Catholic and above average on some measures of deprivation

Page 11: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

History, economy and space

Girls’ Primary School

Glenbryn

Ardoyne

Page 12: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

War by other means: The Holy Cross Dispute, Ardoyne, Autumn 2001

Holy Cross Girls’ Catholic Primary School

Glenbryn (Protestant)

Ardoyne (Catholic)

Going to school, Ardoyne 2001

• Was not a source of conflict during the Troubles•Glenbryn residents said the protests were the result of years of intimidation from Catholic neighbours•Catholic encroachment?

Page 13: Troubled Spaces: Territoriality and the Troubles in Northern Ireland Niall Cunningham (Lancaster) RA Ian Gregory (Lancaster) PI Paul Ell (QUB) Chris Lloyd.

Conclusions & further work• Geographical approach has never been attempted before and it offers

new possibilities in understanding religious change and religious conflict

• Very clear geographies of killings developed during the course of the Troubles and different types of killing vary markedly

• This preliminary research opens the way for a deeper analysis of deaths in relation to a wide range of other factors such as poverty, housing and education

• A deeper analysis of the spatial patterns in the Troubles dataset and to relate these to broader socio-economic factors

• To disseminate these findings to a broader audience by the creation of an online atlas of Irish Religion and Society

• To do so with the intention of going beyond simple binary definitions to explore the varied concurrent conflicts and changing inter-communal relationships which together constituted the modern Troubles